William J. Atkins
Analyst · Jefferies. Please go ahead with your question
Thank you, Carl. We last provided you with guidance regarding Q4 on October 29, and in that guidance, we called for revenues of between $107 million and $111 million, a gross margin of between 46.5% and 47.5%, and operating expenses in a range of $44 million to $45 million, thus resulting in an EPS of between $0.10 and $0.14 per share. Actual revenue for the quarter was $111.6 million and EPS was $0.13 per share, with revenues above the top end of our guidance and earnings per share towards the upper end of the guidance. Gross margin was 48.1%, and operating expenses came in at $46.8 million. Product and customer mix contributed to our outperformance of the gross margin level. The increase in operating expenses relative to guidance was caused by larger payments for commissions resulting from customer bookings outperformance and by increased personnel and related costs amongst other factor. Q4 was particularly cash generative with a $23.9 million increase in the aggregate balance of cash and marketable securities. We ended Q4 with a total of a $111.7 million up from Q3’s $87.8 million figure. Revenue for the quarter was $111.6 million, an increase of $17.6 million or 19% from last year’s fourth quarter level of $94 million. International revenue was a $11.8 million in Q4, down from $13.6 million in Q4 2013. We had one 10% or greater customer again this quarter. As I noted earlier, at 48.1% Q4 gross margin was above guidance and reflected the impact of changes in customer and product mix with deferred and recognized revenues coming inline with expectations. This gross margin in Q4 was up from Q4 2013’s 45.2% level. Q4 operating expenses at $46.8 million were up $5.8 million from the same quarter a year ago. With this year-over-year increase primarily due to additions in year-over-year headcount and to annual compensation adjustments. Turning now to the balance sheet, as noted earlier we ended the quarter with total cash and marketable securities of $111.7 million, an increase of $23.9 million in Q3 and an increase of $28.9 million over last year's Q4 level. We expect to continue to be cash flow positive for the totality of 2015 with a seasonal dip in Q1 resulting in negative cash flows for that quarter. Receivables DSOs were a very healthy 34 days compared to 39 days in the previous quarter and 41 days in Q4 2013, reflecting both more even distribution of revenues within the quarter and strong collections performance. Inventory levels increased to $46.7 million in Q4, an increase from Q3’s $43.8 million level, and were down from $51.1 million in Q4 2013 Inventory turns increased to 4.8 times in Q4 from 4.6 times in Q3 and from Q4 2013’s 4.1 times. The deferred revenue balance was $32.1 million, down from $38.9 million in the prior quarter, and down from $53.3 million in Q4 of 2013. We closed out deferred revenue in line with our expectations and we have now completed the bulk of our remaining broadband stimulus projects. We saw the vast majority of the remaining balance of those BBS related deferred revenues recognized in our P&L in 2014, and while we will continue to have some small residual BBS revenues in Q1, these projects will no longer be a discernable component of our revenues in 2015. It’s worth spending a bit of time reviewing our full-year performance. As is been the pattern with beginning of most years, 2014 started off slowly. A number of our service provider customers only complete their annual capital expenditure budgets well into the first quarter. Beginning in Q2 and continuing throughout the year, we saw a number of service providers announce plans and begin to upgrade their network capabilities and speeds. Calix clearly benefited from these investments by our Tier 1, Tier 2, and Tier 3 operators including many utility cooperative and municipally owned networks. We ended the year with over 60 announced service provider gigabit networks enable by Calix with many more networks beyond this number that have not been publicly disclosed. For the full year, we recorded revenues of $401.2 million up 4.9% from 2013’s $382.6 million level and produced gross margins of 46.7%, down slightly from 2013’s 47.3% figure with the 2014 gross margin affected by amongst other items, consumer and product mix and inventory write downs taken during the year. Revenue growth was broadly balanced between domestic and international customers, with international comprising 12% of revenues in 2014. We also took important steps to position Calix for further growth by hiring additional systems and software products personnel as well as by increasing the number of international sales people and value added resellers to address international markets. Operating expenses were $171.8 million in 2014 up 7% from 2013’s $160.9 million number, with this increase largely comprised of personnel related costs stemming from the headcount increases and annual compensation adjustments which I discussed earlier. Net income for 2014 reflected these movements in gross margin and operating expenses and was $15 million or $0.29 per share versus 2013’s $19.6 million or [39%] [ph] per share numbers. Before I provide Q1 guidance let me also comment on the current regulatory environment, while issues such as net neutrality and the debate over Title II regulation are topics of much discussion in our sector. We do not see our service provider customers slowing down their broadband investments in response and we see any likely scenarios as being neutral to positive for Calix. As you might know, in January president Obama visited Cedar Falls Utilities an Iowa based Calix customer and had a firsthand demonstration of the gigabit network. Last week the SEC commissioners voted in favor of upping the broadband threshold from its previous level of four megabits per second downstream and one megabit per second upstream to a new level of 25 megabits per second down and three megabits per second up. To put this into perspective, the average American home broadband connection today pulls down around 11 megabits per second. After the FCC’s recent decision some 17% of Americans technically don’t have broadband access speeds anymore. In terms of guidance for the first quarter of 2015, we expect revenues to be above last years Q1 levels, reflecting the overall improvement that we’ve seen in our sector relative to last year. Due to the book, bill and ship nature of our business our visibility can generally be limited to the next 90 days. With Q1 being the most difficult quarter to project given that many of our customers are still finalizing our budgets. Our guidance for Q1 is as follows: revenue for the first quarter expected to be in a range of between $89 million and $93 million. For the midpoint of $91 million, which is up 6% from the $85.8 million level of Q1 of 2014. Gross margins are expected to be broadly in the same range of they were in Q4. We are guiding to a 47.5% to 48.5% range for Q1 up from last years Q1 level of 45.9%. Operating expenses are expected to be in the range of $46.5 million to $47.5 million up from last years Q1 level of $40.7 million. The expectations are just finished taking you through result in a guidance range for Q1 earnings per share of minus $0.09 to minus $0.04. At this point, let me hand the call back over to Carl.