Diane Sullivan
Analyst · Scott Krasik from Buckingham Research Group. Scott, your line is open
Thanks Peggy and good morning and thanks for joining us as we report results for what turned out to be a very fluid quarter. After a strong start in August with weekly positive comp sales at Famous Footwear, September, including back-to-school and Labor Day, was interrupted by hurricanes in Texas and Florida. These events were then followed by an unseasonably warm start to October. Even though the quarter became progressively more challenging, we delivered improvement in gross margin and generated strong cash flow while paying down our revolver borrowings. However, the weather-related events had a negative impact to topline sales of approximately $35 million and resulted in third quarter earnings per share of $0.80. But as more seasonal weather has arrived in November, business has improved and sales are performing accordingly. As a result, we are confirming our full year adjusted EPS guidance of $2.10 to $2.20. With the fourth quarter still ahead of us, we are confident our strategy is working and that our teams are focused on the right short-term efforts and longer term initiatives. Now for a few specifics on Famous Footwear where comp sales were up 2.6% for the back-to-school selling season and up 0.9% in the third quarter. As in the second quarter, comp sales were up both in-store and online. We also saw an improvement in conversion rates in-store and online. And for the first nine months of the year, e-commerce sales represented nearly 10% of total sales. In the third quarter, we anniversaried another double-digit quarter of growth in lifestyle athletic sales with key brands driving the improvement. The brands that made up a significant share of our back-to-school sales last year were once again big contributors this year. In particular, women's and girl's athletic sales maintained their lead and were up high single and mid double-digits, respectively, as these consumers continue to respond to sports styles. On the seasonal side of our business, sandals were, not surprisingly, up 3% overall in the third quarter. Women's sandal sales were up low single-digits and delivered significant margin improvement. As discussed, the third quarter was a challenging one for boot sales and we plan this category down 5% year-over-year at Famous Footwear. Women's boot sales were down approximately 20% in the third quarter, while our inventory position was down mid-single-digits at quarter end as we adjusted flows and managed inventory accordingly throughout the quarter. Obviously, as the weather has gotten colder, boots sales have begun to trend positively. While the biggest days for 2017 boot sales still remain ahead of us, there is the potential for margin degradation in the category if the industry becomes increasingly promotional this holiday season. The impact from unseasonably warm weather for the Brand Portfolio of boot sales was actually more significant. And while we had planned boots down about 10%, the actual year-over-year sales decline was in the high-teens. Even with this headwind, total Brand Portfolio sales were up 14% in the third quarter. Sales, excluding Allen Edmonds, were down 2.6% due to those slower boot sales related to this warm start to fall. In the third quarter, Sam Edelman, Naturalizer, Dr. Scholl's, and Vince all continued to show great progress. I'm particularly pleased with the continuing improvement in Naturalizer as this demonstrates the successful execution of our strategic efforts to reimagine this brand. The newest brand in our portfolio, Allen Edmonds, delivered comp sales improvement of 7.8%. We are excited about the direction the team is taking with this brand and looks forward to sharing more details with you in the very near future. In addition, our focus on growing our e-commerce-related business continue to deliver results in the third quarter and represented approximately 30% of Brand Portfolio sales, up from 14% of sales in fiscal 2015. As a reminder, while e-commerce-related sales drive higher gross margin, these sales also carry higher SG&A expense. But before I turn things over to Ken, I'd like to quickly update you on our Brand Portfolio speed-to-market initiatives and on the progress we have made at Famous Footwear with our consumer acquisition strategy. Our speed-to-market initiative remains on track as consumer interest in our products is driving more in-season replenishment. Thanks to the structures we put in place, we are now able to read and react more rapidly to align with shifting trends and respond to consumer demand. With this program, we have essentially put the consumer in charge and each brand is able to react in-season to changes and trends. At Famous Footwear, we continue to see results from our strategic efforts focusing on acquiring, retaining, and growing our share of wallet with targeted high-value customers, individual more emotionally connected to Famous Footwear. Year-to-date, the number of these consumers had increased by 12% and these individuals now make up nearly 14% of our total rewards members. As a reminder, rewards members drive more than 70% of our sales and membership in this program was up approximately 4% in the third quarter. While these are good results, we have a realistic view of the consumer environment and recognize that we're competing against many other retail categories and industries who are vying for the consumer [indiscernible] dollars. So to win, we must maintain focused on the day-to-day execution and on managing the factors under our control. We remain confident in our ability to drive results and believe we have the right strategy, plan and people in place to deliver consistently. So, yet again, as we have many times before, we are maintaining our adjusted earnings per share guidance, which calls for year-over-year improvement of 5% to 10%. However, based on the potential from margin degradation related to a shortened and likely more promotional 2017 boot season, we could trend towards the lower end of our guidance. But as I commented earlier, the biggest days and most important days for the 2017 boot sales still remain ahead of us. And now, I'll turn it over to Ken.