Matthew Clark
Analyst · Jefferies
Thank you, David. Let me first provide a high-level recap of our first quarter results versus our expectations I outlined last quarter. Total revenues were $978.8 million, meaningfully above the high end of the range we provided. Adjusted net income margin was 5.2% and adjusted diluted earnings per share was $1.05, both finishing above our expectations. And we returned $32.6 million to our shareholders in the form of dividends and stock repurchases. Now turning to some more specific details around the quarter. First quarter total sales at The Cheesecake Factory restaurants were $690.5 million, up 3% from the prior year. Total sales for North Italia were $89.5 million, up 7% from the prior year period. Other FRC sales totaled $104.5 million, up 20% from the prior year, and sales per operating week were $145,200. Flower Child sales totaled $52.6 million, up 21% from the prior year, and sales per operating week were $94,500. And external bakery sales were $13.9 million. Now moving to year-over-year expense variance commentary. Specifically, cost of sales decreased 10 basis points, primarily driven by favorable dairy costs, partially offset by higher beef and seafood costs. Labor as a percent of sales declined 20 basis points, primarily driven by labor productivity gains, partially offset by higher group medical. Other operating expenses increased 40 basis points, primarily driven by higher utility and bakery overhead costs. G&A remained relatively flat as a percent of sales and depreciation increased 10 basis points from the prior year. Preopening costs for the quarter, including some expenses related to early second quarter openings totaled $5.5 million compared to $8.1 million in the prior year period. We opened 3 restaurants during the first quarter versus 8 restaurants in the first quarter of 2025. And in the first quarter, we recorded a pretax net expense of $2 million, primarily related to impairment of assets and lease termination expenses and FRC acquisition-related items. First quarter GAAP diluted net income per share was $1.02. Adjusted diluted net income per share was $1.05. Now turning to our balance sheet and capital allocation. The company ended the quarter with total available liquidity of $601.6 million, including a cash balance of $235.1 million and $366.5 million available on our revolving credit facility. Total principal amount of debt outstanding was $644 million, including $69 million in principal amount of 0.375% convertible senior notes due 2026 and $575 million in principal amount of 2% convertible senior notes due 2030. CapEx totaled approximately $43 million during the first quarter for new unit development and maintenance. During the quarter, we completed approximately $18.4 million in share repurchases and returned $14.2 million to shareholders via our dividend. Now let me turn to our outlook. While we will not be providing specific comparable sales and earnings guidance, we will provide our updated thoughts on our underlying assumptions for Q2 and full year 2026. Our assumptions factor in everything we know as of today, including net restaurant counts, quarter-to-date trends, our expectations for the weeks ahead, anticipated impacts associated with holiday shifts and the recent softness in industry sales trends and the current consumer environment. Specifically for Q2, we anticipate total revenues to be between $990 million and $1 billion. Next, at this time, we expect effective commodity inflation of low to mid-single digits for Q2 as our broad market basket remains stable. We are modeling net total labor inflation of low to mid-single digits when factoring in the latest trends in wage rates and minimum wage increases as well as other components of labor. Other operating expenses are estimated to be approximately 20 basis points higher than prior year, reflecting higher marketing spend to support the launch of our rewards app. G&A is estimated to be approximately $63 million to $64 million. Depreciation is estimated to be approximately $28 million to $29. We are estimating preopening expenses to be approximately $7 million. Based on these assumptions, we would anticipate adjusted net income margin to be about 5.5% at the midpoint of the sales range provided. For modeling purposes, we are assuming a tax rate of approximately 13% and weighted average shares outstanding of approximately 48.5 million. Turning to fiscal 2026. Based on similar assumptions and no material operating or consumer disruptions, we anticipate total revenues for fiscal 2026 to be approximately $3.91 billion at the midpoint of our sensitivity modeling. For sensitivity purposes, we are using a range of plus or minus 1%. We currently estimate total inflation across our commodity basket, labor and other operating expenses to be in the low to mid-single-digit range and fairly consistent across the quarters. We are estimating G&A to be about 6.5% of sales, partially driven by our sales growth outlook impacted by the timing of restaurant openings and closures as well as periodic true-ups related to stock-based compensation. Depreciation is expected to be about $115 million for the year. And given our unit growth expectations, we are estimating preopening expenses to be approximately $35 million to $36 million. Based on these assumptions, we would expect full year net income margin to be approximately 5% of the sales estimate provided. For modeling purposes, we are assuming a tax rate of approximately 11% and weighted average shares outstanding relatively flat to 2025. With regard to development, we plan to continue accelerating unit growth this year. At this time, we expect to open as many as 26 new restaurants in 2026, with roughly 3/4 of those openings planned for the second half of the year. This includes as many as 6 Cheesecake Factories, 6 to 7 North Italias, 6 to 7 Flower Childs and 7 FRC restaurants. And we would anticipate approximately $210 million in cash CapEx to support unit development as well as required maintenance on our restaurants. Note, this CapEx range includes some new restaurant construction expenses, which may be classified as operating lease assets instead of additions to property and equipment in the statement of cash flows. In closing, our first quarter results reflect a healthy business, solid top line momentum, disciplined cost management and strong operational execution. Our financial position continues to provide the flexibility to support new unit growth while investing in the business and returning capital to shareholders. With a diversified portfolio of high-quality concepts, experienced operators and a strong balance sheet, we believe we are well positioned as we move through the year. Looking ahead, we remain focused on consistent execution, comparable sales growth, margin expansion and long-term shareholder value creation. With that said, we'll take your questions.