Keith Smith
Analyst · Barclays Capital
Thanks, Josh. And good morning, everyone. Thank you for joining us for our fourth quarter earnings call. When we spoke in October, we said that we expected our fourth quarter comparisons would be the best of the year. That prediction proved to be correct, as both revenue and EBITDA were essentially flat with last year's levels. We believe these results are further evidence that our core business is improving, and we are on track to begin reported year-over-year growth starting in the second quarter. This optimism is driven not only by our fourth quarter results, but also by encouraging signals in both the national and Las Vegas economies. While we expect to return to year-over-year growth in the second quarter, we also expect that the first quarter of the year may reflect a slight decline versus last year. This is due, in large part, to tough comparisons, not a fundamental shift in our business. Recall that the first quarter of 2010 was one of the strongest quarters in Las Vegas Locals region we have experienced in several years, as the economy appeared to be picking up steam, consumers were spending, and it appeared a full recovery was underway. Unfortunately, the recovery slowed dramatically in the second quarter, most notably due to the flash crash in May of 2010. In addition to tough comparisons to the prior year, the first quarter has been impacted by severe weather in the Midwest and South regions. Nevertheless, we do expect to see strong sequential growth in revenue and EBITDA between the fourth quarter of 2010 and the first quarter of this year. As I said a few minutes ago, the optimism we feel about the future of our business is not solely based on current results and trends, but reflects our confidence in an improving company, both here in Nevada and nationally. Looking first in Las Vegas, 37 million people visited in 2010, which was a 2.7% increase over 2009. Business accounts have grown for 10 consecutive months in 15 of the last 16 months. Conventional meeting business, which began to rebound in the second half of 2010, growing at 5%, appears to be poised to provide for support for additional growth in 2011. We've seen evidence of this over the last several months. The 2011 convention calendar in Las Vegas has gotten off to a very solid start. CES saw an 11% increase in attendance this year, 20,000 more visitors than expected. And last month, the first Air Conditioning, Heating & Refrigeration Expo Las Vegas saw had a record attendance with 55,000 visitors, which were 15,000 more than expected. During the first two quarters of 2011, we've also seen evidence of this at our own properties. We are projecting that our group business at our Las Vegas properties will be up 15% year-over-year. The strengthening in the conventional meeting market has a direct positive impact on our business. For example, during this year's CES, cash, ADRs in the Las Vegas hotels were up more than 20% from last year's show on improved occupancy. We're also encouraged by early signs of a broader recovery in the Las Vegas market. For example, taxable sales were up nearly 3% in Southern Nevada in December. This was a third straight month of improvement, with five of the last six months showing year-over-year growth, signaling that consumers are starting to spend a little bit more. Clearly, the Las Vegas business climate still has a long way to go. But as I noted on our last call, our business will be improving well before the Las Vegas economy has fully healed. I have said previously that we do not need to see employment and housing recover completely before the Las Vegas Locals business begins to improve. We continue to believe that our business will be positively impacted as the economic health and confidence of our customer improves. There are two additional factors that cause us to be optimistic about the future of our business. First, our business is built on a basis of high frequency of visitation and relatively modest spend per visit. We're a Strip operator and may see the customers a few times the year, our Las Vegas Locals properties will see our customers an average of seven times a quarter. Second, it is important to remember that our business has a substantial amount of operating leverage. We certainly experienced the positive effects of this during the boom periods and saw the downside during this recent recession. However, as we have worked diligently to take costs out of the business during the last several years and refined our marketing efforts, I am confident that we will once again see the positive effects of this operating leverage as we move forward in 2011. As a result, even a modest increase in frequency, spend per visit or both will result in substantial gains in revenue and EBITDA. For example, just a $5 increase in spend per visit would result in growth of $20 million to $25 million annually in EBITDA in Las Vegas Locals region alone. Moving briefly to Atlantic City. I'd like to recognize New Jersey lawmakers and Governor Christie for their foresight in the creation of a tourism district. By aggressively investing in the infrastructure, up-keep and safety of the area, New Jersey is helping to strengthen the appeal of this destination resort. We believe state leaders have taken the right steps and deserve recognition for their commitment to New Jersey’s tourism industry. Atlantic City still faces significant challenges, but the leadership shown by elected officials is a positive first step for the market's long-term recovery. Before turning the call over to Paul, I want to briefly summarize the strategies in which we'll remain focused as business continues to improve. First, we will remain committed to strengthening our balance sheet. We realize that a strong balance sheet is essential, as we look to the future and consider growth opportunities. Second, we will continue to consider a variety of growth opportunities, both in existing and new business. We remain interested in acquisitions, and we will continue to evaluate them in a manner that is strategic, deliberate and disciplined. This has historically been our approach, and it will continue to be. As we have said previously, we will only pursue opportunities that are a good fit for our existing business, are priced correctly and will deliver an attractive return for shareholders. Third, our efforts to find ways to operate more efficiently will be ongoing, and we will make sure unnecessary costs do not creep back into the business. As we discussed earlier, efficiencies that we have built into our business model over the last several years allow us to flow a substantial portion of our revenue gains to the bottom line, a dynamic that will be a key driver of our growth for our company. We will also stay committed to a disciplined marketing effort. Finally, we are very pleased that our employees continue to deliver outstanding customer service for our customers each and every day. Our employees are a key reason why customer satisfaction scores continue to improve and our loyal customers continue to frequent our properties, even as we push for greater efficiencies. Thank you, again, for joining us this morning. Now I would like to turn the call over to Paul Chakmak to talk more specifically about the results in each of our regions. Paul?