Brad Marshall
Analyst · Wells Fargo Securities
Great. Thank you, Stacy, and thanks for joining our third quarter earnings call. I will begin with some thoughts on the current environment and our views heading into year-end. Last quarter, we addressed the positive trends reemerging with markets opening back up, equities hitting all-time highs and inflation staying muted. Now we believe we can keep capitalizing on a few key themes that may continue to yield returns for our investors. Firstly, deal activity has continued to accelerate, which is consistent with what we have seen in past periods when cost of capital starts to come down and valuations improve. In part as a result of increased deal activity, leverage in BXSL ended at 1.22x after averaging close to 1.15x for the quarter. Secondly, despite falling base rates during the quarter, we saw new deals at an average spread of 544 basis points over the base rate, inclusive of amortization of OID to maturity. And total fundings during the quarter averaging 556 basis points above the base rate, the majority of each of which were first lien. Lastly, overall, we saw stable underlying fundamentals and growth in our portfolio, with the majority of the assets flat or marked higher in the quarter. Non-accruals dropped to 0.1% of costs remaining the lowest among our traded BDC peers. Despite all these positive trends, there have been external narratives around bubbles and rising default across the credit markets. What we are seeing on the ground and across over 300 credits we are invested in is in direct contrast. Firstly, as mentioned earlier, M&A activity is picking up. In fact, as of the third quarter, it is up 63% year-over-year, consistent with what we discussed with all of you regarding our expectations at the start of the year. And with more companies choosing to fund this M&A with private capital, this has helped our ongoing growth. Further, there was about 5x more dry powder in North America private equity vehicles than private credit origination dry powder, representing a healthy potential backlog of demand for private credit solutions. As it relates to defaults and in particular, First Brands and Tricolor, I think it is reasonably well established now that these were, in fact, not private credit transactions. They were bank originated, bank underwritten and bank distributed deals. However, it's worth noting two things: one, the falls are in fact declining in the leveraged loan and high-yield markets, down 37% year-to-date this year from 2023 and 24% in 2024, demonstrating that despite well-publicized, the default trends in the indices have improved. Second, defaults do occur from time to time across both the public and private markets. Knowing this is why we have continued to feel very confident in our approach to investing by focusing on first lien senior secured loans with large sponsor-backed companies across sectors we believe have good long-term tailwinds. In our view, these companies are better able to navigate market changes, inclusive of the fast pace of change driven by AI. These companies are generally more strategic because of their scale. These companies tend to attract and maintain high-quality management teams and ownership [indiscernible]. Our experience is supportive of this thesis. In direct lending, BXCI has experienced annualized realized losses of only 0.1%, including through the global financial crisis. Being part of Blackstone allows us to navigate and leverage the full bandwidth of the firm to maximize value in the event of default, which is something we are quite proud of. So as we put all of that together and what we view going forward, we expect to see deal activity staying active, asset turnover picking up, spreads remaining attractive when compared to traditional fixed income and credit quality remaining fairly steady across the portfolio. Turning to Slide 4 to highlight this. BXSL reported another strong quarter with our net investment income, or NII, of $0.82 per share, representing a 12% annualized return on equity, made up overwhelmingly of interest income rather than income from PIKor dividends or fees. We believe the quality of BXSL's income has historically created a robust income stream for our investors. NAV per share decreased by $0.18 quarter-over-quarter to $27.15 due to markdowns that Teddy will discuss shortly. Our distribution of $0.77 per share was 106% covered by our net investment income per share and represents an 11.3% annualized distribution yield, one of the highest among those of our traded BDC peers with similar levels of first lien senior secured assets. Finally, as mentioned earlier, we believe credit quality remains strong, 0.1% of investments on nonaccrual at both cost and fair market value. We had no new names added to the nonaccrual list this quarter. Moving to Slide 5. We've continued to prepare ourselves for what we believe may be a period of heightened deal activity, focusing both on our existing portfolio companies and new assets. And despite lower base rates, private credit premium relative to leveraged loans in the liquid market has endured. We collaborate with teams across the firm to identify new opportunities and key investment trends. And right now, we believe we are in a reindustrialization with AI that will require significant ongoing insights and capital solutions. You will hear from Carlos on this later, but we integrate AI considerations into our disciplined investment process, searching for larger businesses, mission-critical products, high recurring revenue and senior secured positions. We believe we are well resourced to understand and underwrite the fast paced change that AI is driving and the impact this will have on companies and investments. We saw a 20% increase in new BXCI global private deal screenings this past quarter versus the third quarter of last year. And while not every BXCI deal that comes through BXCI's screening is suitable for investments by BXSL, this is consistent with our general view from last year that deal activity would pick up meaningfully throughout 2021. Deployment for the quarter surpassed $1 billion and was up 90% compared to the second quarter. We believe the drivers of this growth are both more macro clarity for the U.S. economy and lower base rates. We seek to continue our disciplined approach and use our cost advantage to focus on quality borrowers, not reach for risk and deliver returns for our shareholders. With that, I will pass it over to my colleague, Jonathan.