Earnings Labs

Blackstone Secured Lending Fund (BXSL)

Q2 2023 Earnings Call· Wed, Aug 9, 2023

$23.96

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Transcript

Operator

Operator

Good day, and welcome to the Blackstone Secured Lending Second Quarter 2023 Investor Call. Today's conference is being recorded. [Operator Instructions]. At this time, I'd now like to turn the conference over to Ms. Stacy Wang, Head of Stakeholder Relations. Please go ahead, ma'am.

Stacy Wang

Analyst

Thank you. Good morning, and welcome to Blackstone Secured Lending's Second Quarter Call. Earlier today, we issued a press release with a presentation of our results and filed our 10-Q, both of which are available on the Shareholders section of our website, www.bxsl.com. We will be referring to that presentation throughout today's call. I'd like to remind you that this call may include forward-looking statements, which are uncertain and outside of the firm's control and may differ materially from actual results. We do not undertake any duty to update these statements. For some of the risks that could affect results, please see the Risk Factors section of our most recent annual Form 10-K. This audio cast is copyrighted material of Blackstone and may not be duplicated without consent. With that, I'll turn the call over to BXSL's Co-Chief Executive Officer, Brad Marshall.

Brad Marshall

Analyst

Thank you, Stacy, and good morning, everyone. Joining me today is Co-Chief Executive Officer, Jon Bock; and our Chief Financial Officer, Teddy Desloge. Turning to this morning's agenda, I'd like to start with some high-level thoughts on the market and the portfolio before turning it over to Jon and Teddy to go into more details on the portfolio and our second quarter results. So turning to Slide 4. BXSL reported another strong quarter, which was highlighted by our record quarterly net investment income per share, an increase in our base dividend distribution, increased net asset value and continued strong portfolio credit performance. Looking at the details, net investment income, or NII, increased 14% quarter-over-quarter and 71% year-over-year to a BXSL of $1.06 per share, which represents a 16.2% annualized return on equity. In the quarter, we also announced a 10% increase to the third quarter base dividend distribution of $0.70 per share to $0.77 per share, which represents an 11.7% annualized distribution on our June 30th net asset value per share, one of the highest among our BDC peers with as much of its portfolio invested in first lien senior secured assets and we covered our second quarter dividend by 151%. From a portfolio perspective, we continued our focus on protecting investors' capital. During the quarter, 100% of the investments we made were first lien senior secured with an average loan-to-value of 43.8%. As of June 30, BXSL's portfolio is 98% first lien senior secured with a 46.5% average loan-to-value, has a minimal nonaccrual rate of 0.14% at amortized cost or 0.07% at fair market value and has only 1% of debt investments marked at fair value below 90%. Our net asset value, which increased to $26.30 per share from $26.10 the previous quarter reflects portfolio stability. Slide 5 provides…

Jon Bock

Analyst

Thank you, Brad. And let's turn to the portfolio. I jump to Slide 7. As Brad mentioned, we heavily stressed our seniority because as the economy slows and interest burdens elevate on businesses overall, we see the top of the capital structure as most defensive for investors. So importantly, 98% of BXSL investments are in first lien senior secured loans and over 95% of loans are to companies owned by private equity firms or other financial sponsors who generally have access to additional equity capital to support the companies. Now the portfolio is highly equitized with an average loan to value of 46.5%. But as we often say, it's not just that we're senior in the capital structure. More importantly, we're focused on senior loans with companies of the right size, in the right industries. Focusing on size, our portfolio companies have a weighted average EBITDA of $183 million, relative to $149 million as of 2Q '22, as we continue to orient the portfolio to larger, more durable businesses. Slide 8 focuses on our industry exposure, where we believe investing in better companies in better neighborhoods drives strong returns over time. This means focusing on key sectors with low default rates and lower CapEx requirements such as software, health care providers and services and professional services which account for over 35% of the investment portfolio. Diving into portfolio quality further, just to Slide 9. We remain steadfast in our approach to invest in larger companies based on the simple belief that larger scale businesses handle the adversity of economic cycles better than smaller ones. And here's what supports that view. As this slide shows, the relative risk-adjusted returns of spread per turn of leverage for large deals as well as middle market deals as measured by the Lincoln Senior Debt…

Teddy Desloge

Analyst

Thanks, Jon. I'll start with our operating results on Slide 12. In the second quarter, BXSL's net investment income was a record $171 million or $1.06 per share, which was up 71% year-over-year. Our revenues were up $103 million or 55% year-over-year driven by increased interest income, primarily due to higher rates. Payment in kind or PIK income represented less than 4% of total investment income. In the second quarter, we also realized $13 million of nonrecurring income in the form of accelerated income from repayments and another $5 million in fees which added $0.09 per share benefit to NII in the quarter, net of the impact of incentive fees. GAAP net income in the quarter was $145 million or $0.90 per share, up from $0.47 per share a year ago despite $37 million of net unrealized losses in the quarter. Turning to the balance sheet on Slide 13. We ended the first quarter with $9.3 billion of total portfolio investments. Of which approximately 99% are floating rate loans with a weighted average yield at fair value of 11.8%. This compares to $5 billion of outstanding debt with a weighted average cost of just 4.8%. The spread between our floating rate assets and low-cost mostly fixed rate liabilities provides the company with the potential for additional earnings growth if rates continue to rise. As a result of strong earnings in excess of the dividend in the second quarter, NAV per share increased to $26.30, up from $26.10 last quarter. Next, Slide 14 outlines our attractive and diverse liability profile, which includes 64% of drawn debt in unsecured bonds at a weighted average fixed coupon of less than 3%, which we view as a key advantage in this rising rate environment. We maintained our 3 investment-grade corporate credit ratings and ended…

Operator

Operator

[Operator Instructions] And we'll now go to our first question from Casey Alexander from Compass Point.

Casey Alexander

Analyst

I have two fairly simple questions. One, Brad, you discussed the gains that you've made on the equity investments, but equity investments are also a very small percentage of the portfolio, which -- and investors have taken a lot of comfort in the very high first lien exposure, particularly in this cycle. But really, what's kind of the sweet spot for equity investments? How much would you grow that sleeve that could lead to additional incremental NAV accretion in the future, assuming those investments are relatively successful?

Brad Marshall

Analyst

Yes, sure. Thanks, Casey. So you should not expect us to grow that sleeve materially from where we are today. Where we've made equity investments, it's where we strongly believe we are adding some value across Blackstone. So if you look at Westland, we provided them with debt capital, growth capital and we invested in the equity with the view that we could expand them from being a regional player into a national player. And over that short time period, we've more than doubled the value of our equity. In data side, similarly, we took a position in that company on the debt and equity side because we thought we could roll their products across the broader Blackstone Group and drive equity value. So it's going to be very, very precisioned and where we invest in equity. I highlight that on the call because if you look at our platform, we're trying to deliver more than just capital to these companies. We're trying to add value, whether it's through our debt investments and helping them grow their equity thesis or taking a little bit of equity to get our investors some participation in that upside. So I just -- it's really important as you think about not just the equity positions, but also as we go through a softer economic period, we are going to be leaning on our value creation team a lot more than we have historically.

Casey Alexander

Analyst

All right. Great. My second question is, you had net repayments for the quarter and at the same point in time, you raised capital, bringing the leverage ratio down to a very manageable level and giving you some capacity. What's the real sweet spot for the leverage ratio? Would you like to hold it up around 1.2 or somewhere between 1.2 and 1.25 to maximize the earnings power of the portfolio? Or are you okay where you're at now?

Jon Bock

Analyst

Yes. Thanks, Casey. What I would say -- so historically, what we've said target range, 1 to 1.25x. For Brad's comments, we are seeing an increase in the pipeline. Pipelines deals we're looking at is up about 2x over the first quarter. And for the deals we deployed in the last quarter, the return on those unlevered is about 12%. So we also want some capacity to deploy. We think ending at 1.15 does provide some of that capacity.

Operator

Operator

We'll next go to Arren Cyganovich from Citi.

Arren Cyganovich

Analyst

The increase in investment activity you're seeing in your pipeline, what are the conversations with sponsors that are seeing the opportunity for those to start to get a little bit more, I guess, back to normal to some extent?

Jon Bock

Analyst

Yes. I would say the driver there, Arren, is around valuation. -- taking a bigger step back, if you look at the amount of -- and we spend a lot of time with advisers. So if you think about our platform, we obviously cover sponsors, but we spend a lot of time with advisers -- and they're kind of the tip of the spear from a deal activity standpoint. I think which is why we're seeing probably more pipeline growth than others. What they would say is that the amount of deals on the shelf that are ready to come to market is the highest that they've seen in over a decade. They've been paused a little bit because of uncertainty around financing. They've been paused a little bit around valuation. With the passage of time, valuations have -- the gap between the buyers and sellers has come closer together and sponsors are starting to be a little bit more active, acknowledging the fact that the cost of capital is quite high. So that's why they're adjusting their valuations, they're adjusting their leverage levels. And so as we think about the pipeline, we'll continue to see add-ons like others. We'll continue to take privates, but the sponsor-to-sponsor activity is where we're seeing the greatest uptick in deal activity.

Arren Cyganovich

Analyst

That's helpful. And then on the aftermarket issuance, is that something you expect to be fairly regular when you're trading above book value? Or is this just relative to what you're seeing in the opportunities in the market?

Brad Marshall

Analyst

I think you can expect it to be a general part of how we raise equity capital on a go-forward basis. It's kind of -- there's 2 major points to sustain a BDC premium above book. One is a steady, stable and attractive dividend yield and then two, to slowly growing NAV over time. And to meet those 2 goals, you want to deploy equity capital or deploy capital in moments -- we have extremely attractive risk-adjusted return. I know you've heard several of our colleagues outlined the golden moment that occurs in private credit. And so you could see that we have the opportunity to grow accretively. And so I'd expect it to be a part of what we do on a go-forward basis while also remaining disciplined with regard to our investment pipeline.

Operator

Operator

Our next question comes from Robert Dodd from Raymond James.

Robert Dodd

Analyst

Okay. First, I've got a question on interest coverage, if I can, your color on this has been really helpful over the last couple of quarters. I'm just wondering if all BDCs from Lake or something like that because the number you gave for Lincoln, obviously, the 17% in your is half that. Every BDC that I can recall that has actually disclosed the number, has been better than average. So I've got my theory on why that is. But any color you can give us on what you would attribute that too in terms of the numbers that have been disclosed has generally been the tails in the single-digit range in the industry report. And the industry numbers appear meaningfully higher than that when they come from a third party?

Brad Marshall

Analyst

Yes. Robert, we appreciate that. The questions that you asked, it's a very consistent question that you want to get to for your investors, but you give a level of inconsistency in your answers because folks try to define it differently. Our major approach was to start by looking at absolutely everything across our portfolio. no exclusions of industries, no exclusions of certain types of loans, and you can recall the stats that I outlined previously. But just looking at our stats isn't enough. There has to be a level of market proxy that you can compare it to. And so we work closely with the leading index provider in the middle market or in the private credit space Lincoln to generate kind of those results. So I believe it's really just asking the questions and trying to understand what folks effectively exclude. At Blackstone, you could see complete transparency. We want to provide you all the data so the market can make its inferences on our results.

Robert Dodd

Analyst

I appreciate that color. Second question, on the pipeline, and Brad, you mentioned in, likely to be more sponsor-to-sponsor activity versus maybe follow-ons. So is the mix -- do you think the portfolio is going to shift to more growth in new loans? And is there anything we can read into the -- the economic step, right, because sometimes a new agreement might have more upfront fees than an add-on, which has some most favored nation status in terms of how things are structured in terms of fees and maybe even spreads. So can you give us any color on if that is going to be a shift in the overall mix of the portfolio? And does it have slightly different economics currently, things change?

Brad Marshall

Analyst

Yes. So Robert, yes, so what I would say is, as we work through the end of the year, you will see more names added to the portfolio. Just to give you some statistics around the pipeline which we highlighted as growing nicely. The average yield of the deal -- new deals in our pipeline is, if you take the fee and amortize it is about 12.4%. 12.4% and the average loan to value was about 37%. So Jon hit on this, when we talk about the golden moment or age in private credit, this is what we're talking about. We're talking about yields that are exceptionally high because of base rates, because of spreads, we're talking about leverage that is lower because yields are higher, whether you measure that and leverage multiples or loan to value. And better companies are the only ones that can access capital. So you have higher quality assets with less leverage earning yields that are almost twice as high as what they were a couple of years ago. This is the moment in private credit, where you can drive equity-like returns by being senior first lien in the capital structure. So you will see more names and you will see some add-ons, and we're excited for investors for BXSL to continue to benefit from an earnings standpoint.

Operator

Operator

[Operator Instructions] We'll next go to Ryan Lynch with KBW.

Ryan Lynch

Analyst

Nice quarter. First question I had was kind of a follow-up on kind of the deal environment. You mentioned the deal activity is likely picking up the advisers seeing more conversations going on. I'm just curious in the past 6 months or so, deal activity has been down, but the quality of deals have been very high. It feels like there's been a lot of add-ons, but really only it feels like that the highest quality companies are the ones that they're able to transact. I'm just curious if going forward of deal volume or an M&A is going to pick up, does that mean that there are also -- you expect kind of subpar or not as high as quality deals to start to slip into those M&A processes? And so it might actually mean that overall originations may and fundings may actually not pick up because you have to be more selective in the environment? Or do you expect the quality of deals to sort of remain as high as they have been in the last 6 to 9 months?

Brad Marshall

Analyst

Thanks, Ryan. I would say it's the latter. I think what you're seeing in some of these deals that have not come to market the seller was expecting to get, for example, a 22x multiple because it's been growing, it generates a lot of free cash flow, and they are holding on to kind of that valuation, whereas the buying community is factoring in a higher cost of capital, and so it's willing to pay 18x. That's a gap. That's 4 turns of enterprise value, but obviously, 18x EBITDA would indicate a very high-quality business. It's that quality and that type of business that we're seeing come back into the market where the seller is willing to accept something lower than their expectation, which was driven by often valuations in 2021 in the first part of 2022. So it's -- Ryan, it's really hard for a marginal business to afford 12.4% cost of capital, unless they take on a de minimis amount of debt. So that's what's driving the quality of assets coming into the market. It's a higher cash flow business. It's ones that can grow through an economic period of slowness and so we expect that the quality of assets in this rate environment will remain very good.

Ryan Lynch

Analyst

Okay. That’s helpful color. The other one I had was credit quality is really good in the portfolio. And Jon, I also really appreciate the details you gave on interest coverage, both from your portfolio as well as the broader industry. I’m just curious, you said you had 85 amendments this quarter only 2 were related to performance. I’m just curious were those amendments that you made this quarter? Was it just – were they both related to switching from cash to some level or total PIK in those amendments? And was there any sort of – any sort of, I guess, comfort or any sort of give back provided by the private equity sponsor in those deals in order to make those amendments?

Teddy Desloge

Analyst

Yes. Thanks, Ryan. This is Teddy. I’m happy to take that. So just to reiterate the stats, you are right, 85 amendments. Most of those 98% due to SOFR add-ons, M&A or other benign activity. Two were “performance related.” One was a covenant amendment that came with a material prepayment and we’re actually seeing some improvement in that business. The other was a 1-quarter interest deferral. I can’t get in too much details on this call, but we’ve since received some pretty positive news that, that will be a full recovery of our principal. Both of those marked above 90% at the end of the quarter. So nothing material to point to there.

Operator

Operator

Our next question comes from Kenneth Lee from RBC Capital Markets.

Kenneth Lee

Analyst

Just given the relatively attractive spread in terms on your originations you're seeing. I wonder if you could just talk a little bit about what you're seeing in terms of competitive activity? Has there been any recent changes?

Brad Marshall

Analyst

So thanks, Ken. I'll take that. It's Brad. So on the competitive side, you've seen on the larger end of the market, the competitive dynamic remains very favorable, largely because the public markets have a harder time taking on these new LBOs, banks are a little bit more reluctant to underwrite to distribute risk into that market. The large end of the market where we spend, as you know, a lot of time and energy and focus to use our scale to our advantage. That part of the market is -- remains quite attractive from a competitive standpoint. Small, midsized market, there's more capital that's come into that market, maybe a little bit more competitive. But at the same time, spreads and all-in structure and documentation remain fairly disciplined from despite kind of more capital coming into that part of the market.

Kenneth Lee

Analyst

Got it. Very helpful there. And then one follow-up, if I may. In terms of expectations around investment paydowns over the near term, would you expect that to pick up somewhat in tandem as the pipeline builds up for originations?

Jon Bock

Analyst

Yes. Thanks. So in the quarter, we had $465 million of repayments. 2/3 of that was really from 2 transactions. I would say 1 quarter is not a trend, and we view that as fairly high versus previous quarters and the current activity we see on the ground. I think generally, if Brad's comments come to fruition, and we do see pipeline convert more through the remainder of the year, we do think that would also lead to higher potential refinancings as a result.

Operator

Operator

[Operator Instructions] We'll next go to Melissa Wedel from JP Morgan.

Melissa Wedel

Analyst

Obviously, a lot of them have already been addressed. But I was hoping you could remind us of how you're thinking about dividends into the later part of this year, particularly with the earnings power of the portfolio so far exceeding even your increased dividend rate in 3Q?

Jon Bock

Analyst

Melissa, this is Jon Bock. And so when we think of the dividend distribution, but these are pass-through vehicles, right? And so the goal is to always ensure that you're distributing and in compliance with tests. I'd start to look at it from an over earnings perspective. So we have a very healthy level of earnings relative to the strong dividend that we pay out. And so looking into the future, it's that level of conservatism that we feel quite strongly about. So currently a $0.77 dividend and $1.06 in terms of earnings and both Teddy and Brad had outlined in terms of portfolio activity we feel very confident in the level of earnings profile and dividend support that we offer, given this high level of earnings even to the extent that this rates come down because recall is let's say, cost of capital come down. And as Brad outlined, that's a bit of a limitation to deal activity as portfolio velocity or repayments increase. So too, you can see the level of earnings power in our book increase as well. So we're confident about -- you always want to start with an attractive level and sure it's well covered from earnings because you get that benefit that I stated at the beginning. Steady, stable dividend and attractive payout with growing NAV is what equals an attractive premium for the stock over time.

Melissa Wedel

Analyst

So just to follow on there. We did see an increase in excise tax from 1Q into 2Q. Just going forward, should we expect that to be sort of a regular course line item that we should be modeling? Or would you look to limit that as you built up a cushion?

Jon Bock

Analyst

I think it would come in the form of cost of capital and really what you’re seeing as it relates to the investment environment. So 4% excise tax you paid a rate retain capital effectively that was undistributed. You find that’s an extremely cheap cost of equity. Now the key is when you retain equity, you need to make sure that you’re retaining it in a book stable, right? And so you see situations to the other extreme where capital is retained but then effectively lost through credit performance. So if you kind of look at on a forward basis, that’s attractive cost capital. It can be redeployed into a book that’s earning attractive ROE, and we continue to see ROEs remain strong given where we are. So you could likely expect that to stay. A –Brad Marshall: Melissa, just to maybe add to that. We talk about this a lot. We’re in a fortunate position where we’re – our earnings are very, very high. And if you look at 6 of the last 8 quarters, we’ve either increase the dividend or pay a special. And in each of those – on average, in those quarters, we’ve had 31% coverage over our dividend. So we want the investor experience to be at the top of our mind. So that’s why we talk about it every quarter. That’s why you’ve seen us make changes in 75% of the quarters, and we’ll continue to assess that with the Board.

Operator

Operator

And there are no further questions. I’d now like to turn the call over to Stacy Wang for closing remarks.

Stacy Wang

Analyst

Thank you. That wraps up our call for today. Thank you all for joining us this morning, and we look forward to speaking to you next quarter.