Douglas Linde
Analyst · Evercore ISI
Thanks, Owen. Good morning, everybody. I'm going to speak towards demand this morning for the bulk of my comments. We can debate whether technology companies today are overstaffed, whether remote work strategies have had a demonstrable impact on premier property demand, whether a massive capital investment from data center infrastructure has led to a different perspective. on human capital from the large tech companies and whether new AI models and AI agents will lead to changes in the makeup of the workforce. There are no answers just conjectures. What we do know is that the U.S. economy has gone through many technology cycles since the invention of the personal computer 45 years ago. And in this cycle, today, there is dramatic incremental office demand growth from new organizations that are developing AI. This new technology demand is focused in San Francisco and more recently in New York City. OpenAI and anthropic are clearly the most recognizable expansions, but there are many meaningful space occupiers expanding across our markets. data bricks, perplexity, Decagon, [indiscernible], [ CRAI ], Snowflake to name a few, with Decongon and Snowflake being new tenants in the BXP roster. It's clear that the clients that are growing are not the tech titans that expanded during the last decade, but there is meaningful office using growth in our markets. CBRE reports that there has been 3 million square feet of positive office absorption in San Francisco over the last 7 quarters, including an extraordinary 1.4 million square feet in the first quarter of 2026. This backdrop is important because it is increasingly translating into tangible leasing activity. In the first quarter, BXP's total leasing volume was 1.14 million square feet. As I discussed during our Investor Day, in-service vacant space leasing and covering near-term lease expirations will drive our occupancy improvements and same-store revenue growth. During the first quarter, we executed leases on 700,000 square feet of vacant space and renewed or backfilled 235,000 square feet of '26 and '27 expirations. Post March 31, our current pipeline of leases in negotiation consists of 1.7 million square feet and cover its 500,000 square feet of existing vacancies and 500,000 square feet of '26 and '27 expirations. We start the second quarter with 1.44 million square feet of executed leases on vacant space that we expect to commence in 2026 in the next 3 quarters. The remaining calendar year of '26 expirations are down to 770,000 square feet. So if nothing else were to change, we should pick up 670,000 square feet or 150 basis points of occupancy and end the year at 89%. The majority of our remaining '26 expirations are known, so near-term upside will stem from leasing currently vacant space with immediate revenue commencement. We ended '25 with in-service occupancy of 86.7. Our occupancy at the end of the first quarter is 87.4%, an increase of 70 basis points, with about 57% of that gain stemming from improvements in the portfolio leasing and the balance due to changes in the portfolio, including the sales described in the press release and the suburban office buildings I highlighted last quarter that we removed from service and expect to demolish and then redevelop into higher-value residential uses consistent with our portfolio optimization strategy. [indiscernible] are progressing quickly in Santa Monica and [indiscernible]. Separately, we are finalizing documentation with an institutional partner to commence development at World gate in Hernan, Virginia, where we purchased 300,000 square feet of office buildings and re-entitled this as residential townhomes and apartments. We anticipate closing the venture during the second quarter and immediately commencing construction. We are in active conversations with new and renewing clients across all of our markets. Our total discussion pipeline, in addition to the 1.7 million square feet in negotiation, is another 1.4 million square feet, and we continue to anticipate a minimum of 4 million square feet of leasing in 2026 consistent with what we put forth in our 2026 guidance. Post March 31, we've executed 300,000 square feet of leases, so the total for the year stands at 1.5 million square feet as of today. We made the change to the way we are reporting our second-generation leasing statistics this quarter. Instead of providing statistics on leases based on the economic impact date of the lease commencement, which is backward looking, we are showing the change in the rent for all the leases executed in the current quarter where the comparable lease expired during the prior 24 months from the date of the new lease. Since all that data is in our supplemental, I'm not going to repeat it. I do have a few comments on the transactions behind the aggregate numbers. In Boston, the data includes 100,000 square foot lease in the Urban Edge space that was previously leased to Biogen. In New York, the bulk of the executed leases this quarter were at Times Square Tower where we backfilled the law firm that was coming off a 20-year term with large funds. In San Francisco, the largest portion of the leasing was at 680 [ Folsom]. And in D.C., we extended a law firm for almost 6 years through 2038 in exchange for minimum TIs and a current rent reset. This quarter, we executed several large leases. 70 leases over 20,000 square feet, with the largest just over 100 and a second with an expanding client that took 92,000 square feet. 34% of our square foots involved renewals, extensions or expansions and 66% was with new clients. Existing client expansions encompassed 150,000 square feet of activity, and we had about 50,000 square feet of contractions. I want to make a few comments on our individual markets, which speak both to the sources of demand and the success we are having leasing vacancy across the board volume. In the BXP portfolio, Midtown Manhattan, the Back Bay of Boston and Reston, Virginia continue to have the tightest supply and, therefore, the most landlord favorable market conditions. This quarter, the most significant acceleration in activity was in the south of Mission market in San Francisco, Santa Monica and the CBD of Washington, D.C. In the Back Bay portfolio, where we're 98.8% leased. Much of our current activity is filling in small pockets of availability. But we have begun discussions with larger tenants that have expirations between 2028 and 2032 since there are no premier blocks of availability in the market. In our Urban Edge portfolio, we completed a 100,000 square foot lease with a national restaurant operator at the core [indiscernible] and a 43,000 square foot lease with a life science company relocating into 15,000 square feet of lab space and 28,000 square feet of office space at 180 CityPoint. Our current urban activity includes expanding hard tech companies and additional life science companies that are looking exclusively for office space. In New York, the most significant change in our activity has been in Midtown South. At 360 Park Avenue South, we completed another 6 floors and 138,000 square feet of leasing, which brings the building to 90% leased. Last week, we came to an agreement with an existing AI client to expand to an additional floor, which will bring the building to 95% leased. And across Madison Park, we leased an additional 32,000 square feet at 200 Fifth Avenue leaving us with only 33,000 square feet of availability where we had 350,000 square feet [indiscernible] in 2025. At Times Square Tower, we executed over 100,000 square feet this quarter including 85,000 square feet of currently vacant space. In San Francisco, the most significant change in our portfolio continues to be at 680 Folsom and 50 Hawthorne. During the quarter, we executed leases for 103,000 square feet and in early April, executed another 63,000 square foot lease. Since the beginning of 2024, AI and tech leasing has steadily increased from 50% of the total leasing demand in the market to 57% to almost 80% in the first quarter of this year. And as I stated earlier, there have been over 3 million square feet of positive absorption over the last 7 quarters. In Santa Monica, we've seen a pickup in interest from clients with near-term lease expirations and the need for new and expanding space. This is a meaningful change from the last few years. The activity in D.C. this quarter was concentrated in 2 transactions. We did an early 153,000 square foot extension with the anchor tenant [ at 630 and 30 ] Connecticut, and we gave up our regional headquarters at 2,210 as part of a 58,000 square foot lease with the Washington commanders. Currently, activity in the region is still concentrated at Reston Town Center, where we are 97.3% leased. This quarter, we completed 7 small leases with defense contractors and professional service firms, and we are in negotiation on over 150,000 square feet of transactions, including 100,000 square feet of '27 expiring leases where in aggregate, the tenant will renew and expand. JMP continue to field inbound requests from law firms that want us to identify sites and develop new projects similar to what we have achieved at [ 72512 ] and 2,100. We have some visibility on the third of these projects today. That wraps up my comments. I'll turn it over to Mike.