Douglas T. Linde
Analyst · Bank of America Merrill Lynch
Good morning, everybody. I'm going to start with a couple of comments on our divestitures because I just sort of want to give you a context of sort of how we're thinking about things. So our asset sales fall into 2 buckets. The first of those assets that are located in sub [ph] markets, where our expectations of achieving long-term cash flow growth are really suboptimal, relative to the rest of the portfolio. And in 2013, I would characterize those as the sales of 303 Almaden, which is the building in San Jose; our 2 Mall Road assets, which are legacy Boston Properties pre-IPO assets; and then One Preserve Parkway, which is in Rockville, Maryland. And those are just markets that we're -- our view is that really are not part of the same growth profile as our other markets. And then there's a second group of assets, which are really what we consider to be core assets for the company, but where we've been very successful at populating them with really terrific long-term contractual cash flows. And they're just an ideal mechanism for harvesting in the current capital markets environment. And those are the buildings like 125 West 55th and 1301 New York Avenue and Times Square Tower. So that's sort of how we're thinking about our asset dispositions. And we continually review the portfolio. And I think as Owen said, we're going to be marketing additional assets for sale or recapitalization, a.k.a., the way we dealt with Times Square Tower in 2014. I also want to spend some time talking about our development activities today. And I'm going to do a little bit of that upfront, and then I'll sort of intermix it with my remarks on the markets. So this is clearly an area where we have a distinct advantage. And really what it does is it avails itself of our platform and our operational expertise. It does, in fact, makes us a different kind of a company. As we close out the year, we received formal entitlements for 2 new development projects in Boston. The first is in Cambridge, where we received approval for a new 200,000 square foot residential building on a underutilized parcel at Cambridge Center. That's about a $100 million project. We're actively designing that project with an eye towards breaking ground early next year. This will be our fourth residential development. The project may have up to 20,000 square feet of street-level retail adjoining our other Cambridge Center assets. Additionally, we received approvals for a 1.8 million square foot mixed-used development at North Station in Boston. And I know there's been a lot of press on this and people have asked questions, so let me try and give you a little bit of color on what the project potentially is going to look like. The project was approved for 235,000 square feet of retail podium. So that's a basement and 1, 2 or 3 levels of retail at the ground floor and rising just in front of the North Station at TD Boston Garden today. There'll be 142,000 square feet of what we refer to as low-rise office space, which will sort of be on the same plane as that retail space. And then there are going to be 3 towers on top of that platform. There's a 200,000 square foot parcel, which is zoned for a 300-plus-or-minus-room hotel; a 560,000 square foot residential tower, which right now looks like it's around 497 units, obviously that's the number that was just in our approvals; and then a 668,000 square foot tower, an office tower. And all of that is on top of about 800 below-grade parking spaces. So that's the sort of sum total of the 1.8 million square feet. Now this is a project that we are doing as a venture with the owners of the land, which are Delaware North, the owners of the Boston Bruins and the Boston Garden. And we don't expect much to be going on in 2014. But based upon some preleasing and some interest we're having, particularly on the retail side, we're optimistic that something will happen early in 2015. Our share of the asset will be determined largely dependent upon what Delaware North desires are in terms of how much equity and desire they have to go forward on the development piece as vis–à–vis just owning the land. So I can't really give you a sense of sort of what our interest is going to be versus theirs. But overall, it's around $1 billion project sum total in terms of cost. Let me switch to the operating environment now. So I think I would characterize the operating environment really as pretty unchanged from where we were in October, when we went through our market activity and we put forward our 2014 earnings guidance. But let me give you some color on sort of what we see going on. If you look at our second-generation statistics, there's a couple of thoughts. In Boston, there's one transaction, which sort of skews things. There's a 41,000 square foot lease, where we actually relocated the tenants to some vacant space and backfilled that lease on an as-is basis. And if you sort of knock that transaction out because the tenant that moved to the vacant space is not included in those second-generation statistics, the increase in rent in Boston was about 7.2%. In New York City, the number looks pretty large, but it's skewed by a small deal at the General Motors Building, about 7,500 square feet, where the rent went from $83 to $100 a square foot at the low portion of that building. And then in San Francisco, most of the deals last quarter were in the retail side. But if you pull out the retail and you just look at the office leases, the jump is about 11% on a net basis, which is probably a lot more consistent with where people, I think, are thinking what rents are and our mark-to-market is, particularly in Boston and in San Francisco. In the Greater Boston region, Cambridge clearly is still the strongest submarket that we are a part of. We are effectively 100% occupied, but that doesn't mean that we're not going to see some meaningful gains in our cash flows in 2014 and 2015. So this quarter, we did our first large renewal. The mark-to-market on about a 67,000 square foot lease was over 70% on a net basis. We're now in negotiations on an additional 225,000 square feet of 2014 and 2015 lease expirations. And there, we think the mark-to-market is going to be somewhere between 45% and 50% on a net basis. Office rents in Cambridge are now in the mid-60s, and that's about a 30% increase year-over-year. Now in addition to our new residential development, we are actively working right now with the city of Cambridge on entitlements for another 1 million square feet of density on our Cambridge Center project. That would be in 2 parts, about 600,000 square feet of office, 400,000 square feet of residential. So that's another 1 million square feet of development in Cambridge Center. Going across the river to the Back Bay. Rents in the towers are now in the mid-70s. In the bottoms of the buildings in the Class A buildings in the Back Bay, they are in the mid-40s, which by the way is a real shock -- it's actually a shock to us. Sort of historically, it's a big discount to Cambridge. And the question is going to be as Cambridge gets hotter and hotter, how much of that activity will migrate into the city of Boston? At the Hancock Tower, we completed 40,000 square feet of renewals during the quarter. We signed a 57,000 square foot relocation in January. And we have 4 more leases involving another 141,000 square feet that are expected to be completed in the next couple of weeks. So thus far, we've done about 500,000 square feet of early renewals or relocations related to our 2015 lease expirations. 275,000 square feet of those [ph] transactions -- so the good and bad news is that they're done, but they won't actually impact our revenues until 2015 because the space is currently leased to Manulife, the former owner of the building. And when they become direct leases with Boston Properties, we will get the roll-up. On average, that roll-up is about $15 a square foot or 27% on the average in-place rent in the building. At the Pru, we leased our last floor at 111 Huntington Avenue. That's this transaction I was describing before. And we are now in lease negotiations with an anchor tenant for our new development at 888 Boylston Street at the Pru Center. That's a 425,000 square foot, 17-storey building that we received approvals on a few years ago. It's got 365,000 square feet of office space and about 60,000 square feet of retail space. That's basically going to be an expansion of our highly productive Prudential Center retail complex. So that's very, very productive retail space. If we sign a lease, we would begin construction in late 2014 with a completion in mid-2016. That's about a $225 million development. At 100 Federal Street in downtown, we did 2 new renewals this quarter, in the top 1/3 of the building, with average starting rents just above $60 a square foot, which is just in line with our target when we purchased the building a few years ago. We did get a 52,000 square foot floor back. Part of the lease was BofA, that we negotiated, they had the right to give a floor back, which we expected. And we're going to experience a little bit of downtime on that for this year. Again, that's all baked into our guidance. The downtown market is not nearly as hot as the Back Bay from a rental rate perspective, but it is showing some modest improvements. Rents there are from the low-40s at the base of the buildings to in the low-60s at the top of the towers. The suburban Boston market continues to be very, very active. Large lots of space have all but disappeared, and rents in Waltham are up 10% to 15% over the last few months, not year, months. We completed another 80,000 square feet of leases at Bay Colony during the quarter, bringing our total in that project to 245,000 square feet for the year. We're in negotiations with 4 additional tenants involving another 132,000 square feet. These include a 55,000 square foot lease with our fourth biotech life science company that would come to Bay Colony, as well as an expanding software company moving, not only from another part of the city but also from another state. We continue to see strong activity in our Waltham assets, with much of it stemming from the life sciences and the technology companies, tenants that we're now referring to as TAMI. We responded to 2 build-to-suit proposals for blocks in excess of 160,000 square feet during the quarter for the next phase of our 420,000 square foot CityPoint development in Waltham. We're not in lease negotiations, but we are in active discussions. Going to New York City. Our fourth quarter in New York City activity on the in-service portfolio was really a continuation of the activity again that we described last quarter. We did 11 transactions with about 102,000 square feet in the operating portfolio, 3 deals at 540 Madison, which brought our total in that building to 16 for 2013. We did 2 more full floors at 510 Madison, so we did 5 full floor deals at 510 Madison. And 510 Madison now sits at 80% leased. And that's a little different from what you're seeing in the supplemental because the supplemental only shows leases that have commenced. But it's actually 80% leased at this point. Our acting and our taking rents at 540 Madison and 510 really haven't changed over the last year. And we don't foresee any increases in 2014. We think we've priced them appropriately. And we will do deals where we expect the rents are today. Demand from our high-end financial services firms continue well into the year. Just sort of giving you a perspective on sort of the high end of the market in Midtown. So in 2013 in total, there were about 54 transactions, totaling 760,000 square feet of leases that were over $100 a square foot in the city. So this is a pickup from 2012. In 2012, there were 38 transactions for 550,000 square feet, but it's still way off the 2008 highs, when you had a 105 deals totaling almost 2.5 million square feet. As Owen and Mort suggested, our predominant user and the target tenant for the available space in our high-end Midtown buildings are hedge funds and asset managers, advisors and other entities involved in the financial services industries, but these are smaller tenants. And while the tenant activity for this market segment continues to be very encouraging, the breadth of the demand has its limits, which in fact leads us to the reason why it's been slower than we would've like getting the leasing completed at 510 Madison. It's just the tenant sizes are relatively small. When we discussed 250 West 55th last quarter, we said we had a number of multifloor prospects that were considering the building. Well, we signed a lease with Soros Fund Management for 95,000 square feet and we are in lease negotiations with 4 additional tenants for space totaling over 175,000 square feet, so we've currently leased 571,000. And if we do all the deals that are currently in negotiation, it'd bring us to 745,000 square feet of leased or about 75% leased on the building. We continue to have active pipeline of 1- and 2-floor prospects that continue to tour the remaining space. And we have lots of users now looking at our prebuilt product, which is on the 16th and 25th floors. At Carnegie Center, we continue to gain occupancy and extend leases. During the quarter, we did 7 more leases for 187,000 square feet. And while the life science sector is clearly at the core of the expansion, we also, as we outlined in our press release, completed a 15-year lease with NRG for a build-to-suit. NRG is an energy company, and they're moving from 90,000 square feet today to 130,000 square feet, when we deliver that building in 2016. That's about a $40 million development. It should be noted that 18 months ago, our occupancy rate at Carnegie was 82%, and today we're over 90%. In Washington, D.C., the short-term resolution of the budget and the modification to sequestration are clearly a positive development. Now it hasn't resulted in any significant increase in GSA requirements, but the atmosphere is clearly much more constructive for office owners. Now I do want to point out that our exposure in the D.C. market is limited, particularly in the CBD. In 2013, 21% of our NOI came from our D.C. region. D.C. region being defined as Northern Virginia, Montgomery County, as well as the district. But only 38% of our income in the D.C. is generated from our CBD portfolio. Now why is that? Well, the first thing is -- reason is that our strategy in D.C. has always been to do development. And doing development in D.C. has generally been entering into joint ventures with landowners. So while we control 4.2 million square feet in the district, our company's NOI, as a percentage from the D.C. CBD, so our in-city buildings, is only 8% of our total portfolio. Consistent with this approach, we've entered into negotiations with another landowner on a parcel that would support another 520,000 square foot development based upon some leasing. We have no 2014 lease exposure, but we will have some legal firms relocating, and we're going to have to backfill some space in '15 and '16. Our D.C. team is out in front of the transactions, and we are actively working on replacement tenants now. Currently, the D.C. CBD portfolio is 96% leased. Now the other reason why our D.C. CBD NOI is relatively low is because the bulk of our regional activity is concentrated in Reston, which is unequivocally the strongest submarket in the entire D.C. region. We covered the vast majority of our Town Center expirations last quarter with the renewals of L-3 and the relocation of Litos [ph] from Tysons Corner to Reston. That was 368,000 square feet of transaction. And our largest near-term exposure in Reston, which is in '15, is with the GSA. And they've already given us notice that they intend to extend on a 261,000 square foot lease. Interestingly, we are in the awkward position of having 4 million square feet of space and no inventory. In fact, we're actually working with a tenant that wants to expand and we are canvassing our larger other users in an attempt to take back space to accommodate their growth. Rent in Reston Town Center continue to be between $15 to $25 a square foot above the market on the Toll Road. Finally, going to San Francisco. In San Francisco, the CBD continues to be the strongest urban market in our portfolio, led again by the growth in demand from tech users, who continue to expand into traditional office buildings. Google expanded and renewed at Hills Plaza. Salesforce took additional space at Rincon Center. Visa moved into One Market Place (sic)] [One Market Plaza]. Neustar took space at 505 Howard, which is Foundry III, the new building from Tishman. Supercell and Microsoft leased space at 55 Cal, the former BofA building. In the last few weeks, Twitter, Dropbox and Zoom have all expanded. And LinkedIn and Trulia and Pinterest are all in the market looking for 100,000 square feet or more of expansion. The pace of activity in the city in '13 was right in line with 2012, [indiscernible] of change, 8.2 million square feet of additional activity. Activity from the technology industry actually as a percentage of the market went down in 2013 from about 2/3 in '12 to 50% in '13. Yet the tech activity actually didn't decline, but there were more traditional users back in the market and there are more traditional lease expirations in the '15 to '17 timeframe, which are hitting the market today. At Boston Properties, we leased all of our available space at 50 Hawthorne, 56,000 square feet, to athenahealth for occupancy during the second quarter of 2014. And this quarter, we completed another 100,000 square feet of leasing at EC. Three more full floors, 1 of them at EC4 in the middle of the building at starting rents in the mid-70s. These space rents in the city continue to be running from the mid-70s to over $90 a square foot. Our 2014 to 2016 mark-to-market at Embarcadero Center runs between 15% and 25% on a lease-by-lease basis. The construction of 535 Mission is on schedule, and we are in active lease negotiations with a technology tenant for the lower floors of the building, somewhere between 80,000 and 100,000 square feet, with an expected occupancy in the fourth quarter of 2014, contemporaneous with the building delivery. When we commenced the development, we expected to start to see demand as the building structure and the skin began to take form, and this is exactly what is going on. We are very encouraged by the inquiries and [indiscernible] plans that tenants are putting through us in the building. If we average leases with starting rents in the mid-60s, that's on a gross basis, this investment will generate a low 7% cash NOI return. And I want to sort of compare that to the latest building sale in the city, which is at 101 Second Avenue, high-quality building built in the late '90s, sold for $767 a square foot, a sub-4% current return, about 20% availability, some below-market rents, but it doesn't get to a stabilized number for 3 or 4 years. Compared to this building, which we're developing for about $700 a square foot and our building at 680 Folsom Street, which we're developing for about $620 a square foot and is going to yield somewhere in excess of 6%. The subgrade work at Transbay is progressing and our marketing program is in full swing. We are in active discussions with a number of tenants and could deliver the building in late '16 or early '17 based on our current schedule. But we have not made a decision yet to move forward on the structure out of the ground. As we head into 2014, our investment activities obviously are now focused highly on our development pipeline. Just to summarize, 680 Hawthorne [ph] and 50 Folsom [ph], $340 million dollars, is going to deliver in the second quarter. 535 Mission, $215 million investment, is going to deliver at end of 2014. AJ 7 [ph], which is fully leased to the GSA up in Annapolis Junction, $18 million is our share of that, is going to be delivering in the second quarter of 2015. 601 Mass Ave, which is leased to Arnold & Porter, $350 million investment, is going to deliver in the fourth quarter of '15. 804 Carnegie Center, fully leased to NRG, $40 million investment, is going to deliver in the first half of 2016. And now our potential future developments include: 888 Boylston Street, $225 million; our Cambridge Center residential, $100 million; North Station, which is our $1 billion investment I described; 10 and 20 CityPoint, which is about $150 million investment; and the Transbay Tower, $1 billion. We also have active projects in D.C. and Reston and our New York City team is in active discussions on a number of new projects. I'm going to stop there and turn things over to Mike.