Douglas T. Linde
Analyst · Josh Attie, Citigroup
Thanks, Owen. I too want to add my welcome to Owen. We've been spending lots of time together, in person, at dinner, at lunch with a number of the executives in the various regions. And we're getting to know each other. And more importantly, in my perspective, we're getting to know how each other think. We're sharing lots of information and ideas and perspectives. I think it's fair to say that Owen is a pretty quick study, and we are endeavoring to get him into the flow of everything that is going on around here. And I look forward to working with him over the coming weeks and months and years. So with that, let me get sort of into the nitty-gritty and the heart of our call and sort of what's going on out there. I thought I'd start this morning sort of where I left off last quarter, which was with the statement that we are in the market selling assets right now and that in 2013 we could be selling assets that approach $1 billion or more. Since we last spoke, we have signed our first 2 deals. The first is at 125 West 55th Street, which is a building in New York City, and the second is a building in Downtown San Jose, 303 Almaden. And in total, those assets have a sales price of about $510 million. But I want to make it clear that we're not done with our efforts to sell assets. 125 West 55th Street is a 588,000 square foot building. It's 98% leased, and it has no rollover until 2021 and the 2 major tenants roll in '21 and '27. The major leases today are slightly or significantly above market. And the asset is encumbered with a $200 million 6.1% mortgage until 2020. And the loan can be repaid or prepaid for a cost of approximately $60 million. So if you ignore the above market financing, the cash NOI for the next 12 months is about $27.4 million, so that gives you an NOI cap of about 5.8%. The 2013 annual GAAP FFO contribution was projected to be about $12.2 million. It's a JV, remember, so that's why it's slightly less. And we anticipate that the transaction is going to close during the second quarter. 125 West 55th really is a core asset. It's got a cash flow profile with no short or medium-term growth opportunities. We've now taken care of all the available space, extended all of the major leases. And we really felt as a partnership, that given current capital market conditions, it was really an appropriate time to exit the asset. And when we think about other assets that we're going to be looking to sell, I think the profile of 125 West 55th Street is a good indication of the things that we are thinking about. 303 Almaden is really a very different type of a situation. This is a 158,000 square-foot building that is located in Downtown San Jose. The major tenant in the building is an accounting firm with about 110,000 square feet. And they have a February 2006 lease expiration. You may remember that we purchased the development site adjacent to this building in 2000 before we purchased 303 Almaden in 2006. And frankly, the Downtown San Jose market has just not experienced the level of activity that we had hoped for when we started making these investments in this market or this submarket. We just haven't been able to get anything going on, on our new development, and we're really now rethinking our plans for that site. So as E&Y -- the accounting firm, which is the E&Y, came to us to talk about their future tenancy, we started thinking about our releasing assumptions. And quite frankly, we felt that given our view of the submarket, it probably made sense to consider a sale. So we are selling 303 Almaden for $253 a square foot and a projected 2004 cash NOI of $3.1 million. This building is unencumbered. Now, I want to make it clear that we're not exiting the Silicon Valley. Far from it, we've actually just increased our exposure to Mountain View with a purchase of our partners' interest in the Mountain View Research and the Mountain View Tech Parks at a valuation of $233.5 million. Quite frankly, we view Palo Alto/Mountain View submarket as the strongest submarket in the valley with the most opportunities for transaction volume and ultimately rental rate growth. The Mountain View assets are currently 88% leased. They have a projected 2013 NOI yield of about 7.4%. And the rents in all of the buildings are about 10% below market. And they have relatively short-term lease expiration profiles. So generally that's a 3 to 5-year market, so there's pretty good rollover. We are in the initial stages today of marketing additional assets in Washington, DC and Boston, and we're also considering other assets across our regions. Again, the assets that we're thinking about leasing -- selling have long-duration leases with strong credits and very little short or medium-term opportunities to grow cash flow. They're ideal candidates for long-term secured financing and will be very attractive in the current investment climate. I also want to provide a little bit of an update on where we are with the sale of the 40% interest in 755 (sic) [ 767 ] Fifth Avenue, the General Motors Building, which is being conducted by our partners. We believe that there is a deal that has been made with a valuation that is in excess of the 96.5% of the $3.4 billion value, which was the ropo [ph] price asked. We haven't actually seen what the final deal is, but that's what we're told. As a reminder, the asset was purchased in 2008 for $2.8 billion and is currently financed with a $1.6 billion mortgage at the rate of 6% with a 2017 maturity. Without adjusting for the current above-market debt structure, this works out to a 50% increase in the equity value of the asset over the last 4.5 years. Let me start to give you a little bit of commentary on sort of what's going on in the markets now and shift away from the asset side -- the sales side. As Mort suggested, from a macro perspective, things continue to be sluggish. But as we think about the world, we're really thinking about where the tenants are that are going to grow and where in the foreseeable future likely increases in jobs are going to be. Job growth in the U.S. economy today is clearly focused on businesses that are oriented toward new ideas, be it in technology, media and information distribution, life sciences or medical devices. In a general sense, the markets that have the large concentration of those industries, San Francisco being one of them, are clearly going to be the strongest performers. And those are the areas that have the most opportunity for occupancy improvement and ultimately rental rate growth. So let's start with San Francisco. The technology industry has become a major user of CBD office space, taking up more than 23% of the available inventory in the CBD, which is a market of about 58 million square feet. Tech demand in the city continues to be very strong. Uber, Microsoft, Google, Yahoo!, WeWorks, Square and AppDynamics are looking for large blocks of space right now in the CBD in San Francisco. Tech tenants continue to lease more and more space into additional high-rise office buildings. They've taken space in 50 Fremont, in Rincon Center, in One Market Plaza, in One Montgomery, in 199 Fremont, in 333 Bush, and more recently, many of the newly announced developments, including our assets at 680 Folsom Street. We have now begun responding to offers on our remaining availability at 50 Hawthorne, which is the 3-storey building directly behind 680 and 690 Folsom. And the rents that we are putting out there are generally 5-plus percent higher than our initial underwriting, and our transaction costs are about 15% lower than our budgets. And we are seeing pretty strong activity. Tenants in San Francisco are now entering the market, where there is very little sublet availability. The direct vacancy for Class A space is under 8%. And many, many tenants are coming off leases that were done during the last downturn 10 years ago. In fact, we just completed a 40,000 square foot early renewal -- 2014 expiration -- with a tenant that came to the low-rise Embarcadero Center in 2004. The new rent is 23% higher than the expiring rent, and there were limited transaction costs. In the second transaction, we completed a full-floor deal that was last done in 2009 with a 10% bump in the mark-to-market, again with limited transaction costs. Our 2013 to 2015 mark-to-market at EC is really running between 15% and 25% on a lease by lease basis. We've commenced construction on 535 Mission Street, which is a speculative building, 535,000 square feet. And it's going to be delivered in the middle of 2014 with occupancy by the end of 2014. We introduced the product to the market about 2 weeks ago and made it clear we would be responding to leases of 2 floors or more. The square footage is actually 307,000 square feet, not 325,000 or 335,000. We're very encouraged by the initial reviews and inquiries. The building has 13,000 square foot floors. So we anticipate that it's really going to be leased to a broad range of small or medium-sized technology and legal and financial services and other tenants. And if the average leases in the building hit our pro formas, we expect that in the mid 60s, the investment will generate about a 7% cash NOI return. And if it's higher than that, obviously, a much higher return on costs. We did, as Mort said, close on the 95% position at the Transbay site during the quarter. We originally contemplated the transaction as a 50% partner. And at this time, we are considering whether and when we might want to bring in a capital partner for the transaction. But really, we're focusing our time at the moment and working as expeditiously as possible with Hines on our initial construction activities with an objective of spending the incremental capital necessary to shorten the project delivery schedule. That's what we're focusing on right now. The pace of activity in the valley and the peninsula continues to be strong, although there was a pause from the last quarter and actually a little bit of negative absorption as a bunch of speculative office buildings have come on the market. But again, things have started to pick up in March and April. Apple and Google are once again looking for incremental growth out there. And there have been a significant number of other medium-sized tech tenants that are making commitments to signing leases. There is a healthy level of activity, and rents for new buildings are basically in the 325 to 375 area. That's a triple net monthly number for markets like Santa Clara and Sunnyvale. And we have seen, again, a pickup in activity in Mountain View, where our asking rents are in the $2.50 range and up. Again, our buildings are one-story buildings. Our last deal was completed during the first quarter. It was for 30,000 square feet at $2.63 monthly, which has worked out to $31.56 triple net. Boston, which has its life sciences industry, continues to exhibit some really strong growth. Tenants are expanding into lab and office space across Cambridge and Boston and the Route 128 market. And while the epicenter of the life science community is still in Cambridge, where we have a number of the sort of nonprofit institutes and think tanks like Broad and Whitehall (sic) [Whitehead] and MIT, we continue to see great activity across the overall market. Over the last decade, a number of traditional office buildings in Kendall Square in Cambridge actually have been converted to lab space. And while that has reduced and increased -- reduced the amount of office square footage and reduced the ability for tenants to grow there, there still happens to be the most concentrated technology demand in the Boston area in Cambridge. And it's really become a critical location for a number of large technology companies putting office space at a premium. Surprise, surprise, we are effectively 100% occupied in Cambridge Center. Now last month the City of Cambridge gave MIT the right to develop about 1 million square feet of commercial space across from our Cambridge Center development. There are no definitive plans at the moment, and that could be lab space, it could be retail space or it could be office space. In addition, the city is working with us on changes to the Kendall Square zoning that could allow us to build up to 1 million square feet on our parcel at Cambridge Center in the future. Where does it go? It probably goes on top of garages or potentially knocking down some of our smaller buildings. Finally, the city is also examining the Department of Transportation owned site on the north side of Cambridge Center for additional commercial density. So there will be some additional office and lab opportunities in Cambridge in the sort of medium term and nothing in the short term. So today, what are we doing in Cambridge? We're trying to engage tenants with either '14, '15 or '16 expirations about renewing. And quite frankly, in some cases we're actually encouraging some of our tenants to consider opportunities in our properties in the Back Bay or in 100 Federal Street or in the suburbs. So at the Hancock Tower, which is our largest medium-term exposure in Boston, we focused on widening the user market and have created effectively a white box showcase on one of the floors, which really we hope is appealing to the technology-focused tenants. The space is actually priced at lower rents than the opportunities in Cambridge today. Tech tenants are finding their way into the Back Bay and the financial district. It is happening. We're showing the Hancock Tower to Cambridge brokers and tenants on a pretty consistent basis. The only challenge we have, quite frankly, is that we don't get most of the space back until 2015, and many of the tech companies have a much shorter duration window than that. Now while many of the real estate pundits are focusing on the urbanization of businesses in the Boston market, we continue to see really, really strong activity in our Waltham assets, and much of it is stemming from the expansion of the life sciences industry. During the quarter, we completed 88,000 square feet of leasing at Bay Colony, which included 76,000 square feet of new demand. And we're in negotiations with 2 more tenants for another 55,000 square feet of current availability. We completed more than 77,000 square feet of deals at 230 CityPoint, including 45,000 square feet of new demand from expanding and new tenants. And overall, through the beginning of April, we've done more than 375,000 square feet of new leases in the Waltham market. More than 1/3 of the demand is from growing life science companies. So again, the Boston markets, led by the biotech and life science industries, are really feeling very good, not just in Cambridge but in the City of Boston, where Vertex is growing, as well as in the suburban 128 in Lexington. In New York City, the first quarter leasing activity was pretty slow. But since the beginning of March, we have seen a meaningful pickup in demand from high-end smaller tenants. Our predominant user and target tenant for our available space today at 510 Madison and at 540 Madison and at 767 Fifth, the General Motors Building, are small hedge funds and asset management companies, advisors and other entities that are involved in the financial services industry. And what we're seeing is that given the current bull market and the amount of new allocations that seem to be coming out of the pension fund management community, there is aggressively -- that is aggressively being invested, there are new funds being formed and existing funds are starting to grow again. We signed 5 prebuilts during the quarter, 2 at 510, 2 at 540 and 1 at 599. And we have a total of 5 deals totaling 45,000 -- 40,000 square feet done or in the works at 510 Madison right now. We have 8 deals totaling 32,000 square feet in the works at 540 Madison. We signed 53,000 square feet of leases at the General Motors Building and completed a transaction with a world-renowned luxury retailer for the ground floor space. And we're out to lease with a full floor a 38,000-square-foot tenant. We have 2 deals on the 3 of our -- 2 of our 3 remaining suites at 601 Lexington at Citigroup Center building and filled our last 2 suites at 399 Park Avenue. We have really, really good activity across our portfolio in midtown. Our pricing at 540 is from the mid-70s to the low 90s. The pricing at 510 is from the low 90s to the mid 130s. And our pricing at the General Motors Building is from the low 90s to the upper 190s. Again, strong rents, smaller tenants, prebuilt suites in our portfolio across our midtown assets. Now the large tenant market in New York City is a bit of a different story. We continue to see headcount reductions from the large investment banks. And as leases expire, these institutions are shedding space. The universe of large lease expirations, in the 200,000 square feet or more is sort of how we'd characterize that, is pretty limited between '13 and '16. And as we just saw with Simpson Thacher, which just renewed about 500,000 square feet at 425 Park a few weeks ago, they had a 2018 lease expiration. So the window now for our large tenant block is 2016 to 2018 and beyond. Fortunately, we have no available space other than our new development. Our focus at 250 West 55th is on full and multi-floor users, under 100,000 square feet, which is really the deepest part of the market. We're showing space on a consistent basis and are optimistic that in addition to the 46% that's already leased, we will have additional deals signed before the building opens early next year. It should be noted that in spite of a slow market, as evidenced by the sales I described earlier, the demand for New York City real estate investment is as strong as it has ever been. In DC, the realities of sequestration and the lack of any progress on a real grand bargain are really having an impact on the market more than anywhere else in the country. The first quarter was really a continuation of the end of 2012, where there really wasn't much in the way of net absorption. You have to remember that the GSA makes up about 25% of the square footage in the market there. And if they're not growing and, in fact, today what they're working under is a mandate of increasing the densification of space, i.e. getting into less space with more people, the market is going to struggle. Second-generation space is plentiful. And in some cases, landlords have expanded the concessions in the way of either tenant improvements or free rent to encourage tenants to relocate. Fortunately, thanks to our DC team, we just don't have any much in the way of available space. We're 96% leased. And where we do have availability, with one exception at net square per block, we are marketing prebuilt suites to expand the target market. And we're taking advantage of 2 things: one is our building locations, and two is our property management strength. And when you're talking to small tenants, both of those things matter. We started construction, as Mort said, on 601 Mass Avenue, which is 79% leased, and expect to deliver that building in the fourth quarter of 2015. The most significant deal in suburban DC this quarter was our lease -- our 20-year lease with ODNI, which is a GSA entity, at Patriots Park. We continue to have great success at attracting tenants to Reston Town Center. In this quarter, we did another 6 additional leases in our Town Center portfolio, totaling about 47,000 square feet. And we continue to achieve rents in the high 40s to the low 50s in the urban core. A quarter-mile away, you're lucky to get $35 a square foot. We are currently negotiating a number of early renewals and extensions in Reston following our practice of getting way ahead of our lease expirations. We've closed on the last remaining parcel in the urban core, which is currently zoned for about 250,000 square feet of office space. And we're in the process of determining the highest and best use for that ground and how it fits within our long-range plans for our urban core portfolio. In Princeton, we completed the 78,000 square-foot deal with Otsuka Pharmaceutical that I talked about last quarter. And they've actually continued to expand, taking another 10,000 square feet of short-term space. We are now working with 2 other tenants, totaling about 350,000 square feet, on long-term renewals and extensions. And we have a number of other active discussions under way. So overall, we completed about 1 million square feet of leases in the first quarter, which is about 25% greater than the first quarter of 2012 on a comparative basis, about 81 transactions versus 76. Our second-generation rent trends were slightly down. And there are really 2 factors to that. The first was we actually did an 11-year deal early renewal in Princeton with $10 of tenant improvements, which served to lower the rent but greatly increased the net effective rent. And finally, we did a 4-year deal on a piece of space at 111 Huntington Avenue that was encumbered but where the tenant agreed to put in significant capital with the hopes that the encumbrance would lapse. And that impacted our second-generation numbers as well. If you think sort of going forward, our second-generation mark-to-market is really going to be probably in the mid-single digits over the next few years on a quarter-by-quarter basis. So with that, I will let Mike talk about the earnings. It's a little bit complicated this quarter. And then we'll get to questions.