Douglas T. Linde
Analyst · Jordan Sadler
Good morning, everybody. Thanks, Mort. So I thought I'd just sort of start off this morning and just sort of take a real macro perspective real quickly just to sort of reiterate some of the things that Mort not only said today but has been saying over the, I guess, the last 5 years, which is sort of shocking to me. We keep talking about unemployment, and last summer, we were talking about the U.S. debt ceiling and the deficit reduction issues, and gosh, for the better part of 3 or 4 years, we've been talking about European sovereign, balance sheet solvencies and the banking system, and now we have this national election. And I think the most telling thing is that time really hasn't yielded much in the way of discernible improvement. So this is the environment that we feel like we're going to be in for a period of time. And as we talk about what our portfolio is doing, I think you should gain some comfort that we are in a rather challenging economic backdrop doing as well as we are doing it. But I think there are reasons why we're doing well, and I hope that we're going to be able to demonstrate and continue to show the progress that we have shown since back quite frankly in 2008 when this whole disaster started from a financial perspective. I think the one thing that's a little bit different than where we were a year ago is that last year, when we were talking, we were still pretty ebullient about the corporate American business improvements and top line sale increases and margin improvements, and I think it's fair to say that, that amount of air in the system has started to leak out and top line sales are coming down and margins probably don't have much in the way to go up. And I think that we are, while we're seeing great balance sheets, we still don't see much in the way of a large-scale macro across-the-board business hiring, which obviously is going to be the most critical thing to our business which is the office leasing business and we need bodies to occupy space. The growth in our markets, which are thankfully characterized by supply limitations, have really been driven by increases in demand from the technology in the life science users, but they have been offset by employment reductions and productivity enhancements with regards to the use of space coming from what we refer to as the traditional financial services and professional services firms. And when I use the word technology, it's somewhat broad, but it includes industries like software and the hardware industry, but also now digital content and social media, e-commerce, mobile applications, digital marketing and cyber security. That's -- the technology world is starting to feel bigger and involve more and more people. New enterprises are being formed and one of the things that we like to watch every quarter is the flow of capital running into the venture businesses, just to sort of get a sense of new business formation on a small scale. And it's interesting, venture investing has been running at a level of between $6 billion and $8 billion per quarter for the last year or so. Just to give you a perspective of how that is relative to where it was at its height. Back in 2000, there was $22 billion per quarter. That was the height of the telecom, the dot-com world. So we're -- we've got a ways to go, but it's been pretty consistent. And not surprisingly, the Silicon Valley in San Francisco, Boston and New York City are the places that are winning the share of those investments. In fact, if you look at San Francisco, more than 70% of the transactions in the San Francisco CBD this year have been technology related and technology companies now occupy 20% of the CBD market. That's both north of market, south of market and sort of the other areas that have -- that has been popping up. The strongest market in the Boston area is Cambridge. And we now have 6 new buildings under construction totaling almost 1.8 million square feet for growing life science organizations. The Boston CBD is starting to experience some migration of tech companies into traditional financial services-centric assets. So we had PayPal this quarter recently commit to International Place. That's one of the large towers that's on the greenway, and they joined Brightcove and Communispace, which have located recently at Atlantic Wharf, which is our project that we're -- in the financial area. For technology companies and entrepreneurs, it's finding capable talent that really has become critical. And New York City, which is so desirable for its quality of life especially for a young workforce, has really become a great place to find employees and is really seeing a shift in the makeup of its workforce. Engineers and entrepreneurs and venture capitalists have all really become a very important element in the New York City business community. And at the same time all this is happening, we are seeing businesses become much more efficient users of office space. So as leases expire, professional service and financial firms are downsizing their footprint, not necessarily their headcounts, interestingly, but they are downsizing their footprints. And the market is getting additional supply, which obviously is serving to dampen any recovery. We've been discussing this for a number of quarters, so every time a law firm renews its lease, it's probably reducing its square footage by 15% or more, and it's also similarly occurring with some of the large financial institutions that are restructuring and downsizing their businesses as a result of the new regulatory environment, and I think there is in fact in some industries a real reduction in headcount as well, the financial services industry being the most significant example of that. But productivity enhancements are nothing new. I mean, it's always happening, it's always going on. We actually embrace it. And with the way we design our space is important as we think about that. And we think it actually is going to result in companies having the financial capacity to upgrade their premises and look for better located, more desirable real estate, which again, fits right into our sweet spot. We can't minimize enough that in a low-growth environment, Boston Properties really can increase its market share, its revenue and its cash flows. During our Investor Day last fall, we did a case study on Reston Town Center and we sort of described our success in the face of a 25% availability rate on the Toll Road market, where not only do we dramatically outperform the market from an occupancy perspective, today I think we're at 95%, but we've been able to create this environment where tenants are really willing to pay a dramatic premium versus the market for commodity office space. And as Mort said, with our pending purchase of Fountain Square in the Reston urban core, which we're going to talk about a little more detail in a few minute, we really hope to expand our success in this rather unique market. Overall leasing activity across the markets during the second quarter was pretty sluggish, and I'm talking about the markets, not Boston Properties. And as we move into the summer, it's been basically the same. But in spite of a slowing market, we had an incredible great, great quarter with approximately 1.5 million square feet of transactions, which is way above our historical average over the last 7 years. Our second-generation statistics were right in line with our expectations. The rolldown in San Francisco is very much what we expected and we have offset that with gains in Boston and New York. This is a perspective. The average expiring rent in San Francisco was $78, the new rent was $50 and those leases were all done about a year ago, and if we were to mark-to-market all the San Francisco leases today, we'd be about $10 or 20% higher than where we're showing you in our statistics. That market has obviously changed dramatically and it's changed quickly. Now while San Francisco and the Silicon Valley still have remained the strongest markets in our portfolio, things have slowed down there too. There has been a dropoff of activity versus the last 2 quarters, and statistically, interestingly enough, if you were to read the brokerage reports, you'd actually think things were declining because there was some slight negative absorption, but I think really that's a timing issue. Large transactions and growth in California are still happening. So in the Valley, LinkedIn and Lab 126 have each committed to 530,000 and 350,000 square feet and just in the last week those 2 requirements are about 50% growth. And Autodesk and Yelp and Amazon have all leased incremental space in the traditional CBD San Francisco assets during the quarter. On the peninsula, there really is a dearth of quality space in the Palo Alto and Mountain View and Cupertino markets, and we are seeing speculative development. Given that there is speculative development, we do expect that there's going to be a reduction in the growth rate in market rents and that things are going to slow down. In the CBD, our availability of EC is about 4%. We completed 15 transactions during the quarter, but it only totaled 60,000 square feet, for the most part renewals, and we have another 100,000 square feet that are in active negotiations, again, predominantly renewals, given our availability. When we spoke to you in April about New York City, I described that one of the brokers that we deal with and said that his comments were, things were gray, that there wasn't much upward pressure on rent, but the pessimists weren't winning the day. So last week I actually called him and said, "So this is what you told me last quarter. Would you change your view?" And he said, "Well, rents are creeping up a little bit but so is availability and there are a few more pessimists in the market." Well, we had a really great second quarter in New York City. So let's start with 250 West 55th Street. Morrison & Foerster exercised an expansion right and leased an additional 24,000 square feet, but the big news is that we are negotiating a lease with a second law firm for an additional 266,000 square feet in the low rise of the building, which will mean that 250 West 55th will be just under 48% leased with all of the remaining space concentrated on floors 25 to 38, the top of the tower. This is obviously subject to them signing a lease, but we're cautiously optimistic that things are going to move in the right direction. As Mort said, we've completed additional leasing at 510 Madison and we are now at least 55% leased and we have a number of active discussions on both smaller suite and full floors again. Last Tuesday, we got back 150,000 square feet of space at 399 Park and we've signed 3 leases totaling 112,000 square feet and are negotiating a fourth that will bring our commitments to 136. These are all 10 to 15 year leases. They were cut at starting rents in the low 90s with between $65 and $75 in tenant improvement allowance. In 2012, just to give you a perspective, there've been 34 high-end midtown leasing deals and we define high-end as deals that are over $90 per square foot and they totaled 752,000 square feet, and that includes renewals and expansions and some relocations. In all of 2011, there were 54 deals totaling 880,000 square feet. So things still are feeling pretty good at the high end, but it is a small market. Finally, we also signed a 468,000 square foot lease extension with Citibank through 2026 for the low rise of 601. We mentioned that last quarter but the lease was signed during the second quarter. That lease was expected to expire in 2016. They are consolidating from some of their other spaces in midtown, rebuilding their space as we speak. And the rent in 2016 is going to be about equal to what the GAAP rent is today. There was one major announcement on our press release regarding a termination income. And I did want to give a little bit of color on that. CBS hasshut down their morning show studio at the GM Building and they wanted to get out of the lease. As of July 1, their remaining obligation was $39 million. So we negotiated the deal for them, giving us the space back as of July 1, they paid us $28 million or 71% of the obligation. So we did basically fast-forwarded the rental obligation. And we did this because we made the determination that controlling the space and then trying to lease it put us in a better position of being successful than going out and looking for a tenant and then trying to work out a termination deal with CBS. Moving down to Boston. We're off to Boston.Activity in Cambridge continues to lead the Boston region. The technology and the life science tenants continue to expand and the market is continuing to tighten. As I mentioned, there are now 6 new buildings under construction, which are committed to Pfizer, Biogen, Takeda Pharmaceuticals, the Broad Institute and Novartis. There's also one speculative building that's going up for about 125,000 square feet. The vacancy rate in East Cambridge is under 10%. You're going to note in our development page of our supplemental that we've added the Google connector building in Cambridge to our statistics. As we mentioned before, the city approved a 43,000 square foot expansion at Cambridge Center in conjunction with the major lease expansion with Google. Google now occupies 144,000 square feet and they've agreed to take another 106,000, including that 43,000 square foot connector. The lease is going to run through the end of 2025. We expect that Google will be fully occupied and the connector will be in service by the third quarter of 2013. So we're now 99% committed in Cambridge on our 1.6 million square foot portfolio, 17 Cambridge Center is topped out ahead of schedule and should be in service in the third quarter of 2013. What are we doing in Cambridge? Well, we're working with both a tenant and the City of Cambridge to find additional ways to increase the density at Cambridge Center. And so there will be more to talk about hopefully on that in the next few quarters. In Boston, the CBD had another sort of okay quarter. A little positive absorption, but not much is going to change in the short term because quite frankly, there aren't a lot of 2012 and 2013 tenants in the market and we are in still a lease expiration driven market for the most part in the Boston area. We are negotiating leases on all of the remaining space at Atlantic Wharf, 52,000 square feet, and those leases will commence in '13 and '14. In the Back Bay, we have very limited short-term availability and we continue to do forward leasing. So this quarter, we signed 120,000 square feet of forward extensions in the Hancock Tower and we're working on 1 more that will bring us to the year to about 150,000 square feet. And over the last 12 months, in total, we'll have done about 244,000 square feet of forward leasing in the Hancock Tower. We've also signed a letter of intent with Blue Cross Blue Shield to lease 330,000 square feet at 101 Huntington Avenue. That lease is going to commence in '15 when the existing tenants, which are Manulife, Arnold Communications and First American, have their leases expire at the end of '14 or in the middle of '14. We have another 90,000 square feet of pending renewals and expansions under negotiation in our Back Bay portfolio and we continue to work on additional forward leasing opportunities. That's what the name of the game is in Boston right now. Our integration of 100 Federal Street is going as planned and we are negotiating our first full floor lease on one of the 3 currently vacant floors there. In the Boston suburban market, there still is a pretty good pace of organic growth from these tech companies and some of these life science companies. We completed 100,000 square foot lease with New York Life, so there are still some traditional users in the market, to backfill our vacancy in the Waltham portfolio. And we're working with 150,000 square foot user right now on a plan to expand into another 100,000 square feet in one of our new buildings over the next 2 years as other leases expire. There were 2 other 100-plus thousand square foot expansion requirements in the market, and we are talking to tenants about some build-to-suits at our Waltham property. Our renovation of our first building at Bay Colony is complete, and the building is really being well received, now 87% leased and we're on to the second building. The one market in our portfolio that is really feeling the impact of the election, but also the budgetary issues is obviously Washington, D.C. The unknown impact of the deficit reductions and spending changes, and as well as the presidential election have really created a pretty soft demand environment. I think the one thing people talk about but don't like to sort of mention too loudly is the hypothetical impact of sequestration, which is the automatic budget cuts on the federal jobs because we don't really know what it means, but we know that it would have a severe negative impact on the D.C. economy, but I think there's consensus that we're not hopefully going to get to that point. In the district, we really just don't see the government expanding in 2012 or 2013. Interestingly, for the first time since 1999, there wasn't much in the way of big leasing in the city, nothing in excess of 100,000 square feet. So the uncertainty is really impacting the GSA world. We continue to struggle with the GSA with our final building at Patriot Park where you saw the last tenant move out during the quarter. We actually have a tenant ready to go, we believe. They're in holdover in their current location. The building is close to in move-in condition, and we're just trying to get the GSA and the government to make a legal decision to move into the building. But we're confident it's going to happen. Over the last few quarters, we've been discussing the market dynamics in D.C. where the next round of large leases are really not coming out on the private sector paces until 2015 and 2016. Well, there are 2 of those major tenants in the market right now with '15 and '16 expirations. And one of them has been reported to have committed to a new development at City Center, that's the property just across from our property at 901 New York. And the second is talking to us in exclusive discussions about our 478,000 square foot development at Mass Ave. And they are looking at about 320,000 square feet. So if we have a pre-lease commitment, we will start this building towards the end of '13 and we'll hopefully be able to put those -- that tenant into occupancy by the middle to end of 2015. Today, our D.C. portfolio is 97% leased, 83,000 square feet of expirations that are uncovered in 2012. In the short term, we're very, very comfortable with our portfolio. In the long term, we're very comfortable with D.C., and we're very optimistic about what we're seeing happening at 601 next. Northern Virginia is really where our activity in the short term is, and Reston continues to be the outlier with the consistent activity that Mort alluded to and rents that are in the mid-$40s in the urban core. Our availability is now limited to very smaller blocks of space and we continue to see pretty good activity on that. Now you do have to realize that Reston, while it has its share of defense-related contractors, the makeup of Town Center is actually weighted towards technology companies and engineering companies and professional services companies and educational users, College Board being the largest of those. And we continue to complete deals at One Freedom Square with starting rents in the mid to high $40s while Toll Road deals are being done low $30s with free rent. As Mort suggested, we've been able to make a second off-market transaction this year and we reached an agreement with Beacon Capital to purchase Fountain Square. Those are the remaining commercial buildings in Reston. We're going to be purchasing the 2 office buildings, which are 540,000 square feet and 270,000 square feet of retail space plus 2 parking structures. Average rents in the portfolio are about $40 a square foot, which is I'd say somewhere between 10% and 20% below market, depending on where they are in the buildings. And the average rent on the retail space is $34 triple net and retail rents average from anywhere in the mid-$30s to as much as $70 or $85 per square foot for some of the smaller spaces. The office tenancy is very diversified. It's actually much smaller than the average tenant size that we have in the rest of our urban core portfolio. Retail sales are pretty strong, excluding the Apple Store. They average about $540 per square foot. But there are lots of operating synergies to be accomplished over time, and clearly, owning more highly desirable space in a very concentrated submarket should create a really great opportunity for us to continue to be very successful in the Reston Town Center. We've outlined the projected pro forma returns, which are 6% on a GAAP basis and 5.6% on a cash basis, but the returns don't reflect the impact of any savings on the other 2.5 million square feet of space that we own in Town Center or the future opportunities we have with regards to parking income. We continue to believe there is lots of future potential growth and we're very optimistic about the impact that Metro will have on urban core when the station is delivered in a few years. As Mort alluded to, we are working on additional acquisitions, some of them are off market and some of them are being widely marketed. We also are thinking about some selective dispositions and do have some things both on the market and that will be in the market relatively soon, and we will continue to provide you details as these things progress. We're not going to comment on where they are or how big they are as part of our remarks today. And with that, I'll turn the call over to Mike.