Douglas T. Linde
Analyst · Ross Nussbaum
Thanks, Mort. Good morning, everybody, and thanks for joining us. Happy new year to those of you who I haven't personally seen or talked to. We finished 2011 with a total return to shareholders of 18%. We completed about 5 million square feet of leases. We delivered $932 million of developments, which we expect to have all stabilized by the third quarter, with a yield of about 7.4%. And we have another $1.8 billion of active developments, which are going to be delivered between 2014 and 2012. Those include 2 recent developments, which are the Reston Residential and 17 Cambridge Center, which I believe are in the supplemental as of this quarter. In addition, as our operating earnings improved, we increased our dividend in the fourth quarter by 10% to an annual rate of $2.20. So it was a really, really good year for Boston Properties. As Mort described, our corporate strategy of selecting on select markets, submarkets and buildings with unique and differentiated demand characteristics and limits on new supply, and we support that with a terrific operating platform with an amazing group of associates, has really allowed us to be very successful in spite of I think what Mort would describe as an unpredictable macroeconomic environment. So last quarter, we talked about our baseline earnings for 2012, and Mike's going to update that. But I thought I would keep my remarks this quarter contained to the operating fundamentals in our markets and those expectations for 2012. So that's really where I'm going to focus my time. In 2011, it was the second time we surpassed 5 million square feet of annual leasing. It was about 1.3 million square feet in the fourth quarter, which was a pretty consistent pace through the year. We had about 85 transactions with an average of 90 over the first 3 quarters. So again, very consistent. Our second-generation rents were really in line with our previous guidance, and that includes the downsize associated with San Francisco. If you strip San Francisco out of our numbers, our mark-to-market second generation was actually up 8.5%. And remember, you're going to see the same trend throughout 2012 in California as we roll over the leases in EC 4, many of which we've already actually commenced the leases -- the leases have been done on. Our in place rent at Embarcadero Center 4, which most of the rollover is from, was $63 a square foot as of December 31 of 2010. And it's now -- at the end of this year, it was $54 per square foot. So you get a sense of the roll down that we witnessed. As we look forward, our portfolio mark-to-market today is about $1.53. I'm sure everyone noted that our concessions this quarter were significantly higher than traditionally, actually about $30 per square foot, above our run rate in 2011, which actually was probably $10 to $15 lower than what we traditionally have seen. And it was really due to about 1.2 million square feet of new long-term leases versus the renewals that we traditionally do during the quarter. The average length of our leases expanded from 102 months -- to 102 months from 72 months for the prior 3 quarters. As Mort said, the job growth of the United States today is clearly focused on businesses that are oriented on new ideas, be they in the technology or life sciences or the medical device industries. And if you look at venture capital as sort of a leading indicator, it was up over 20% in 2011 versus 2010. And surprise, surprise, the Silicon Valley, New England and the New York Metropolitan areas were the top 3 areas for venture investing, with more than 60% of the deal flow. And if you look at the industry focus, it was software, biotech, medical devices, energy and social media. So I guess it's not surprising that the Silicon Valley and the San Francisco CBD showed the most significant improvement in real estate fundamentals in 2011. There was 8.6 million square feet of office and R&D absorption in '11 to the fourth quarter, although the pace did in fact slow as we moved into 2012. After this very active year, there still are, in the Silicon Valley, 20 active requirements over 100,000 square feet. For our portfolio, we leased another 90,000 square feet, bringing our total leasing to 355,000 square feet down the valley. And rents rose dramatically. In May, we did a 50,000 square-foot lease in Mountain View Research, $15 triple net. Two weeks ago, we signed a 25,000 square-foot deal on the same park, $27 triple net. Office rents in Mountain View have moved from $27 a square foot triple net in early 2011 to in excess of $42 triple net today. We purchased a building in November, which is described in our press release. The rents that are in place there are about $33 a square foot. It was purchased at a projected 2012 GAAP yield of 7.5% and a cash yield of 6.3%. There is specular development underway once again down the valley in Sunnyvale and Santa Clara, and the momentum does in fact show that it's pushing forward, coming to the North Peninsula, which is where our Gateway projects are. We have 4 floors of space that we got back at the end of the year. We've re-leased one of them already and are in negotiations on the second. Rents in south San Francisco are at about $20 per square foot, triple net. Again, very different than what we saw in Mountain View and Palo Alto. But to just give you a perspective that it's not great everywhere, across the highway from our Gateway project is a 320,000 square-foot, brand-new building completed 3 years ago, it's yet to sign its first lease. Our view is that rents are going to continue to rise in 2012, dramatically in the South, not so quickly in the North, but they will be rising as we look forward. Growing demand from the technology sector has also been a very significant factor in the net absorption of about 2 million square feet in the city of San Francisco. Class A vacancy has dropped over 400 basis points, which is a dramatic number, in 2011 to somewhere around 10.5%. There's been a lot of focus on the desirability of the non-core office space in some markets like the multimedia gulfs [ph] and the China Basin market for these technology companies, but those same tech companies are also interested in traditional highrise office space. In the last 60 days, Medivation, which is a biotech company investing [ph] in the journal today about prostate cancer drugs, leased the 34th and the 35th floors in 5 25 [ph] market, so that's 55,000 square feet. Linkedin took 3 floors in One Montgomery Tower, that was a space that was formerly occupied by Charles Schwab, and SalesForce has leased 400,000 square feet at 50 Fremont and they did it on a long-term basis for over 17 years. And the space they took back filled [ph] the space that Pillsbury Winthrop is leaving to move into our building at Embarcadero Center 4, and space that Ernst & Young once occupied before they moved to 555 Mission. These are all traditional office towers. Embarcadero Center, we did 300,000 square feet of leasing, 6 full are multi-floor deals, including a full floor to a cloud computing company, bringing our total year-to-year leasing to 615,000 square feet. Our asking rents at EC are in the low 40s on the small or non-used spaces, in the ECs 1, 2 and 3, to over $7 a square foot at the top of EC floor. Rents are about 15% higher than they were last time this year. Activity in Cambridge is what's leading the Boston region, as Mort suggested. There's over 1 million square feet of new construction, which is 100% committed to biotech and life science companies. One office building at Technology Square is actually being converted to a lab space. It's actually reducing the overall inventory in Cambridge and putting more pressure on office rents. We are in discussions with tenants for almost all of our availability at Cambridge Center. And asking rents are up 10% to 15% from 2011 to over $50 a square foot. The surge of larger technology and biotech companies for space in Cambridge is continuing, and there are new entrants for the market everyday. As an example, Amazon.com, who doesn't have a presence in the Boston market, is now looking for 30,000 to 40,000 square feet in Cambridge as we speak. Across the river in the Back Bay, which is where we sit, there's really limited short-term availability, but it's not preventing us from doing leasing on a forward basis. At the Hancock Tower, we are in discussions with tenants, many of whom are subtenants of Manulife, on long-term extensions and expansions beginning in '13, '14 and '15. We've actually completed 100,000 square-foot of forward leases and we're in negotiations with tenants that occupy an additional 164,000 square feet on 6 floors. These transactions aren't going to impact our numbers until the original leases expire in '13 or '14, but we are creating strong, and I promise you, very strong contractual revenue growth. Rents in our Back Bay properties range from the low 40s to over $70 a square foot at the top of the Hancock tower. We completed one additional floor at the base of our Atlantic Wharf tower. This last quarter, where rents are in the low 50s, when you think about our Back Bay portfolio, keep an eye on 2014 and 2015 because that's when most of our major lease expirations occur. But we are actively working today, as I said, on new or replacement tenants for that space. We continue to see evidence of modest growth from small and mid-sized Boston financial tenants as a number of the Hancock deals involve expansion. But at the same time, there are large traditional users in the city that are becoming more efficient in their space utilization and that's leading the contractions. As an example, one major Boston financial institution, which occupies about 1.1 million square feet, including space at the Hancock Tower and other buildings in the Back Bay, is expected to either renew or relocate into only 800,000 square feet without any job reductions. This type of a factor is really impacting the net absorption of the city, so there really hasn't been much in the way of marginal improvement in the overall demand characteristic on a vacancy perspective. And we continue to have lots of space at the base of buildings that the city is dealing with. The suburban market had pretty good activity in 2011, but again, absorption was tempered through sublet availabilities brought about by corporate mergers and acquisitions. We completed half a dozen leases over 25,000 square feet that involved either relocation or expansion for tenants looking for more space in 2012. But companies like IBM and Oracle continue to purchase local tech companies and they consolidated operations. And while Biogen's decision to move into our building in Cambridge from Weston was a great opportunity for us, as a new development, it hasn't helped the overall dynamics of the 128 [Route 128] market. We're about 90 days away from completing the first phase of our Bay Colony repositioning and we finally completed a lease with a new technology company, 40,000 square feet, and they're already looking for new additional space. During the fourth quarter, we completed almost 200,000 square feet of leasing and we have pretty good visibility on leases for a similar amount of activity during the first quarter of 2012. Availability is still in the mid teens, however, which means that in our view, rents are maybe [ph] pretty flat year-to-year after a pretty significant growth in 2011. Rents were up about 15% last year. In D.C., the impacts of the deficit negotiations and the spending reductions and the President election are going to mute any significant improvement in overall market conditions. In the district, we really don't see the government expanding in 2012. The GSA procurement process has become more prolonged, and it's interesting, as we witnessed for many years in our other properties, our lease expiration really isn't an issue for the GSA. They simply continue to pay at their old rent and they let the leases expire. They don't really have any motivation to do anything. Over the last few quarters, additional large blocks of space have come on to the market due to law firm consolidation, and that's increased the choices for tenants. So in the short term, we think private sector leasing is going to continue to be slow and there really isn't much in the way of large law firm lease expirations before 2014 that are going to drive much in the way of large leasing in the city. However, the good news for us, again, is that our portfolio is 97% leased. We have 160,000 square feet of expiring in uncovered 2012 exposure. So while we may not see much in the way of lease economic improvements, we also don't think that we're going to be impacted over the short or the medium-term. Market rents for the best space are in the high 40s and may touch $50 on a triple net basis. But the bulk of the leasing in the city that we see happening in 2012 is going to really be in the high 30s to about mid-40s triple net, with little expectation from much in the way of change. Just to give you a perspective, the GSA perspective cap for large leases for 2012 is $49 gross, which really limits the activity from the GSA to the older buildings in secondary locations. Operating expenses, bottom line, are somewhere between $17 and $20 a square foot for those buildings, so you're talking somewhere in the high 20s, low 30s for where those rents are going to be on a triple net basis. Government contractors are also delaying their leasing decisions. We're completing short term extensions because contracts just are -- they're very much in the air. There's going to be a $500 billion to $1 trillion of defense spending reductions that are going to kick in over the next 10 years and it's clearly going to have an impact on the overall region. If you look at the Dallas Corridor, depending on how you slice it, availability is in excess of 20%. Yet when you look at our portfolio in Reston, vacancy is 1% and we have completed over 300,000 square feet of additional leases in Reston in the fourth quarter, including 190,000 square-foot lease with Bechtel that absorbed 100% of the availability that we had in our Reston Overlook project. During the year, we leased 600,000 square feet in Reston with virtually no renewals. Many of you attended our investor conference and you saw our presentation materials on Reston Town Center. We have created a unique environment for users of office space in Northern Virginia and our users have appreciated the value proposition, and that's translated into significant rental rate premiums over the market. In the midst of a really, really weak Northern Virginia market, there is still demand for premium product. So space in the town center is being leased in the mid to high 40s on a gross basis depending upon concession packages, where space outside the core are leasing in the high 30s and space outside the town center is being leased in the high 20s to the low 30s with significant concessions. Our one large exposure in Reston is a 182,000 square-foot building, which is adjacent to the new DIA headquarters, the first building of which is going to be delivered in February. We're aware of interest from another agency that can -- is very interested in the infrastructure that's in that building. It's a 7 year-old BRAC compliant building, but the timing of the solicitation is being impacted by the budgetary issues that I talked about a few minutes ago, so we'll see when that lease ultimately gets allowed to be -- to move forward, but we're optimistic that it's going to come to that building. One area that the government continues to fund is the area of cyber security, and the nucleus of that is up at Fort Meade. We are quickly finishing our second building at Annapolis Junction, just outside that base, and we have very strong leasing activity for that product. As we discussed last quarter, the limited activity in our New York City operating portfolio stems from a lack of availability. We're somewhere between 97% and 90% leased. And our decision last quarter was to start doing prebuilds in 510 Madison. I would note that we did do one 50,000 square-foot expansion at 125 West 55th Street, but our prebuild suites are close to being done. So again, we have 7 of those at 510 Madison, 5 at 601 Lex [Lexington Avenue], 4 at 599 Lex and 2 at 540 Madison. Tenant interest on those spaces is good, but again, the deal size is going to be smaller than our typical deals and tenants want to see the finished product. We have leases in negotiation on 3 suites that are done at 599 and 2 suites at 510, where construction should be completed in the next couple of weeks. In addition, we actually picked up 2 additional floors of space at 510 Madison where we're working on leases right now. Our big exposure in 2012 is going to be at 399 Park, where we're going to have availability beginning in the third quarter. That space is being priced at around $90 a square foot, and we've just started to market that space to full floor and multi-floor users. And I'm not going to be surprised if we don't decide to do some breaking up there and do some prebuilds as well. We don't expect to have rent commitments for that space until sometime in 2013. At the upper end of the market, just to give you a perspective of why we're doing what we're doing, in 2008, there were 105 leases signed at over $100 [ph] a square foot. That dropped to 19 in 2009 and 2010, and it moved up to 44 in 2011. The average high end yield was under 20,000 square feet, which really reinforces our strategy of delivering small prebuilt places to attract those types of tenants. We also do sense that the changes that are occurring at the large financial institutions are starting to lead to the growth and formation of lots of new boutique firms, smaller firms, which we think are going to be excellent candidates for this type of space. Today, when you look at 100,000 square foot blocks of space in Midtown and you compare it to last year, there's significantly fewer number. And it's interesting because there's a sort of a barbel-ing of them. There's an abundance of lower space options in older buildings east of Lexington Avenue, where rents are in the 60s or below, and then there's a group of blocks that are above $90 a square foot. Well, the lower levels of 250 West 55th Street is being priced in the mid-80s, and we believe it is an excellent alternative in the market. We continue to have discussions with larger tenants with lease expirations in 2014 and 2015 for the space at 250 West 55th. Users do feel less pressure to make decisions and transactions are taking a longer time to complete, but they are occurring. So that's my summary of the current operating environment. I'll let Mike talk about earnings, and then we will open things up for questions.