Douglas Linde
Analyst · Steve Benyik
Thanks, Mort. Good morning, everybody. Happy summer. We -- when we got together with a number of you at the NAREIT Conference about 2 months ago, it was interesting because I think the question that almost everybody asked, and where we really focused a lot of our attention, was so have we started to see any changes in our customers approach to leasing decisions, and just to sort of remind everybody what our comment was which was the answer was no, and we really hadn't, and I think people were all excited to hear us say things have sort of slowed down, we actually hadn't seen any changes other than in fact there were starting to be even more of a pickup in the San Francisco and the Northern Peninsula market of California, which is sort of where we last left you. And I thought this morning what I would do is I'd begin my remarks with sort of a current perspective on that topic. And again, in the context of everything Mort just spoke about, things are not pretty from a macro perspective and clearly, there's a lot of uncertainty associated with the federal government and the budgetary numbers and where the reductions in the deficit spending are going to come from and when they're going to happen. But at the same time, and I think everyone will acknowledge, that if you think about businesses and use as a surrogate and the earnings numbers that as reported by the S&P 500, we just had another great, great quarter from American businesses, and there were year-to-year increases in top line sales and earnings and the margins. And where did it come from? Well, it came from computer peripherals and software and semiconductors, Internet services, some consumer on non-discretionaries. Pretty broad sort of face of the economy and at the same time, those same companies have taken advantage of the current environment to put their own houses into a pretty terrific order. And so they've refinanced their maturing data at historically low levels, and they've built up lots of cash reserves. And I think we're also seeing in the markets where we operate venture capital investing is starting to come back again. And there was a pretty significant increase in venture capital spending in the second quarter, and it was concentrated in Silicon Valley and in Boston and actually in New York City. That's where most of the new investment was coming from. And so I don't think it's surprising to see that statistically, the overall leasing trends are continuing to improve in the Back Bay of Boston and in Cambridge in particular, in the Waltham submarkets, in San Francisco, in the CBD and the suburbs. And interestingly enough, and we'll get to in a minute, in Reston Town Center, which I think is a little bit of a surprise. But there are, in fact, pockets of our economy that are growing despite the uncertainty and the challenging macro issues. And the markets that's dark seeing a pickup are, in fact, being characterized by strong leasing velocity, actual additional space growth, base upon, additional employment hiring by businesses and some modest upticks in rental rates and lower transaction costs. So that's sort of the macro perspective we're seeing across the portfolio that we have. During the second quarter, we continue to lease space at a really strong pace. We did about 1.2 million square feet and that was actually the highest level in the second quarter we've had over the past 7 years. Boston led the way this quarter. They made up 38% of the transactions. There were a couple of interesting transactions in there, 2 large leases in Cambridge, including a 63,000 square-foot expansion by Google and a 70 -- a 47,000 square foot extension by the MIT Coup, which is our retail tenant that is in our Cambridge portfolio. We had 2 full floor availabilities in our Back Bay portfolio, 1 at the Pre Tower, 1 at the Hancock, 28,000 and 29,000 square feet respectively, they're gone, committed. And the last remaining floors at our Waterfront building in Atlanta Wharf which is 82,000 square feet, that was leased as well and was leased by a digital media distribution company. Two weeks ago, we finalized our bill to assume negotiations with Biogen for 17 Cambridge Center, a 190,000 square-foot building and that's not part of the statistics for the second quarter. But activity in Cambridge really is I think leading the region. Biogen is going to announce plans to occupy another building in Cambridge, and Pfizer and the Reagan Institute [ph], is a think tank that focuses on immunology and AIDS/HIV vaccine development. They're also going to be expanding and making new commitment in Kendall Square in Cambridge. In the suburbs, we completed the 18 transactions in the western suburbs sort of Waltham Lexington market totaling 144,000 square feet. And again that market is dominated by technology and life science companies, which continue to experience growth that we're seeing across our portfolios. D.C. had a sort of a light quarter with respect to signed leases, but we did complete another floor at 2200 Pennsylvania Avenue, and we're negotiating leases in Northern Virginia involving almost 300,000 square feet of space. And we're in discussions actually with a tenant for a 250,000 square-foot of bill pursuit in Reston. Now this activity is not coming from Homeland Security or Defense, it's coming from telecommunications companies, digital marketing companies and the construction and engineering industries, which are flourishing in the D.C. region, and they're really not associated with the budgetary issues of the U.S. government. The gap in achievable rents and concession levels and activity in Reston Town Center is widening more and more against the other total markets, and we're probably over $10 a square foot in pure rental rate between Reston Town Center and those buildings just outside the core. As we foreshadowed last quarter, there was a law firm in the district that dissolved, Howrey, and it added another 300,000 square feet of really good space at 1299 Penn, and there were 2 other law firm deals that were done in the quarter. Skadden completed a multi-tenant renewal -- a multi-building renewal, about 400,000 square feet and Holland & Knight agreed to move to 817th Street in 2013. The reason I say this is because if you sort of look now at what's available in D.C. and where the law firm movement may come from and appreciate that the private sector tenant market is really a concentration of law firm moves and is very much lease expiration. There's only 1 law firm expiration between now and 2015 in excess of 150,000 square feet. Gives you a perspective on sort of what we think is going to go on in the short-term in D.C. But between 2015 and 2017, there are 12 law firms leasing over 150,000 square feet with expirations and 8 more between 80,000 and 150,000 square feet. So there's going to be a lot of activity. There's going to be a lot of movement. It's just not going to be in the short-term. We're actually designing our 450,000 square-foot development at 601 Naft Ave, which actually matches up pretty well with this expected demand, and we've actually begun discussions with some of these larger tenants in the 2015, 2017 timeframe because quite frankly in Washington, D.C., people get out way in front of their lease expirations. Third of our activity this quarter was in New York City and that included the 180,000 square-foot lease we did with Morrison & Foerster at 250 West 55th Street and the 67,000 square feet we leased to SAC at the base of 510 Madison. Now we've actually commenced a pretty extensive prebuilt suite program at 510 Madison with an expectation that a large part of our target market, which are tenants who want to be in this type of the building and are prepared to pay the rent necessary to be in this type of building are really going to be looking for improved installations as opposed to raw space. When we bought the building, we told you that we'd probably take between 18 and 24 months to lease up the space, we're obviously way ahead of where we expected to be in terms of actual signed leases. But I wouldn't be surprised if we don't tell you that we're not going to have any leasing done in the next 2 to 3 months but as we get some of these pre built suites done which are going to be delivered sometime in the middle of the fourth quarter, that leasing activity will again be showing up in actual signed leases. This quarter, we also completed a full floor lease on the upper floor of 601 Lex to replace the space vacated by Howrey's dissolution. Howrey had 1 floor in New York City with us. That lease that Howrey had was completed in 2006 and the new rent with the new tenant is 25% higher on a gross basis and 38% higher on a net basis, and we did get market concessions. If you look at the market statistics from midtown New York, leasing activity in June was double the 5-year monthly average. The deals completed in June probably were in the works for some time, but didn't see any tenants postpone lease execution decisions which I think is very different than what we were seeing in 2008 and 2009 as we went into the first part of this recession. Now that said, our view is that velocity today in New York City is not at the same pace as it was 60 days ago. And we may just be feeling the effects of summer holidays or it may be the uncertainty associated with new capital regulations and the changes to proprietary trading for the commercial banks and the investment banks and tappet low in demand on the commercial banks is having some of an impact on a larger institutional decision-making in New York City, and it's also maybe taking the pressure off some of the smaller tenants to make quick decisions in anticipation of sort of a rapidly tightening market, which quite frankly as we've talked to you in previous quarters, we didn't expect to see happening in New York City in calendar year 2011. Now at the same time, no more has signed the 900,000 square-foot lease at the Worldwide Plaza building and that's a very sizable expansion for their footprint in New York City, and Jefferies is in the market for a consolidation and expansion as well. We completed 14 small tenant deals this quarter in the remainder of our portfolio. Improvement cost still remain on the $65 square-foot range and free month's probably in the 10-month range as well. When we do prebuilt suites, I was describing for 510 Madison. We're going to spend more than $65 a square-foot on TIs, but we're going to get a premium rent, and we're also going to pick up in the form of Lex free rent and that's kind of sort of justify the increase in the TI. In the Bay area, the robust activity on the Peninsula and the Valley continues at a pretty significant rate. Even if there are occasional companies like Cisco that are announcing staff reductions, the combined office and R&D absorption was over 5 million square feet through the second quarter and it's the highest since it's been in the dot-com years. The Internet services and the software, the computer peripherals, networking and semiconductor industries are all having really terrific years and they have strong hiring goals. There were 27 leases over 100,000 square feet completed in the first half of the year, and there are similar number of active requirements in the market today. We're feeling the impact in our Mountain View properties, and we have signed letters of intent for another 135,000 square feet in 6 transactions. But I think the most important news is that this activity has finally reached the traditional downtown office market, North of Market Street. After 12 consecutive quarters of negative absorption, the city has seen over 1.2 million square feet of positive absorption year-to-date. During the second quarter, we completed 22 transactions involving 165,000 square feet at Embarcadero Center, including 4 full floor deals, and market activity is picking up. We signed letters of intent on an additional 230,000 square feet at Embarcadero Center, including more than 140,000 square feet, which is the upcoming availability at 4 Embarcadero. Each transaction involves a tenant in the financial services or the legal industry. There will probably be a positive in revenues, which we talked about before in 2012 because we're going to transition between the tenants there today with lease expiration on the new deals that we're signing and you're going to see a significant role down in our second-generation leasing statistics in 2012 and 2013 because the new leases on 187,000 square feet of expiring rent of $93 a square foot approximately, and we're going to be doing deals in the low 60s. So don't be surprised in 2012 or 2013 when these leases commence from a revenue perspective, and you see a roll down in market rents. We've been talking to you about it for the last 2 years. Our quarterly second-generation leasing stats are in line with our forecast, and they really weren't impacted this quarter by any significant EC rollover. The Boston activity was concentrated in Cambridge, but it doesn't include the Google lease since that space was vacant for more than a year. As an FYI, the mark-to-market on the Google space in Cambridge was 28% higher on a net basis. In New York, the impact from the lease at 601 Lex was muted by a few small deals at 7 Times Square and 540 Madison where rents have rolled down from the high 90s to the mid-70s. In D.C., the small mark-to-market comes from our assets in Maryland, and we took back 23 -- 21,000 square feet at 1333 New Hampshire last month -- last quarter when we took back space from Akin Gump, and we inherited from short-term sublets and so we're feeling the impact of those sublets. In San Francisco, very few transactions hit the numbers this quarter, less than 35,000 square feet at EC. Our average lease length was a little bit shorter this quarter, 5 in the third years and mostly concentrated in the suburbs. Therefore, our transaction cost again where have been on the low side of $22 a square foot. But our portfolio office mark-to-market is increasing again, and now we're up about $1.10 positive. We elected to pull our sale of Princeton from the market this quarter. Unfortunately, the group that we contracted with, original equity partnership fell apart and they just weren't able to reconstitute themselves inside of our 10/31 exchange window. And as we discussed at the outset of the sale, given the environment, without the ability to defer the big gain that we had on that sale, we weren't going to sell that asset outside of the 10/31. Now, there continue to be a lot of capital chasing assets in our core markets as Mort alluded to. But truth be known, there are very few core stabilized assets in the mix, which makes it a little more difficult to sort of gauge where the market is with regard to pricing. When stabilized assets are available, and there are a few of them, there seems to be 1 or 2 bidders that are really pushing pricing to levels that are very much represented around the valuations of 2006, 2007. Let me give you an example. In Boston, building with an address of 33 Arch Street, traded at sub 5 cap about $530 a square foot sort of adjust for the parking in the building. It's a building that would not to be in our top 10 office towers in downtown Boston. It's 89% leased. And if you ask people sort of for the color in the market on it, they'd say, well, it’s the only class A building that's been on the market since Hancock traded and everybody wants to get into Boston. Well, when we purchased the Hancock -- this is to give you a perspective. We purchased it for $475 a square foot, and the first year NOI was 4.6% despite the fact that it's just 240,000 square feet of leased space to Bain with no current rent. So to give you perspective of how frosty things are for okay buildings, whether just isn't much in the way of product on the market. In New York City, there appeared to be a lot of assets that are "in play" on the market, but what they really are, are predominantly recapitalizations transactions, and these include 1633 Broadway and 375 Park and 299 Park and 650 Madison and probably 1211 Avenue of the Americas. Each building has a little bit of a different story, and while the transactions are getting completed with very aggressive valuation, they are highly structured transactions and they only take up a portion of the capital. So when people talk about the activity on their sales side in New York City and they attributes on a $1 billion transaction, the full value of that building, I think they're really overstating the magnitude of the interplay of what's going on in the city right now. There are new capitalizations going on. There is new equity coming into these deals, but it's worth 25% interest, or 30% interest, or 40% interest. It's not a sale of an asset. Our development pipeline and our platform continues to really be our best source of incremental investing on a very current basis. The Defense Intelligence Agency and the 500 North Capitol JV developments are in the mix of intense construction phases. We completed the expansion of our 50/50 joint venture with the Gould Family at Annapolis Junction, that's outside of Fort Meade and is BRAC related. And we are constructing a 2-storey 120,000 square foot $28 million speculative development that will be completed in the fourth quarter, and there is actually good user interest, but this is probably one of those places where we are in fact feeling the effects of what's going on with Congress and until the budgetary issues are resolved, there are just no new contracts that are being led, and it's probably going to affect our leasing to some degree. In Reston Town Center, we are completing the permitting of our 359-unit, 350,000-square-foot residential building, and we expect to be under construction before the end of the year. We're in the process of completing the purchase of the remaining trades at 250 West 55th Street and you will likely see a steel erection crane out there before the end of the year. Spaces are going to be delivered to tenants as early as the summer of 2013, and the building will likely be placed in service in early 2014, and we continue to be in active dialogue with tenants in 150,000 to 300,000 square-foot range. And in Cambridge, Biogen intends on occupying that new building that we're building for office. We are also designing it so that it can accommodate laboratory requirements. It's expected to be delivered in July of '13, and we'll achieve a double-digit cash-on-cash return on $86 million of investment. With the addition of the Biogen building on our -- in our development pipeline, we now have commitments, including just our share of the JVs, of $1.3 billion to be delivered between 2012 and 2014 and that doesn't include any of the properties that have already started to come into service. I'm going to end my remarks with one formal note, one final note on our acquisition activities. As we stated in the past, we're open to investments in new markets both in the U.S. and possibly outside the U.S. We are primarily interested in investing in markets that share the common traits with our existing markets, that 24-hour cities with highly educated workforces, with high barriers to entry, diverse and strong international tenant base. And we would expect to establish an operating platform over time. It's also very important that we understand the political and legal structures, and that those structures are, in fact, very stable. So there have been some reports in the media of our being interested in London, and we do believe that London fit these parameters. This doesn't mean there is an investment that is imminent but we have been evaluating opportunities and learning about the market, and we've been doing this in other markets as well, and we are open to doing so in the future. And with that, I'll stop and let Mike carry on.