Katie Keenan
Analyst · KBW.
Sure, so I think for sure, as we look across the sectors today and think about areas of potential impact with the macro, I think hospitality is probably the area we are most focused on. It obviously resets most quickly, most correlated with overall economic activity. I think the good news for us is that our hospitality exposure has come down quite a lot. Our US hospitality is only 6.5% of the portfolio as a whole. We've got a couple of big cross portfolios in Europe that are doing very well. But I think that it is something that we're watching. The various, you have transient, you have leisure versus business, you obviously have currency impacts. The weaker dollar could result in some change in, we've seen some negative trends in terms of international inbound travel in recent days, but you could also see the dollar having some impact of that over time. So I think it's a little too soon to tell, but I agree that hospitality is one of the sectors that we're watching. I think on the multifamily side, the performance there has been very resilient. And the big story there was obviously the wave of supply that came in over the last year. That supply is really rolling over. And the first quarter, across the Sunbelt where a lot of the focus has been, we saw positive net absorption, obviously new starts are way down, but deliveries are coming down. And so I think multifamily is kind of moving in the right direction from that perspective. And we have a lot of conviction in investing in that asset class, obviously, as you can see from our pipeline. And then I think on the industrial side, we continue to see that as relatively resilient. I mean, I think there's going to be some markets that are very oriented towards international trade, maybe on the West Coast. We have basically no exposure there that see a bit of an impact, but there's also a balance in that there's going to be probably more reshoring, more inventory building up. And I think generally, again the long-term tailwinds in terms of e-commerce and goods sort of sitting in warehouses versus sitting in stores, that really continues. So, I think that you can see from how we're investing, how we're thinking about what sectors we're interested in and where we see the risks and opportunities going forward. And it really comes down to, I think what Austin said, like multifamily and we like diversification, we like resilience asset classes. Net lease certainly falls in that category. And that's sort of where our perspective sits today.