Earnings Labs

BlueLinx Holdings Inc. (BXC)

Q3 2023 Earnings Call· Wed, Nov 1, 2023

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Transcript

Operator

Operator

Call has been recorded. We will begin with the opening remarks and introductions. At this time I would like to turn the conference over to your host, Investor Relations Officer, Tom Morabito. Please go ahead sir.

Tom Morabito

Management

Thank you operator and welcome to the BlueLinx Third Quarter 2023 Earnings Call. Joining me on today's call is Shyam Reddy, our President and Chief Executive Officer and Andy Wamser, our Chief Financial Officer. At the end of today's prepared remarks we will take questions. Our third quarter news release and Form 10-Q were issued yesterday after the close of the market, along with our webcast presentation. And these items are available in the Investors section of our website, bluelinxco.com. We encourage you to follow along with the detailed information on those slides during our webcast. Today's discussion contains forward-looking statements. Actual results may differ significantly from those forward-looking statements due to various risks and uncertainties, including the risks described in our most recent SEC filings. Today's presentation includes certain non-GAAP and adjusted financial measures that we believe provide helpful context for investors evaluating our business. Reconciliations to the closest GAAP financial measure can be found in the appendix of our presentation. Now, I’ll turn it over to Shyam.

Shyam Reddy

Management

Thanks, Tom, and good morning, everyone. We are pleased with our third quarter results given the higher interest rate environment that's impacting the housing and building product sector. The BlueLinx team punctuated the quarter with strong margins and specialty products, which accounted for about 70% of our net sales. We continue to generate solid margins in our structural business, and when combined with our margins and specialty products, the team produced strong free cash flow. We also demonstrated our clear commitment to returning capital to shareholders by completing our share repurchase program and by announcing a new $100 million share repurchases authorization. These results reflect our relentless commitment to the company's primary strategic priorities. First, we remain focused on growing five key high-margin specialty product categories that are not only two-step distribution-friendly, they also support the long-term prospects of the housing industry and personal preferences of the American consumer. Engineered wood, siding, millwork, industrial, and outdoor living products, all of which we believe will generate higher net sales and gross profit results in a sustainable and programmatic manner with our customers. In addition to representing approximately 70% of our net sales, specialty products generated 80% of our gross profit dollars in the third quarter, in furtherance of the longer-term goal of specialty products making up 80% of net sales. We are accomplishing our objectives because our teams are leveraging our scale, geographic reach, selling capabilities, and product mix, including our commodity product offering to sell the BlueLinx’s value proposition, which includes our expanded specialty product offerings and value-added services in key markets. These expanded partnerships highlight the confidence and faith our suppliers have placed in our nationwide capabilities and our commitment to providing best-in-class products and services to our customers. Second, we continue to drive operational pricing and procurement excellence…

Andy Wamser

Management

Thanks, Shyam, and good morning, everyone. Let's first go through the consolidated highlights for the quarter. Overall, we delivered solid third quarter results highlighted by strong margins in both our specialty and structural product categories. Net sales were of $810 million, down 24% year-to-year. Specialty product sales were down 23% from the prior year due to a combination of deflation and lower volumes. Structural product sales were down 25%, also due to significant year-over-year declines in wood-based commodity prices and lower volumes. As a reminder, when reviewing the year-over-year comparisons, it's important to point out that in the third quarter of 2022, we were experiencing unusually high levels of demand and significant price inflation across the business. So while the variances are quite significant, we are pleased with the financial results we generated this quarter considering recent market conditions. Total gross profit was $139 million and gross margin was 17.2%, down 70 basis points from the prior year period. SG&A was $91 million, flat with the prior year period as lower delivery costs were offset by higher operating expenses due to the Vandermeer acquisition. Net income was $24.4 and diluted EPS was $2.71 per share. Adjusted net income was $26.8 million and adjusted diluted EPS was $2.98 per share. The third quarter tax rate was 27.2% in line with our expectations and for the fourth quarter of 2023, we anticipate our tax rate to be in the 20% to 24% range. Adjusted EBITDA was $50 million for 6.2% of net sales. Turning now to the third quarter result for specialty products. Net sales were $559 million down 23% year-over-year. This decline was driven by a combination of deflation and lower volumes across several specialty product categories. Growth profit from specialty product sales was $111 million down 27% year-to-year. Specialty growth…

Operator

Operator

Thank you. Ladies and gentlemen, we will now be conducting a question and answer session. [Operator Instructions] Our first question comes from the line of Greg Palm with Craig-Hallum Capital Group. Please go ahead.

Greg Palm

Analyst

Yes, good morning everybody. Thanks for taking the questions. I guess I wanted to start with a little bit of the outlook commentary. It suggests October volumes more or less in line with that of Q3. Just to be clear, is that normal? I assume volumes would likely trend lower in the months of November and December versus October. So I just, maybe wanted to be sure. I was thinking about that right. Maybe get in the point, should we expect normal seasonal trends in Q4 versus Q3?

Andy Wamser

Management

Hey, Greg. This is Andy. It's a great question. What I would say is, October normally aligns with some of the trends that we've seen in the third quarter. And as a reminder, our second and third quarters, I'd say in a more normalized market, which we're experiencing right now, are generally our highest. And so, you're on point, when we think about October, the trends were pretty decent in terms of the volume outlook, you know, as we still have to close out the month. But the, as we look to November and December, we then would see a dip certainly in that seasonality. So, we certainly would expect, I would say, the fourth quarter to be in line. We're not trying to message the fourth quarter would be in line with the third quarter in terms of profitability.

Greg Palm

Analyst

Okay. Understood. And then, you know the gross margin within specialty was, I'd say a highlight again. I'm just curious, are there certain categories within that you're focusing on more, whether it be higher margin product lines and kind of long-term. How do you think about the focus there, whether it be on higher margin product lines versus maybe higher growth opportunities?

Shyam Reddy

Management

Yes, another great question. The way I'd frame it is, when we look at the specialty margin in the third quarter, it certainly was a high mark of the year so far at 19.8%. As we saw or we mentioned, we thought as we look to the fourth quarter, it's sort of trending in 18% to 19%, so I'd say a modest sort of slight dip. When I think about some of the trend lines, I would say EWP, millwork siding continues to do well with some of those volumes, and as those volumes have performed pretty well, those three categories have certainly helped the margin profile. But I would say, we're focused on all five, the ones we consistently mentioned. But those are the three that really helped in the quarter.

Andy Wamser

Management

Yes. Just to add to that. As it relates to our margins, we're leveraging our pricing and service proposition capabilities to make sure we're pricing competitively by charging the appropriate price for the product and service offering we provide, while then thinking strategically about our sales based on those characteristics and that customers were selling to. So basically, those who buy more from us get better deals than those who don't. And ultimately, we're thinking about sales growth in the context of long-term value creation, which is -- and then a diversified product portfolio helps us execute successfully on that objective.

Greg Palm

Analyst

Understood. Helpful color. I will leave it there. Thanks.

Andy Wamser

Management

Thanks, Greg.

Operator

Operator

Thank you. Our next question comes from Reuben Garner with Benchmark Company. Please go ahead.

Reuben Garner

Analyst · Benchmark Company. Please go ahead.

Thank you. Good morning, everybody.

Andy Wamser

Management

Good morning, Reuben.

Reuben Garner

Analyst · Benchmark Company. Please go ahead.

So throughout the quarter, we heard on the commodity side of your business that things maybe were starting to get a little bit more competitive. I think the term aggressive was even thrown around from someone in the industry. Are you guys feeling that? Have you had to defend share position? How are you thinking about that? I see your guidance for the fourth quarter. Is it touched below, but still very strong on the structural piece at 9% to 10% gross margin? But maybe just walk me through, if you're seeing any of that kick in and how you kind of think about share versus margin in that part of your business?

Andy Wamser

Management

Sure. I'll take the first stab at that. What I would say on structural, there certainly has been a little bit of a margin compression as we go from the fourth quarter or go into the fourth quarter. And in some of my comments, I gave sort of a framework in terms of where we ended in September to where we're turning in October. So when we look at lumber and panels, it is down a decent bit. We've seen some real drop off here in pricing, I'd say over the last, frankly, eight weeks or so. As it relates to volumes, though, through the first four weeks of this year, structural volumes, I would say are modestly up from a sequential. Again, I wouldn't read too much into that, the same sort of -- I would sort of say the same comments as I mentioned to Greg, where it's good to see that October volumes on a sequential basis. In October up, I'd call it moment single digits. But then we do expect that drop off in that normal seasonality in November and December.

Shyam Reddy

Management

Yes, look, the structural piece of our business is an important one. We are obviously moving in the direction of achieving an 80%, net sales to 20% -- 80% 20% specialty structural mix. But given the needs of our customers, we really believe that through strategic management of our structural program and which we're – and where we use consignment, great inventory management from a centralized perspective gives us the ability to really take advantage of that piece of our business to drive overall sales growth and support our customers in the way they need in order to be successful on their end. So despite the margin compression, we are seeing those volumes tick back up mainly because it's a core piece of our business. So the focus is on specialty.

Reuben Garner

Analyst · Benchmark Company. Please go ahead.

And on that specialty side, I think more exposure to the R&R space there. And I recognize the longer term comments about home equity levels and aging of housing stock and that sort of thing. But in the near term, that area I would assume is maybe a little bit more challenged than new construction. Is that a fair assessment? And are you seeing any particular opportunities or product categories that are doing better than others? So outdoor living, for instance, versus any other exposure that you have?

Shyam Reddy

Management

Yes, so yes, I mean, obviously we'll feel some of the adverse impact as it relates to repair and remodel, repair and remodel activity, lowering or the outlook being a little muted heading into the next year. That said, as we look at our product diversification, we do play in many layers of the construction cycle. So to the extent there are changes being made or sacrifices being made, we feel like there’ll still be repair and remodel activity. It’ll just be smaller projects than maybe in the past because the home equity levels are high. But at the same time, our product diversification and our performance relative to the market decline suggests that we're actually comping favorably. So if the market comes down, we're not coming down as much. And I truly believe that is the case because of our product mix. So in areas like EWP and millwork and siding for instance, those are starting, there's a lag, for example, which we've talked about in the past, which I think contributes to the numbers we experienced in Q3. Outdoor living products is one of those we're absolutely focused on. But to your point, it could be something that a homeowner puts off maybe a quarter or two as they wade through their own uncertain – to the uncertainty of the market. But we are focused on it, and we'll continue to push it. And we have multiple products within that outdoor living category that we can sell depending on the price point or what the American consumer wants.

Reuben Garner

Analyst · Benchmark Company. Please go ahead.

And within your specialty categories, is there any, as we go into 2024 and beyond are there any areas where the inventory very bare in the channel that you'd have to rebuild or conversely any places where maybe there's too much product and might be some pricing pressure going into 2024 in a software environment?

Shyam Reddy

Management

No. Look, no, not at all with the supply chain constraints of ease. And as far as our inventory management muscle, we manage very strategically. We're actively focused on inventory management to make sure that we have the appropriate inventory levels to meet our customer's needs. And to the extent there are things going on in the market then we act very quickly to generate cash off the balance sheet in the appropriate manner. As evidence in our performance, year to date as it relates to working capital management, but I'll sort of let Andy.

Andy Wamser

Management

Yes, I think just the only thing to add, go to that a little bit more detail is just as we think about the inventory, through the first three quarters of this year, we've reduced our inventory about $120 million. I would say there isn't that much more room to go. There could be maybe a slight incremental more as we go into the year end. But we think we feel really good about where our inventory levels are as we go into the New Year and are ready for 2024.

Shyam Reddy

Management

Yes. Look, our strategy is to grow this business. And I really believe that the muscle we've developed around managing our working capital will enable us to do that very efficiently and effectively and smartly, quite frankly.

Reuben Garner

Analyst · Benchmark Company. Please go ahead.

Great, thanks guys. Good luck through the balance of the year.

Shyam Reddy

Management

Appreciate it. Thank you.

Operator

Operator

Thank you. Our next question comes from the line of Kurt Yinger with D.A. Davidson. Please go ahead.

Kurt Yinger

Analyst · D.A. Davidson. Please go ahead.

Great. Thanks, and good morning, everyone.

Andy Wamser

Management

Hey Kurt.

Kurt Yinger

Analyst · D.A. Davidson. Please go ahead.

Shyam, I just wanted to stick on that last point in terms of being focused on growing the business. And I guess I'm curious, how do you kind of balance the desire to maintain the pricing discipline and margins and specialty with volumes? Just because the last several years, that's been an area that's lagged pretty consistently. I'm just curious whether you think you can do both or if that focus on the margin side might be a detractor going forward in terms of volume potential?

Shyam Reddy

Management

Yes, thanks for the question. It's a great one. I honestly, and I don't think they're mutually exclusive propositions. I think we can do both. We're pricing competitively, like I said, by charging the appropriate price. Given the service proposition we offer, we do work very closely with our strategic customers and suppliers to make sure we've got great programs in place where we all grow together and build our respective businesses in a way that will create value for the employees and other stakeholders and our stockholders. When we talk about pricing discipline and margin, for example, we're really talking about the capabilities to manage that pricing across all of our locations to make sure that the local transactions fall within our pricing guidelines and governance. We absolutely do not believe we're losing business we want because of this pricing discipline. In fact, if you look at our volumes and how they trend with respect to construction activity in the context of permits, completion, starts, et cetera, our declines are not as bad as market declines. In fact, they're much better. And so, stated differently, we're trending favorably. So, in that statement suggests that we're not losing the business, we don't want to lose. So I think we have figured out, and look, there's always room for improvement, but I really believe that our focus on commercial excellence, operational excellence, pricing and procurement excellence really puts us in a position to grow share in a way that's profitable and a win-win for our customers and our suppliers and ourselves. And look, if you look at our Q2 numbers, we underperformed in Q2. That's on me. Transition, got the eye off the ball, underperformed in Q2. But in Q3, we got our act together and our teams executed successfully to make sure that we're both doing well volume-wise on a relative basis and while maintaining a discipline around pricing for the service we're actually providing.

Kurt Yinger

Analyst · D.A. Davidson. Please go ahead.

Got it. Okay. No, that's super helpful color. On the capital allocation front, I mean, recognizing the desire to reinvest in the business, which you guys have a lot of capacity to do, as well as grow the platform. I mean, just with the opportunity set that you see out there, how do you kind of weigh M&A versus buying back your own stock at these levels, just given kind of where you're trading on a valuation basis?

Andy Wamser

Management

Yes, Kurt, it's a great question. I would say simply, when we look at where our business is trending today, let's say, trade on a multiple basis, and we think about our long-term prospects, we feel really comfortable in terms of being able to buy back our shares at these levels. I mean, it's certainly sub five times multiple. So we feel really good about that. And then in the context of M&A, it's frankly, it's hard to find deals that are trading in this sort of five times, or even slightly below area. So I will say that it's not mutually exclusive because when we – if we look at the interim year in terms of what we're able to do there in terms of centralize some of our processes and bring it into, I'd say, to the Blooming family, that's turned out to be a terrific deal for us, especially when you look on a synergized basis as we look back over the last year. Now, if we could find another Vandermeer, by all means, we would do that. But in the context of where the balance sheet sits today at 0.5 times, we feel really comfortable in terms of where the business has normalized because then we have visibility to year-end. So we feel comfortable in terms of whether balance sheet will end at year-end. We think it is appropriate now for us to do this new authorization because we don't need to have the leverage at 0.5 times. So -- but we think it's appropriate, effectively considering how we're trading.

Shyam Reddy

Management

And as it just to add on, as it relates to M&A, I mean, let me reiterate. That it is a core element of our growth strategy, in addition to making investments to grow the business organically. So there's opportunity out there, though our initial excitement has been a little muted by the bid-ask spreads. However, we're now seeing that bid-ask spread start to compress, which means the outlook for M&A remains strong in our view. The pipeline is robust. We'll continue to work it. The multiples are high, but like I said, they're coming down. And once these 2023 numbers come in, I think there might be some opportunities that we can take advantage of. But like I said, and as we've alluded to, we will be very disciplined in the type of deal we do from a risk return standpoint, also the multiple we pay in light of the overall capital allocation strategy.

Kurt Yinger

Analyst · D.A. Davidson. Please go ahead.

Right. Okay. Appreciate that. That's helpful. And then just lastly, in terms of opportunities in the next year, I'm curious whether from a product category perspective and kind of expanding those geographically across more of the platform or specific vendor relationships and any expansions there, are there any areas where you're particularly excited about in terms of the potential to drive above market growth in 2024?

Shyam Reddy

Management

Absolutely. And I wish I could talk about them now, but there will be announcements coming out that will support, honestly, the faith that our suppliers have in us and the great work our teams are doing to engender that faith and confidence in us. There's only so much I can do, right? Or anybody on the management team can do, and it's really about those sales teams and the folks who support them on the product management side. So, yes, there are examples of expansions of our existing strategic product categories into new markets with existing vendors. And more to come on that front, but we are all very excited about the opportunities that will produce long-term growth in those five key specialty product categories.

Kurt Yinger

Analyst · D.A. Davidson. Please go ahead.

Okay, perfect. Well, we'll keep an eye out for that and appreciate the color guys and good luck here in Q4. Thanks.

Shyam Reddy

Management

Thanks Kurt.

Operator

Operator

Thank you. Our next question is from Jeffrey Stevenson with Loop Capital Markets. Please go ahead.

Jeffrey Stevenson

Analyst

Hey, thanks for taking my questions today and congrats on the next quarter. So, I was wondering if you could talk about how volumes trended during the quarter in your core five specialty product categories. And more specifically, did you see any pickup and demand as the quarter progressed from the increase in single-family housing starts this summer?

Shyam Reddy

Management

Yes, we actually did from, again, if you're looking at sort of Q3 relative to Q2, there was a, through the course of the quarter, our specialty products picked up in volumes. There was a decline with structural that we’re seeing, as Andy alluded to earlier, a pickup in volumes in the first four weeks of Q4. But yes, like I said before, I really believe our product diversification allows us to play in every stage of the construction of a single family home. And we started to see that flow through the P&L in Q3 with volumes picking up in each one of, in our five key product categories, with at least four of them for sure. At the same time, as we think about the market trends, as I alluded to earlier, we are generally trending favorably relative to the markets in which we operate in terms of volume. So, we're getting -- we're just doing better relative to market. I think it's testament to our teams and the focus we have on these five key specialty product categories, as opposed to one disproportionately relative to the other.

Andy Wamser

Management

But Jeff, maybe just a little bit more color. I mean, what I would say is if we had to look at, you know, just a handful that were, you know, pretty favorable from like a TLE perspective, volume perspective, it would have been EWP millwork and siding.

Jeffrey Stevenson

Analyst

Got it. Got it. No, that's very helpful color. I appreciate that. And then you guys had another strong quarter of a specialty product margins and they continue to hold well above previous normalized levels in this challenging residential environment. I just wondered if the strong results this quarter and really how they've held in this year give you further confidence that specialty margins were normalized at or above that 18% to 19% level?

Andy Wamser

Management

Yes, I mean, I think it seems to be the right range. You know, as we've gone through sort of the first three quarters, we've gone from 18.8 to 19.8. I'd expect a little bit of softness here in the fourth quarters, you know, as our guidance was between 18% and 19%. But we think that margin profile has really held in well, particularly as we sort of test with this new normalization looks like. And so I think the results sort of speak for themselves at least for this year and that it feels like the right zip code.

Jeffrey Stevenson

Analyst

No, that makes sense. Then just lastly, yes, thanks for the update on kind of why you have the new 100 million share repurchase authorization that makes sense. But just kind of from your capital allocation standpoint, if there isn't the right acquisition, if you feel your shares are undervalued, will you kind of be aggressive and buying back stock? Or how are you thinking about it from the magnitude of share repurchases moving forward?

Shyam Reddy

Management

Well, I think we have to put the 100 million sort of in the context first of, where we are. And so, it is, you know, called between 15% to 17% of our market cap. So that's a meaningful amount. I think, given market conditions, if they remain fairly decent, and as we sit here today, I think it's reasonable that authorization could be done as we go through the end of 2024. We have to get through the first one first before we talk about an additional one. So let's see how the market conditions go. But I’ll tell you our intent is to do that over this quarter and then through the course of next year. But we'll be looking at M&A as well. I mean, that's going to be an important focus for us as well. And so it will be a balance between the two.

Jeffrey Stevenson

Analyst

Great. Thank you.

Operator

Operator

Thank you. As there are no further questions, I would now hand the conference over to Tom Morabito for closing comments.

Tom Morabito

Management

Thanks, Ryan. Thank you again for joining us today. And we look forward to speaking with you in February as we share our fourth quarter and full year 2023 results.

Operator

Operator

Thank you. The conference of BlueLinx Holdings has now concluded. Thank you for your participation. You may now disconnect your lines.