Stephanie Kushner
Analyst · Stanphyl Capital
Thanks, Joni and good morning. 2015 was a tough year for Broadwind, commercially, operationally and financially and we learned from it. The management team is aligned behind three key priorities for 2016. First, building our order book, order intake was weak in 2015. In towers, we were still living off backlog booked in 2013. And in gears, we suffered through a near freefall in orders from oil and gas customers. We are mobilized to double orders this year and have made organizational and process changes to support the goal. The wind is literally at our back with regard to the markets for wind towers and wind gearing, which we are exploiting. Our exit from the services business actually clears the path for sales of wind gearing to a larger and growing replacement gearing market. This is a big focus for us and we are seeing early results. Second, achieving consistent tower production, we learned in 2015 that our designed capacity for tower production and our practical capacity were two different things. We produced only 450 towers, although we had sold 500 and we paid dearly for this miss in cost overruns, efficiency losses and customer penalties. Where we didn’t compromise was quality, although we paid out significant sums to maintain quality and meet our customer specifications. There was clearly too much variability in our production results. The majority of our problems are in two key areas: the paint process and managing an increasingly complex supply chain. We have made organizational changes, engaged coatings experts, expanded our engineering resources and efforts to improve the consistency of our execution in this part of the plant. We think the immediate fixes are in place with improved training and work instructions, better specificity on quality standards and a robust new model introduction process now in place, but we are also kicking off the first phase of a multiyear capital investment in painting, which is designed to reduce paint consumption, improve paint capacity, achieve application consistency and improve the work environment. We reviewed the project with our board this week and we are working through the details of what will likely entail a $3 million investment this year, part of an estimated $75 million total investment over the next few years. Managing the supply chain for towers has become much more complex, as our global customers have demanded global procurement practices using an expanding population of suppliers. We have upgraded our supply chain team and brought in more experienced people with the requisite skills. The challenge has not been so much in making the purchases, but in ensuring a high quality and consistent supply. While the West Coast port slowdown and the steel quality issues we experienced in 2015 were not entirely unavoidable, our current, more experienced supply chain management might have either avoided some of these issues or moved faster to mitigate the impact on production. So in short, our goal this year is to continue to take the necessary steps to shockproof our tower production. Our third objective is aggressive cost management. For 90% of our sales, we are manufacturing to our customers’ design. We are a contract manufacturer of very complex and expensive products with tight design tolerances. As such, we need to manage our costs closely every item straight down the income statement, from production costs to overhead and SG&A costs to capital costs. Expenses that are not valued by our customers have to be scrutinized carefully and reduced or eliminated. We have engaged teams focusing on all of these areas today. In 2016, on a roughly the same production level, we expected to reduce fixed overhead and SG&A costs by $8 million through such efforts as reductions in over time and our manufacturing supply functions – our manufacturing support functions, productions in staffing levels, locking in lower power costs, changing to lower cost professional service providers, reduced travel and prudent reductions in every area. Leading from the top, our board members voluntarily reduced their own compensation by more than 25% earlier this year. These changes are key to improving our financial performance. Late last year, Congress legislated a multiyear extension and step-down of the production tax credit, which supports the wind industry. This was a welcome development, and for the first time in the history of our young industry, provides a reasonable investment planning horizon. Projects started before the end of this year and generally finished by the end of 2018 will earn the full PTC, currently $0.023 per kilowatt hour. The credit then ramps down gradually to support projects commissioned up through 2021. The historical variability and extension of the PTC has been costly and inefficient. It caused developers to start and stop commercial activities based not on underlying project economics, but based on legislation toggling back and forth from full speed ahead to a dead stop. And those of us in the supply chain were whipsawed even more, with capacity demand shifting from maximum to idle and back again and with little good planning certainty. I liken it to the difference in gas mileage and engine wear between driving your car at a consistent 65 miles an hour versus jerking back and forth from a 100 miles an hour to a screeching halt over and over again. We are showing here the projections of a third-party independent advisor we used for understanding the industry and forecasting demand. In November of last year, their base forecast was for no extension of the PTC, and as you can see, a sharp falloff in demand after 2016. Following the PTC legislation, their revision added 16 gigawatts of wind energy capacity additions to their previously weak forecast. Just as a refresher, 8 gigawatts of new wind turbines in 1 year translates roughly into 4,000 new towers, making our capacity about 12% of the industry. The PTC extension is good news for the industry and good news for Broadwind. We did see a pause in order flow immediately following the PTC announcement. Some imminent power contracts were pulled back pending reevaluation giving the luxury of a new extended time horizon. But I think we have come through that period and are in the final stages of tower orders which will be announced soon. The EPA’s Clean Power Plan is scheduled to start clamping down in 2020 or so. As you may know, there is some uncertainty right now whether this plan will remain in effect in its current form due to the recent Supreme Court action. So, stay tuned. But as far as we know today, about 20 states are moving forward with plans designed to meet these lower emission standards independent of the court outcome. And then lastly, it is important to note that a lot of the wind powered electricity is being purchased today directly by corporation. In fact, in 2015, more than half of the power off-take agreements were signed, not by utilities, but by corporate customers, such as Walmart and Google, for example. Our 2015 orders totaled $94 million. Tower orders were up slightly from the prior year, but the reduction in steel prices lowered average realization and our Weldments orders were also down. In gearing, orders were down sharply mainly in oil and gas and mining. However, we did see some growth in wind industry orders. We finished the year with a backlog of $94 million, about six months of plant production. As I said in my opening comments, our goal is to book orders at double that rate this year to fill currently opened 2016 production slots and so that we are well positioned going into 2017. Our liquidity improved significantly during the quarter. Our inventories dropped to $10 million, back to a level last seen in 2012. Steel prices have dropped, contributing to lower raw material values. Our operational problems were nearing resolution by year end, reducing our work in process. This chart also reflects a $4 million write-off because we scrapped some production in Abilene when we shifted the balance of the build on one difficult tower contract to Manitowoc. We were unable to recover or rework some partially completed tower sections and also wrote off damaged and missing internal components. Our inventory turns at year end were back over seven, which is very good performance for our mix of businesses. Total operating working capital dropped to $10.2 million or 7% of annualized quarterly sales. This is at the low end of what we consider our normal range. Not only you were inventories sharply lower, customer deposits grew by more than $3 million and our receivables dropped by $7 million because we are currently building for a tower contract which has shorter payment term. We completed the sale of most of the services assets during the quarter, which brought $2 million into 2015 and which will add an additional $2 million or more in 2016 as we are collecting on a note and liquidating working capital that was not included in the transaction. We paid down $2 million of term debt in the quarter, leaving $5.4 million of debt. Now this includes $2.6 million of debt under the federal new markets tax credit program. This debt carries an interest rate of 1.4% and should be forgiven in 2018. So our net debt balance, which will have to be repaid, is under $3 million. We had nearly $13 million of cash on hand, so our net debt was a negative $10 million. Our credit line remained un-drawn at year end and is un-drawn today. We obtained a waiver from our bank because we did not meet our EBITDA covenant at 12/31 and we agreed to extend the facility six months and also reduce the line from $15 million to $10 million. We don’t expect to draw on the line for the foreseeable future, so the reduced line plus our cash on hand should provide an adequate liquidity backstop to support our operating needs. As I said, it was a tough quarter. The results were in line with our preannouncement with revenues of $38 million and an operating loss of $11 million. Tower production in Abilene was at less than one-third the designed rate, which resulted in poor overhead absorption and high labor hours for the limited production we had and resulted enough scrapping or writing off $4 million of inventory that we couldn’t rework. Full year revenue was just under $200 million. The Q4 problems dragged the full year gross margin down to 4% despite some reduction in operating expense dollars as a percent of sales they totaled 9.4%, leaving us with an operating loss of $11.9 million for the year. On towers, we continued negotiating heavily with finalized no tower orders during Q4. So orders totaled $2.8 million, all Weldments. For the full year, orders were down 11% but this was due to lower steel prices which are generally passed through the tower customer and lower Weldments orders mainly for mining. We invoiced 93 towers in the fourth quarter and 450 for the full year. As I said, this was 50 short of our production plan, which cost us $5 million of contribution dollars before considering the $2.7 million of labor overrun, $3.1 million of scrap and inventory charges net of reserves and about $1.5 million of customer penalties. We stumbled badly in the production of a tower model with very tight paint specification, which was with hindsight, a bad fit in our Abilene plant where we have less paint capacity and little flexibility within the plant layout. Despite the serious setback in Abilene during 2015, our Towers and Weldments segment delivered $4.7 million of operating income and $9.5 million of EBITDA for the full year. We entered 2016 with about three weeks of residual production in Abilene on this difficult contract. Those towers are completed and production is now resumed at our design level. We expect the towers to return to profitability in this first quarter. As I said, in my introductory comments, all hands are focused today on cementing operational improvement that were made over the course of last year, which is reducing the variability in this business and which will allow us to deliver consistent financial performance. Gearing continues to deal with a weak market outlook. Order intake was down in both the quarter and full year and notably in our oil and gas and mining. As you can see, in the pie chart we have seen a 30% growth in wind energy orders, but this was not enough to compensate for an 85% fall off in oil and gas customers. In Q4, revenue was down to $5.8 million with a slightly worse operating loss. We have taken significant action to reduce our overhead in SG&A spend, in line with the weaker markets and manage cash. For the full year, EBITDA was a negative $2.1 million. However, this business has done a great job managing down working capital, minimizing capital spending and liquidating some surplus machinery. For the full year, they used only $200,000 worth of cash. $200,000 cash outflow in an extremely difficult year encourages us to work through the trough and come out stronger as orders and sales recover. We have stepped up our focus on sales and marketing, particularly in the wind and gearing market which is experiencing double-digit growth. We expect Q1 shipments of about $5 million and a loss of $1 million to $1.3 million and negative EBITDA in the $0.5 million range. For the first quarter of this year, we are projecting revenue of $45 million to $47 million in total. This reflects a much better throughput in Abilene once we got through the residual production associated with the difficult contract, which causes about $1 million in profit in January. At current throughput levels, Broadwind will return to generating positive EBITDA and deliver a year-over-year Q1 improvement in the operating loss to between $1.5 million and $2 million. And then obviously, it’s a very sizable improvement if we are looking sequentially. On the last slide, you have probably seen our announcement that the Board has extended the shareholder rights plan that is in place to protect our valuable tax loss carry-forward assets. This 3-year plan basically limits stock ownership concentrations that could jeopardize these tax assets because of our currently depressed stock price and the low interest rate environment. In short, if the aggregate ownership of shareholders holding more than 5% of our stock added together were to exceed 50% of our total share count, even if the shareholders were totally unaffiliated, this would likely constitute an ownership change from the point of view of the IRS, which today would trigger a limitation in our annual NOL usage to about $1 million a year. This would basically cause us to lose forever the NOL beyond $20 million or $180 million because of the 20-year carry-forward limit. So I would urge you to support this proposal in our proxy statement to preserve the value of these tax assets for the company and its shareholders. And with that, that completes my prepared remarks.