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Transcript
OP
Operator
Operator
Good morning. My name is Michelle and I will be your conference facilitator. At this time, I would like to welcome everyone to BorgWarner 2013 First Quarter Results Earnings Conference Call.[Operator Instructions] I would now like to turn the call over to Ken Lamb, Director, Investor Relations. Mr. Lamb, you may begin your conference.
KL
Ken Lamb
Analyst
Thank you, Michelle. Good morning and thank you, all, for joining us. We issued our earnings release this morning at approximately 8 a.m. Eastern Time, it's posted on our website, borgwarner.com, on our homepage. A replay of today's conference call will be available through May 2. The dial-in number for the replay is (800) 585-8367. You'll need the confidence ID, which is 29703435. The replay will also be available on our website. With regard to our Investor Relations calendar, we will be attending a number of conferences over the next few months. May 8, we'll be at the Wells Fargo Industrials Conference in New York; May 22, we will be at the Barclays Americas Select Conference in London; May 30, we'll be at the KeyBanc Conference in Boston; and on June 12, we'll be at the Deutsche Bank Industrial Conference in Chicago. Before we begin, I need to inform you that during this call, we may make forward-looking statements, which involve risks and uncertainties as detailed in our 10-Q. Our actual results may differ significantly from the matters discussed today. Now moving onto our results. James Verrier, President and CEO, will comment on first quarter results and current industry trends; and then Ron Hundzinski, our CFO, will discuss the details of our operating results and also our outlook for 2013. With that, I'll turn the call over to James.
JV
James R. Verrier
Analyst
Thank you, Ken, and good day, everyone. Today, I'm really pleased to review our first quarter results, as well as our first quarter accomplishments. First of all, I'd like to congratulate all of the BorgWarner employees on an excellent first quarter. Your efforts drove outstanding results in a very challenging environment. Now let me talk about our results. Reported sales were $1.9 billion, which is down 1% from a year ago, excluding the impact of foreign currencies and dispositions made in the last 12 months. U.S. GAAP earnings were $1.22 per share, but excluding noncomparable items, earnings were $1.30 per share. Our reported operating income margin was 10.7%, but again, excluding noncomparable items, our operating income margin was an impressive 11.7% in the quarter. And Ron will discuss the noncomparable items later. Two key factors drove our strong results. Sales were impacted by a weak production environment, most notably light vehicles in Europe and commercial vehicle in Europe and North America. Operational efficiency and cost controls enabled us to post a strong operating margin, despite these challenging market conditions. Let me talk about the Engine Group. In the first quarter, sales were over $1.2 billion, that's down less than 1% from a year ago after excluding the impact of foreign currencies and dispositions made during the last 12 months. These results were led by higher sales of variable cam timing systems in Japan and emission systems in Asia and the Americas. These positive results were more than offset by the lower production volumes we saw in Europe. In the Drivetrain Group, sales were about $610 (sic) million, that's down about 2% from the first quarter of 2012 when we exclude foreign currencies. Drivetrain results were driven by increased overall drive system sales in North America and Korea and growth…
RH
Ronald T. Hundzinski
Analyst
Thanks, James, and good day, everyone. Before I begin reviewing the financials, I'd like to put BorgWarner's performance into perspective relative to the industry. Global light vehicle production was down 1% in the quarter compared with the same quarter last year. BorgWarner's reported sales were down 3% from a year ago. As James explained earlier, if we exclude impact of foreign currencies and M&A activity in 2012, our sales in the quarter were down 1%. To get a clear picture of performance relative to our markets, we need to review the light vehicle and commercial vehicle markets separately. First, let's take a closer look at the light vehicle market from a regional perspective. In Asia, which I'm defining as China, Korea and Japan, light vehicle production was up 2%. Our light vehicle sales in Asia, excluding currency, were up 11%. In Europe, light vehicle production was down around 9%. Our light vehicle sales, excluding currency in 2012 disposals, were down 5%. In North America, light vehicle production was down 1%, our light vehicle sales growth in North America was about 1% positive, slightly better than the market. Now let's review the commercial vehicle market. Commercial vehicle production was up in Brazil, but was lower in China and North America. Europe was basically flat. As a result, our commercial vehicle sales were down nearly 10% in the quarter. Our typical outperformance of the light vehicle market by 8 to 10 percentage points was impacting[ph] Asia in the first quarter. We also outperformed the market in Europe, but less than typical, which is primarily due to unfavorable mix. While the entire light vehicle market was down 9% in Europe, the high end of the market, where BorgWarner has most of the content, was down more relative to 2012. Weak commercial vehicle markets…
KL
Ken Lamb
Analyst
Thanks, Ron. Now let's move to the Q&A portion of the call. Michelle, could you please reannounce the Q&A procedure?
OP
Operator
Operator
[Operator Instructions] Your first question comes from Rich Kwas from Wells Fargo.
RD
Richard Michael Kwas - Wells Fargo Securities, LLC, Research Division
Analyst
James, could you discuss how backlog contribution's trending so far in the year relative to the $450 million of contribution you talked about last year? Just given we're 1 quarter into the year, and you have some schedules that probably are going out 8 or 12 weeks. Just -- I know that was bit of a headwind last year for you, I'm curious to see how that's tracking now?
JV
James R. Verrier
Analyst
Yes. Good morning, Rich. We took a look at that, and so far, as we've looked at the year, it's about on track to where we would be expected to be at. You make get a few programs that may move a little up, a little down. But in a general level, the overall amount in the quarter that we would have been looking for to keep it on track was pretty much in line. And as we look out, we still feel pretty comfortable about how the backlog is tracking thus far. But to your point with the quarter behind us, it was good to say and pretty much confirm what we would want to say, Rich.
RD
Richard Michael Kwas - Wells Fargo Securities, LLC, Research Division
Analyst
So the weaker mix was in line with expectation, the weaker mix in Europe?
JV
James R. Verrier
Analyst
Yes, it was. And if you remember when we did it -- last year when we set the backlog back in November, one of the things that we talked through and bridged from the prior view was there would be some mix adjustments, as well as the overall market conditions, that's what we talked about, I think, last November. And it's pretty much what we saw come through and play out in the first quarter. So on track, Rich, is kind of where we see it so far.
RD
Richard Michael Kwas - Wells Fargo Securities, LLC, Research Division
Analyst
Okay. And then, Ron, could you address Drivetrain. You kind of alluded to trying to improve margins there from the current level. And what -- are there any actions that you're taking that are going to be noticeable to us or what other productivity measures are you doing to get the margins increasing from here?
RH
Ronald T. Hundzinski
Analyst
Well, I'd say, Rich, right now, we had a target of 9% and we're there. But when we look at the business -- we just want to be more focused in the fact that we feel we could probably get better performance out of that segment. And I would just leave it that James and I have been spending a lot of time focusing in that segment of late. That's why I made a comment in my remarks. We are not 100% pleased, I guess. We're going to spend more focus in that area.
RD
Richard Michael Kwas - Wells Fargo Securities, LLC, Research Division
Analyst
Okay. And then the last one for me on -- would this reload of the share repurchases seemed like any chance of a dividend's off the table, at least at this juncture, is that a fair statement?
JV
James R. Verrier
Analyst
I wouldn't draw that conclusion, Rich. Is probably the way I would phrase it. I think the way I would look at it is, our CapEx spend is very consistent with what we've typically done over time. I think this share authorization is somewhat typical of what we've done, and so I think we're continuing on that. And what we've said over the recent months is we continue to, very openly, look at a dividend. So I wouldn't conclude, Rich, based on the today's news on the share repurchase that the dividend is off the table that remains very much on the table for discussion within the company, very much so.
OP
Operator
Operator
Your next question comes from Ravi Shanker from Morgan Stanley.
RD
Ravi Shanker - Morgan Stanley, Research Division
Analyst
Can you give us a little more detail on this program termination? What product was it? Which region? What caused that to happen? And did that come out of your backlog?
JV
James R. Verrier
Analyst
Yes, Ravi, this is James. The issue with the agreement is we've signed some confidentiality agreements, both with our supply base and with our customers. It doesn't allow us to share any detail around the program itself. So unfortunately, I can't offer color on that. I will say, it was not in the backlog. I can confirm that it was not in the backlog. But the details, Ravi, in terms of program, region, group, segment, I'm just not allowed to do that. So...
RD
Ravi Shanker - Morgan Stanley, Research Division
Analyst
That's totally fair. Also, very pleased to see the margin you delivered in this quarter, despite the year being down so much and also above your full year guidance. I think most people expect macro and conditions to basically improve from here. So any reason why you shouldn't be topping these margins in the remaining quarters?
RH
Ronald T. Hundzinski
Analyst
Ravi, all I'm going to say is that our guidance at 11.5%, or better, and we achieved over that in the first quarter. And we kept our guidance intact on the top line and the margin line. And I think our perspective from this point is that guidance is appropriate.
RD
Ravi Shanker - Morgan Stanley, Research Division
Analyst
Got it. And just finally, Volkswagen had this recall in China with the DCT program, which I think you are on. I think you'd said at the time that it didn't affect you. Any update there regarding that program?
JV
James R. Verrier
Analyst
Yes, just to clarify, Ravi, BorgWarner was not impacted by that. We were not on that particular program. What we talked about on the last call is we want to respect Volkswagen's perspective. It's really their issue, obviously, for them to comment on publicly. But we did want to clarify the technology they used on those applications is not BorgWarner product or BorgWarner technology, so we're not involved.
RD
Ravi Shanker - Morgan Stanley, Research Division
Analyst
Right. Lastly, apologies if I missed this, but did you change any of your end market or FX assumptions for your guidance?
RH
Ronald T. Hundzinski
Analyst
No, we have not.
JV
James R. Verrier
Analyst
Ravi, the only -- from a light vehicle perspective, they were all the same region by region. The commercial vehicle globally stayed the same. We just had a little bit of a down -- a little bit of a lesser view on China. And we felt a bit more comfortable about the upside this year in Brazil. So those were little bit of nuances underneath the macro level. And then on light vehicle, it was the same as our prior guidance.
OP
Operator
Operator
Your next question comes from Itay Michaeli from Citigroup.
ID
Itay Michaeli - Citigroup Inc, Research Division
Analyst
First question just on the European production outlook for the year, it looks like you've kept it down 3% year-over-year. If you talk about what gives you the comfort that, that still is the right level after a tough Q1? Maybe, James, talk about the visibility currently in the production schedules in Europe?
JV
James R. Verrier
Analyst
Yes, Itay, it's a great question and we -- let me just talk a little bit about how the first quarter itself played out from our view. As the quarter started running, we -- it was pretty good and we felt, I'd say, incrementally more comfortable about our view of the market for the year in Europe on light vehicle. And as the quarter came to an end and we started turning into April, it was little less exciting, I'll put it that way. So as we look out, we look at schedules, which are pretty decent through at least 45 to 60 days, that gives us comfort of what we'd see. And we feel pretty comfortable with the 3% down. The only thing I would say is, could that get incrementally a little worse? We're always paying a lot of attention to that. Could it be 4% down? Could it be 5% down? I think those are possible. It's possible. And the only thing that -- I think I've said in the past, Itay, is if it drifts to 4% or it drifts to 5%, we're ready for it and we've got the levers necessary to pull, and we will, to deliver the type of financial performance that you've become accustomed to with global NSO. It's a long answer, Itay. It's still a little shaky. It's still not as settled as any of us would like it to be. But we feel as good as we can about the 3%, but we're always paying a lot of attention. It could be 4% or 5%. And if that happens, we're ready.
KL
Ken Lamb
Analyst
Itay, this is Ken. I'm going to make the answer that's a little bit long and make it a little bit longer, and talk about some of the numbers. We looked at this and -- if you take Q1 and multiply it by 4 and then adjust Q3 for normal seasonality, that still gets you down someplace between 3% and 4%. So we're not actually looking for or expecting a recovery in Europe in the second half and we still feel comfortable with our guidance despite that.
ID
Itay Michaeli - Citigroup Inc, Research Division
Analyst
That's very reassuring. And then James, can you talk about the booking activity in the quarter? Are you pleased with the request for proposals and just the overall level of bookings for some of your programs?
JV
James R. Verrier
Analyst
Yes. It was -- in a nutshell, Itay, it was good. It was a strong quarter for us in terms of booking. And I would say pretty much in line with our historical performance, both in the ratio of the programs we won and we didn't win and from a dollars[ph] point of view. It was another, another solid, solid, solid quarter for us in terms of the booking. It was good.
ID
Itay Michaeli - Citigroup Inc, Research Division
Analyst
Great. And then just a quick last question for Ron. CapEx $87 million, a little bit lighter than we thought. Is it fair to say you're running, perhaps, at the lower end of the $450 million to $500 million full year range or is that just sort of a timing issue?
RH
Ronald T. Hundzinski
Analyst
No. I would say at this point, it's a timing issue, Itay. And also, I mentioned in there it had a little bit of currency that brought that number down, that's exaggerated it as well. So you can't take it for the face value. We probably were actually a little bit above last year. And then at the rate -- and at the run rate from that point, I would say, that seasonality being a little bit low in the first quarter, which you typically see.
OP
Operator
Operator
Next question comes from John Murphy from Bank of America.
JD
John Murphy - BofA Merrill Lynch, Research Division
Analyst
Just a first question on Europe, to follow-up on sort of the downside risk here. Can you remind us what percent of your workforce in Europe are temp workers now? And maybe sort of benchmark that against year end 2012 and beginning of 2012 levels?
JV
James R. Verrier
Analyst
Yes. Yes, I can, John. If you think of this as European direct workforce -- and I'll talk to you about the percentage of those workers that were temporary versus not temporary. If I go back about a year ago, so early part of 2012, to your point, we were running probably mid-20s percentage of direct worker -- temps. As we went through the year, we ended up roughly around 15-ish percent as we closed out 2013. And where we're sitting right now is a little north of that. So we're somewhere between 15% and 20% of our workers in Europe, direct to temps. And part of that is that move from the end of the year to where we are is, sequentially, our sales went up from 4 to 1 and we did that by adding more temporary workers as we did that. So it kind of gets to the point earlier, we feel good about the flexibility that we've got if there is a little bit of drift down beyond where we are in Europe.
JD
John Murphy - BofA Merrill Lynch, Research Division
Analyst
So the cushion right now is probably is at least as big as where it was or about the same level as it was in the beginning of 2012 for temp workers?
JV
James R. Verrier
Analyst
A little less, John. A little less. But still healthy in our view. That 15% to 20% range is good for us.
JD
John Murphy - BofA Merrill Lynch, Research Division
Analyst
Okay. Then second question, just to follow-up. I understand you can't disclose where the product termination was and any details around it. But how often do you run into that kind of an issue? It sounds like it's fairly unique and not something I've really heard a lot about in the past. Just curious how often something like that happens?
JV
James R. Verrier
Analyst
It's pretty unusual, for us, John. And certainly of this magnitude, it's very unusual for us. So, yes, it's unusual, especially at this size.
JD
John Murphy - BofA Merrill Lynch, Research Division
Analyst
Okay. And then just lastly, Ron, just to follow up on this dividend question and to beat a dead horse a little bit here. What's the trigger that you're waiting for? I mean, right now you guys are incredibly well capitalized, your full year numbers look like they're coming through pretty well, you got cushion on the downside in Europe. What do you guys waiting for on getting this dividend out there? I mean, do you have to be at 0x net debt-to-EBITDA? Or -- I mean, what's the trigger?
RH
Ronald T. Hundzinski
Analyst
0 is not the trigger.
JD
John Murphy - BofA Merrill Lynch, Research Division
Analyst
Yes, but what is?
RH
Ronald T. Hundzinski
Analyst
No. There's-- if you recall some time ago, we were discussing things about repatriation activities. And we spent a lot of work in the last 9 months about doing a repatriation activity of sustaining that dividend. Remember, this gets in the discussion of where cash is generated. And I've mentioned in the past that 75% of our sales are offshore. You could probably make the logical conclusion that 75% of my cash is offshore. I got to make sure working with the tax people. We have a tax efficient structure to repatriate it back into the United States. And I will say, we've done a lot of work in that area. So that's one triggering event. Also, I just -- right in the process of going through some management changes, James is the new CEO, we have a new chairman that was appointed yesterday. And the transition -- a lot of people are asking more questions about dividends and we have to go through management change as well. So I'd say those are the 2 major events right now.
OP
Operator
Operator
Your next question comes from Chris Ceraso from Credit Suisse.
Christopher J. Ceraso - Crédit Suisse AG, Research Division: One follow-up item and then a couple of others about the backlog that came on. Do you have a rough number for us about how much new business came on in the quarter? Was it in the $75 million to $100 million range?
KL
Ken Lamb
Analyst
Chris, this is Ken. We don't have a specific number for you. But as you know, the backlog is probably a little bit weighted towards the second half of the year. We've talked about that before. And generally the comment is that it's on track for what our expectations are.
Christopher J. Ceraso - Crédit Suisse AG, Research Division: Okay. The -- and again, to come back to something you've talk about. But just -- what's your view on where inventories in Europe are now? And to the extent that Europe output was little better in Q1, are you baking in, perhaps, a little bit weaker in the back half?
JV
James R. Verrier
Analyst
I think, Chris, inventory visibility is a challenge for all of us, especially in Europe specifically. It's just a lot less visible than so many places like the U.S. So there's a little bit of guesswork there. I would go back to the point that Ken and I discussed earlier, though, and I think this is pretty key for us. We're not planning on -- we weren't planning on a big uptick in the second half of the year indicating a significant recovery in Europe. We see -- when we compare the first half to the second half, there's not much of an adjustment at all at a market level. So I think that's the important thing. What we do in absence of the inventory lack of visibility, to put it that way, Chris, is we really focus heavily on our schedules. And as I said earlier, they're holding up pretty robustly, in line with what we thought as we've started into the second quarter, and what we saw in the first quarter.
Christopher J. Ceraso - Crédit Suisse AG, Research Division: Okay. And then -- just the last item -- again, a topic that you've touched on. But the debt to capital in the 13s was below the low end of your range, should we read that you -- you do have an appetite to add some leverage to put capital to work whether through more buybacks or acquisitions or to grow the business?
RH
Ronald T. Hundzinski
Analyst
Well, Chris, we came out with a range guidance coming into the year here just recently. And I would say, yes, I would be -- that's what my target range is, to get in the north of 15% in that range. And I'm close, I got to 13.8%, but yet that's my intent, to get to that range.
OP
Operator
Operator
Your next question comes from the Brett Hoselton from KeyBanc.
BD
Brett D. Hoselton - KeyBanc Capital Markets Inc., Research Division
Analyst
Just to kind of a wrap-up the capital deployment questions. Is this a 1-month, 1-quarter, 1-year, 1-decade timing wise? What are your thoughts there? Is this something you think you might wrap up shortly or is this something that you're -- that's going to take some time to kind of work your way through it?
RH
Ronald T. Hundzinski
Analyst
Brett, could you clarify?
KL
Ken Lamb
Analyst
Yes. Is that the dividend?
RH
Ronald T. Hundzinski
Analyst
Right.
BD
Brett D. Hoselton - KeyBanc Capital Markets Inc., Research Division
Analyst
Well, whether it be dividend or share repurchase just capital deployment in general?
RH
Ronald T. Hundzinski
Analyst
Oh. The way I view this, Brett, is we didn't have an M&A transaction 2012. And as a result, cash started to build up. And we had to become very assertive in our capital structure and we started on that process probably, what, last year I bought 4 million shares, I was very active in the fourth quarter. We gave now a range of leverage that we're comfortable with. And I would say, this is just a process we're going through that -- to convey to you where we like to be. And we're migrating toward that target right now. In the first quarter, we purchased some shares. And all I'm saying is that we have to be more assertive when the M&A activity transactions don't come as timely as we would like.
BD
Brett D. Hoselton - KeyBanc Capital Markets Inc., Research Division
Analyst
Well, I understand that. I guess, what I'm wondering is, you obviously have a very healthy balance sheet at this point in time. You're forecasting maybe $500 million of free cash flow and a $50 million repurchase rate, that's $200 million. So basically, you're going to build about $300 million in cash this year, which is a pretty healthy increase. And it seems like your balance sheet has plenty of capacity to make an acquisition. So I'm kind of wondering if it's fair to anticipate some sort of a step up in capital deployment within the next 2 to 3 quarters? Or is this something that, look, it may take another 1 or 2 years to work this issue or that issue?
RH
Ronald T. Hundzinski
Analyst
Okay. I see where you're at now, Brett, on this. I wouldn't indicate the first quarter as the full year run rate on my repurchases, first of all, right? Because I was very aggressive in the fourth and there's some administrative issues, quite frankly, in the first as far as blackout periods that prevents me to be as active as I could have been. That's one issue. So I wouldn't think that's an indication of where I'm going forward. Two, the M&A pipeline comes into view as well, right? So I have to basically look at the M&A activity that could change all of the economics and the ratios, quite frankly, with a -- say a $200 million, $300 million M&A activity at a given quarter. So I got to look at the future as far as what's coming on M&A versus the share repurchase events I do get in the quarter. So I'm looking at quite a few things right now moving forward.
BD
Brett D. Hoselton - KeyBanc Capital Markets Inc., Research Division
Analyst
And then just -- as you think about -- you obviously had very good first quarter, better than we expected, better than the Street expected. It seems like you would generally feel a little bit better about your full year guidance. Would you consider yourself to -- I guess my question is simply, why would you not bump your guidance up? Is it just kind of, "Look, we want to be conservative because we're concerned about Europe and we just don't know and there's some uncertainty and little earlier in the game?" Or is there something else that you see deteriorating as you move through the remainder of the year specifically?
JV
James R. Verrier
Analyst
Brett, this is James. I think -- I'll say it this way. After a really solid first quarter, as you point out, just -- it really helps. When you actually get over that 11.5% out of the shoot in your first quarter, it's a really -- it's a good feeling in terms of how you feel about the rest of the year. I think just some of the uncertainty that is still out there in Europe, it's pretty significant. I mean, that's still 40-plus percent of our business. The commercial vehicle space continues to be a little bit volatile. Those are kind of the 2 things that cause us to just keep monitoring. I would tell you it's less on the operating side. I have a lot of confidence in the[indiscernible] and I think we've showed that in the first quarter. So it's not an executions issue at all. I feel very good about our operational proficiency and our performance. It's more just the uncertainty that overhangs in Europe, light vehicle and commercial vehicle that just -- we kind of want to get another quarter behind us to see how that plays out before we would feel more comfortable. If that make sense to you.
OP
Operator
Operator
And comes from Colin Langan from UBS.
RD
Rahul Chadha - UBS Investment Bank, Research Division
Analyst
This is Rahul Chadha for Colin Langan. Just wanted to -- a follow-up on Chris' question from earlier. Could you provide some granularity into the inventory situation in Europe? How is the inventory looking at the luxury OEMs versus mass market? And how does that translate into your mix outlook for the rest of the year?
JV
James R. Verrier
Analyst
I think as I was talking about earlier, the specific inventory levels in Europe are just really -- we don't have that visibility. So again, we focus more on the schedules. I would say, from a BorgWarner point of view, the mix projections that we see, predominately with the luxury vehicles and the higher-ended contented[ph] vehicles, is playing out about what we expected it to be. And maybe I could just add a little bit of color on that. If you go back to the first quarter of 2012, that segment was performing extremely well. As the year played out, particularly in the third and fourth quarters, we sort of pulled back somewhat on the luxury segment, which caught up with the lower-ended contented[ph] vehicles. And the way we're running now and the way we're expecting it to run is for that mix to continue more in line with the second half of 2012. And that's about what we're seeing right now in the first quarter and as we look out to our schedules into the second quarter.
RD
Rahul Chadha - UBS Investment Bank, Research Division
Analyst
Got it. In terms of the diesel mix, what's your outlook on that for the year?
JV
James R. Verrier
Analyst
It's pretty much stable in that 53% type range for diesel in Europe. So no, no meaningful adjustment there.
RD
Rahul Chadha - UBS Investment Bank, Research Division
Analyst
Okay. And just one last question. Ford and GM are -- could be moving to a 9- or 10-speed transmission. Is that a positive trend for the traditional clutch business?
JV
James R. Verrier
Analyst
Yes. Yes, it is. They are definitely moving in that direction collaboratively, as you all know, with that 9- and 10-speed architecture. And BorgWarner is an integral part of working with both Ford and GM on utilizing some of our new technologies to help bring those transmission to the market. So directionally, it's a good move for us.
OP
Operator
Operator
Your next question comes from Ryan Brinkman from JPMorgan.
Ryan Brinkman - JP Morgan Chase & Co, Research Division: Most of my questions have been answered. But just one on turbocharger take rates. We continue to hear a lot about rising turbocharger penetration on light vehicles here in the United States as they proliferate into gasoline powered vehicles. But can you maybe talk a little bit about the trend that you see in turbocharger take rates in various different other regions around the world?
JV
James R. Verrier
Analyst
Yes, we see a continued adoption rate. I think we've talked about this where, today, the global number of engines that are turbocharged is around 30% of the world, and that will climb up in the next 5 to 6 years to about a 40% adoption rate. And a lot of that is driven by a couple of things, really. One is, increased turbocharged gasoline engines and that's a global phenomenon. But geographically, the 2 areas that are seeing and getting the biggest growth rates are North America and China. That's where there's particular very high penetration rates over the next 5 to 6 years that get you from the 30% to the 40% penetration growth rate[ph].
Ryan Brinkman - JP Morgan Chase & Co, Research Division: Great. And then just on Europe, on your book of business over there. Sometimes, the registration data we get is more timely than the production data that we get out of that continent. Can you just kind of update on the latest trends and the automakers that are disproportionately exposed to over there for example, some of the German customers, did they continue to do better than the market overall?
JV
James R. Verrier
Analyst
I think if I got it right, Ryan, you're just asking for kind of outlook view on production volumes? Is that...
Ryan Brinkman - JP Morgan Chase & Co, Research Division: Just the latest trend in your largest customer's production rates?
JV
James R. Verrier
Analyst
Okay. Yes. I mean, we're seeing -- what we're seeing from majority of the customers are the schedules are holding up about what we anticipated both in terms of actual volumes and then mix of product. So we're not seeing any meaningful change out of them and its holding up pretty well.
OP
Operator
Operator
Your next question comes from Joe Spak from RBC Capital Markets.
JD
Joseph Spak - RBC Capital Markets, LLC, Research Division
Analyst
Ron, you mentioned earlier about keeping options open for the M&A pipeline. Maybe you or James can just give a little bit more texture about what you're seeing there, whether stuff seems to be loosening up a little bit? And also, potential multiples?
JV
James R. Verrier
Analyst
Yes. I would say a couple of things, Joe. The intensity and the processing side of the company is in not letting up at all. We're still very pushing that process robustly. We do have a few targets that we're engaged in discussions with, I'll put it that way, that are very -- of high interest to us. So we've got a number of those moving forward. I think you know typically the companies that we're looking for are company's not for sale, they're family owned. So that process is a little bit hard to predict how it would play out in terms of closing a deal or getting the deal over the line. But I would tell you, the intensity's high. The number of targets in play is significant for us. And we're doing all we can, Joe, to bring one of these targets home as quickly as we can.
JD
Joseph Spak - RBC Capital Markets, LLC, Research Division
Analyst
And would the focus be more on technologies that could help near-term -- or sort of next-generation technology that may take a little bit to develop, that might come a little bit cheaper, but could be home runs down the road?
JV
James R. Verrier
Analyst
The real quick answer is both, Joe. We very much look at products of technologies that we can bring into the companies that are already in place, so to speak, that we can bolt on and go running with those. So examples of those would typically be the Haldex deal, the ENSA deal that we've done in recent years, and then the Etatech technologies, a good example of the other part of the profile, which is a technology that's yet to be fully developed and brought to the market. So both. Both is where we're looking, Joe.
JD
Joseph Spak - RBC Capital Markets, LLC, Research Division
Analyst
Okay. And then you've mentioned the weaker yen as a reason why, as an offset to maybe the stronger euro. Just out of curiosity, with the NSK-Warner JV, competitive wise -- are most of your competitors also based over in Japan, so there's no sort of competitive advantage there for you? Or is that -- with that relatively cheaper, is that a potential advantage for you?
RH
Ronald T. Hundzinski
Analyst
The way I would answer that, Joe, is obviously, NSK-Warner ships -- I mean, they're shipping to Toyota and to the extent that Toyota can get a benefit of cheaper yen, we'd see more volume going through the joint venture, right? So everyone's been talking about how Toyota's going to respond with a lower yen. We would get volume increases through there.
JD
Joseph Spak - RBC Capital Markets, LLC, Research Division
Analyst
Okay. Great. And one quick one. I realize there's a ton of moving parts. But broad strokes, is it fair to say that when you talk about Europe down 3% production year-over-year, does that more or less correlate to the midpoint of your guidance?
RH
Ronald T. Hundzinski
Analyst
Yes, more or less, I would say, to the mid-point. Yes.
OP
Operator
Operator
We have time for one final question and that question comes from Brian Johnson with Barclays.
BD
Brian Arthur Johnson - Barclays Capital, Research Division
Analyst
Yes. I don't think we've discussed kind of your relative outperformance in Asia. Just a couple things. Kind of given your selective participation in Japan, how did those production trends stay out? And do you know your -- if you look at Japan versus China, what your growth there was relative to production in each of those markets? And then the second is kind of what's behind that? And then third would be, with the yen now broaching 100, are you seeing more signs of life out of the Mitsubishi turbos, the[indiscernible], Sekos and other Japanese powertrain vendors?
JV
James R. Verrier
Analyst
There's a lot of questions there, Brian, but let me talk, first about Asia in itself. We saw a very good -- we have a Japanese facility that had extremely good volume year-over-year in the first quarter. That's where we saw a lot of good growth in Asia came out of Japan. China's been a good market for us. Korea wasn't as good in Asia as we've seen in the past, maybe the holiday season, not quite sure. But the majority of that growth came out of a Japan facility and China, which has been an ongoing story for us for some time. Now you had a bunch of other questions on data, but quite frankly, if you wouldn't mind, I -- we're still going through all those numbers, maybe we can get with you later on some on these, Brian, okay?
BD
Brian Arthur Johnson - Barclays Capital, Research Division
Analyst
Well, I guess then -- speaking of Japan, with the yen at 100, are you seeing any different competitive profile coming out of the Japanese domicile powertrain vendors?
JV
James R. Verrier
Analyst
Not significantly, Brian. I - the only trend that I think is pretty meaningful is -- you do see a trend to more localization efforts. And I think that's not driven purely by the yen movement, that's the result of some of the natural disasters that were suffered there. So I think that's a been playing out over the last year or so where we're seeing, particularly in North America, the Japanese OEMs looking to increase local content and I think that's playing out. And that's a meaningful move that we talked about in prior calls, that potentially creates opportunity for BorgWarner.
KL
Ken Lamb
Analyst
I'd like to thank you all for joining us. We expect to file our 10-Q before the end of the day, which will provide details of our results. If you have any follow-up questions about our earnings release, the matters discussed during this call or our 10-Q, please direct them to me. Michelle, please close out the call.
OP
Operator
Operator
That does conclude the BorgWarner 2013 First Quarter Results Earnings Conference Call. You may now disconnect.