Jordan Licht
Analyst · Deutsche Bank
Thank you, Chris, and good morning to everybody. I'm starting off on Slide 9, which gives you the overall combination of our 2 segments, Principal Finance and Asset Management. First, just looking at the total revenues, you can see a large increase of year- to-date compared to last year, $280 million versus $168 million in the same period. Bring that all the way down to the bottom line, you can see that our net income has also risen $120-ish million compared to $24 million, and earnings per share at $0.53 is close to 5x for the same period last year. I'll walk us through the Principal Finance segment next. Jon will help me, and then I'll hit Asset Management and walk through our expenses as well as our capital and liquidity. So let's move to the Principal Finance segment. I'm skipping forward to Page 12. Start off in the top left, just the sheer size of the portfolio. When you look at fair value of $3.8 billion, undrawn commitments of another $1.7 billion, $1.8 billion, you can see how much that has grown since 2020. Let's take that $3.8 billion, the fair value and break it down into a couple of components, which you see down below. YPF makes up approximately 43% of the assets. You then have the remainder of the rest of the portfolio, $1.6 billion of deployed cost and then another 33%, $550 million, that's 33% of deployed cost that represents a fair value markup of the asset. Now when you look at that 33%, you can compare that to our historical ROIC, and there is a large amount of revenue if we were to hit that historical ROIC that has yet to come into the book. But let's flip over to the right-hand side and look at the pie charts. If you look at the pie charts on the right, you see our exposure by geography. We're not just a U.S.- based company. Our clients are global, our cases are global. You have 51% in North America, that's predominantly the U.S. But then you have another 25-ish, 26% in EMEA, another 20% that's a truly global portfolio. And our assets are quite diverse. I look at the pie chart down below, and I see 20% pizza slices, 21% where you truly have a mixed portfolio, 20% antitrust, 20% intellectual property, 18% arbitration, and that truly shows the diversity of our team, of our footprint and of our asset types. I move forward to Page 13 to talk about how the asset moved forward -- or the portfolio moved forward over the period. Overall, if you look at our capital provision income, you see total realized and unrealized gains on par with last year. Total capital provision income, of course, is much larger, $246 million versus $140 million year-to-date, and a good mix between both YPF and the rest of the portfolio. When I look at the 2 bottom charts, they both say the same thing. Left-hand side is the second quarter, right-hand side is the year-to-date bridge. I'll focus on the left-hand side and just walk through these items. The asset grew of course, by our deployments. This is the cash going out the door. You see a passage of time, which is the next green bar. That's the duration impact, as our assets move closer towards ultimate conclusion. And you can see when you compare the left to the right, $61 million on the left, $120 million, which makes sense given 1 quarter versus 2 quarters. Discount rates were favorable this period. And since our assets are a net present value, when interest rates come down, the asset goes up in value, interest rates. The discount rate that we use to discount our assets was approximately 20 basis points in this quarter and also around 20 basis points in the first quarter. And so you see the $25 million there of improvement. And then you have the impact of milestones and the other inputs. These are model inputs as well as the objective milestones that we see as our cases progress. And, of course, realizations and realizations should be negative. That's when the asset completes and turns itself into cash. And so you can see the progression of $3.6 billion to $3.8 billion. Well, let's talk a little bit more about how that asset continues to grow by moving to Page 14. And it grows at first by us putting out new definitive commitments. A definitive commitment is one in which we've underwritten the case. And Chris alluded to how the second quarter was a great quarter with respect to the amount of business that we put on. If you just look at year-to-date 2025 versus 2024, you can see the huge growth, $518 million compared to the $300 million in the same period last year. And you can see the second quarter, $361 million is our largest quarter compared to the last 9. When you look at those new definitive commitments, you then say, look down at the pie chart on the bottom left, and you see that we now have over $1 billion of new definitive commitment. We talked to you at Investor Day about growing the portfolio, and that growth in the portfolio is around deployed cost and these cases that we've underwritten. And just looking at the new definitive commitments, that's grown from under $800 million at the end of the year to the $1.065 billion it is now. As you'll recall, though, these commitments are not revolvers. The clients need to do the work in order to get invoiced in order for us to put the money out. And so, you'll see that move episodically through each period. Overall, our deployments were in line with what they were last year. Let's turn to 15 to talk about our realizations. Overall realizations were ahead of pace of last year at $225 million versus $219 million. You then look at the ROICs on the bottom, and you see that year-to-date, we're at 37%. And I think it's important to remind people of what we discussed in the first quarter. Our assets aren't homogeneous. Some are longer in duration, some are shorter, and they have different risk bands, which we depicted on the slide earlier. We had an asset in the first quarter that was originated in 2024 that concluded early in 2025. And when you saw that, you see a low ROIC, which makes sense when an asset has a short duration. But the IRR at 40% was quite healthy and above our average. And so naturally, you would expect to see the year-to-date 2025 ROIC be slightly lower than our historical. But that's not the only asset that concluded. It's important to note that in addition to that, we've had 6 additional assets generate $10 million or more million in year-to-date 2025. And with that, I'd like to turn it over to Jon to speak a little bit more about the portfolio.