Simon Geoffrey Carter
Management
We'll make a start. Good morning, everyone, and thank you very much for joining us. Great to have a nice turnout in the room. Probably helpful the Tube strikes were called off. I was a bit worried we'd be presenting to ourselves. But no, here we go. So today, we'll follow the usual running order. I'll start with a strategic update. Then David will take you through the financial performance and our attractive earnings outlook. Over the next 30 minutes, you'll see how this is driven by 2 things: first, our market-leading positions in sectors with strong fundamentals; and second, our active approach to asset management. We've long believed that hands-on asset management is a key source of outperformance. Never has that been more evident, and Kelly will give you some great examples later. So let me start with the occupational fundamentals of our markets and our competitive positioning within them. Our Campuses and Retail Parks now represent 90% of our business, and they're market-leading, both in scale and in quality. And I'm struggling to remember a time when the occupational fundamentals were as favorable as they are today, with net absorption very strong and supply constrained in both our markets. Together with our active approach to asset management, this is translating into attractive ERV, like-for-like, and earnings growth. This underpins our conviction in delivering 8% to 10% total accounting returns through the cycle. I thought it'd be helpful today to touch on 2 topical themes, inflation and artificial intelligence. As we all know, inflation rose dramatically after the invasion of Ukraine, and conflict in the Middle East is likely to exert further upward pressure on prices. So how much of this inflation are we likely to capture in our rents? To answer this, let's look at the portfolio performance since 2022. Over this period, our ERV growth has tracked inflation and just recently overtaken it. And we've delivered top quartile total shareholder returns. That's down to having well-located, high-quality assets in sectors with strong occupational fundamentals. And this is the important bit. Our markets are tighter today than they were in 2022, with vacancy around 300 basis points lower in both markets. So we expect to outperform inflation going forward and are guiding to ERV growth of 3% to 5%. Now let's delve into the fundamentals in more detail, starting with the London offices. This is where I want to touch on my second theme, AI. There's a very live debate about AI's potential impact on white-collar jobs. Will this be like previous waves of technological change, the PC, the Internet, the smartphone, where new jobs were created faster than old ones disappeared? Or will it be different this time? The reality is, nobody knows for sure. So as ever, we will stay very close to our customers to be the first to understand what is happening. In the meantime, I think we can say with a high degree of confidence that soft skills will be at a premium and a new generation of companies will want the best physical environments for these skills to flourish in. And our Campuses should sit right at the heart of this. If we look at the facts as they are today, net absorption of space, which is one of the best measures of the health of demand, is at a record high. And for every company downsizing, 4 are upsizing. This is driven by a strong return to the office and significant growth from a new wave of AI businesses. Despite geopolitical uncertainty, the forward-looking indicators are very positive. Demand is 57% above the 10-year average and under offers are 50% higher than this time last year. This demand is meeting a severe supply crunch, driven by initial fears about the effect of hybrid working, increased construction costs and higher yields. The crunch is particularly acute in the city, where vacancy for new and refurbished space is forecast to fall below 2% and remain there for the next 4 years. Historically, when we've seen this, rents have grown at around 10% per annum. Our Campuses are ideally positioned to benefit from this environment. As you know, they offer exceptional product next to major transport nodes with rich amenity and space that supports companies at every stage of their growth from Storey through Work Ready, to Global HQ space. The results speak for themselves, a record GBP 143 million of leasing last year. To put that into perspective, we represent around 5% of the London office market, but were 15% of last year's reported leasing and 33% in the fourth quarter. I said before, the Campus proposition is particularly attractive to science and tech businesses. In 2024, we set out a strategy to increase our weighting to this sector. We believed it would be a key growth driver of the U.K. economy. What we didn't fully anticipate was quite how powerful a tailwind AI would prove to be. Growth across AI and data sciences has accelerated, particularly over the last 12 months, and the lead indicators are very compelling. If you take a look at the U.S., leasing activity in the San Francisco Bay Area reached 11 million square feet last year, the highest since 2017. And there's another 3.8 million square feet in the first quarter of this year. These businesses are now expanding internationally, and London is very clearly the leading destination. That's due to the fantastic talent on offer. We're currently tracking 2.5 million square feet of active demand. The Knowledge Quarter sits right at the center of this activity, as you can see on this slide, that's benefiting Regent's Place. We've rapidly grown the number of innovation occupiers across our portfolio. Our acquisition of Life Science REIT adds further high-quality assets in the Golden Triangle, serving a wide range of occupiers, such as Wayve in autonomous vehicles, Oxford Ionics in quantum computing, or Thought Machine in banking payments. On a pro forma basis, Science and Tech now represents 35% of our Campus footprint. The name Life Science REIT understates the opportunity, which spans the entire Science and Tech ecosystem. Labs represent just 6% of the acquired portfolio. And interestingly, there are no life science companies among the top 5 occupiers, which together account for 50% of the rent roll. The acquisition delivers attractive economics unlocked through our scalable platform. We expect meaningful cost synergies through the elimination of corporate costs and efficient onboarding of assets. The acquisition is immediately earnings accretive, and we expect further earnings growth through capturing reversion and leasing vacant space, particularly at Oxford Technology Park, where much of the space is newly delivered. We've already made excellent progress in our first month of ownership, as you'll hear from David. And crucially, earnings accretion was achieved with no impact on NTA. I'm sometimes asked how we manage the higher covenant risk associated with smaller science and tech companies. In practice, we've seen very few failures, as you can see. But risk management remains critical. Smaller, higher growth occupiers typically take Storey or Work Ready space on shorter leases with limited rent-free periods, supported by rent deposits. Because the fit-out is generic, if a tenant does fail, we can relet quickly with downtime generally covered by the deposit. By contrast, we require strong credit profiles for our HQ space, given the longer leases, higher incentives and more bespoke customer fit-outs. Though ultimately, owning in-demand real estate is the best mitigant of credit risk. I'd like to now turn to development. It's a more challenging environment for this given higher build and funding costs. So it won't work everywhere, but in very core locations like here at Broadgate, where future supply is close to 0, the economics remain compelling. We are achieving premium rents, yields on cost over 7%, and we're mitigating risk through pre-lets, fixed price design and build contracts, and partnerships. This is exactly the approach we're taking at 1 Appold Street, as you'll hear later from Kelly. And now to Retail Parks, a growing part of our business where the fundamentals remain very healthy. By now, you'll be very familiar with our 3 As, affordability, accessibility and adaptability. These make parks the format of choice for the U.K.'s best-performing retailers, the grocers, essentials and omnichannel operators. Expansion by these retailers has driven strong absorption with vacancy down 340 basis points since 2021, unlike high streets and shopping centers where vacancy remains high. New supply is very unlikely, values remain below replacement cost, and planning is extremely restrictive. Our portfolio is unmatched in terms of quality and scale. We have 10 million square foot of space within 30 minutes of half the U.K.'s population. And our deep long-standing retailer relationships are a key competitive advantage. This has translated into footfall that's grown more than 13% above the U.K. retail benchmark since 2019. Strong rental growth on our Retail Parks looks set to continue given the high correlation with occupancy. Our occupancy is 99%, and we delivered 4.4% rental growth last year. The over-rent that emerged post COVID has largely burned off through ERV growth. And today, we're leasing space around 6% above previous passing rent. Kelly will cover this and how we're also leveraging our retailer relationships to source attractive acquisitions and drive performance. But before that, I'll hand over to David to take you through the finances. David, over to you.