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B2Gold Corp. (BTG)

Q4 2020 Earnings Call· Thu, Feb 25, 2021

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Transcript

Operator

Operator

Good afternoon my name is Jason, and I will be your conference operator today. At this time, I'd like to welcome everyone to the B2Gold Fourth Quarter and Full Year 2020 Financial Results Conference Call. All lines have been placed on mute to prevent any background noise. After the speakers' remarks, there will be a question and answer session. [Operator Instructions] I would now like to turn the call over to Clive Johnson, President and Chief Executive Officer and Director. Thank you Mr. Johnson, you may begin your conference.

Clive Johnson

Analyst

Thanks, Jason. Well thanks for joining us everyone. Welcome to our conference call to discuss our Q4 and year-end financial results for 2020. We had an analyst session that we put into production numbers this year, which I think was very useful for everyone. And this is a session where we're welcoming shareholders as well and other interested parties. So we just asked the analysts if you have detailed modeling questions or when we open up Q&A, I would ask you to not do that in this forum. We're happy to discuss the strip ratio in Masbate in 2030 or whatever in a separate call with you where we’ll continue to be transparent and help you get your models right. But not we don't want to have those kind of detailed questions in this call; you can follow up with Ian. Maybe he'll put you in touch with the right person to answer those detailed modeling questions. In terms of overview, obviously, we had a remarkable year in 2020, by any measure in terms of operating and financial results, as you're going to hear from Mike. And I do think it's we've talked about it before. But I think we're very proud of what we've been able to accomplish, particularly the time of COVID. We did a lot of things well this year, and I think the having a COVID with our employees, all of our stakeholders is I like to think they are very successful and all these countries have very different challenges and all these projects to improve it. But I like to think it's a testament to our culture, and our trust relationship we have with all of our stakeholders. So the governments in these countries that we're in, and our employees, and the local people in…

Mike Cinnamond

Analyst

Thanks, Clive. So I'll talk about the quarter fairly briefly, and then just comment in the year-to-date the overall results, given that it's for a year end reporting, and also discuss a few things on the cash flow as well. So firstly, on the quarter, we had revenues of $480 million, so that was based on the sale of 257,000 ounces at an average price of 1868 per ounce. So good gold prices that we saw in Q4 that they actually the highest Q that we saw, given what went on with gold during the year was Q3 for gold prices. And that 1868 for Q4 is a little bit higher than we're seeing now in Q1 as we move into the New Year. We pretty much sold what we produced in the period, so no significant timing changes there. On the production side, good production quarter right on budget, basically. So the total production including our share of Calibre to tradable ounces was 270,000 ounces. So pretty much right on right on budget. And the total from our three operating mines was 256,000 ounces, again, pretty much right on budget. So really nothing to comment on the individual site production other than they basically had budget. Fekola, 159,000 ounces; Masbate, 58,000 ounces; and Otjikoto, 40,000 ounces. So when you take a look at that budget of production and look at how it flowed into cash costs, and this is kind of how we guided I think, in Q3. So on the cash cost -- on a total from all ops, including Calibre, cash costs were $473 per ounce produced, and that's about 55% higher than budget. And those higher than budget cash costs really mainly come from Fekola, where -- because of some mining sequence changes during the year…

Clive Johnson

Analyst

Thanks, Mike. Just something I neglected to mention in my opening remarks was just on strategy. I think it's pretty clear from the news release and from the recent calls we've had. But our strategy remains really the same, which is obviously to maintain our strong financial position we said and the ability of paying a dividend and advance our growth projects. But between the growth projects, the potential we have at Gramalote, at Kiaka, the Anaconda area, etcetera. And all the exploration funding we're doing for both brownfields and greenfields. We're pretty confident in our ability to grow shareholder value in this company over the year, without having to aggressively pursue M&A. So obviously, we'll look at M&A and we all had a big haircut from the highs that we were at, so other companies have as well. But for us to do M&A at this point, whenever that we plan going on and we think potentially you can have lot of shareholder value, it would have to be seen extremely compelling even though the unreal expectations of certain companies have tend to come down because of the certain opportunities because of the gold price. We'll see. We're always looking. But at the end of the day, we are quite ambivalent at this point about M&A, which is a good place to be I think, given what we have on our plate. If something comes along that makes sense and making adds value for shareholders, of course, as by background, we'll definitely have a hard look at it. So I think with that, we'll move to open it up to questions.

Operator

Operator

Q - Tyler Langton

Analyst

Yes, good afternoon. Thanks for taking my questions. Just on Cardinal I guess, in terms of I know you mentioned to be sending some material to get processed at the mill in Q2. I guess do you have a sense, is it -- after you come out with the resource sort of when you know what Cardinals could contribute this year to production at Fekola?

Clive Johnson

Analyst

Bill?

William Lytle

Analyst

Yes. Sure, sure. Good question and maybe we should have talked about a little bit. Just to remind everybody why we're discussing Cardinal at all at this space because there is a chance really to just create quite a significant resource there. But it was basically discovered when we were doing condemnation drilling. So there is a very close to surface exposure of the ore body or up the vein. And I think everyone is aware that the expansion, which we completed in September of 2020 has gone off probably even better than we had hoped, and we've done some throughput trials and showed that while our budget is at 7.75 million tonnes per annum, we have the ability, at a minimum, run at 8 million tonnes per annum in 2021 based on the ore competition that we're seeing. So we have this extra capacity. And so as opposed to running low-grade material, campaigning low-grade material through the mill in 2021 on top of that 7.75 million tonnes per annum, we looked at alternative sources. And of course, the closest source is the Cardinal resource. The Cardinal resources, they're going to continue to drill on it. And the resource, which is coming out isn't really focused on near-surface exposure. So what we've done is we've taken what the inferred resource that the geologists have created, and we've now put a great control pattern across that and created our own kind of mini resource for kind of near-term, open-pit success in 2021. As part of that, we've approached the government and asked for the ability to bulk sample it, and that obviously does a couple of things for us. Obviously, it increases the grade -- the ounce profile from the mill. And so the question you asked was, How much? We…

Tyler Langton

Analyst

And just to and that would largely come, I'm guessing, in the second half of the year?

William Lytle

Analyst

Well, that's the funny thing, right? So we don't necessarily think it's going to come in the second half of the year. We are pushing very hard, actually, Randy Reichert, our VP of Operations, is at Fekola right now kind of laying out mine plants? And what does that look like? I mean, certainly, when we did our optimization on the mining side, we optimized on basically hauling from the Fekola pit. So we've got the issue of, how do we truck this stuff? It's only 500 meters, but how do we truck it to the mill? And so we're in the process of trying to set up maybe a small contract minor service for 2021 until we get our head around it. So ideally, we would actually see it in Q2.

Tyler Langton

Analyst

Got it. Okay. And then just -- obviously, we've seen a lot of inflation in sort of oil, diesel, steel, freight. And I guess when you come out with the studies for Gramalote and Kiaka a little bit later, should we assume that they will kind of reflect this current level of cost? Just kind of wanted to, I guess, get a bit of better understanding around that.

William Lytle

Analyst

When you say reflect this current level of cost, what do you -- I don't understand what you're asking?

Tyler Langton

Analyst

Kind of, like, current -- I guess, current prices for oil, diesel, steel, will these studies kind of have -- kind of, be based on more these current prices that we're seeing now? Or would they be a little bit in the past. Just trying to get a sense for that?

William Lytle

Analyst

No. I mean, I think you're aware, we updated the -- so AngloGold did a PEA -- or sorry, a PFS in 2017, which we updated into a PEA, and that's because of the inferred versus indicated question in 2020, right? So we certainly updated at least at a very high level in 2020. And as part of the feasibility, I mean, these will have full feasibility costs in it, so we've gone out for quotes, for sure.

Tyler Langton

Analyst

That’s it. Okay, thanks so much.

Operator

Operator

Your next question comes from the line of Ovais Habib from Scotiabank. Your line is open.

Ovais Habib

Analyst

Thanks Operator. Hi, Clive and B2 team, congrats on a good quarter and thanks for taking my question. With respect to what's on Cardinal, which kind of I think Bill kind of gave a good overview of. I mean, I'm guessing the near term, the reason why it's brought into the near term, where it was previously expected to come in around the Q4 time period. It was based on the fact that now you're just doing that grade-control drilling, and that's given you confidence to bring it into production earlier. Is that how should we be thinking about this?

William Lytle

Analyst

It really Ovais is -- you could say, yes. But the real answer, if I'm being completely honest is, we have this extra capacity where we know that we're shoving low grade in right now. Right? So we're just doing whatever we can to bring higher-grade material into the mill. And so yes, it could be Q4. Originally, we talked about potentially swapping Anaconda bulk sample and Cardinal bulk sample. But because the grade control drilling is being done and everything, we feel pretty good about bringing it in even sooner. And I know conservatively, I should say that's going to happen in the second half of the year, but when I'm being honest with you we are out there, grade controlling it right now.

Ovais Habib

Analyst

Perfect. And just in terms of metallurgy and just having that kind of information in your hand, all that has been done previously already?

William Lytle

Analyst

Yes. Well, I'll let John answer that. But the short answer is yes. We feel very confident about what we've got there. And then just remember, this also -- we think there's a much larger resource there, and maybe Tom can comment on that, which will eventually come out. But certainly, doing this bulk sample, which is one of the key things for doing this bulk sample, will give us a real good handle on how this materially interacts with what we've already got there and how it works its way through the mill.

Ovais Habib

Analyst

Thanks for the answer.

William Lytle

Analyst

John, do you want to comment at all on the metallurgy for Cardinal?

John Rajala

Analyst

Yes, sure, Bill. The metallurgy is very similar to Fekola. We've done testing on representative samples, and it responds very similarly to the Fekola ore. So we're confident that we'll get similar recoveries as Fekola on Cardinal.

Ovais Habib

Analyst

Thanks, John. And my next question is for Tom. In regards to the exploration budget, specifically for greenfield exploration, is there one specific project or region that you're particularly excited about? Or how should we be looking at? Where you guys are going to be focusing on with this exploration budget?

Thomas Garagan

Analyst

Yes. I'll just -- first of all, I'll just make a comment. And Clive has said this, and I'll say this or repeat it, it's a pretty big budget, but it's a culmination of many, many years of project generation and talking to juniors and talking to governments and going out and looking at things. And slowly, we've accumulated these early-stage projects. If I had to say there was one area I was more excited than the other, it's kind of a difficult question, but I'm very encouraged by what we're doing in Uzbekistan right now. That's been a project dear to my heart and dear to our hearts because we've worked on it for so many years to generate this. I'm also -- if we look at what we're doing in Finland, we're drilling next to a new discovery by Rupert, and we're excited what we see on our own property. On the other ones, right now, I'd just rather keep those to myself for now because we were still generating things that we plan on drilling later this year.

Ovais Habib

Analyst

Okay, thanks Tom. That’s it from me guys.

Thomas Garagan

Analyst

Thanks, Ovais.

Operator

Operator

Your next question comes from the line of Josh Wolfson from RBC Capital Markets. Your line is open.

Josh Wolfson

Analyst

First, a question on the tax side of things. Thank you for the additional disclosure. I noticed the commentary and the call information that the priority dividend would be paid as a tax. In the cash flow statement this quarter, there was still a distribution to non-controlling interest, I guess, of $9 million. What would that be related to? And is that expected going forward?

Michael Cinnamond

Analyst

Well, the priority interest that we have, we do have interest in Namibia, right, we have a 10% holder, like, owner in Otjikoto. So there are some payments made to them.

Josh Wolfson

Analyst

Okay. But is it safe to assume that the -- I guess, the full 20%, whatever you want to call it, the free carried and the equity interest for Fekola, that will be captured in the taxes line, not the distribution to non-controlling interest line?

Michael Cinnamond

Analyst

No, no, it's split. So the first 10% of Fekola, the priority dividend will always be reflected in operating activities. It's recorded as a tax charge and paid within operating cash flows. And then the second 10% is just an ordinary dividend, and it will be reflected as a payment.

Josh Wolfson

Analyst

Okay. That’s fine. And then on Gramalote, I guess 2 questions. So with some of the commentary from Anglo earlier this week, is it safe to assume that the ownership is unlikely to change at this point? And then a follow-up on this sort of open-ground claim that's under review by the ministry there, what does that mean for the outlook of the asset and time lines?

Clive Johnson

Analyst

Yes. I'll answer the first part of that. Everything that AGA has said to us and they reiterated again yesterday in their investor call is that they are keen on Gramalote. It's a project we also think it's very important for them. They keep the project and other things that they want to do in Colombia. They're a bit behind Gramalote in timing. So they see this very important to be involved in a successful joint venture with us as operator, to show the ever new Columbia, what the first potentially first significant open-pit gold mine in the country looks like and how well we're going to do it in a great part of the country to be in Ethiopia. So I think I would be -- at this point in time, I would be quite surprised if there was any ownership change. As we've talked about it before, but based on our agreement, if AGA decides after we submit a development plan, if they don't want to fund, then we have the opportunity to purchase their produce and interest on their market terms based on the feasibility study economics. They also have the option to go down to 30% within the agreement as well. But also, of course, we would have the opportunity to bring another partner in if we so desired. And I think there'll be a long list of companies if the economics are what we're hoping to see that would like to partner it up with B2Gold in Colombia of having our team build the mine. So I'd be surprised that at this point in time things can change, but AGA is very committed to Columbia. And from what they're saying, they want to be part of this project at the feasibility and their development decision. Second part of the question, who wants to handle that?

William Lytle

Analyst

If you want, I can do it. I assume you're talking to the -- you're talking about the Zante claim?

Josh Wolfson

Analyst

Yes.

William Lytle

Analyst

Okay. Yes. So I don't know if you know the background of it. But basically, the way it works in Colombia is when they did their cadastral layout, originally, it was all done in paper copy, and then they switched over to an electronic copy. And during that, some of the claims didn't line up when they put them in the computer. Zante kind of jumped in there and said that they would like to claim a small portion of that. The government has rejected that outright. Right? They said that that's not the case, and there's really not an open area. And even if there was an open area, that small area, you could never develop it anyway. So they don't think that it's a real thing. Zante has filed the suit against the Government of Columbia saying that they don't agree with that. The government themselves say, it's without merit, right? We've asked to join that case as Gramalote as an interested party, obviously and once again, I think our internal view is that there's no merit to this case at all, and we just got to play itself out.

Josh Wolfson

Analyst

In the absence of this being resolved, is there a way that this -- that you can sort of just continue with construction advancement? Or does this have to be solved first?

William Lytle

Analyst

Well, I'll answer it from a non-legal perspective and then they can correct me. But my understanding, the government wants this project to go forward expeditiously, right? They're pushing us even harder than we're trying to go. So I don't see any way where the government tries to stop us from developing this project. Legally, what that means, I guess that's a question for Roger and/or Randall.

Josh Wolfson

Analyst

Great. Thank you very much.

Michael Cinnamond

Analyst

Hey Josh, just to follow up on your first question, so I was just trying to remember the timing of the call. So we did make a very -- the very first ever dividend, ordinary dividend payment, to the Malian government. We actually made it just before the end of the year. So part of that $9 million that you're referring to, there's about half of that is the very first government share under those ordinary dividends. For some reason, I had it in my mind. It was early January, but we actually did it just before year-end.

Josh Wolfson

Analyst

Okay. Thanks for clarifying. It’s great.

Operator

Operator

Your next question comes from the line of Don DeMarco from National Bank Financial. Your line is open.

Don DeMarco

Analyst

Hi, Clive and Bill, thanks for taking my call. First question is for Bill. So Bill, at Fekola you mentioned before you were testing higher throughput rates in December. I was wondering if you could give us an update on how that's going. I heard you say earlier, it looks like maybe you can do 8 million tonnes per year, but what are you finding based on your testing you've done so far? Can it go higher? Or where are you at?

William Lytle

Analyst

Yes. So now John is going to kick my butt for saying it, but yes, we think that we can go higher, right? So we're at -- we're currently running even above 8 million tonnes per annum. But with that being said, we need to caution everybody right. So it was designed for 7.75 million tonnes per year. We've already put out 8 million tonnes per year. We're running above that right now, but we don't have any experience, right? So I think everybody is telling me to just hold off, and we're happy to say 8 million tonnes per year without putting the upper number on there, but it has the potential to go higher, but that takes into things like maintenance and how do you layer your critical spares and your downtime and all these things that we really have to look at, that we don't have our head around yet. So I'm a bit low to give an upper bound.

Don DeMarco

Analyst

Okay. Fair enough. So the guidance for 2020 calls for 7.75 million tonnes per year run rate. And so when you mention Cardinal to add on additional 250,000 tonnes. To get 25,000 ounces, I just ran some math here. It looks like you'd be grading about 3.3 grams per tonne, which would be well above the guidance grade of 2.3%. So is that right? You're sort of thinking to get that 25,000, you'd be topping 3 grams per tonne from Cardinal?

William Lytle

Analyst

Yes. I would say, yes, but maybe Randy can correct me.

Don DeMarco

Analyst

Okay. And so it sounds as though if you're going to get to 8 million tonnes per year, 250,000 tonnes is probably going to be hitting capacity, but -- or is there any other opportunity to bring on something else from Anaconda? I think you had mentioned -- that was mentioned maybe in previous calls.

William Lytle

Analyst

Yes. So from Anaconda, there absolutely is the potential. But remember, that's in a separate license area, so that has its own set of issues. What we're doing there is we're doing -- we're doing an internal study right now to see what that looks like. Once again, Randy Reichert is managing that study with the intent, not only to take a bulk sample from Anaconda because we don't see this as like a short-term issue. We believe there -- once again, there's a pretty significant resource at Anaconda, but they need time to drill it. And so really in 2021 and 2022, which other people have noticed that we have a bit of a dip in 2022 as well, we have the potential to add some ounces from Anaconda. And so the plan is to take -- is to permit a bulk sample because remember a lot of that is sample layer. And so then you get into the issue on not only is it 8 million tonnes or is it higher net. Then is that can you add sample layer on top of that? What's the percentage? So we want to take a big bulk sample again from Anaconda, that we think that will happen in the second half of the year as a test. And then that will really tell us what's going to happen in 2022. So the answer is yes, additional ounces potential from Anaconda, which I talked about previously. And in 2022, we can once again see additional ounces in that regard.

Don DeMarco

Analyst

Okay. Okay. Thanks, that will do. And maybe just one final question on Gramalote. So you've got this asset that's coming out in April. We look forward to that. But in terms of the go-forward decision, are you going to wait until, say, after the Kiaka asset in June? Or are you going to take your time? And how will, say, for example, Tom mentioned he's encouraged by what he's seeing in Uzbekistan. Is there anything else in your pipeline that could potentially delay a go-forward decision on Gramalote?

Clive Johnson

Analyst

No, I would say, not at all. I mean, Gramalote is first in the queue for sure ahead of Kiaka and very much sure. If we get the results in the study we're looking for and go to the drill plan, we'll be -- that's our top priority. And yes, I think it's really important to realize that the good news is that the local people, the local government and then Ethiopia local community and the federal government, everyone wants this mine to go ahead as fast as possible. They made it very clear to us. So you don't -- one, it's in our pipeline because for a reason because it's ready to go and we're looking forward to something to the feasibility study getting going right away on it. But also, the same important with your social license of expectation here. So there's a lot of expectation out there many years from Gramalote, where the people and the government saying, Okay, when are you going to start construction? So we wouldn't be driven only by that criteria, but you've got a willing government, a willing population, really, good joint venture, a lot of good work has been done, and we've got our construction team jump on the bit to get on the ground. So -- and as importantly as all of that or more importantly than all of that, it's what we expect it to be. This is a significant addition of over 200,000 ounces a year to be B2Gold, and it could be funded over the next 2.5 years our share of capital, which is estimated to be around $450 million, and some of that would be a fleet. So it might be less than that, you could pay for the fleet over 5 years. So we do…

Don DeMarco

Analyst

Okay, great. That’s very helpful. So that’s all for me and congratulations on a strong 2020.

Clive Johnson

Analyst

Thanks a lot, Don. Appreciate it.

Operator

Operator

Your next question comes from the line of Carey MacRury from Canaccord Genuity. Your line is open.

Carey MacRury

Analyst

Hi, good morning guys. Maybe just another question on Cardinal. You talked about sort of the impact on -- potential impact on 2021. Just looking beyond 2021, is the goal at Cardinal sort of sustain that 500,000 ounces at Fekola longer? Or could you increase production over the next couple of years?

William Lytle

Analyst

Well, that really gets into what the ultimate resource looks like, which I think -- I don't think there's an initial resource coming out, but the ultimate resource, I think, is still a ways away from being developed. And so I would probably turn that over to Tom.

Thomas Garagan

Analyst

So yes, can you guys hear me?

William Lytle

Analyst

Yes.

Thomas Garagan

Analyst

The resource that you guys are doing, the grade control on right now, is all when it's -- when we complete the resource, which would be in a couple of weeks here. It's going to be inferred. And we're probably going to leave the bulk of that resource in for exploration drilling for this year as we've got some tight drilling in where the ore shoots are, to try to follow those down plunge. We've got some drilling set aside for deeper exploration. And we've got a little bit of a more sort of grade control style drilling within the exploration budget. So for this year alone, we've got close to 12,000 meters of diamond and about 6,000 liters of RC drilling plan for Cardinal. We still see it as an exploration bet, but there's a lot of -- from my perspective, it's still early on that Cardinal which was found last year, basically, and now we are starting to mine it. I'm not complaining, I'm just saying that we are very early on it. So the ultimate size is still yet to be determined but it is part of our active exploration program. I don't know if that answers your question.

Carey MacRury

Analyst

No, that's helpful. So beyond the bulk sample, there's no sort of invent plan to keep it into the mine plant in the near term? Or is there going to be like a bulk sample and then a bit of a break? Or is it -- you can kind of just keep mining it as you go as you get in front of the exploration?

Thomas Garagan

Analyst

No, I didn't say that. The inferred model that we're going to have is going to be incorporated into the planning by the mining department. We don't plan to turn that into all indicators. They're already doing great control of drilling on it, and we'll continue to follow that, and then we'll continue to drill it deeper.

Carey MacRury

Analyst

We're hoping you can send the mine plan going forward, right? We hope it continues on, Bill?

William Lytle

Analyst

Yes, for sure. I mean, once again, I hate saying that because as Clive just -- or Tom just pointed out, we're talking about an inferred resource that quite frankly we haven't even seen the latest update on. So absolutely, I mean, it's 500 meters from the edge of the existing pit. So it is in an ideal location, and we will take that as soon as it becomes available.

Carey MacRury

Analyst

All right. Thank you.

Operator

Operator

Your next question comes from the line of Anita Soni from CIBC World Market. Your line is open.

Anita Soni

Analyst

Hi, good morning guys. Thanks for taking my questions. Most have been asked and answered, but the only one I have remaining is about the Cardinal. Just to be clear, the 20,000 ounces to 25,000 ounces, is that within your guidance incorporated already, in terms of the production? Or -- and secondly, in terms of costs, would that higher-grade material have a beneficial impact on the cost? Or is that more just tied to the strip ratio?

William Lytle

Analyst

Yes. So the first part is, no, it's not included in our existing guidance. Any guidance we put out, even our 5-year guidance that I think we did at Investor Day last year does not include any of our inferred or upside sources. And so what we put out was 7.75 million tonnes per annum throughput at Fekola with no upside from Cardinal. And as far as cost, I think, once again, because we don't even know what the contract rates or anything like that? I'm a bit low to say about that. But if you're talking about just a small amount -- a small percentage versus the 500,000 ounces, we're already producing.

Anita Soni

Analyst

Okay, allright. Thank you.

Operator

Operator

There are no further questions. I'll turn the call back to Clive for closing remarks.

Clive Johnson

Analyst

Okay. Well, thanks, everyone. Good questions. And as I mentioned at the outset, if you have further detailed modeling questions, we're here to share and be transparent in helping the model. So don't hesitate to reach out if there's other questions you would like to ask. And we're very excited about the year coming up and or this year. And we look forward to reporting back to you as we get exploration results in and other developments, like feasibility studies. Over the next period of time, we'll have a lot of news flow for you. Thanks, everyone.

Operator

Operator

That concludes today's conference call. You may now disconnect.