Jeffrey D. Capello
Analyst · Rick Wise
Thanks, Mike. Let me begin by providing some overall perspectives on the quarter before getting into the details. Despite very challenging global economic and end market conditions that adversely impacted revenues, we generated adjusted earnings per share of $0.15, above both our guidance range of $0.11 to $0.14, industry consensus of $0.14 driven by continued strong attention to cost control. In addition to exceeding expectations on earnings, we also had another strong quarter in generating operating cash flow, which allowed us to begin returning cash to shareholders by buying back 30 million shares or approximately 2% of the company. Despite the challenging environment, our POWER strategy is beginning to gain traction, and we remain confident in our ability to drive shareholder value. Let me now move to the detailed review of the quarter to discuss the operating results and highlight the progress being made. Consolidated revenue for the third quarter was $1,874,000,000, representing a decrease of 2% on a reported basis and a decrease of 3% in constant currency terms compared to the third quarter last year, excluding the negative impact of the Neurovascular divestiture. The actual benefit of favorable foreign exchange was in line with the $64 million assumed in our third quarter guidance range. At this point, I'll move on to address our sales results and business highlights for all of our businesses. Worldwide DS revenues came in at $375 million, including a $6 million positive impact from the partial reversal of the sales returns reserve relating to the U.S. launch of ION. This represents a reported increase of 3% and a constant currency decrease of 1% compared to the third quarter of 2010. Our worldwide DS revenue included $114 million for TAXUS and TAXUS Element, $152 million for PROMUS and $150 million for PROMUS Element. We, once again, held clear worldwide DS market share leadership during the third quarter, with an estimated global market share of 36%, which we estimate to be a full 800 basis points higher than our nearest competitor. These figures exclude positive impact of the ION reserve in the U.S. With the continued strong customer adoption of our Element platform, including PROMUS Element internationally, as well as TAXUS Element/ION in the U.S., J&J's impending exit from the DS business and the expected launches of PROMUS Element in the U.S. and Japan, we are very focused on growing our market share leadership going forward. Including the positive impact of the ION reserve, U.S. DS revenue was $191 million. This represents a decline of 4% compared to the third quarter of last year. While ION continues to perform very well in the U.S., our revenue shortfall compared to guidance was driven by some softness we saw in PCI volumes in the quarter, as well as conscious pricing decisions on our part. Within the quarter, we believe some of the PCI softness was due to a combination of several factors including economic pressures and RAC audits. Given the nature of the third quarter with a high concentration of vacation periods, it is too early to say whether the softness will persist. U.S. DS revenue includes $13 million of TAXUS, $71 million of ION and $107 million of PROMUS. Excluding the impact of the ION reserve, we estimate that our U.S. DS share was 49% for the quarter with 2 share points of TAXUS, 19 share points of ION and 28 share points of PROMUS. We estimate that our industry leading U.S. DS share increased 300 basis points compared to third quarter of last year off the strong launch of ION. We continue to maintain drug-eluting stent market share leadership in a competitive U.S. market with an estimated 1,400 basis points more market share than our nearest competitor. On a sequential basis, we estimate our share decreased 100 basis points as share gains from Cordis' exit were offset by conscious decisions involving certain accounts where pricing declined to unattractive levels due to very aggressive competitor activity. Based on our estimates of the U.S. market for the third quarter, we believe that Abbott's share was approximately 35% while Medtronic and J&J achieved approximately 13% and 3%, respectively. International DS sales of $184 million represented a reported increase of 11% and an increase of 3% on a constant-currency basis as the rollout of our Element platform continues to do very well. This includes $29 million in TAXUS, $45 million in PROMUS and $110 million in PROMUS Element sales. During the third quarter, we increased our estimated DS market share in EMEA by 100 basis points sequentially to approximately 33% as our PROMUS Element and TAXUS Element stents continue to be adopted in various countries and due to do the beginning benefits of Cordis' exit for the market. We expect this to continue to play out in 2012 and 2013 as tenders come up for renewal. TAXUS' market share was approximately 5% with revenue of $12 million, and PROMUS Element's share was 28% with revenue of $64 million. We estimate Abbott's share at 25%, Medtronic at 20% and J&J's share at 9% during the quarter. We continue to be very pleased with the market acceptance of the platinum chromium element platform in EMEA. Our DS' share in Japan was an estimated 33%, slightly down sequentially with revenue of $48 million. We held share better than expected in the quarter with share losses due to local competitor stent launch essentially offset by share recapture from another competitor. TAXUS market share in Q3 was approximately 4% with revenue of $6 million, and PROMUS' market share was approximately 29% with revenue of $42 million. We estimate Abbott's share at 33%, Medtronic at 6% and J&J at 2% for the quarter. We continue to anticipate gaining approval for PROMUS Element in Japan in mid-2012. We estimate our intercontinental DS share increased 100 basis points to 22% during the third quarter with the share split 4% TAXUS with $11 million in revenue, 1% PROMUS with $3 million in revenue and 17% PROMUS Element with $46 million in revenue. We are starting to see some contribution from the launch of our element DS platform in emerging markets, primarily India and Brazil, and we expect this to accelerate in 2012 as we gain additional important pricing approvals in India and expand the recent launch of PROMUS Element in China. With an estimated combined DS market in China and India of nearly $700 million growing at around 20%, coupled with our investments in sales reps, dealers and infrastructure, we believe we are now poised to drive our single-digit market share up significantly in these key critical end markets. Now I'll provide some detail on the drug-eluting stent market dynamics during the quarter. We estimate the worldwide DS market in Q3 had approximately $1,039,000,000, which is flat on a reported basis and down 3% on a constant-currency basis versus Q3 2010. The estimated worldwide market in the quarter includes a worldwide unit volume increase of approximately 10%, driven by a 10% increase in PCI volume and a 2 percentage point increase in penetration, offset by a market decline in average selling prices in the low double-digits. The U.S. DS market is estimated to be about $381 million for the quarter, representing a decrease of approximately 12% from the third quarter of last year. This consists of a 5% unit volume decrease, which includes a modest decrease in PCI volume, a slight decline in penetration levels and a high single-digit ASP decline. U.S. PCI volume in the quarter was approximately 245,000 procedures, down 3% compared to the third quarter of 2010. We estimate that the U.S. DS penetration of 77% was down 1 percentage point compared to the third quarter of 2010. Combined with stent procedure rates and stents per procedure, we estimate that the total market for the U.S. stents in Q3 2011 was approximately 323,000 units, including 248,000 units of DS. We estimate international DS market at $658 million for the quarter, up about 10% on a reported basis and about 3% on a constant-currency basis compared to the third quarter of last year. This consists of a unit volume increase of approximately 18%, which includes a 16% increase in PCI volume and a 3 percentage point increase in penetration. These unit volume and penetration increases were largely offset by a low double-digit decline in ASPs. Procedures were very strong in the quarter with approximately 664,000 PCI procedures, including 350,000 procedures in EMEA, 54,000 in Japan, as well as 261,000 procedures in intercontinental. We estimate that the international DS penetration of 65% was up 300 basis points over the third quarter of 2010, including 60% EMEA, 75% in Japan and 71% in intercontinental. Worldwide CRM revenue was $503 million in the third quarter, representing a reported decrease of 9% and a constant currency decrease of 12% compared to the third quarter of 2010. We estimate that our worldwide CRM share was down about 40 basis points sequentially at just under 19%. Worldwide defibrillator sales were $360 million. This represents a reported decrease of 11% and a constant currency decrease of 14% from the third quarter of 2010. In the U.S., CRM revenue of $296 million represents an 18% decrease from the prior year. Our U.S. defib sales were $225 million. This represents a 20% decrease from last year due primarily to continued market declines and replacement headwinds. Compared to Q2, the U.S. defib market appears to have weakened further in July and August as the summer vacation months proved to be particularly slow. Although September and early October have shown some encouraging signs of improvement, we continue to monitor the market closely, and visibility remains very limited. As a result, we expect to need at least another quarter or 2 before we can say with any certainty whether the market is stabilized. We believe that our de novo share has remained stable over the last several quarters and are optimistic that our share outlook will improve further following the planned launch of our PUNCTUA, ENERGEN and INCEPTA defibrillators in the U.S. late this year or early next year depending on final FDA requirements. These next-generation products will include versions with our 4-SITE DF-4 lead systems built off our highly dependable RELIANCE platform. International CRM sales of $206 million were up 10% on a reported basis and flat in constant currency compared to prior quarter. International pace revenue was up 6% in constant currency, up strong double-digit growth in Japan and intercontinental. We continue to be very pleased with our growing relationship with Fukuda Denshi in Japan as they continue to ramp up the distribution of Boston Scientific CRM products. International defib sales of $135 million represented a 7% reported increase from last year and down 2% in constant currency. We continue to see very positive responses to our 4-SITE DF-4 lead system international markets. On a Long Stent [ph] side, we expect to launch our INGENIO family of pacemakers and cardiac synchronization therapy pacemakers in the first half of next year in the U.S. and Europe. INGENIO was built on the same platform as our existing high-voltage devices, representing our first new major technology introductions in this category in many years and is expected to be the foundation for a series of low-voltage braided [ph] launches. These launches include systems with remote patient management capabilities, as well as an MRI compatible pacemaker system with both single and dual-chamber devices. We expect our MRI compatible Pacer system, which will not have many of the existing competitive product compromises to be available in Europe next year. Our worldwide Peripheral Interventions business was up 4% in constant currency in Q3 despite a slowdown in the U.S. procedures. Our International Care business grew 10% on the strength of 6 recent new product launches. We were very pleased to see growth trends again, in all 3 PI franchises on a worldwide basis in the third quarter and have made very good progress with our PI pipeline over the last quarter. In PI stents, growth was driven by the Epic self-expanding stent internationally and the carotid WALLSTENT in Japan. We currently expect to launch the Epic Stent in the U.S. in late 2012 or early 2013. Our core PI franchise, which includes PTA and vascular access, saw a good market share growth in the quarter driven primarily by the recent Mustang .035 and the Coyote .014 PTA balloons and dilatation catheter launches. Lastly, our Interventional Oncology franchise continues very strong double-digit worldwide growth in the third quarter. Recently launched products include the Renegade Fathom microcatheter and the guidewire system and Interlock 035 coils for peripheral embolization. Both continue to be very well-received by our customers. We expect to have a number of new PI product launch in the fourth quarter and throughout 2012, that we believe will further drive future growth in this business, which is now running at an annual rate of over $700 million a year in sales. Worldwide non-stent Interventional Cardiology was down 7% in constant currency. Consistent with prior periods, this decline was largely attributable to the procedural softness, some share declines in IVUS continued price erosion in PTCA balloons. We maintained our U.S. and worldwide PTCA Balloon leadership positions in the third quarter with 52% and 29% share, respectively, and expect to see some improvement in IVUS results due to new product launches beginning in 2012. Worldwide electrophysiology was down 2% in constant currency, primarily as a result of softness in the Blazer small tip and large tip business. Our reentry into the cooled ablation category with the Chilli catheter in the U.S. continues to proceed ahead of plan. European shipments are expected to resume next quarter. Sales of recently released Blazer Open-Irrigated Catheter in Europe have begun to ramp up as we move into full market release. This move into a full launch is a significant step in the execution of our global AFib strategy, and one of our 6 internally approved AFib-focused projects. On a worldwide basis, our Endoscopy business continued to have solid growth with sales up 6% in constant currency in the third quarter. Growth in the U.S. was 4% despite a challenging environment. Internationally, Endoscopy sales grew 8% with strength across all geographic regions, driven by new product introductions, expanded indications and the expansion of our single-use products. The Metal Stent franchise again, had strong results reporting a 7% increase internationally. This performance was led by our WallFlex Biliary RX Fully Covered Stent, which earlier in year, obtained CE Mark for the achievement of benign biliary structures, as well as continued strong adoption of our WallFlex Duodenal Stent in Japan. Worldwide growth of 8% was also reported in our biliary device franchise supported by continued growth in the Advanix Biliary plastic stent for the treatment of biliary strictures and the recent launch of the Expect Endoscopic Ultrasound aspiration needle, which is used for the tissue acquisition and diagnosis of malignancies in organs adjacent to the GI tract. The Hemostasis franchise delivered strong double-digit growth of 16% on a continued adoption utilization of our Resolution Clip technology for GI bleeding. Our Urology Women's Health business was flat on a worldwide basis, but was up 6% internationally on constant currency. The Urology business maintained its leadership position and delivered 3% worldwide growth driven by a 9% increase in our international core Stone Management business. The Women's Health business declined 8% on a worldwide basis as the persistently high U.S. unemployment rate and increasing employee insurance deductibles and cost sharing continue to put pressure on a lot of procedures. In addition, the recent FDA public health notice update on the use of urogynecologic surgical mesh for pelvic organ prolapse negatively impacted procedural volumes in the pelvic floor market. Our international Women's Health business continues to experience good growth and was up 10%, driven by new product introductions, increased sales investments and the penetration of new therapies. The rollout of our next-generation Genesys HTA System for the treatment of abnormal uterine bleeding had another very strong quarter, delivering double-digit growth and expanding our market share. We continue to believe that the significantly enhanced user interface and ease of use of operation will enable the business to grow its share of the $400 million market. Our worldwide neuromodulation business grew 6% on a constant-currency basis. Revenue growth was driven primarily by the continued uptick of products introduced over the past 12 months such as our new splitters, white leads, charger belt and Clik Anchor. We believe that the combination of our differentiated product portfolio and strong commercial execution strategies allowed us to continue to increase our market share in the quarter, and we expect this trend to continue in the future. Now let me move on to gross margins. Reported gross profit margin for the quarter was 63.7%. Excluding restructuring-related charges, adjusted gross profit margin for the quarter was 64.2% or 390 basis points lower than Q3 2010. The divested Neurovascular business negatively impacted gross margin by approximately 140 basis points in the quarter. FX and lower unit volumes in CRM reduced margins by 90 basis points and 60 basis points, respectively. In addition, we recorded a $21 million inventory reserve in Q3 related to the planned mid-2012 launch of PROMUS Element in the U.S. and Japan, which negatively impacted margins by 110 basis points. Additional inventory reserves, as well as the sales returns reserves may be required and may negatively impact margins depending on when this launch commences. Looking forward, we expect adjusted gross margins to be in a range of 65% to 66% in Q4 exclusive of many further potential reserves for PROMUS Element. Our reported SG&A expense in the third quarter were $629 million. Adjusted SG expenses excluding restructuring-related items were $628 million or 33.5% of sales. This compares to $633 million in the third quarter of 2010. The decrease was primarily due to the divestiture of Neurovascular and the benefit expense discipline in the recent restructuring activities, partially offset by negative FX, higher spending on strategic growth initiatives primarily in emerging markets and cost relating to recently acquired businesses. We expect our SG&A expense as a percentage of sales to be in a range of 33% of 34% in the fourth quarter as we continue to invest in growth initiatives such as the emerging markets. Both reported and adjusted Research and Development expenses were $229 million in the third quarter or 12.2% of sales. This compares to $230 million in the third quarter of 2010. R&D spending was essentially flat as lower expenses due to the divestiture of the Neurovascular business were offset by costs related to recently acquired businesses and FX. We expect R&D spending to be between 12% and 13% of sales in Q4. Royalty expense was $36 million or 1.9% of sales in the third quarter compared to $39 million in Q3 a year ago. We expect Q4 royalty expense to be relatively flat compared to the third quarter. We reported GAAP pretax operating income of $174 million for the third quarter. On an adjusted basis, excluding intangible asset impairment charges, acquisition, divestiture and restructuring-related charges and amortization expense, operating income for the quarter was $310 million or 16.5% of sales, down 450 basis points from the third quarter of 2010. As a percentage of sales, the decrease in adjusted operating income is due to lower gross margin and slightly higher operating expenses as a percentage of sales. I'd now like to highlight the GAAP to adjusted operating profit reconciliation items in a little bit more detail. We recorded intangible asset impairment charges of $9 million pretax or $7 million after-tax related to lower projected cash flows associated with certain acquired technologies. We recorded acquisition-related charges of $8 million pretax or $7 million after-tax. We recorded divestiture-related net credits of $7 million pretax or $5 million after-tax. We recorded $29 million pretax or $19 million after-tax of restructuring-related charges in the quarter related to severance, product transfer expenses and certain other costs in connection with the 2011 restructuring program we announced in July, as well as our previously announced Plant Network Optimization and alignment for growth programs. Total amortization expense was $97 million pretax or $78 million after-tax. The net cumulative effect of all these items was $136 million pretax and $81 million or $0.05 per share after-tax. Looking forward, we expect pretax amortization expense of Q4 to be in line with Q3. Let me now move on to other income expense. Interest expense was $62 million in the third quarter, which was $29 million lower than the third quarter of 2010. The lower interest expense is primarily due to $1.85 billion of debt repayment during the last 12 months and a lower average interest rate as a result of fixed to floating rate swaps executed on some of our public debt in the first quarter. Our average interest expense rate in Q3 2011 was 5.3%, or about 20 basis points lower than Q3 2010. Our tax rate for the third quarter on a reported GAAP basis was a negative 28%. Excluding the tax effect of the GAAP to adjusted operating profit reconciling items that I just stepped through, as well as discrete tax items in the quarter pertaining to past acquisitions, our effective tax rate on an adjusted basis was 9.7% of tax expense as a percentage of pretax income. Our adjusted tax rate for the third quarter was lower than our previously forecasted Q3 rate of around 21%, primarily due to a $25 million benefit from discrete tax items relating to our operating businesses. These discrete benefits included the release of tax reserves resulting from the completion of tax authority examinations, the expiration of a statute limitation for assessing tax in certain jurisdictions and the finalization of our 2011 U.S. real tax return. Excluding these discrete tax benefits, we had an operational tax rate for the third quarter of approximately 20%. This rate reflects our anticipated full year operational tax rate of approximately 17% increased by certain timing items. Due to the impact of timing items in the first 3 quarters, our year-to-date operational tax rate is slightly below 17%. We expect our operational tax rate to be around 20% in Q4 as these timing items continue to reverse and move our full year operational rate towards 17%. We reported GAAP EPS for the third quarter of $0.09 per share compared to $0.12 per share in the third quarter of last year. GAAP results for Q3 this year included the previously discussed intangible asset impairment charges, acquisition and restructuring-related charges, divestiture-related net credits, amortization expense and discrete tax benefits. Our adjusted EPS in the third quarter, which excludes these items was $0.15. Adjusted EPS for the third quarter 2010 was $0.19. As a reminder, adjusted EPS for the third quarter of 2010 excluded $0.07 per share of amortization and $0.01 per share of restructuring related charges, as well as $0.01 of discrete tax benefit. Stock comp was $31 million, and all per share calculation were computed using approximately 1.5 billion shares outstanding. DSO of 61 days was down 2 days compared to the third quarter of 2010 as strong collections in the U.S. more than offset continued weakness in EMEA. Days inventory in hand was 131 days, which was 5 days better than prior year. The benefit of inventory reductions attributable to the Neurovascular divestiture and finished goods reduction programs was partially offset by a higher inventory to support new product releases. We continue to work on reducing our inventory levels despite the required investments to support our new product introductions and Plant Network Optimization initiative. Reported operating cash flow in the quarter was $366 million compared to a $126 million outflow in Q3 2010. Q3 2011 cash flow included $25 million restructuring payments. Q3 2010 cash flow included the prepayment of the remaining $725 million obligation due to J&J on January 3, 2011, and $32 million of restructuring payments. Excluding these items, Q3 '11 operating cash flow was $391 million or $185 million lower than the Q3 2010, primarily due to lower net tax refund and lower operating income, partially offset by a benefit from the termination of our $850 million fixed floating-rate interest rate swaps on our public bonds. $74 million of the swap termination benefit will be amortized over the remaining life of the bonds or about 8 years, effectively reducing our rate on the bond from 6% to 4.95%. CapEx was $69 million in the quarter, which was $10 million lower than the third quarter of last year. Reported free cash flow was $297 million in the quarter compared to an outflow of $205 million Q3 2010. As a result of our recent de-leveraging efforts including the prepayment of $1.25 billion of debt in the first half of 2011, strong financial results and robust cash flows, we continued our positive credit rating momentum. During the quarter, Fitch raised our credit rating to investment grade of BBB- with a stable outlook, and S&P affirmed our investment grade rating of BBB- with a stable outlook. This follows Moody's action to raise our outlook to positive from stable in June. These actions put us one step away from reaching the investment grade credit rating with all 3 credit rating agencies. In July 2011, we announced the new $1 billion share repurchase program and the reapproval of the approximately 37 million shares remaining on our existing share repurchase program. The share repurchase program reflects our confidence in the strength of the company's long-term business prospects, earnings growth potential and our ability to generate strong cash flow. In Q3 2011, we repurchased 30 million shares or around 2% of our outstanding shares for approximately $192 million. Given our current share price, coupled with our strong cash flow and enhanced financial flexibility, the number of shares we expect to repurchase in Q4 should be at least in the neighborhood of the number we bought back in Q3. We remain confident that we can balance our priorities in investment and growth and returning immediate capital to shareholders, all while improving our investment grade metrics on the strength of solid cash flow. In July, we announced our 2011 restructuring program, which was designed to strengthen our operational effectiveness and efficiencies, increase our competitiveness and support new investments. During the third quarter, we initiated the first phase of certain activities under the new program, including reallocating some of the administrative and functional activities and finalizing arrangements with select preferred vendors. We recorded $15 million in charges in Q3 in connection with these activities and expect to incur an additional $10 million in charges during the fourth quarter as we progress these and other activities into the program. As previously communicated, we expect this program to be substantially completed by the end of 2013 and reduce our annual operating expenses by approximately $225 million to $275 million as we exit 2013, which is consistent with our plan to realize $100 million to $200 million in near-term savings as outlined at our Investor Day last November. We expect some of these savings to be reinvested in targeted areas necessary for future growth, including our priority growth initiatives and the commercial side of our emerging markets initiative. Let me now briefly provide some perspective on our outlook and walk you through our revised guidance for the fourth quarter and full year. Looking at the fourth quarter, we continue to face headwinds and limited visibility in several of our markets, most notably CRM. And we plan to continue to invest in emerging markets and other targeted areas. However, we also expect some operating favorability from continued expense discipline. Having considered those factors, we expect Q4 consolidated revenues to be in a range of $1.85 billion to $1.95 billion, which is down 3% to down 8% from the $2,002,000,000 recorded in the fourth quarter of 2010. If current foreign exchange rates hold constant through the fourth quarter, the tailwind from FX should be approximately $18 million or 90 basis points relative to the fourth quarter of last year. On a constant-currency basis, excluding the impact of the Neurovascular divestiture, consolidated fourth quarter sales should be in the range of down 1% to down 6%. For DS, we are targeting worldwide revenue to be in the range of $370 million to $390 million with U.S. revenue of $180 million to $190 million, and o U.S. revenue of $190 million to $200 million. Our Defibrillator business, we expect revenue of $360 million to $390 million worldwide, with $240 million -- excuse me, with $220 million to $240 million in U.S., and $140 million to $150 million outside U.S. In the fourth quarter, adjusted EPS excluding charges related to acquisitions and divestitures, restructuring and amortization expense are expected to be in a range of $0.13 to $0.16 per share. GAAP EPS for the fourth quarter is expected to be in a range of $0.05 to $0.11 per share. Including in our GAAP EPS estimate is up to $0.01 per share of acquisition-related charges, up to $0.01 per share of divestiture-related net credits, $0.01 to $0.02 per share restructuring-related charges and $0.05 per share of amortization expense. For the full year, the company now estimates sales will be between $7.675 billion and $7.725 billion. Assuming that current foreign exchange rates hold constant, we expect full year tailwind from FX to be approximately $132 million. On a constant-currency basis and excluding the impact of the ship hold in the Neurovascular divestiture, consolidated 2011 sales should be in a range of down 3% to down 4%. Adjusted EPS for the full year is now expected to be in a range of $0.67 to $0.70 per share, which now includes approximately $0.14 of onetime year-to-date benefits. On a GAAP basis, the company expects full year EPS in a range of $0.27 to $0.33 per share. This GAAP EPS estimate includes a credit of $0.35 to $0.36 per share related to net gain on Neurovascular divestiture, charges of $0.45 per share related to the Q1 goodwill impairment and $0.01 per share related to the Q2 and Q3 intangible asset impairments, up to $0.01 per share of acquisition-related net charges, $0.06 to $0.07 per share of restructuring, $0.01 per share for discrete tax benefits and amortization expense of $0.23 per share. That's it for guidance. Now let me turn it back to Hank for his overall perspectives in the quarter. Hank?