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Banco Santander-Chile (BSAC)

Q3 2021 Earnings Call· Fri, Oct 29, 2021

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Transcript

Emiliano Muratore

Management

Good morning, everyone. Welcome to Banco Santander-Chile’s Third Quarter 2021 Results Webcast and Conference Call. This is Emiliano Muratore, CFO, and I’m joined today by Robert Moreno, Managing Director of Investor Relations; and Claudio Soto, Chief Economist from our research team. Thank you for attending today’s conference call. We hope you all continue to stay safe and healthy. Yet again, the bank has achieved top results with a strong ROE and solid financial performance, thanks to the success of our digital strategy and other initiatives. But before we get into our results, Claudio will start with an update on the economy and macro scenario beginning on slide 4.

Claudio Soto

Management

Thank you, Emiliano. Since our last call, sanitary conditions in Chile have improved substantially. Despite the recent surge in daily COVID cases due to the delta variant, new infections remained relatively low and the mortality rate has receded. That has occurred in a context where more than 75% of the population have received a full immunization program and 25% have got the booster. As a result, the set of emergency that ended in September has not been renewed, and most of the sanitary restrictions have been lifted. The economy has surpassed its pre-pandemic level and has reached its potential, although with some heterogeneity across sectors. Growth has been led by consumption, pushed by government cash transfers and pension fund withdrawals. Investment has also recovered but has not yet reached its trend. Employment continues subdued with a labor force that is still substantially below its pre-pandemic level. Going forward, we should see further progress in employment as the sanitary condition allow people to resume their participation in the labor market. Overall, we have revised upward our growth estimate for the year from 8% to 11%. In 2022, growth will moderate to a range between 1% and 2% as the fiscal impulse fades away and base effects kick in. Inflation has accelerated in response to external cost per shocks and one-off hikes in prices of certain services. For the next few months, we should see further increases in inflation due to a buoyant demand at depreciated currency and higher fuel prices. We forecast CPI in freshmen will close the year at 6.3% and next year we’ll end up between 4% and 5%, converging to the 3% target in 2023. The Central Bank has accelerated the reduction of its monetary inputs by increasing the monetary policy rate twice since our last call, 1…

Emiliano Muratore

Management

Thank you, Claudio. We will now move on to explain our strong balance sheet and results. Moving on to slide 8. In the third quarter, our net operating income increased 1.2% Q-on-Q and 33.7% on a year-on-year basis. Quarterly net income in third Q totaled TWD 176 billion, an increase of 68% compared to the same quarter of last year. Compared to the second quarter, net income decreased 5%, mainly due to higher other operating expenses. Net operating income, on the other hand, increased 1.2% Q-on-Q. Year-to-date net income increased 63% with our ROE increasing from 12.5% as of September 2020 to 21.1% for September 2021. The strong client growth, higher net interest income, a strong growth of fee income, improvements in asset quality and cost control drove these results. On slide 9, we can see how the bank has significantly outperformed our peers in net interest margin, efficiency and ultimately, ROE, demonstrating that these impressive results are not just related to post-COVID reaction, but also due to the successful execution of our strategy, especially on the digital front. One of the most important drivers of our results was net interest income as can be visualized on slide 10. Despite asset growth being focused on lower-yielding and less risky assets, we still managed to obtain a 13.9% year-on-year increase in NII, with a strong NIM of 4.1% in the quarter. US inflation in the quarter reached 1.3%. This has triggered the Central Bank to increase the monetary policy rate, as was mentioned by Claudio previously. Consequently, our cost of funds have started to rise, and this lowered our NIMs by 10 basis points Q-on-Q. This was compensated in part by the acceleration of loan growth in the quarter. Going forward, we expect the monetary policy rate to continue to increase,…

Operator

Operator

Thank you very much for the presentation. We will now be entering the Q&A part of the call. [Operator Instructions] Our first question comes from Mr. Marlon Medina from JPMorgan. Please go ahead, sir. Your line is open. Once again, the first question comes from Mr. Marlon Levine from JPMorgan. Next question is from Mr. Carlos Gomez from HSBC. Please go ahead, sir. Your line is open.

Carlos Gomez-Lopez

Analyst

Hi, good morning, and congratulations on the results. A couple of simple questions. The first one is, at this point in time, and given your experience, you had a cost of risk of about 1.1% in the last few quarters. Where do you think that with your current business mix is your normal cost of credit? And when do we get there? It started 2022 event or does it come later? And second, and again, I understand it’s difficult to project now, what do you think your loan growth is going to be for the next two or three years?

Emiliano Muratore

Management

Okay. Carlos, thank you. Regarding the cost of credit, Obviously, you’ve seen our asset quality has done very well. Our coverage is quite high. Now we do expect more loan growth slowly flow in. So we think that a normalized cost of credit without considering any type of movements on additional provisions, okay? We would like to keep that stock of voluntary provisions there for any large unexpected event in the future. So our normalized cost of credit would probably be around 1%. And regarding loan growth, so remember, last year, we had a rather high loan growth during the pandemic given the different programs, especially SMEs this year, since there’s been a really high level of liquidity in companies and in households, households have gotten a lot of money from pension funds from direct subsidies from the government. So that had kept loan growth subdued. As these programs come to an end, we think that loan growth should slowly recover, okay? And as we said in the last call, and as you saw in the third quarter, loan growth should finish the year around 3% or 4% for the full year. And then going forward, I think slowly as the pandemic ends and we enter kind of like a normal economic cycle, loan growth should return to the normal multiplier levels. In general, in Chile, if GDP loans to GDP grew around 1.5 times in real terms. And then if you add on inflation, you more or less get the nominal rate we’re expecting in the next two to three years. So if the economy grows 2%, 3%, we should be getting roughly around 6% – 5% to 7% nominal loan growth in normal years, okay?

Carlos Gomez-Lopez

Analyst

Very clear. Thank you so much.

Operator

Operator

Thank you very much. We will just try once again to open Marlon Medina line from JPMorgan. Marlon, your line is once again open. Please go ahead. Please make sure your phone is unmuted. We’ll come back to that one shortly again. Next question is from Mr. Ernesto Gabilondo from Bank of America. Please go ahead, sir.

Ernesto Gabilondo

Analyst

Hi, good morning, Emiliano, Claudio and Robert and all your team. Thanks for your presentation and the opportunity. My first question is on the political landscape. Do you think that the bolting on the four pension withdrawal could be delayed after the elections? And can you provide who are the candidates leading the pull on the presidential elections? My second question is on your expectations for the net interest income in NIM next quarter and next year. Considering your expectations on interest rates for the rest of the year and next year and also the one for inflation. Where do you see the NIM pressure next year? And when do you see them recovering after the repricing of the loan book. Is this something that we can see maybe at the end of 2022? Or it should be likely more in 2023. And then my third question is on your near-term ROE expectations. Considering the that 21% this year, well above the pre-pandemic levels and that you will continue to see high dividend payments. Don’t you think that the 2023 ROE should be more around the 19%, 20%. Thank you.

Emiliano Muratore

Management

Claudio, can you take the first one, please?

Claudio Soto

Management

Yes, sure. Can you hear me? Yes.

Emiliano Muratore

Management

Okay. Regarding the first question, whether the fourth pension fund withdrawal could be voted after the election is not yet clear. Today, in a while, we will know the schedule of the sand for next week. At that moment, we will know whether it has been put on schedule to be voted next week. If that doesn’t occur, there are high chances that it will be voted after the first round. And given that the chances that it will not be approved are higher. Candidates, leading polls currently are to the left, Gabriel Boric. And then on the center right, is Kast. In some polls, Kast appears as the first one, but in other polls he appears second to Gabriel Boric. And just Yasna Provoste, the candidate from the Christian Democratic Party is currently in third place in most of the polls.

Emiliano Muratore

Management

And so regarding your questions about NIM, as you mentioned, there are the two main factors are inflation and also the short-term interest rates going up. So this last quarter for this year, as Robert mentioned, we are expecting like the quarterly NIM to be maybe between 4.5% to 4.6%, I mean considering the level of inflation we’ll have in the quarter, and that will take the full year NIM around 4.2%. First quarter next year should be, let’s say, similarly, considering the inflation expectations we are expecting for the first quarter, but it’s also true that the interest rate will keep going up. The Central Bank, we expect them to hike another 75 basis points in December. And so considering all that, we do expect next year NIM to be lower than this year. I mean, around like 4%. And if inflation doesn’t stay around 4.5%, 5%, but we can get slightly below that. for the full year. And we do expect by 2023 to have the repricing on the asset side showing up and also and being able to, again, build a NIM from 4% to the upward trajectory starting in 2023. And regarding our ROE expectations, it connects a lot with the NIM issue. We still see our long-term ROE range from 17% to 19%. And if next year, because of the inflation scenario, we are able to sustain NIMs above 4% It’s, let’s say, reasonable to have a slightly higher expectation to be in the upper part of that range, as you mentioned, that it’s going to be mainly related to what’s happening on the NII front.

Ernesto Gabilondo

Analyst

Super helpful, Claudio and Emiliano. And just last question on the digital landscape. We have been following all your digital initiatives. And we have been recently seen that Getnet in Brazil was listed. So are you paying something similar to happen in Chile? And on the other hand, we have seen that BCI is exploring to launch a digital bank. So is it in your plans to do something similar? Or do you expect to keep the digital transformation in the traditional -- within the traditional bank. I’m just saying you this because investors tend to give different valuations to payment companies and digital banks?

Emiliano Muratore

Management

Yeah. As you saw, I mean, the numbers are quite impressive. We are really happy with the speed we have got in that business. And there is no discussion yet regarding ownership of this thing, we are just focused on growing and growing fast, gaining market share, I mean taking advantage of being the first mover, you can say in entering that market after transplant and our priority there is to give growing fast and gaining market share. And in the future, if there is any discussion regarding ownership of listing, we will discuss it with you, but they are not present at this moment.

Robert Moreno

Analyst

And the digital. So yes, so basically, you’re all familiar with our digital initiatives. Obviously, I think they’ve all been very, very successful. Santander Life is clearly the key here. And Santander Life is slowly transforming itself into our digital bank inside the bank. So basically, today, Santander Life has been very much focused on the middle income segment. It’s growing very strongly. And I think a really key thing about Santander Life unlike a lot of other digital banks that are just beginning, it has rapidly monetized. So as we said before, already through September, Santander Life is generating income of almost MXN 50 billion, okay, Santander Life. Unlike a lot of these other digital platforms in Chile, digital debit cards already has checking account balances, probably above $500 million, okay, which is probably all the other digital debit cards in Chile, including Superdigital combined. And Life also has a loan portfolio, which hasn’t been very aggressive, but it should slowly start to grow more and more. Life is going to be launching new products, okay? And so basically, life inside the bank is going to be expanding and is slowly transforming into our digital bank. But until now, it’s not going to be a separate entity, okay? It’s going to be inside the bank, very much integrated with the rest, but clearly taking over different products and segments?

Ernesto Gabilondo

Analyst

Perfect. Thank you very much, Emiliano and Robert.

Robert Moreno

Analyst

Thank you.

Operator

Operator

Our next question comes from Mr. Juan Recalde from Scotiabank. Please go ahead, sir.

Juan Recalde

Analyst

Hi. Thank you for taking my question. So my first question is related to Getnet. I think that the fees generated by this business were around MXN 2 billion in this quarter. And the growth was pretty significant. So my question is, what do you think could be a more normalized level of fees for government. Should we expect this EUR 2 billion to continue? Or it will be much higher? What do you think about that? And then the second question related to the expenses, expenses look under control. But so that the other operating expenses were up around 76% quarter-on-quarter. You mentioned that the drivers in the release that the drivers were provisions for noncredit contingencies and also insurance related to cybersecurity related to Santander Life. I was wondering whether the amount of operating expenses that we saw in this quarter is going to stay at a similar level. And also if you can quantify what part of those higher operating expenses are related to provisions of noncredit contingencies and what part are related to insurance, cybersecurity insurance.

Emiliano Muratore

Management

Thank you for your question. I mean, regarding Getnet, we are in the fast growth phase of the business. I mean we are growing fast in the POS and also consider that the economy is also in the opening pace, I mean, living log down behind. So I think that we will keep growing fast in that. It’s not so easy to imagine what the stable level of fee will be because, as I said, we are targeting fast growth there. So you can expect fees from Getnet keep growing as we grow in the number of client POSs and also the amount of sales that merchants are having in this the opening pace of the economy. So you can expect growth to stay there for a while. And I think we still have some we say, quarters ahead before we can talk about station level of fees from Getnet.

Robert Moreno

Analyst

And just to add on to what Emiliano said, I think in our digital talk last year, we mentioned that we’re looking at around $20 million in fee income from Getnet, okay? So I don’t know what exchange rate we use, but let’s say, $60 million to $3 million would be more pesos at a normal level versus -- so we see a lot of growth. And as you see in the figures, we’re growing very quickly, okay? Regarding your other question, yes, the other operating expenses, there’s a lot of things there, and I’ll explain that line. First of all, yes, there are provisions for noncredit contingencies. So given that there’s still risk regarding the pandemic and other -- not -- the pandemic is not only credit risk. So we set aside PHP 7 billion there, okay? On top of that, remember last year, there was like a cybersecurity fraud law. So before we were very active in selling different kind of cybersecurity insurance for clients. A lot of that was prohibited or watered down. So the bank has -- and the banks have to cover a larger percentage of that. So we have an insurance policy for that basically. The actual amounts of frauds have gone down, okay, per client. But the kind of this insurance policy, the price goes up because the amount of clients are rising. So on like a fraud for client basis and the actual number of frauds, it’s coming down. But since the client base is growing so strongly, it’s adding on to that cost. So kind of like an indirect cost because of the strong client growth, okay? And then the other thing there, -- Remember that we still own 25% of Transbank. And even though we discontinued this in 2019 as…

Juan Recalde

Analyst

All right.

Operator

Operator

Thank you. Our next question comes from Mr. Yuri Fernandes from JPMorgan. Please go ahead, sir.

Yuri Fernandes

Analyst

Hi, everybody. Thank you. I hope you are hearing me because we had issues in our with connection. Hi, everybody. Good morning. I have a first question regarding the OCI, like you’re available for sale. The results, they were very good. But when we look to the shareholders, actually like the equity decreased in the quarter. And I guess this is related to the sharp increase in interest rates in Chile, right? Like we look to the 10 year, it was a massive run. So my question here is, what should we expect here going forward? I saw that there were some reclassification from your available-for-sale portfolio to hold material? So can you explore the stock a little bit. I think that would be important for us, like what should happen in the same quest -- And I have a second question regarding payments. Just some follow-ups. -- like regarding Translate, if you have any update regarding the sale? And regarding interchange caps, any update on that topic?

Emiliano Muratore

Management

Juri, thank you for your question. I mean, regarding OCI, as you mentioned, I mean, the main driver of that has been the sharp increase in interest rates affecting the valuation of our ALCO portfolio. We actively manage our interest rate risk and mainly because of that, we were able to sustain our NIMs above 4%, I mean, significantly higher than our peers during this last 12 to 18 months when the cycle was -- with rates very low and going down. Now the cycle changed and changed quite dramatically in the timing. I mean, we’re very, very fast change with the Central Bank increasing the rate. I think that part of the monitor, I would say, the typical monetary cycle because also inflation is going up, and that’s a positive for us. But maybe the different component this time has been the pension fund withdrawals that basically forced pension funds to dispose all kind of assets, including domestic bonds. And so that would a high pressure on rates and affected the value of ago portfolio. Going forward, definitely, to project the potential further increase in long-term rates, it’s difficult to see increases similar to the ones we have seen so far, I mean, because when you compare Chilean rates to other Latin American countries and other EM countries, we are already, let’s say, similar to countries with a much higher level of inflation and a much higher level of risk. So I personally think that there is not much room yet to have rates going up. But also it’s true that in the short run, there could be some temporary volatility coming from the pension funds withdrawals. I mean the fourth would probably still to be decided. The interest rates were I don’t know, 40, 50 basis points higher…

Robert Moreno

Analyst

Yeah. So we have no update on the sale of Transbank. So what we did do is we updated kind of like the valuation in the P&L. So we don’t have any backlog in sense of like we were fully reflecting Transbank’s book value in our books. We own 25% of that. But there’s no other further update on the sale there. Regarding interchange fees, well, as you know, the law was passed that governs they’re going to fix interchange fees. The commission is working. They already started publishing how some of what they’re looking at, their methodology, but there is nothing yet that they haven’t stated anything yet regarding where actually interchange fees will end up. So I think by March or February, we should have more clarity, but they’re working 100% on that. So it’s coming for sure by February or March and probably in the next call, we might have a more clear update. But clearly, that will have an impact on card fees next year, right? We don’t know how much yet. And the good news is that people are using their cars more intensively, client is growing. And in the long term, the fixing of interchange fees will probably want to permit acquired be better numbers for acquirers like Getnet. And two, it will probably, therefore, permit the acquiring business and the usage of cards to expand even further, okay?

Yuri Fernandes

Analyst

No, no super clear. You can use the acquired a natural hedge, right, like a higher net for the...

Robert Moreno

Analyst

Yes. Net-net you lose in the beginning. But in the long term, it should let the market expand more.

Yuri Fernandes

Analyst

Super clear. Thank you very much, guys.

Operator

Operator

Thank you. Our next question comes from Mr. Alonso Garcia from Credit Suisse. Please go ahead, sir.

Alonso Garcia

Analyst

Thank you. Good morning, everyone. Thanks for taking my questions. Most of my questions have been answered. I just wanted to check with you if there is any regulatory change that you are aware of, either at the unit level or the Congress or the contribution of assembly that will affect the banking system? And my second question would be regarding the higher interest rate scenario in Chile, and so far, we have seen mortgages continue to grow nicely. I just wanted to hear from you that the margin, if you’re seeing slower demand on that product given the higher rate scenario going forward?

Emiliano Muratore

Management

Claudio, can you comment on as agenda?

Claudio Soto

Management

Yes. Well, the main initiatives in Congress right now, one is the fintech law that is at the very early stages that includes also the regulation of open banking. And then there is a law that was introduced in Congress that puts another cap to the TCM, the cap on the maximum rate you can charge on grade. It makes -- the law makes some adjustment so that it might be cut even further. Those two initiatives are at the very early stages in Congress and there are many initiatives in Congress that begin its procedure, but then after a while, they do not continue. There were many initiatives in Congress that were related to the pandemic that were attached to the declaration of state of emergency since the state of emergency was not renewed, those initiatives are not are now not on the table.

Alonso Garcia

Analyst

Okay. Thank you.

Emiliano Muratore

Management

Sorry, one thing. And Claudio, regarding the constitutional convention or anything, if there’s any other...

Claudio Soto

Management

Yeah. Well, regarding the constitutional convention, as I mentioned at the beginning, they began right in the text just a few weeks ago. So we are, again, at a very early stage yet. We will have more insights by the first or second quarter of next year. Having said that, the constitutional convention will write down the blueprint of the constitution, which is a very big set of rules. All the details have to be then defined in common law that will take place to occur.

Emiliano Muratore

Management

And regarding your question about long-term interest rate on the mortgage market, I mean, definitely, the mortgage market has been affected by 2 main factors. First, the interest rates significantly higher. I mean, 300, 400 basis points higher than a few months ago. And also that because of this new environment, many banks, including us, reduce the maximum tenor you can ask a mortgage, I mean, from 30% to around 20 years. So basically, those two factors are, say, making the payments where the monthly payments go up by 30%, 40%, even 50% depending on the segments and the tenors and that is definitely putting pressure on people in the total amount of money they can borrow in order to keep a reasonable relationship between the monthly payment and their salary or their income. So definitely, if we don’t see a normalization, I would say, a reduction in long-term interest rate, I think it’s going to be very difficult to keep this double-digit growth in mortgages, and that growth will slow down. And well, let’s say, force people to collect a higher amount of money for their down payments in order to get into the house. At the end, that’s, let’s say, will normalize, and you will see that shock to be diluted in time. But we are in the middle of that adjustment where you can expect loan growth from mortgages to slow down in this new rate environment?

Alonso Garcia

Analyst

And just a follow-up on the first question. regarding this proposal in Congress to reduce the inter rate cap further. I don’t know if you could provide some more color on. And of course, I understand in a very early stage at this point that not everything that gets Congress gets approval. But I mean, if you could comment on the likelihood that you see for it to be approved. We’re supporting this law, if it has found further supporting Congress or anything that could help us assess its likelihood of being approved or not eventually?

Claudio Soto

Management

I will touch up on that. As I mentioned, it’s a very early stages. -- in discussion. In the past, we have had initiatives like that, more than one and those initiatives just fade away are not do not transform into law. This initiative was put to be discussing Congress in the context of a more broad law in terms of consumer protection. I see that has to now low probabilities of going through. There are many issues in discussion in Congress right now, and this is not really at the top priority in the political agenda. So I think as it happened in the past, I see that there up to now, no chances that this will effectively be transformed into law.

Emiliano Muratore

Management

And also building on Claudio’s comments, I agree with his view, considering that also what we just commented on mortgages, I mean, that has resonated on the, let’s say, I would say, political environment and in general, this sense that now people cannot access mortgages as easy as they were accessing them before. I think let’s say, people are kind of worried and putting a lower cap on interest rate would also affect credit supply more on the consumer side and not. So I don’t see that in this moment, there is much room to keep, let’s say, restricting or putting pressure on credit supply because that could fight back because at the end, people need to borrow for their investment plans for their future plans. And I agree that today, I don’t see a high chance of that moving at least fast.

Alonso Garcia

Analyst

Very clear. Thank you for the answers.

Operator

Operator

Thank you very much. Our next question comes from Mr. Daniel Mora from CrediCorp Capital. Please go ahead, sir.

Daniel Mora

Analyst

Hi. Good afternoon. Thank you for the presentation. I just have one short question. We observed that during the year, the large corporate segment has presented a reversal of provisions. Can we expect further reversal of provisions in any other particular segment? Thank you so much.

Emiliano Muratore

Management

Okay. Yes. So basically, this year, the large corporate segment has seen a reversal of provision. And that well, two things there. First of all, last year, and these are -- when we present information by segment. Remember, any voluntary additional provisions, we don’t assign to a segment. They have like they’re assigned to our product. But in the segment P&L, they’re not included, okay? So last year, during the pandemic, obviously, we were worried about a lot of different segments, different companies, and we downgraded -- we were very, very conservative in downgrading and set aside required provisions for the corporate segment, okay. This year, first of all, a lot of those worries didn’t pan out. So companies have improved their rating, and that has resulted in a reversal. And second of all, remember, as we mentioned in the second quarter, I believe, we sold two or three of our largest impaired loans, which had a high provision. So when you sell those loans, obviously, you reverse the provision. So going forward, in the large corporate segment today, has a very, very good asset quality. And given that the economy is recovering, we don’t expect a large charge of provisions coming out of the corporate. A large reversal so probably not either because those are a reflection more of the selling of these loans. And the segments, no, I would say not a reversal because as the loan growth grows, remember here, every loan is born with the provision. So I wouldn’t see any reversals in any of the other segments, okay?

Daniel Mora

Analyst

Thank you so much.

Operator

Operator

Okay. Thank you very much. Our next question comes from (inaudible). Please go ahead, sir.

Analyst

Analyst

Hi, Robert, Emiliano, Claudio. Thanks for taking my questions. The first regulations for the operational dynamics the bank is showing when compared to the other Latin American bank. But my question is about the debt net operations in Chile. I noticed that there a lot of alliant question around it. I just was just wondering if you could share with us some debt related to the acquired operations then in terms of TPV market share and also point of sale. I mean there are some figures on the press release, but in terms of market share, if I’m not wrong mentioned that the market share in POS is 50% nowadays. Can you just please confirm this didn’t market share in terms of TPV increased in comparison to the last quarter and how much is did...

Emiliano Muratore

Management

Okay. So yes. So there again has just started. So in terms of POS, our market share, I believe, today is greater than 15%. We calculate in Chile, there’s around 200...

Robert Moreno

Analyst

200,000 before we entered the market at active POS. And today, we are reaching like 50,000. So yes, I mean, from 15% to 20% market share in active POS.

Emiliano Muratore

Management

And active POSs. Remember that around -- we have a lot of small SMEs. A lot of them didn’t have a POS. So I think we’re expanding the market more than getting more than people switching. Some of our clients have switched to RPS. But I think a majority of our clients that didn’t have a POS before. So that’s very good also from like a margin perspective. But from a total purchase value, I would say today, our market share is probably around 4% or 5%, but growing rapidly, okay?

Robert Moreno

Analyst

Yes, because also it’s important to mention that until last month, we weren’t entering into the big merchants because Translana still had their fees fixed and basically, the big merchants were having low fee that was not attractive to us, so we weren’t entering that part of the market. Now that has changed because transplant finally got the approval to review their fee schedule. And so now we are entering into bigger merchants. And also, it’s important to mention that until September, we didn’t have our e-commerce solution still operating. -- basically, it was all physical transactions. And as you can imagine in this new post-covid being out of e-commerce was a big drag for us, and that is already part of the path. I mean we are also offering the e-commerce solution, and that will also help us to increase the market share in the amount of sales...

Analyst

Analyst

That was very helpful. My second question -- Just wanted to know more about the brick-and-mortar branches of the bank, especially as the work has fabric -- So with this positive outlook for the number of Covis as you present on Slide 4. What is the strategy going forward on this physical channel the bank, there are some intentions to atomize some administrative costs? And if you could give guidance or give as we still match our numbers, it would help us a lot...

Emiliano Muratore

Management

Okay. So yes, so basically, we’re in this investment plan that has different branches. You could have different aspects to it, okay? So we have the whole digital initiatives, Life, SuperKid, car, et cetera, et cetera. And part of our strategy is also changing and renewing and modifying significantly the physical network, okay? We’ve always talked about our digital strategy, okay? So our strategy is very much a mix between a strong digital and a strong physical network. But the physical network, clearly evolving profoundly over the next few years. And the key to that is the work affect. Today, we basically have, I would say, three type of branches, the traditional brands, but the traditional banks, like you see in most countries, human tellers, back office, account managers and people standing in line, okay? Then we have the work affair branch, and then we have the Santander Select, which is the branches for more the mid-high-end mass wealthy as you could call it. So when you look at our figures, we’ve clearly – the focus of branch closures has been this Santander select. We’ve closed most of them. Those are obviously a segment of clients that don’t go to the branch, so you don’t need to have all these branches. And a lot of the people, in fact, that work at Santander Select are shifting to the work affect. The work/café has it’s very efficient, okay? It’s much more efficient than a traditional branch. It doesn’t have human tellers. It doesn’t have a significant back office. It doesn’t have cash, okay? So the branch is fully dedicated to business. So another thing is in a traditional branch. You might have 3 or 4, you might have space for 3 or 4 relationship managers in a work offer, you have…

Analyst

Analyst

So Robert, putting all together, do you expect the OpEx, especially the administrative expenses pet above or below the current expectations for the inflation rate of the net...

Robert Moreno

Analyst

Yes. So in the end, if you look at our costs, you can see this is resulting. So we’ve done a lot of investments, but you see that cost despite the inflation are at a low growth rate, okay? So our idea is to continue that trend, okay? Obviously, inflation since 2/3 of our costs are indexed either to inflation or the exchange rate. The depreciation of the best on acceleration of inflation puts pressure. But with the OpEx that we have, which has a very, I think, high return, a rapid return and it has a very high productivity contribution. Our goal in the next few years is to continue growing our cost at or slightly below inflation, okay?

Analyst

Analyst

Look, there much help for very much, Robert. Okay.

Operator

Operator

Thank you very much. Our final voice question followed by a couple of text questions. This one is from Mr. Brian Flores from Citi. Please go ahead, sir.

Brian Flores

Analyst

Hi. thank you for the opportunity to ask a question. Just a quick follow-up on the politics side. Have you heard of any initiatives by any one of the candidates you have mentioned? Sorry, can you hear me?

Robert Moreno

Analyst

Yes. Yes, we can hear you. Go ahead.

Brian Flores

Analyst

Thank you. Just any initiatives on any of the candidates you mentioned voyage and (inaudible) could create certain uncertainty for international investors. It could be capital gains or it could be a particular raise in corporate tax rates. Anything on this that you have heard that is relevant on your point of view?

Emiliano Muratore

Management

Claudio?

Claudio Soto

Management

Yes. Well, let me give you some context. This government a couple of months ago, introduced a bill to improve pensions and attached to that bill, there was changes in the tax code, including capital gains, taxes on stock transactions that currently are excluded from taxes are excluded from capital gain transaction in the stock market, and that bill already introduced them. Now the bill has not gone through further discussion right now. We are in the middle of political campaign, and we have the election right now. So it’s very unlikely that we’ll go further. Borg in his program has a very broad tax reform included. His program is changing. He had the program until 2, 3 weeks ago, but then he is producing a new program that is not yet there. But in the original program, he has in order to increase revenues for the government at this broad tax reform that includes lowering aviation basically increasing taxes or closing certain loopholes tax on wealth that currently wouldn’t have a tax on wealth. So that is more like a personal tax and also increases in the corporate tax system. But that is part of a much broader package in terms of the tax reform. The other living candidate, Jose Antonio cast does not have a tax hike in his program. He rather has some cuts in taxes in his program. That is more or less what I have in mind. The specific things for the financial sector are not included in none of the programs. Borate had initially in his program, a revision of international treaties, but his campaign is backing is moving away from that proposal that was originally in this program, but I think now he’s not supporting this idea of revising international treaties that could introduce noise again regarding international investment.

Brian Flores

Analyst

Very helpful. Thank you very much.

Operator

Operator

Thank you very much. We have a couple of text questions which I’ll now read out. Perhaps starting with the first one regarding fixed income and bond markets, should we expect to see you in the bond market next year, either for AT1? If so, is the plan has parent by part of the deal. You are soon having ESG Day. What is the appetite for potential ESG labeled bond?

Emiliano Muratore

Management

Yes. So regarding the last part, I mean, we are expecting to finish our ESG framework by the end of the year, maybe early next year. And with that in place, definitely, we will try to get as much as we can of our funding from the market in an ESG labeled format that for that, we think that it’s important to have a robust and very formal framework in order to avoid any kind of greenwashing argument or so. So and that’s why we have been working and we will comment later next month in our year to talk about that. And I’m not sure a you Yes. I mean we did AT1 last week. I mean, the parent company participated 100% of that. That has been the policy in the group. With that, we reached our 1.5% of risk-weighted assets in 81 and we have covered the AT1 needs for the next few years. I mean with risk-weighted assets growing maybe in two, three years, we can consider doing another transaction like that. But for the time being, will that be done with AT1 issuances.

Operator

Operator

Thank you very much. There’s about five or six questions related to the mortgage segment. I will try to group them. The first one is considering the hike on long-term rates, the mortgage loan growth, do you see the mortgage segment slowing down in 2022? And how has it been paving in October? The second one, very related to this, how will the recent increase in interest rates affect the bank and the industry.

Emiliano Muratore

Management

Regarding mortgages, I wouldn’t say that mortgages would fall, but definitely growth to slow down in October. We have already seen like 20% less of number of mortgages being sold or being signed. And with that reduction in the new origination growth would be slower, but I don’t know if it will reach a point where the outstanding will be falling. And the new interest rate environment, I mean, the Central Bank hiking rates, higher inflation, it has a pausing impact for banks. I mean usually, banks have this long inflation exposure and in the short run, high inflation is positive, but that usually comes with higher short-term interest rate and that hits the NIM and especially in the short run because you have faster, shorter turn on liabilities repricing and takes between one to two years to have the repricing on assets compensating the initial shock. But so far, the impact for us has been like positive because the tightening cycle from the Central Bank has just begun and inflation figures have been quite high. And that’s why for next year, we can expect, let’s say, a lower level of NIM because the Central Bank will keep hiking rates and inflation should be lower than this year.

Operator

Operator

Okay. Thank you very much. Next one is related to the mortgages. We saw the bank and others introducing shorter terms for mortgages in recent weeks. When do you think the bank will consider reintroducing the 30-year mortgages under what scenarios? And in line with this, what are the related risks for the construction sector in the coming months, considering the buyer is potentially putting out of transactions?

Emiliano Muratore

Management

Yes. I mean I don’t have any specific timing for that. I mean going back to 30 years will depend on how the market situation evolves in terms of level of rates and also access to capital market in the domestic market. So as of now, we are staying at no longer than 20 years, and I don’t have a specific timing to define when to go back to 30 years if we finally do it because it will depend on how the market evolves. And from the contractions market, we have seen that, in general, the markets quite of South adjust. And so basically, we want expect the number of new projects to slow down and in order to avoid creating an oversupply of square meters into the market. And so we don’t have any specific concern regarding that. We think that the sector has gone through other situations like this for different reasons, and it has been able to adjust the supply of new projects to the new environment.

Robert Moreno

Analyst

Just adding on to what Emiliano said, during the pandemic, there wasn’t very much construction. So today, the inventory or number of months before inventory would expire is very low. So there’s not an over -- in fact, we’re on the opposite side of the cycle, very little inventory available...

Operator

Operator

Perfect. Thanks very much for all this time for questions. We are seeing no further questions at this point. I’ll pass the line back to the team for the concluding remarks.

Emiliano Muratore

Management

Thank you all very much for taking the time to participate in today’s call. We look forward to speaking with you again soon. Goodbye.

Operator

Operator

Thank you very much. This concludes today’s call. We’ll now be closing all the lines. Thank you, and have a good evening.