Robert Moreno
Analyst · Scotiabank
Thank you, Claudio. Now we will give further details into our results for the first quarter. Our net income attributable to shareholders in 1Q '18, totaled CLP 151 billion, increasing 12.1% compared to 4Q '17 and 6.1% compared to the same quarter of last year. The bank's return on average equity in the quarter reached 19.4%. The positive evolution of our results reflect solid operating trends in terms of business volume growth, strong growth of non-lending activities, a stable cost of credit and a tight control of costs. Overall, the year started out with results slightly higher than the market anticipated and should remain positive throughout the rest of the year, as the economy continues to gather pace. During the quarter, we are focused on growth in line with the economy, continuing the same strategy as other quarters of increasing client loyalty through an improved client experience and quality of the service, deepening our ongoing digital transformation like expanding the bank's digital banking capabilities and optimizing our profitability in capital use through increased shareholder value in time. Regarding business volumes, we will begin with our funding mix. In the first quarter, the bank's total deposits grew 2.3% quarter-on-quarter. Year-over-year total deposits growth was slower at 0.2% due to the bank's funding strategy in 2017, which focused on lowering deposit rates in tandem with the lower Central Bank rates and optimizing liquidity levels, leading to an improvement in the funding costs. The average cost of deposits, including demand and time deposits, decreased from 2.1% in the third quarter of last year to 1.7% in the current quarter. The bank also focused on increasing -- on improving the funding mix, leading to a 5.2% Q-on-Q and 10.4% year-on-year rise in noninterest bearing demand deposits. The bank's equity continued its positive growth trend, which, along with the increase in demand deposits, enabled our free funds, measured as noninterest-bearing demand deposits plus equity to interest-earning assets to go from 34.9% to 35.7%. All of these efforts can be clearly seen in the decrease of our year-to-date average time in deposit costs as mentioned. In the first quarter of '18, total loans increased 3.2% year-over-year and accelerated to an annualized growth rate of almost 9% in the quarter. This was mainly driven by greater economic activity and business confidence, reflected in the strong growth of commercial loans in the quarter. Loans in Global Corporate Banking, or GCB, grew 15.5% Q-on-Q, after a 21% decrease in volumes in the fourth quarter. Loans in the middle market increased 2.9% Q-on-Q and 6.7% year-on-year, indicating that this segment is also gradually gaining momentum. These loans are generally somewhat lower yielding than Retail loans but on the other hand, the greater demand for loans in this segment reflects that the investment rate in the economy is finally recovering after a prolonged deceleration. This should eventually fuel greater loan growth in higher-yielding segments such as SMEs and individuals. The reactivation of the corporate segment also generated a high level of non-lending income in the quarter, sustaining the bank's overall profitability levels. Retail Banking loans increased 0.8% quarter-over-quarter and 3.8% year-over-year, with growth from loans to individuals increasing 1.6% Q-over-Q and 4.7% year-over-year. Mortgage loans increased 1.9% Q-over-Q and 6% year-over-year and consumer loans grew 0.8% Q-over-Q and 2.1% year-over-year. We continue to increase our exposure, not only to the high end of the market but to the middle-income earners as well, after the launch of Life. At the end of March 2018, Life already had more than 15,000 clients, 60% of which are new clients to the bank. Approximately, 30% of the new account plans sold to individuals are Santander Life ones. Loans to SMEs decreased 2.5% Q-on-Q and relatively flat on a year-on-year basis and our SME segment, the bank continues to focus on growing among the larger, less-risky SMEs due to risk considerations. And as the year progresses, we should see SME loan growth begin to accelerate as well. As a result of loan growth and a positive evolution of our funding mix, net interest income rose 8.8% year-on-year and the bank's net interest margin rose 30 basis points to 4.5% in the quarter. Average interest-earning assets increased 1.1% year-over-year. As mentioned, the cost of deposits decreased, driven by the strong rise in noninterest-bearing demand deposits in 1Q '18, compared to 1Q '17. Compared to 4Q '17, net interest income increased 0.1%. As mentioned in the loan section, loan growth in the quarter was mainly driven by the GCB in the middle market. At the same time, the change in the consumer loan mix has decreased the average yield earned in consumer loans. For this reason, the average return on interest-earning assets fell 10 basis points Q-over-Q to 6.9%, while the average cost of funds remained stable in the period. The bank's NIM, therefore, decreased 10 basis points Q-on-Q. Going forward, we expect a similar trend in commercial lending but, accompanied by an acceleration of loan growth in Retail, which should sustain margins. In fact, in April, we are already seeing an important recovery in consumer loan growth. Our cost of credit remains stable in the quarter at 1.1%. Provision for loan losses increased 2.1% year-over-year and decreased 1.8% Q-over-Q. The bank's cost of credit remains, as we said, stable at 1% of loans, as the bank's loan loss allowance over total loans or the risk index remained stable at 2.9% in the quarter. The total NPL ratio reached 2.3% as of March, flat compared to the fourth quarter and 10 basis points higher than in 1Q '17. The impaired loan ratio increased 30 basis points compared to 1Q '17 but decreased 10 points -- 10 basis points Q-over-Q to 6.4%. The year-over-year rise in both NPL and impaired loan ratio reflects the weak economic growth experienced throughout most of 2017. At the same time, the stable Q-over-Q evolution of asset quality is mainly a result of the better economic trends seen in the current quarter. A trend we expect to continue visualizing in the remainder of the year. Regarding the second pillar of our strategy, to focus on increasing client loyalty through an improved client experience and quality of service, while expanding our digital banking capabilities, we also have seen important advances in the quarter. As mentioned in the previous webcast, at the end of last year, we launched a new series of products called Life. As a way of returning to the mass consumer market without significantly increasing our risk profusely. This product has had a very good response in the market, and as of March, we had 15,000 clients using at least one of the Life products. Out of all these clients, 60% are new to the bank. They are in the first 3 months of the year, out of the new monthly total bank plans, about 28% were Life, Out of all the Life products, Life Credit Card has been the most used, with an average monthly transaction reaching almost 7 uses per month, showing that in this line of product, we are rapidly becoming these new clients' main bank. We also continue to improve our app in the quarter, updating its interface in order to make it more user-friendly and adding other transactional capabilities, such as investing in time deposits and mutual funds. Last year and the year before, our app has been chosen as the best app in the Chilean banking industry. We have a base of over 1 million digital clients, which is growing, and with all the app updates and new features during the last year, we have been able to increase the amount of monthly transactions made through digital channels for CLP 100 million to CLP 210 million monthly as of December '17. We continue to strive to look -- we continue to strive to make our app the best of the best, which is why we continue to introduce these new capability as well improve its look and feel. In terms of client satisfaction, as measured by the Adimark survey, we followed our peer group trend and the gap between us and our main competitors in terms of clients, perception of quality has remained at the same level as our peers. Regarding the level of complaints as measured by Sernac in the SBIF, the most recently public figure of client complaints showed a decrease of 18% in the last 12 months. Through better service, we look for our clients to choose us as the primary go-to-bank, measures to the amount of products they own, that are used a minimum amount of time with minimum profitability levels. Compared to March 2017, for example, our loyal clients increased 11% in our high and middle-income segments. All of these initiatives -- and have in turn, showed positive results in our fee income, especially, in Retail and Corporate Banking. Credit and debit fees were the highest contributor areas of fee income during the first 3 months, followed by asset management and checking account fees. Higher consumer expenditure triggered a 23.2% rise in credit card fees compared to the last quarter. GCB had a good run in the first 3 months due to fees gained from financial advisory projects. This also shows that the economy and investment projects are also gaining pace. This is evidence of a solid advantage in providing value-added, nonlending services, which should continue to drive fee income in the segment throughout the year. Other fees had a sharp decline compared to last year. This was mainly due to the fall in ATM fees. Remember that last year, we removed 1/3 of our ATM fees but this is having -- our ATM network, which is having a positive impact on cost and efficiency. As last year we aggressively closed branches and ATMs as well as we lose personnel, this year the focus has been improving distribution network and to continue to invest in '19. In the next 3 years, we will be investing $360 million in technology. We continue to close branches that are not strategically placed as well as transforming others into [WorkCafas]. In terms of ATMs, we decreased the amount compared to last year. However, in the last quarter, we started growing again. We increased the number of ATMs by 22, mainly located in our own branches or sectors that already had -- have a large security infrastructure and high traffic of people. Total head count increased quarter-on-quarter due to an expansion of IT project teams. Previously, the bank outsourced a majority of the IT projects that will now be done in-house, producing cost savings and project efficiencies. The cost of an IT employee who is working on a specific project is deferred and amortized over the life of the project. Therefore, the impact on personnel expenses of this rising employees will be limited in personnel and may be some impact in amortizations. We continue to expand our WorkCafa network. Having opened 22 as of March and 1 one more during April. At the end of this year, we plan to have a total of 40 throughout the country. Client satisfaction with this new model continues to be very high, showing savings of 200 basis points in direct cost income versus a traditional branch as well. The ratio of sales to administrative personnel is 3:1, thereby boosting sales per branch and enabling income to be 13% higher in a WorkCafas the growth versus a traditional branch. We continue to be the most cost-efficient bank in Chile, reaching an efficiency ratio of 38.7% during the first quarter. This reflects the various initiatives the bank has been implementing to improve commercial productivity and efficiency. The decrease in personnel expenses is mainly due to less provisions and severance payments. As a side note, in the first quarter of this year, we also concluded the negotiation of our new collective bargaining agreement with the bank's main unions. This contract will last for the next 3 years and was negotiated under an atmosphere of trust and respect that has characterized employee relations at Santander-Chile. Administrative expenses increased 6.3% year-over-year in the quarter due to the ongoing investments in digitalization and branch restructuring, as mentioned. Our third objective are in order to reach good-quality growth is to optimize our profitability and capital use to increase shareholder value in time. Our shareholder's equity increased by 6.8% compared to last year and 3.4% compared to the end of -- sorry, shareholder's equity increased 6.8% year-over-year, and our core capital ratio rose to 11.1%. This past April 24, we celebrated our annual shareholders' meeting, where our shareholders' approval -- approved the payout of 75% of 2017 earnings, which amounted to approximately CLP 2.25 per share. This is a 29% dividend growth compared to the dividend paid last year and the dividend yield, once again, was greater than 4%. In summary, the first 3 months of 2018 was a good reflection of what we want to achieve during the rest of the year. For the whole year 2018, here is some further guidance. Loan growth should be in the upper range of our previous guidance of 6% to 8%, with acceleration of growth in Retail Banking following the strong growth of corporate loans in the quarter. This coupled with stable interest rates and a slightly higher inflation rate, bodes well for NIMs and net interest income. We expect NIMs to be relatively stable, similar to what we saw in the current quarter. The main potential downside for this outlook is if the peso continues to appreciate and the inflation expectations do not pick up. Signed loyalty and higher growth of total clients will continue to drive fee income. But remember that ATM fees will continue to fall. This, in turn, will be compensated with lower security and transportation costs. We expect the cost of credit to remain stable between 1.1% and 1.15% of loans. Finally, the efficiency ratio should reach levels between 40% to 40.5%, with cost growing in the low single-digit range. Also, one thing to remember, there is always a seasonal effect in the first quarter so costs are always seasonally lower and efficiency ratio is usually the lowest in the first quarter, that's why the guidance for the full year is slightly above 40%. Our statutory tax rate increased this year to 27%. This should be the last increase in the statutory rate. So we should see our effective tax rate reach levels between 22% to 23%, similar to what we saw in the first quarter. All in, we maintain our guidance, expecting our lead to continue to be similar to those obtained in 2017. Finally, before we go to questions, Santander-Chile has decided to host our first Investor Day. Given the brighter outlook for Chile, we would like to present a thorough update on our business and digital strategy on behalf of our top management, including the Chairman of the Board, Claudio Melandri, and our CEO, Miguel Mata, and other top management members. We will be hosting 2 events: One in the New York Stock Exchange on June 1 and another in Santiago on June 6. We already sent out the New York invitations and you can also find a link to sign up on our website. So please mark your calendars, we really hope you can attend. At this time, we will gladly answer any questions you may have.