Daniel Hurwitz
Analyst · Evercore ISI. Please go ahead
Thank you, Stacy. Good morning and thank you all for joining us today. Let me start by recognizing all the individuals who worked diligently and with a great sense of urgency to ensure that we would reach the February 29th filing deadline without delay. It’s been a difficult three weeks, but the team work and professionalism has been extraordinary. Before I discuss financial and operating results I first like to describe the process behind our financial statements in response to the announcement on February 8th. Immediately following the announcement that highlighted the smoothing of quarterly same property NOI growth this company has been under extensive review by the audit teams from Ernst & Young and Deloitte. And due to the nature of the situation in addition to the audit review personnel, the forensic accounting teams of E&Y and Deloitte have also been involved in the process. Additionally it is important to keep in mind that the issue surrounding same property NOI and the detail set forth in the February 8th press release were the result of a separate third party audit firm’s analysis as retained by the audit committee of the Board of Directors. All of this work conducted by five independent review teams was also supervised by an outside law firm separate from our corporate counsel who is obviously also involved. The bottom-line is our fourth quarter and yearend financial statements have been reviewed and approved by two teams from E&Y, two teams from Deloitte, two law firms, one forensic accounting firm and hundreds of hours of hard work from internal personnel. The net result while immaterial to GAAP financial statements overall did impact same store NOI for Q4 2015. In regard to same property NOI for the fourth quarter, please understand that the focus of our work was to ensure that the closing balance sheet at December 31 was as clean as possible. This resulted in certain items being recorded in the fourth quarter that relate to prior quarters from prior years which rendered fourth quarter 2015 non-comp and non-representative of portfolio performance. As a result, the fourth quarter same property NOI was negatively impacted by these cumulative accounting adjustments. Had these adjustments not been necessary, same property NOI would have been around 3.6% for the quarter. At the end of the day, these adjustments were more impactful to same property NOI than the GAAP financial statements overall, which is it why it was necessary to record the adjustments - why it was unnecessary to record the adjustments in the year or quarter which they occurred. In total and most importantly the cumulative adjustments resulted in an immaterial impact of less than one half of 1% of NOI. Given the extensive process just described and the end result Barry and I were comfortable signing the rep letters and presenting to you today our fourth quarter and year end results and the supporting operating metrics in addition to our 2016 guidance. Barry will discuss this process further in a few minutes. Before I move on to address operating results, I want to advise that subsequent to when we self-reported to the SEC we were asked by the SEC to provide certain information, which we are currently doing. We obviously intend to fully cooperate with them. The SEC will work, will proceed on a timeframe determined and controlled completely by them and therefore we have no visibility on the extent of that timeframe. Currently this is all I can address in regard to the SEC, but we will endeavor to keep you posted as events warrant and as permitted by counsel. In summary, from an internal perspective, the very unfortunate matter that led to this moment is now behind us. And operationally, we are now focused on running the business with an emphasis on leasing, driving rents, repositioning anchors, refinancing our debt, incentivizing our people and competing effectively in a very fluid retail environment. Now I’d like to speak about the operating results we released last night, which evolved from the extraordinary review process I just described. Our fourth quarter and year end results reflect an effective execution of our business strategy to harvest organic growth opportunities embedded in the portfolio by driving rents in a supply constraint environment. Rental increases continue to be the primary driver of organic growth as the company unlocks the inherent value of its below market leases. Average starting base rent per square foot for new leases signed during the year was $15.86, an 18% increase from the $13.45 per square foot for new leases signed in 2014. Blended leasing spread were approximately 15% for both the fourth quarter and full year and going forward we expect blended spreads in the range of 10% to 15%. These expectations reflect a realistic run rate for leasing spreads based upon the company’s expiring in place rents in the $12 range relative to where we see market rents at almost $16 today. Leasing productivity for the year exceeded 13 million square feet including 3% square feet of new deals, reflecting the continued strong demand from retailers across our portfolio. I said many times that not all grocery anchored centers are created equally and the quintessential element to success in this business is the market share and the strategic positioning of the particular grocer. 80% of the grocery anchored assets in this portfolio are occupied by the number one or number two grocer in the market and average grocer sales productivity across the portfolio is over $550 per square foot. The demand we are experiencing from small shop and junior anchor retailers validates their desire to be a co-tenant with the market leading grocers that populate this portfolio, otherwise 13 million square feet of annual leasing would simply not be possible. Against this background the company continues to accretively deploy capital into repositioning and upgrading anchors. During 2015 we completed 39 anchor repositioning projects at an average NOI yield of 16%. The pipeline of additional anchor space repositioning project is currently comprised of 32 projects with a total cost of $84 million and anticipated average NOI yields of 11% as well as 12 outparcel developments for a total cost of $21 million with anticipated NOI yields of 13%. We continue to track development and redevelopment activity in our markets to anticipate potential threats to our plan projects and continue to see no meaningful competitive new supply coming online. Therefore we are confident our anchor repositioning projects will continue to be accretive and our ability to drive rents will remain intact. Aided by anchor lease transformations small shop occupancy increased 170 basis points year-over-year and 30 basis points sequentially to 84.3%. Efforts here are driven by both our regional and local teams as well as our national accounts program, which has been very effective in increasing the amount of business we’re doing with credit worthy and merchandise enhancing franchise concepts. To that end blended leasing spreads on small shop space were 17% for the quarter and 16% for the year and we expect that trend to continue as we improve the quality of the anchors and co-tenants across the portfolio. It is important to note though that we are not satisfied with an 84.3% occupancy rate in small shop category and will continue to emphasize improvement to this metric in 2016. While we remain optimistic about the long-term occupancy gain opportunities across the portfolio we are experiencing some short-term dislocation in our anchor occupancy resulting from repositioning efforts as well as the impact of the A&P bankruptcy. As a result total active occupancy was flat sequentially and declined 20 basis points year-over-year to 92.6%. However in 2016 we expect occupancy to increase 20 to 40 basis points bringing our lease rate at year end to 92.8 to 93%. We strongly believe that the short-term occupancy set backs are opportunistic as we focus on the long-term benefits and performance of our assets. We understand the importance of increasing the occupancy level of this portfolio and over the next several weeks we’ll investigate all ways from processes and procedures to organizational structure and individual performance to ensure that we leave no occupancy opportunities on the table. Before turning the call over to Barry to address the other key components of year end results and 2016 guidance I want to highlight additional priorities we expect to accomplish over the next few months. First we will continue with the search for a prominent CEO to lead this company forward as we have engaged Kron Ferry who is in their initial stages of the search process. I want to reiterate that we will not jeopardize the long-term objectives of this enterprise or its shareholders for the sake of speediness. We will run a thorough and extensive process that will take us much time as necessary to reach the proper conclusion. Also we have reengaged with our lenders to address our $2.75 billion corporate credit facility well before its maturity continuing the process to amend and extend the maturity of the $1.5 billion term loan component and the $1.25 billion line of credit component. And while we have adequate capacity to address our 2016 maturities our objective is to balance and extend our debt maturity profile and further unencumber the portfolio by utilizing the unsecured bond market. Hand in hand with these objectives is resolving our current outlook with the rating agencies to position us for an investment grade bond offering we have an extensive calendar of lender meetings, which will take place over the next several weeks. As it relates specifically to 2016 debt maturities in the fourth quarter of 2015 we accelerated the payoff of $382 million of first quarter 2016 maturities with a weighted average interest rate of 5.6%. There are $856 million of scheduled maturities remaining in 2016 with a weighted average interest rate also of 5.6%. This debt is comprised entirely of property level loans with current loan value in the mid 40% range which should not be difficult to refinance. It is important to note that $687 million of these maturities are in the fourth quarter. The current balance on our revolver is $456 million leaving us with a capacity of $794 million plus we have a current cash balance of $40 million. Our 2016 guidance assumes approximately $900 million of refinancing, which potentially includes one or two bond offerings markets permitting. Based upon current quotes expected interest rate savings could be $0.04 to $0.06 per share versus 2015, which is included in our guidance range. We of course will remain opportunistic and evaluate all available financing options should access to the bond market become limited due to market conditions. In December Michael Hyun was hired as our Chief Investment Officer and was immediately test with prudently reviewing new acquisition and disposition opportunities in order to optimize the composition of the portfolio by maximizing growth and mitigating potential risk. The company’s long-term intent is to become more opportunistically transactional and while today’s acquisitions market is challenging it is prudent and attractive to pursue select asset dispositions. As a result our guidance reflects disposition activity of $75 million to $175 million weighted toward the back half of the year. And lastly of course our continued high priority is to diligently operate our portfolio to maximize its inherent value. This is a portfolio where blocking and tackling will move the needle and the entire team is focused on the basic fundamentals necessary to achieve our goals. I look forward to reengaging with many of you over the next few weeks and thank you for your patience and support. At this time I want to introduce Barry Lefkowitz whose financial expertise and contributions plays a critical role in this transition. Barry?