Massimiliano Chiara
Analyst · Deutsche Bank
Thank you, Vince. Good morning, everyone. And thank you all for joining us today. The strength of our various businesses were on full display in the first quarter financial results reported this morning. We generated revenue of more than $1 billion, slightly ahead of our outlook, driven by 8% same store sales growth in global lottery and high teens revenue growth in Global Gaming and PlayDigital. And more specifically, while reported revenue was stable year-on-year, if we adjust our performance for the sale of the Italy commercial service business executed last September and for foreign currency translation, revenue was actually up 10% year-on-year. Operating income of $255 million was also relatively stable, while adjusted EBITDA grew 4%. Again, net of the Italy business sale and FX, OI grew 6% and adjusted EBITDA was up 8%, more in line with organic revenue growth. I want to mention right away that we absorbed higher SG&A and R&D expenses of about $29 million year-over-year. About half of the increase is primarily related to the conscious decision to further invest in talent to support the growth of our business, in addition to returning to more normal trade show participation. The other half was primarily driven by the timing of certain items, such as costs associated with consolidating iSoftBet as well as some VAT expense and legal accruals. Operating income margin of 24% was at the top end of the outlook range on strong global gaming performance. The effective tax rate in the quarter was impacted by evaluation allowance on non-deductible interest in the US and non-cash foreign currency losses. When we adjust for these items, the effective tax rate was in the mid-30s percent range, which is in line with our expectations for the quarter and the full year. We delivered fully diluted earnings per share of $0.11 and adjusted EPS of almost $0.50 per share, with the year-over-year difference all attributable to higher tax rate. Now let's turn to our business segments, starting with Global Lottery. First quarter revenue of $624 million was down 8% as reported, but up 4% if we adjust for FX and for the sale of the Italy commercial service. Global same store sales increased 8% as strong player demand drove growth across geographies and game types, accentuated by robust sales related to the $1.3 billion megamillion jackpot that hit in January. Product sales were lower year-over-year due to large terminal and system deliveries in Poland in the first quarter of 2022. $240 million in operating income and a strong OI margin of 38% reflect the high profit flow through of same store sales growth, including the elevated jackpot activity I just mentioned, and the positive contribution from higher sales in Italy. As a reminder, in our current outlook, lottery says in the first half of the year are expected to be stronger than in the back half, given the very strong jackpot productivity we had in the second half of 2022, which we aren't planning to recur at this time. Compelling product offerings in Global Gaming continued to drive strong results. Revenue of $381 million increased 17% during the first quarter, with sustained double-digit growth in both service and product sales category. Global unit shipments was 15% year-over-year to almost 8,300 units, the highest ever for a Q1 period, primarily driven by a 23% increase in the US and Canada. Global ASPs were up 12% to a record $15,900, thanks to a more favorable mix of content and new hardware as well as the early impact of recent pricing actions. The global install base and yields increased both year-over-year and sequentially, with growth in the US and Canada and rest of world. The US and Canada install base increased 804 units sequentially due to an almost 1,500 unit contribution from the Rhode Island JV, partially offset by almost 200 units in Rhode Island that were temporarily removed in Q1 due to casino floor renovations, which are expected to come back in Q2. Removal of older unsupported units, unit converted to sales and planned WLA market removals in New York and Delaware make the difference. Global yields rose 7% on the continuation of strong performance across the portfolio, with yields in the international markets marching toward closing the gap versus 2019. Higher productivity from the install base and a leaner cost structure drove operating income up 34% to $69 million and operating income margin to 18%. On the back of the strong first quarter performance, we see a path to achieving an operating income margin of around 20% in the second half of the year, primarily reflecting the expected easing of supply chain costs that are starting to be visible in the material and components procured in the current period. PlayDigital revenue increased 17%, or 20% at constant currency, to $55 million. iCasino was up on strong organic growth and contributions from the expanded content and distribution network realized from the acquisition of iSoftBet in July 2022, partially offset by unusually high jackpot expense, which increased $10 million year-over-year. Jackpot expense is a contra revenue item that can have high variability based on the timing of when jackpots are won. Sports betting revenue was up on expansion into new jurisdictions through a customer diversification effort that is starting to show results, as well as preeminent organic growth from our stronghold markets. We're very pleased with the recent performance and reiterate our conviction in an improved market penetration, thanks to the recent announcement of newly acquired customers. Operating income rose 9%, 15% at constant currency, to $14 million. Operating margin of 26% was up modestly on a sequential basis, despite significantly higher jackpot expense. When we normalize the severe impact of jackpot expense experienced in Q1, we see a further margin improvement of about 2 points that would move this business closer to the 2025 target of 30% plus OI margin sooner than originally expected. Cash flow generation was strong during the first quarter, with cash from operations of over $300 million and nearly $220 million in free cash flow. The resulting EBITDA to cash conversion rate of 69% included a benefit from the timing of certain Italy working capital items, but it demonstrates we are making good progress toward the 2025 cash conversion target of 65%. Strong profit generation drove net debt leverage down to 3 times, the lowest level we have ever achieved. From a balance sheet perspective, we are nicely positioned with total liquidity of $2.1 billion, including unrestricted cash of $700 million and $1.4 billion in additional borrowing capacity from undrawn credit facilities. Recent progress in our cash flow performance and net leverage trajectory reinforces our conviction in achieving the lower end of our 2.5 times to 3.5 times target net leverage ratio by 2025. This achievement is central and integral to our balanced approach to capital allocation. We are reaffirming the full-year 2023 outlook with an even greater level of confidence in our ability to deliver against this financial target, given the strong first quarter performance. In summary, at this point in time, we prefer to keep a prudent approach for the full year in light of the current macroeconomic uncertainties. Specifically, the full-year outlook range encompasses a somewhat cautious view on the second half of the year, including the potential for an economic slowdown in the US. Finally, we are introducing our guidance for the second quarter, where we expect to achieve revenue of around $1 billion and operating income margin of around 22% to 24%. In summary, we're off to a very good start in 2023, given the strong first quarter results that met or exceeded the high end of our expectations and set us on a solid path to achieving our 2023 financial goals. We continue to generate solid cash flows and have secure financial flexibility with the lowest net debt leverage level in company history and significant liquidity. With that, I would now like to ask the operator to please open the line for questions.