Alberto Fornaro
Analyst · Deutsche Bank. Your line is now open
Thank you, Marco, and hello to all of you on the call today. Our second quarter results are summarized on Slide 10. Reporting numbers were significantly impacted by the strength of U.S. dollar against the euro. The average euro-dollar rate this quarter was 1.12 versus 1.19 in Q2 last year. At constant currency, revenue increased to 5% compared to the prior year. We achieved significant growth in global gaming product sales and continuous strength in global lottery same-store revenue. Adjusted EBITDA of $454 million was also up 5% at constant currency. As Marco mentioned, this is the highest quarterly EBITDA we have delivered in the past three years, and it would be approximately $6 million higher at the 1.15 euro-dollar rate we assumed in our outlook. North America Gaming and Italy were the main drivers of increased profit despite higher gaming machine taxes. North American Lottery also generated solid results, matching the performance in Q2 2018 that included the highest product sales revenue in three years. In the quarter, we recognize the impact of two discrete items. First, we executed a multi-year strategic lease and distribution agreement in Oklahoma, which includes the sale of lease machine in Q2 and Q3. The contribution from this transaction is recorded as a benefit to other operating income and included in EBITDA. Second, we incur higher litigation charges, which account for the bulk of the year-over-year increase in SG&A. Adjusted operating income increased in line with revenue and EBITDA. Let’s now turn to our operating segments. We will start with North America Gaming & Interactive on Slide 11. We had a solid quarter, growing revenue 8% and operating income 30% on a reported basis, 27% at constant currency. Total revenue from product sales increase 22%, driven by a 54% increase in the replacement units, combined with higher average selling prices and greater systems revenue. The Oklahoma agreement had no impact to revenue or units sold in the period, but resulted in the removal of 2,076 units from the install base. We also expect the removal of few hundred units in the third quarter related to this agreement. At constant currency, other gaming service revenue was down 3%, as a large multi-year poker contract essentially offset the revenue from a similar transaction in the prior year. On an underlying basis, the installed base grew by more than 400 units sequentially driven by increases in Class II markets as well as placement at Encore Boston harbor. operating income growth was essentially in line with the revenue growth excluding the net impact of the discrete items mentioned earlier. Next, we have North America lottery on Slide 12, where we were able to match the very high revenue level of last year. strong same-store revenue growth overcame the impact from the end of this Illinois supply contract. Instant ticket and draw games grew over 5%, thanks to solid broad-based geographic strength with the notable gains in Florida, North Carolina, Michigan and Texas. A large Mega Million jackpot drove 24% same-store revenue growth from multi-state jackpot games. increased product sales grow across the multiple jurisdictions and higher instant ticket printing helped offset the significant contribution from Massachusetts lottery hardware sales last year. Higher depreciation impacted operating income in the quarter. Now, let’s turn to the International segment on Slide 13. While revenue was up 20% at constant currency entirely on product sales growth, operating income dropped 11%. there are some items that impacted the year-to-year profit comparison. The decline in total service revenue was accentuated at the operating income level driven by interactive performance and non-wager-related items. As we have said in the past, a good portion of international service, revenues and profits are impacted by contract specific items that are not linked to key performance indicators, both for gaming and lottery. As you can see, product sales were very strong in the period, fueled by a considerable increase in gaming machine units and higher software sales. The margin flow-through was below the prior year, primarily due to mix included earlier than expected shipment of approximately 1,600 Sweden VLT units. Software margins were lower for a specific reason. Earlier this year, we entered into a joint venture with the leading distributor of game content to the Italian AWP market. In the past, we sold games directly into the market while this new strategic approach has a dilutive impact to margins, it significantly improved our total market opportunity and the overall contribution to profits and cash flows overtime. You will recall the profits from international segment were quite good in the first nine months of 2018, but weak in the fourth quarter. We expect challenging comparison to persist in Q3, especially against the larger Finland transaction in the third quarter last year, but we anticipate an improvement in Q4. On Slide 14, you have the results for Italy, where we had a truly strong quarter. At constant currency, revenue was up 1%. Operating income rose at stronger 8% on broad-based wager growth and associated profit flew through in addition to a beneficial shift in expense timing, which more than offset the negative impact of increased gaming machine taxes. Total lottery revenue increased 4%. This was driven by 6% growth 10eLotto wagers and a modest increase for scratch & Win wagers. machine gaming revenue reflected the impact of higher taxes, partly offset by better machine productivity. We continue to estimate a $40 million impact on full-year EBITDA from higher taxes, net of mitigating actions. Sports betting wagers were up 3% despite the World Cup in the prior year. The interactive and commercial services business also contributed to the growth in revenue. On Slide 15, you can see the net debt leverage improved compared to year-end levels. Now, let’s start Slide 16, where we show our debt maturity schedule as of June 30th pro forma for an amendment and extensions of our revolving credit facility completed in July. During the quarter, we issued €750 million or 3.5% senior secured notes due in 2026. this was upsized from the original €500 million offerings due to strong demand and favorable pricing, approximately €438 million of the net proceeds were used to fund of the redemption of a 4 1/8% [ph] bonds during 2020 and the remainder was used to pay down borrowings and our revolving credit facilities. in July, we proactively amended our revolving credit facility to extend the maturity date by three years to July, 2024, lower the size from about $2 billion to around $1.7 billion and modify certain provision that increased flexibility. The reduction in the size of the facility reflects lower anticipated needs. This leaves us with the liquidity that is more than sufficient to cover debt maturities until 2022. on Slide 17, we show cash flow for the first half of the year. we generated cash flow from – cash from operation of nearly $600 million, capEx totaled $231 million. We achieved the record first half free cash flow of a $361 million with the large Italian upfront payment behind us that and moderation in capEx spending, we expect to generate significantly more free cash flow than in the past few years. Cash distribution to minority partners totaled $199 million including an acceleration of distributions related to lotto. as minority distribution are heavily concentrated in the second quarter, this represents the bulk of the distribution for the year. We recognized a $65 million from the sale of noncore assets. The assets sales were executed to help offset any potential growth capEx that may arise from new business opportunity and the acceleration in the mentioned minority partner distribution. On Slide 18, we have included our outlook for 2019. We are not changing any of our operating assumption for the year. The revised outlook for adjusted EBITDA of $1.675 billion to $1.735 billion is entirely due to a change in the euro-dollar rate. Our previous outlook was based on a euro-dollar rate of 1.15. in the first half, the average rate was 1.13. We are now using a rate of 1.11 for the second half of the year, which brings the full-year average rate to 1.12. As a reminder, every $0.01 change in the euro-dollar rate impacts annual EBITDA by approximately $9 million and net debt by about $35 million. When I provided our initial outlook for 2019, I mentioned that we expected EBITDA to be slightly more concentrated in the second half and that we would work to change this profile. As you can see from our first half results, we have been able to shift the timing of certain transaction forward, helping to derisk the balance of the year. We now expect full-year EBITDA to be slightly more weighted to the first half. within the second half, the timing of product sales should result in EBITDA being higher in the fourth quarter than in the third. you may have noticed in the past the cabins of our cash flow as we large – we have large interest and cash tax payment in the third quarter. In summary, we are very pleased with our second quarter results, which include remarkable increase in gaming machines unit shipment and continuous strength in global lottery same-store revenue. We generated significant free cash flow in the first half of the year and successfully refinanced portion of our 2020 debt maturity, both providing increased financial flexibility. Now, we’d like to open the call for your questions. Operator?