Richard Carter
Analyst · Canaccord
Okay. Good morning, everybody. So throughout the second quarter, we made meaningful progress with our strategic growth initiatives, including expanding existing customer relationships, building out a pipeline of premium in-house iGaming content and providing our content and offerings to new markets. These and other strategies are transforming Bragg into a leading global content focused B2B iGaming provider. Now before reviewing our strategic growth initiatives in more detail, I want to address the new iGaming regulatory regime in Germany. So following the new iGaming regulatory regime in Germany which became effective on July 1, this year revenue contributions from this market are expected to decline in the second half of 2021 and into 2022 compared to historical levels. Now the changes are fully unanticipated in Bragg's growth forecasts and are expected to be offset by strong growth in both new and existing markets as well as from new clients and from increased profit margins as a result of developing more proprietary content and from our acquisitions. In the first half of 2021, German revenue outperformed and represented 65% of total revenue, which has resulted in a higher base going into the July rule changes. Since those rule changes came into effect player behavior and invoice revenue has trended in line with our expectations. We have budgeted that monthly German revenue will bottom out in Q4 2021. Looking into 2022, we expect to launch additional new license clients in Germany coupled with launching new in-house developed casino content. There is also an expectation that the German regulator should start to address the unregulated offshore operators later in 2021, which should limit some of the offshore flow to unlicensed operators. However to be cautious, we are not assuming any recovery on the Q4 2021 run rate and anticipate German revenue to compromise approximately 10% of 2022 revenue. This slide that shows that German regulatory impact for 2021 has been fully anticipated in Bragg's growth forecast and is expected to be offset by strong growth in both new and existing markets as well as for new clients and from the acquisition of Wild Streak. We expect German regulatory impact of 2021 revenue to be €8.2 million and for this to be offset by €4 million from underlying market growth and €4 million from the launch of new clients. We also anticipate that Wild Streak will now contribute €2 million of revenue in 2021. This results in an updated 2021 revenue guidance for the group of €49 million up from €47 million, previously. We've also today increased our EBITDA guidance from €4 million to €5.4 million. Our previous €4 million EBITDA guidance has been maintained. We have reflected €1.4 million of EBITDA for Wild Streak. Now let's turn a look at the group's 2022 revenue outlook. So as already commented, we expect 2022 German regulatory impact to be more material and are estimating an €18 million impact, but we expect this to be offset by entering to new markets like the UK, Italy, Canada, the Netherlands and the US, which I'll talk about a little bit later. We also expect to see growth from clients launched in 2021 coming into 2022 and from the addition of new clients and by the ramping up of the delivery of games from our proprietary in-house content studio. We'll also see a full year contribution from acquisitions. Taken together this is expected to result in 2022 revenue of between €54 million to €56 million and we anticipate that EBITDA will be at least at the same level of 2021. Now let's look in more detail at strategic growth initiatives we started to advance in Q2 including our in-house content strategy, third-party content and new market entry plan that will not only rapidly mitigate a near-term German regulatory impact, but will enable the group to transform its future revenue growth opportunity and significantly expand group EBITDA margins over the medium-term. An important building block for accelerating the strategic transition was the acquisition of Wild Streak, which we completed on the 2 of June this year. Wild Streak will significantly help transform Bragg's business going forward as we shift from primarily providing third-party online content to be predominantly focused on providing in-house developed online content that will carry significantly higher gross profit margins. Wild Streak a leading US and European focus proprietary casino content studio provides Bragg with the library of 40 casino content titles as well as expertise in game design slot massive and advanced game features. As of June 30, Wild Streak had seven online casino games live in key iGaming markets including New Jersey, the UK and other regulated jurisdictions in Europe, which have helped grow Wild Streak's adjusted EBITDA by 940% during the first half of the year. Now looking forward, we believe that material further growth opportunities exist for the following reasons. Wild Streak had only seven online games at the end of the second quarter with four released during the first six months of the year but now has planned to release a minimum of 16 games a year in 2022 with that ramping up in the following years. In the US, Wild Streak was operational in only one state, New Jersey and expect to grow into other regulated US states in the second half. And finally, Wild Streak's offering will benefit from the large distribution network available to ORYX, RGS and from the company's claim engagement tools. Further underpinning growth, Wild Streak has also shown significant growth in GGR from Europe, since the beginning of 2021, as shown in the next slide. It released four new titles with pragmatic play and plans to release one more game in 2021. These games achieved US$37 million in GGR in the first half of 2021 and proven to be very sticky since being deployed underpinning the quality of the Wild Streak game mechanics and features. As you can see in the next slide, compared to the average of our Q1 exclusive game releases by the ORYX RGS [Technical Difficulty] after release, when compared to the first month of release. For example, in month three Wild Streak game should [indiscernible] at around 50% of the levels seen in the first month compared to 30% against we launched from other studios. As already stated, we expect Wild Streak to add €2 million to group revenue in 2021 and €1.4 million of EBITDA, which represents a seven-month contribution, while in 2022 at this stage, we expect Wild Streak to add €5 million of revenue and close to €4 million of EBITDA in 2022. Now another important milestone in the quarter was the acquisition of Spin. We continue to make progress with the US and Canadian licensing process related to the Spin acquisition, and we expect to complete the acquisition in the fourth quarter as previously communicated, pending regulatory approval. The technical integration between Spin Games and our ORYX Hub distribution platform is already completed and the combined offering will deliver the benefits of ORYX's RGS in-house content as engagement and data tools alongside Spin US market content and operator relationships, providing a differentiated and widely distributed iGaming product offering. Following the completion of the transaction, we will gain access to key strategic operator relationships in the US, where Spin Games has over 30 customers including iGaming customers such as DraftKings, Golden Nugget Penn National to name a few. We plan to leverage these relationships to initially cross-sell our existing European casino content followed by the new proprietary online casino content that we are taking to something to address the US and Canadian market. Now let's turn to the near-term and medium-term market size opportunity for the group. We believe the greatest opportunity for growth is in the online casino segment of the online gaming sector. Within the key markets of North America and Europe, online casino the larger TAM relative to sports betting and has historically tended to be materially more profitable for operators. We expect the current trend for online casino regulation in North America to continue, underpinning the group's growth opportunity. Now Bragg, historically, given its European focus has operated and targeted markets that represented only US$2.8 billion. We're only 20% of the $14 billion European online casino market. Looking forward into 2022, we expect to increase the group's total addressable market by a factor of six-fold to $18 billion. This will be driven by entering the UK market with an estimated market size of $5.5 billion, entering the Italian market with an estimated size of $2 billion, the Dutch market with an estimated market size of $0.4 billion and the U.S. market with a TAM currently run rate of over $3 billion. And we expect all this to open-up for Bragg, during the fourth quarter of this year. Then, as we move into 2022, we are very excited about the opportunities that the Canadian online casino market, presents the group, given we will have relationships with many of the leading North American operators by the acquisition of Spin, coupled with our existing European operator relationships. In addition, via Spin, we expect to be licensed in British Columbia with a Q2, 2022 go-live date already slated. And we are in the process of building our go-to-market strategy for Ontario, for a Q1 2022 launch, following the recent securities law that creates a regulatory framework for a competitive iGaming and mobile sports betting market. Now today the Canadian online casino market is estimated to be currently worth approximately USD600 million which includes offshore operators. But following the privatization of Ontario and the expected market entry, and investment from many of the leading global online gaming and sports betting operators into this province, the total online Canadian casino market is expected to grow materially with an estimated TAM of between $2 billion to $3 billion, by 2025. Now as a way of reference, Ontario represents about 40% of Canada's population. And if Ontario was a U.S. state it would be the fifth largest state by population. And based on the current New Jersey online casino spends per adult will have a TAM of approximately $2 billion. Now taking a closer look at, our road map to expanding our market reach, we're already ramping up our presence in new European markets. We received our BT license to supply in Greece last week. We have completed the certification of our games to the Netherlands, in preparation when the market opens currently anticipated October one this year. We've signed a platform deal with JBH, one of the leading Dutch LAN-based operators. And expect to announce more deals in the run-up to this market opening up. As mentioned, we expect to be ready to supply our games in the top European markets of the U.K. and Italy, from late Q4 this year. While in 2022 we expect to ramp up in all of the territories as well as rolling out in the U.S., Canada and other markets globally. As you can see, on the next slide, the other core pillar of our future growth will be driven by our in-house and third-party content strategy. We have made strong progress during the first half of 2021, in commercializing our in-house studio. And with the addition of Wild Streak, we're now in a strong position to increase our output of games produced from our in-house studios, which capture a greater share of the value chain compared to distribution of third-party gains. The completion of the Spin acquisition in Q4 will also significantly add to this. In addition, we will continue to look to add differentiated and appealing third-party exclusive content and are currently in discussions with several Tier 1 studios, for the exclusive rights for further slot titles for both, the U.S. and Europe. On the next slide, we illustrate graphically the progress we are making and expect to make into 2022. This year in 2021, we expect to release a total of five games from our in-house Oryx gaming studio, which will represent about 11% of all exclusive games were released this year via the Oryx RGS. In 2022, we have a road map of 19 proprietary games to launch in Europe from our Oryx gaming studio, representing 33% of exclusive gains which we plan to release by the Oryx RGS for the year. In addition, in 2022, we expect to release a further four proprietary games from Oryx gaming studio in the U.S., while our Las Vegas-based Wild Streak studio will release 10 proprietary games in the U.S. giving a total 40 fully owned online slot game titles expected to go live in the region and representing 37% of all exclusive games expected to be launched by the company in the U.S. in 2022. Overall, we plan to launch the combined 96 slot titles in 2022, which implies more than 100% year-on-year growth. And out of the 96 titles 33% or 30% will be in-house generated content versus 11% this year. Now let's look at how these key growth initiatives are expected to change our revenue and margin profile going forward. Today, as you know, the majority of our revenue and gross profit comes from the distribution of exclusive games built by third-party studios on our Oryx RGS. The revenue generated from these games is shared with our third-party studio partners in the form of a royalty fee, which depresses our gross profit margins, while revenue from our in-house platform and our in-house developed gains converted close to a 100% gross margin. As we pivot towards our in-house live content strategy, we expect to take our gross profit margins from around 43% today up to 60% by 2024, which in turn will drive our EBITDA margins from 12%, which were in 2020 to between 20% to 25% by 2024. Now in conclusion, Bragg possesses many competitive advantages including proprietary modern technology and development resources that enable us to innovate rapidly and develop content quickly. We, with our technology platform, growing proprietary premium content portfolio, value-added player engagement tools and global distribution capabilities, we believe Bragg is well-positioned to capture a growing share of the large global iGaming market. These factors combined with our low-capitalized expenditure requirements and predominantly fixed cost operating model will enable Bragg to materially grow revenue and adjusted EBITDA margins over the medium-term. That concludes my comments. If Ronen is on the line, I'll pass it over to Ronen.