Bruno Morand
Analyst · Barclays
Thank you, Magnus. Year-to-date, Borr Drilling has secured 14 new contract commitments, adding $318 million to our backlog. Several of these new commitments include options with the potential to significantly extend their duration and earnings visibility. Since our last report, we secured high-quality contracts backed by our market-leading operational performance. In Vietnam, we received a multi-rig award from Hong Kong for rig store and gunboat totaling approximately 500 days, including priced options. Both contracts are expected to commence in early Q4 in direct continuation of the rig's existing contracts, clearly demonstrating our ability to eliminate idle time and maximize asset utilization. These awards strengthen our market position in Vietnam, where we see near- term demand growth in Southeast Asia. In the Middle East, the rig Arabia II received a 500 days contract expected to commence in early September, enabling the rig to return to the active fleet. While this tender has been awarded on a competitive basis, the rig's track record of high performance allows us to collaborate with the customer around certain performance incentives, which could result in day rate uplift of up to 10% to 15%. In Mexico, the run had a 100-day option exercised by ENI, keeping the rig contracted into early '26. As part of this extension, the parties agreed to add another set of options to that contract that if exercised, would result in full year coverage for 2026. And lastly, in June, the Odin received a notice of suspension by Pemex. Following this, we secured a letter of intent from an independent oil company in Mexico for an approximately 75-day program expected to commence in late August. In addition to these awards, we have converted the previously announced LOAs for the [ Scout ] in Thailand and the Norve in West Africa into contracts. As you note in our fleet status report, the award associated with the Norve in West Africa has now been assigned to the Natt, which will enable us to optimize scheduling flexibility and maximize revenue days. On the back of the recent contracts, our 2025 fleet coverage has now reached a robust 84% at an average day rate of 145. This is in line with our earlier targets of achieving 80% to 85% coverage in the year, and we see potential for further improvements as we have line of sight of additional contracts for the rigs Natt and P1, which we still have open capacity this year. Our 2026 coverage, including price options, now stand at 47%, a 12-point improvement since our last report. Mexico remains a significant and strategically important part of our portfolio, representing circa 20% of our available coverage in 2026. The announcements made by the Mexican government last week provide us with increased confidence in sustained rig demand and contract stability for our rigs in country. I'll cover these in more details in a few minutes. From a macro perspective, the oil and gas sector continues to contend with a complex global environment recently shaped by regional conflicts, uncertainty over global trade tariffs and OPEC's accelerated rollback of its 2.2 million barrels per day voluntary cuts. Regional conflicts have continued to underwrite the fragility of the global oil and gas supply chains with escalations in the Middle East causing Brent prices to reach highs of $75 in June and revising discussions about the importance of pragmatic government policies as illustrated by the Dutch government's reinstated commitment to develop local gas and New Zealand's reversal of its prior bank on new offshore licenses. Despite this complex environment, Brent crude prices have remained resilient, averaging approximately $68 in Q2, a level that continued to support the development of shallow water projects, which offer some of the lowest breakevens and faster cash flow generation to our customer. Looking specifically at jack-ups, global utilization has remained generally steady with modern rig market utilization holding above 90%. Day rates have continued to experience downward pressure as the market works to absorb the excess capacity resulting from the Saudi suspensions. While more than half of the modern rig capacity from the suspension has been absorbed, we estimated that less than 10 modern units remain available and competitive in international markets. Positively, visible incremental demand in the Middle East, particularly in Kuwait and the neutral zone, points towards a significant part of this oversupply being absorbed in the near future. While we acknowledge that these projects have experienced delays due to supply chain constraints and complex procurement processes, recent orders of long lead items provide increased confidence that they remain on track to materialize in '26 and '27. Additionally, we are encouraged by recent data points relating to Aramco EPCI tender awards and nearing awards for an estimated total of $8 billion, surpassing 2024 levels. These awards cover key projects such as Zulu and margin and are understood to include several wellhead platforms. With jack-up activity in Saudi already back to 2019 level, we believe further development of these projects are supportive of long-term incremental demand in the Kingdom. In Southeast Asia and West Africa, demand has continued to track positively. Since the beginning of the year, contracted jack-up counts in these regions has increased by 10 rigs. While the inflow of rigs from the Middle East to both regions has pressured rates in recent opportunities and more marketing in Southeast Asia, supply and demand in these regions is fundamentally balanced for modern units. In Mexico, we're encouraged by the government's renewed focus on strengthening Pemex's liquidity and its restated goal of achieving 1.8 million barrels per day in production. The government has laid out a clear plan, including a $12 billion debt offering to refinance short-term obligations and another $13 billion facility to provide funding for Pemex's current and future projects. Given our track record of delivering best-in-class wells, Borr is uniquely positioned to capture incremental work, especially on private investment projects, which are projected to contribute to 1/4 of the country's production by 2033. The bottom line is this, stronger liquidity at Pemex is a clear positive for Borr Drilling. As supply and demand continue to rebalance, retirement activity has now resumed as owner of old assets face challenges to find suitable and economic redeployment opportunities. So far this year, according to IHS, 4 units have been retired and several others are being held for sale. We expect the dynamic to accelerate, particularly in the context of ongoing industry consolidation. In short, while near-term volatility may continue, the long-term fundamentals of the jack-up market remain compelling. Demand for oil and gas to support global energy needs is expected to continue to grow and support investment. Shallow water projects represent a sizable portion of global production, characterized by attractive breakeven prices, short cash flow cycles and relatively low emissions. With an aging global fleet and no new builds in sight, the supply of jack-ups should continue to high, supporting high utilization levels and economics. We are consistently delivering in our commercial strategy, maximizing 2025 backlog and building 2026 coverage while supporting our customers through this dynamic cycle. With that, I'll hand the call back to Patrick.