Steven Nell
Analyst · Morgan Stanley. Please proceed with your question
Thanks, Stacy. As noted on Slide 10, net interest income for the quarter was $270.2 million, down $8.8 million from the third quarter, as the full realization of the last two Federal Reserve interest rate cuts were felt in the quarter. Net interest margin was 2.88% down from 3.01% the previous quarter, I provided on the slide a roll-forward to highlight significant items impacting the NIM calculation. First, accretion levels were $5.1 million less this quarter due to the lower CoBiz loan payoffs, which reducing NIM by 6 basis points. Second, higher loan fees in the fourth quarter improved NIM by 3 basis points. Third, there was a 9 basis point decline in our non interest-bearing funding profile with a decrease in demand deposits and an increase in receivables from our trading activity. In addition, our earning asset yield declined, excluding accretion and fees of 29 basis points was effectively offset by 28 basis point decline in funding costs. While net interest income and margin have moved down over the past few quarters, the projected flat interest rate environment in 2020 should allow some stability going forward. On Slide 11, fees and commissions were $179.4 million, an increase of 12% quarterly and year-over-year, fueled largely by our strength in our brokerage and trading business. Brokerage and trading increased over 56% from the same quarter a year ago, while overall brokerage and trading was relatively flat in the quarterly comparison, growth and trading revenue was up $5.6 million, but was offset by lower customer hedging revenue and loan syndication fees. Mortgage banking revenue was down 16% from an expected seasonal slowdown. However, 2019 was a great year for the mortgage channel, as the favorable rate environment allowed us to grow the business 16% compared to 2018. As we enter 2020, we remain confident in our origination capabilities, even in an expected flat rate environment. Fiduciary and asset management revenue was up over 3% linked-quarter and year-over-year as strong sales gathering activities and favorable equity markets have fueled steady growth. Other revenue was down due to the variable nature of repossessed asset revenues from certain oil and gas properties that are contained in that line item. Turning to Slide 12, total operating expenses increased $9.5 million to $288.8 million. Personnel expense increased $5.8 million for the quarter; incentive compensation increased $2.6 million linked quarter due to an increase in cash based incentive compensation primarily from the sales activity and wealth management and commercial banking. Regular compensation increased $3 million, largely due to the severance cost from a realignment of personnel for the operating environment headed into 2020. Non-personnel expense was up $3.7 million from the third quarter, largely due to our typical year-end charitable contribution to the BOKF Foundation of $2 million. The mentioned pressure on net interest revenues moved our efficiency ratio back over 60% this quarter. While a 60% or lower efficiency ratio is still our long-term goal, it will be influenced by the mix of revenue going forward. Slide 13 has our current outlook for 2020. Average security balances remain comparable to current levels as we manage to a relatively neutral interest rate risk position. Average loan growth around the 3% to 4% with lower growth in energy compared to 2019. Average deposits are expected to cover loan growth for the year. Net interest revenue is expected to remain relatively flat compared to 2019, given overall lower interest rates for the year. Stable net interest margin from the current level, with a bias towards slight improvement if the overall net interest rate environment remains flat. Fee revenues grow mid-single digits with continued growth in brokerage and trading and assets under management and wealth. Efficiency ratio slightly above 60% as fee revenues grow faster than net interest revenue. Day 2 CECL provision levels will provide for loan growth and will be influenced by changing economic outlooks. We’re not expecting any meaningful changes in the historic loss rates during 2020 that drive our models. Tax rates approximately 21% of pre-tax income. We will continue to provide sufficient capital for loan and balance sheet growth, a competitive dividend payment and a modest level of optimistic – share repurchases. Capital ratios are expected to improve slightly over the course of 2020. And lastly, I want to share the updated transition impact of CECL that we expect to book on day 1. After many test runs, we expect the pre-tax transition adjustment to range between $60 million and $65 million, which is in the middle of the range we provided last quarter. We have elected to phase in the impact of CECL transition on regulatory capital over a three-year period. I’ll now turn the call back over to Steve Bradshaw for closing commentary.