Executives
Management
Cyndy Wyrick - Investor Relations Allan Landon – Chairman, CEO and Pres. Dan Stevens - Vice Chairman and Chief Financial Officer Peter Ho – Vice Chairman and Chief Banking Officer
Bank of Hawaii Corporation (BOH)
Q4 2007 Earnings Call· Mon, Jan 28, 2008
$78.17
-0.69%
Same-Day
+1.00%
1 Week
+4.91%
1 Month
+1.67%
vs S&P
+0.46%
Executives
Management
Cyndy Wyrick - Investor Relations Allan Landon – Chairman, CEO and Pres. Dan Stevens - Vice Chairman and Chief Financial Officer Peter Ho – Vice Chairman and Chief Banking Officer
Analysts
Management
Erika Penala - Merrill Lynch Brent Christ - Fox-Pitt Kelton Brett Rabatin - Ftn Midwest Securities Corp. Andrea Jao - Lehman Brothers Frederick Cannon – Keefe, Bruyette & Woods
Operator
Operator
Welcome to the Fourth Quarter 2007 Bank of Hawaii Corporations Earnings Conference call. (Operator Instructions) I would now like to turn the presentation over to your host for today’s call, Ms. Cyndy Wyrick from Investor Relations, please proceed.
Cyndy Wyrick
Management
Hello everyone and thank you for joining us as we review Bank of Hawaii Corporations financial results for 2007. With me this morning is our Chairman and CEO, Al Landon, our Vice Chairman and Chief Financial Officer, Dan Stevens, Vice Chairman and Chief Banking Officer, Peter Ho and Vice Chairman in Corporate Risks Mary Sellers. Our comments this morning will refer to the financial information that was included in the earnings announcement. Before we get started, let me remind you that today’s conference call will contain some forward-looking statements and while we believe our assumptions are reasonable, there are a variety of reasons that the actual results may differ materially from those projected as outlined in our form 10K and now, I would like to turn the call over to Al Landon.
Al Landon
Management
Bank of Hawaii achieved our major financial performance objectives for 2007. Our return on equity was 25%, return on assets was 1.75% and for the year, our operating leverage was positive. Our financial performance which was particularly strong in the first three quarters was diminished by unexpected cost recognized in the fourth quarter. We expect to recover some of those costs in the future following the Visa public offering. Our Chief Financial Officer, Dan Stevens will tell you more about our 2007 results and these costs. It has a special feature and in light of everyone’s interest in credit risk, our Chief Risk Officer, Mary Sellers, will discuss our credit provision profile. I will add some observations about the Hawaii economy and our expectations for 2008. Then we will be happy to respond to your questions.
Dan Stevens
Management
Bank of Hawaii’s net income for 2007 was $183.7 million up $3.3 million from $180.4 million in 2006. Diluted earnings per share were $3.69 for the year. As Al mentioned, the Bank of Hawaii recognized some cost in the fourth quarter that require explanation. The Bank of Hawaii is a member of Visa and receives shares of restricted stock as a result of its participation in the global restructuring of Visa. Member banks are obligated to share on the potential losses resulting from certain indemnifiable litigation involving Visa. Visa announced that it had established contingent liabilities related to these matters and accordingly, we recorded a charge of $5.6 million or $0.07 after tax per diluted share as our proportionate share. We also incurred $1.7 million in expenses related to our customer fraud loss. Together, Visa and the fraud loss represented $7.3 million of expenses recorded in the fourth quarter. Now turning to other components of the income statement and balance sheet, both our net interest income and margin improved in the fourth quarter. Net interest income on a taxable equivalent basis was $99.7 million in the fourth quarter, up $900,000.00 in the third quarter and net interest margin was 4.12%, up 9-basis points from the third quarter. As market rates declined, our deposits compromised of lower rates at a slightly faster pace than our loans as 61% of our loans and over 70% of our earning assets have fixed rates. Our effective cost of funds decreased by 18-basis points in the fourth quarter while the yield on earning assets declined 6-basis points. Although earning assets declined in the fourth quarter, average loans increased $11 million, but the proportion of non interest bearing demand deposits to total funding was constant. For the full year 2007, our net interest margin declined by…
Mary Sellers
Management
Our provision for credit losses was $5.4 million equal to net charge offs in the fourth quarter. The fourth quarter net chare offs included $720,000.00 in commercial net charge off and $4.7 million in consumer net charge off. Indirect auto and unsecured personal lines and loans accounted for $4.1 million of the consumer total. This represented a $1.1 million increase over the prior quarter accounting for the majority of the lean quarter, $1.4 million increase in total net charge offs. Increases in indirect and unsecured personal lines and loans were driven by seasonal variations and continued inflationary pressure on consumer incomes in our market. In 2007, we tightened underwriting standards and account management practices, and in the case of indirect auto, significantly reduced the amount of high risk paper we were accepting from the dealers, and in some cases, we began to require dealer recourse. In light of the economic outlook, we are further tightening underwriting standards and committing additional resources to our collection activities. Net charge offs for the full year were $15.5 million, up $4.7 million over 2006 reflective of a $1.6 million decrease in commercial recovery and a $3.1 million increase in consumer net charge offs. Indirect auto and unsecured personal lines and loans accounted for $1.5 million of this increase in consumer net charge offs. With overdrafts of approximately $1 million, accounting for the majority of the balance, I would note that prior to 2007, overdrafts were accounted for as operating losses. The full year provision totaled $15.5 million equal to full year net charge off maintaining our loan for loan and lease losses at an appropriate level. With credit issues dominating the headlines, I would like to take this opportunity to provide you an overview of our portfolio, key risks we see and the management…
Al Landon
Management
As we begin 2008, the Hawaii economy is in pretty good shape even though there are some signs of slowing. Visitor spending increased slightly in 2007 in spite of a small decrease in arrivals. For 2008, visitor forecast vary. Some expect small increases while others expect a slight decline in arrivals. Production of housing units was down in 2007 as it was in 2006. Housing prices on average have remained unchanged for the last two years. Commercial construction remains strong. The growth of government receipts is expected to slow in 2008. Unemployment remains low of just over 3% as of the end of the year. Inflation which has exceeded national levels in 2006 and 2007 is expected to be at lower levels in 2008. On balance, we read the indicators to suggest that the Hawaii economy looks pretty solid as we begin 2008. We carefully watch the economy on the US mainland as well. We know that if it slows appreciably, we can anticipate such weakness will affect us here in Hawaii. We will continue in 2008 to follow the business plan that we announced in 2007. Our plan focuses on our existing markets. We will maintain a balance between growth and discipline. We expect to see additional growth opportunities in 2008, but we will remain disciplined about controlling credit quality and risk. We will also continue our disciplined management of operating expenses, which will increase due to the effects of inflation and a higher cost of compliance and risk management. We expect our quarterly operating costs to run about $83 million to $84 million, although the first quarter could be a touch higher due to payroll taxes. We plan to pay for these costs with increased revenue. We expect to maintain our capital levels at 7%, although there are too many variables to make a prediction on 2008 quarterly returns, we believe that our longer term goals remain viable. Positive operating leverage earning 1.7% on assets and a return on equity of 25%. Now, we are happy to respond to your questions.
Operator
Operator
(Operator Instructions) Your first question will come from the line of Erika Penala representing Merrill Lynch, please proceed.
Erika Penala - Merrill Lynch
Analyst
I just wanted to make sure that I interpreted it correctly. You mentioned that you would prefer to focus on existing markets, is any expansion in the mainland even an option at this point?
Al Landon
Management
We do not have anything in our plans for that right now, Erika.
Erika Penala - Merrill Lynch
Analyst
Could you give us a sense in terms of the pace of buy back activity for ’08 and whether or not it would be comparable to the previous year’s pace?
Al Landon
Management
Right now, it looks comparable.
Erika Penala - Merrill Lynch
Analyst
And also, if I could get some color around how you expect the 75 basis point rate cut last week and maybe additional cuts this week to your first quarter margin?
Dan Stevens
Management
Given the structure of our balance sheet, there will be some pick up in margin related to the recent spend cuts. Clearly, if they continue to cut rates at that level, it gets to an absolute level where it is hard to recover unless we leverage our balance sheet and given where we are in the market and where interest rates are, this is probably not a good time for us to leverage, but these intermediary rate cuts given the structure of our balance sheet will help our margin in the first quarter.
Operator
Operator
Your next question will come from the line of Brent Christ representing Fox Pitt, please proceed.
Brent Christ - Fox-Pitt Kelton
Analyst
I appreciate the color Mary gave on the loan portfolio. Could you talk a little bit about the rise that you saw both in the home equity non performers this quarter as well as the 90 days past due in terms of the residential mortgage portfolio and just really what kind of trends are driving that.
Mary Seller
Analyst
In the non performing assets in home equity, it was really just a handful of loans. The debt together had a combined weighted average loan to value of 50%, which brought the total for our NPA balances to a weighted average loan to value of 61%. In terms of our 90 days-plus past due, that was primarily in mortgage. Again, it is several loans that are very conservative in terms of loan to value. In fact, we are at the 50% loan to value window now.
Brent Christ - Fox-Pitt Kelton
Analyst
And is there any loss of content there or expected at this point or kind of what are you doing to address the up-tick?
Mary Seller
Analyst
We are actually working very aggressively to resolve those and we do not expect any loss. In fact you would have seen that our NPA sub mortgage came down at half a million bucks this quarter.
Brent Christ - Fox-Pitt Kelton
Analyst
And then, in terms of the expense guidance that you gave, it seems like it is a little bit above obviously, your run rate over the past several quarters, could you talk a little bit more specifically about what is going to keep that level sustained or be a little bit higher as well as you mentioned the offset really being increased revenue and where you think the greatest opportunities are on the revenue side to offset that?
Al Landon
Management
I will make a general comment, Dan if you want to add anything to it, please do. The main source of increase is our decision to keep our work force levels at the same as we have right now and we need to, with the low unemployment here, we need to make sure that we keep our compensation competitive. We are also focusing on our operating cost related to compliance and risk management as I have said. They have snuck up on us a little bit here in the last couple of years as the expectations for compliance particularly increased and we just made a conscious decision that that risk management activity has served us pretty well over the last couple of years and we are going to keep that momentum. That usually means professional services cost going up and making sure that we have got our people with the right tools. We have got sort of the right level of education going on and to be honest, we have to defend against competitive desires to hire our people. It seems like everyone of them has one or more offers constantly out there and it is just an increasingly important area, I think for us and all banks, but we are particularly sensitive to it an the last thing I would add is that we do not want to stop spending on our technology in our operations. We know that we need to continuously improve our delivery mechanisms, so things like image where we have got some opportunity in front of us. We are going to keep the momentum going there even though I recognize in the business, there are quite a few pressures to slow those spends. As far as where we are going to cover those costs, we have had good luck raising our non interest income as you could tell over the last couple of years. We have got some new product offerings coming up particularly our investment services group as we open up our product architecture there and then as Dan mentioned, the recent rate reductions are going to give us a little bit of margin upside throughout the 2008 year. So that is generally what I would say as we look at it. Dan, will there be anything you want to add to that?
Dan Stevens
Management
No, Al covered it very well. We have isolated all of our expense growth and I think you have covered it.
Brent Christ - Fox-Pitt Kelton
Analyst
And then, just looking at the end of period balances within the loan portfolio, it seems like you had a relatively sizeable decline in the construction portfolio. I just wanted to get a sense of how much of that was intentionally exiting some loans versus just run off and if you are really doing much in the way of origination within that portfolio?
Peter Ho
Analyst
Sure. The run down for the year was $40 million in our construction segment, about half of that were portfolio management decisions to exit out of the credits. On a length basis, our run down was about $45 million in the construction area and that really was the result of projects coming to completion.
Operator
Operator
Your next question comes from the line of Brett Rabatin representing Ftn Midwest. Please proceed.
Brett Rabatin - Ftn Midwest Securities Corp.
Analyst
My phone was on blank for a couple of minutes there, so I do not know if you addressed some of these, but I wanted to ask you two questions, one on the margin and the cost of funds. Obviously, impressive decline in the different components in the interest bearing deposits, so I am curious, you are somewhat, I would say at least neutral it looks like from an Alco perspective and so, I am curious if you feel like you have some pretty good leverage to cut CD rates and what not going forward and kind of what your thoughts are on continuing to lower your cost of funds in the short term?
Al Landon
Management
Can you spread those rumors down the street? We are optimistic that the trend of increasing deposit cost will slow or reverse here, but frankly, it is more a function of competition in the local market place and so we are going to have to see what that bearing is. It is just a little bit too early to tell. We think we are in a pretty good position to bring those costs down, at least from what we see right now.
Brett Rabatin - Ftn Midwest Securities Corp.
Analyst
Okay, and then secondly, just wanted to repeat a couple of pieces of the asset quality stuff. In your prepared comments, it sounds like you are getting more conservative on the consumer and to some extent, I guess what you would call the California-effect and so I am curious if you had the numbers for classified loans and how much of that $21 million in the second home segment was in the classified bucket if any?
Al Landon
Management
We have not disclosed classification totals anywhere in the future, so it is not something we want to start this morning to have that complete array, but Mary can you give us a little bit of color about what is in there?
Mary Seller
Analyst
In terms of the classified exposure within our residential portfolio, Brett?
Brett Rabatin - Ftn Midwest Securities Corp.
Analyst
Yes, I think everyone expected that your charge offs and provisioning would increase a little bit as we move into 08, but you sound pretty conservative about the economy and so I am just trying to look at your various loan segments and decide if charge off exposure might increase from here or if it can not move up too much?
Mary Seller
Analyst
Well, I think the majority of what would be internally classified would be what is in the NPA category right across our residential business.
Brett Rabatin - Ftn Midwest Securities Corp.
Analyst
So special mention in what not would obviously just—
Mary Seller
Analyst
That does not apply across the residential businesses.
Brett Rabatin - Ftn Midwest Securities Corp.
Analyst
Maybe we can follow up offline about that. I am just curious, Mary, you indicated you had increased the credit underwriting again on the indirect portfolio and so I am just curious if what you are seeing in terms of the economy is the consumer is a little bit slower if you are just being a little cautious on the California-effect so to speak or kind of what your thoughts are on the conservatives as it relates to hiking things a little more?
Mary Seller
Analyst
I think on the consumer front, we have seen that our customers have been challenged in this current environment because of the inflationary pressures on there income, so as we move forward, we want to be sure that we are just tightening at the margin to bring down the risk of loss of exposure in that portfolio.
Al Landon
Management
I think the focus of our tightening, Mary is going to be more particularly around the indirect auto and maybe to a lesser extent, some of the unsecured or lesser secured credits and personal line type credits. I would say that the borrowers in those segments in general tend to have lower credit scores and one thing we have seen here in the islands for the last couple of years is softening of automobile sales, and so if that happens, naturally, dealers are challenged to qualify more buyers and I think that is an area where we have a need to be a little bit more conservative than we have been. We have tightened a couple of times and I think as we begin 2008, I would say a little bit more tightening there. It is just hard to price for those kinds of risks. If that part of our portfolio really does not have too much of what you would call a related economy or I think your term was California-effect that is basically an in-market phenomena and something we just have to control here locally. Peter does that sound right to you?
Peter Ho
Analyst
I think so.
Operator
Operator
Your next question comes from the line of Andrea Jao representing Lehman Brothers, please proceed.
Andrea Jao - Lehman Brothers
Analyst
I was hoping Peter could talk about this outlook on loan growth and the drivers?
Peter Ho
Analyst
Sure. I think Mary touched on it during her discussion. We are pretty cautious at this point given a lot of the color around what is going on in the economy primarily on the national front. We are seeing some improvement on the competitive landscape though I would say. Down the credit structuring side, we are beginning to see structures fall in a little bit more conservatively so that should help us as we are out there in the marketplace competing because we are generally on the more conservative end. Pricing wise, things continue to be pretty tightly priced. There is a bit of a bifurcation taking place in the market we see. Higher risk assets are beginning to widen on the spread side, but the lower risk assets continue to be pretty tightly priced and that is generally where we intend to play, so that is what we are seeing on the competitive end.
Al Landon
Management
And can I just add, one segment where the competitive landscape has changed pretty significantly out here in Hawaii is on residential finance and we have seen some competitors leave the market as you might appreciate and some other competitors taking a more conservative posture, so just anecdotally as I talked to our mortgage people, we are seeing greater interest now than we have for quite a few years and I think important in that is interest in what I will call conventional credit structures. As we have said, we think the best loans are those that we do not have to worry about nor do our customers and so the traditional home finance structures rates have come down here, I think we are going to be appealing and give us some upside.
Andrea Jao - Lehman Brothers
Analyst
Okay, so it sounds like loan growth should be muted, but your pricing is much better. Would you agree or am I misinterpreting something?
Al Landon
Management
I think that is about right on the growth side. On the pricing side, we think there is some opportunities for pricing upside, but we are still looking for that to clear out in the marketplace.
Andrea Jao - Lehman Brothers
Analyst
And if I may ask a follow up to Mary, so you are a little more cautious on the consumer. Will the net charge of ratio pull in next quarter or do you think it will remain elevated because of the consumer?
Mary Seller
Analyst
Well I suspect that we generally see some seasonality in the fourth quarter and the first quarter in our consumer net charge offs, so I would expect the first quarter to be similar to what we have seen in the fourth quarter.
Andrea Jao - Lehman Brothers
Analyst
And then it begins to taper off from there is what you expect?
Mary Seller
Analyst
And it comes down on second and third and then it goes back up.
Andrea Jao - Lehman Brothers
Analyst
And if I may ask one more follow up question with Dan, will you be holding the securities portfolio steady and are you looking at reinvesting cash flows probably at longer durations?
Dan Stevens
Management
Well, depending on what happens in our loan portfolio in terms of the growth opportunities that might come our way because of the competitive landscape, our investment portfolio might increase slightly as we take our excess deposits that come and invest in our investment portfolio. In terms of going long in our portfolio, we are really going to take a look at what we think the right cycle is going to be, is this going to be a sharp drop in rates in the first couple of quarters of this year followed by an increase in rates towards the end of the year, so we continually monitor our portfolio in terms of its duration depending on our views and where we are on the rate cycle.
Al Landon
Management
Very scientific answer, Dan. Andrea, we do not have any intent to lengthen our duration right now.
Operator
Operator
(Operator Instructions) Your next question comes from the line of Frederick Cannon representing KBW, please proceed. Frederick Cannon – Keefe, Bruyette & Woods: Most of my questions have been answered, just kind of a general one, Al, as we move forward, you guys have a pretty positive view of the Hawaiian economy. We are seeing the cost of a Hawaiian vacation stay pretty high and the US falling into what looks like a consumer-led recession here, I was wondering if you could kind of talk about what factors could actually make the outlook for the Hawaiian economy worse as we move right into 2008?
Al Landon
Management
Sure, you got your finger on the most straightforward, one of those consumer on the mainland who is the large majority of our visitor starts to feel the pinch, we think that will have some slowing impact. We have said many times that the visitor industry is the marginal factor here in our economy. We were out with some customers here over the course of the last week who work in the visitor industry and they were fairly positive I think is the way to describe that based on bookings, they see, I am going to say three to five months or something like that, Peter, is that your sense of the conversations we had there?
Peter Ho
Analyst
Yes, I think January is turning up to be a pretty good month for the market.
Al Landon
Management
The main upside has been in room rates and some consumer spending. That clearly could be the first sign of the ability to pass that on becomes a little bit less. Underlying that though, some other things that are underway; construction spending, the business segment continues to be pretty strong and I think has to do with a subdued economy for quite a few years, now some people are replenishing business properties, retailing, lease retail facilities development looks pretty strong right now. We have got some retailers moving into Honolulu here in the next few months. Military spending continues to be pretty robust. We have got some privatization projects that have worked very well for the military right now and so we would expect to see that continue to contribute to the economy. I mentioned that government receipts have slowed down a little bit, but they are still in positive territory and while there is never enough money to do all the things we need here for infrastructure, we think that is going to be an important component of the economy here this year as well. So, focus on tourism, but I think there is some other underlying strengths that should give us a little bit of buffer there. Frederick Cannon – Keefe, Bruyette & Woods: And any update on what is going on over in Guam in terms of the military spending, is that still a go?
Al Landon
Management
Well, the latest we hear is that that is still consistent with the long term plans for the military in Guam. As you can appreciate the reality as the date get closer and closer focus on what that actually means in the typical exchange of views between the Federal government and the local government as to who pays for the infrastructure as they say outside the fence, meaning not on the military base or the military facility itself, so that is an active engagement going on there is to how to make all of that work. That would seem to be the constraint right now and I think the military is very focused on making this happen.
Operator
Operator
There are no further questions at this time. I would now like to turn the call back to Mr. Cyndy Wyrick for any closing remarks.
Cyndy Wyrick
Management
I would like to thank everyone for joining us today and as always, if you have additional questions or any clarification on any of the topics that we have discussed today, please feel free to contact me and note that I have a new cell phone number, (808) 694-8430. Thanks everyone and have a great day.
Operator
Operator
Ladies and gentlemen, thank you for your participation in today’s conference. This concludes your presentation. You may now disconnect. Good day.