Bahir Manios
Analyst · Credit Suisse. Your line is now open
Thank you, Nick. And good morning, everyone. Many sectors were hard-hit following the shutdown of economies around the world. However, the infrastructure sector demonstrated one of its most coveted characteristics, being at highly resilient cash flows. While it's too early to comment on learnings from this challenging period, our conviction regarding the attractiveness and sustainability of the infrastructure sector has been reinforced. It is with considerable pride that we can report that every operating business owned by Brookfield Infrastructure was deemed an essential service and thus has been operating throughout this period. Our assets performed well on a local currency basis, and only a very small portion of our overall revenue was affected by this global economic shutdown. We currently estimate that the true economic impact of the shutdown represents less than 2% of the infrastructure group's overall cash flows. Within the infrastructure platform, we have a tremendous amount of liquidity across Brookfield Infrastructure partners, our publicly listed vehicle and our private funds, which today sits at close to $20 billion that is available for deployment. Before I touch on where we're seeing opportunities in the current environment, I thought I'd provide an update on two of our infrastructure private fund strategies that have had a great deal of success recently, both from a fundraising and investment perspective, thereby demonstrating the diversity of not only the sources of capital that are available to us, but also the types of transactions that we're taking part in. These are super core, open-ended infrastructure fund and are closed-ended infrastructure debt funds. Our super core fund is focused on long term, very stable, almost bond-like cash flows and was established at the end of 2018. Since inception, we've raised over $2.6 billion, including through this recent market volatility and an economic uncertainty. We truly believe this business has great potential and could grow in the size of tens of billions of dollars over the next 5 to 10 years. On the infrastructure debt side, we raised our first two debt funds being a global fund and a smaller European focused fund in 2016 and 2017, with the aim of investing in the mezzanine debt of infrastructure companies that have stable, regulated or contracted cash flows. Over the past few years, we've focused on debt investments across the transport, data, energy and renewable power sectors. And these continue to be areas of focus for us. We recently completed an initial or first close for the next vintage of this fund series, raising $1.8 billion of capital. From a new investment perspective, we believe this is an attractive environment for Brookfield Infrastructure to source opportunities for the foreseeable future. The economic cost to the downturn will be that many industrial companies and all governments will be significantly more indebted. Once the immediate measures to stabilize economies and businesses have been implemented, governments and businesses alike will need to evaluate alternatives to source capital to repay excessively high debt levels. You probably have heard a number of us speak about this in the past, about the secular trend of governments seeking investment from the private sector to acquire and build out infrastructure. With inflated deficits, along with the desire to stimulate economic activity, we expect the impetus for this to become even more pronounced. In addition, many corporations will be susceptible to tighter credit markets, and they will need to reduce debt levels through asset sales. We're currently focused on executing several medium sized tuck-in acquisitions for various businesses in our energy, transport and data operations. As a result of the potential synergies, we believe that these acquisitions should be highly accretive if secured. Furthermore, we're evaluating numerous new investment opportunities in all of our key regions. And ongoing area of focus for us is data infrastructure. We thought we'd spend some time today - on today's call discussing our progress and views on this exciting, high growth asset class. We're currently witnessing a once in a 100 year investment upgrade cycle. Aging broadband copper infrastructure is no longer able to cope with the demands imposed by an increasingly interconnected and always online world. These networks are being replaced by new state-of-the art fiber infrastructure, which can support increases in data demand, lower latency and faster broadband speeds. Concurrently, wireless networks are undergoing a transformation to support the enhanced connectivity expected from 5G. On a combined basis, these upgrades are estimated to require trillions of dollars of investment over the next five to seven years. Historically, these investments were funded by telecom operators. Given the increasing demands on their capital, these operators are now seeking new funding partners. They're increasing their reliance on neutral host, shared infrastructure models to alleviate pressures on their balance sheets. As a result, the investable universe for data infrastructure is expanding in a very meaningful way. Our original thesis for investing in data was based on the belief that data infrastructure assets have utility light characteristics, with favorable growth trajectories that play a central role in connecting people, places and objects. The importance of these networks was further reinforced during this recent shutdown, as access to robust and reliable connectivity became a basic need to perform routine activities, such as working from home, remote learning and telemedicine. This was exemplified as an example on our UK fiber networks, where average data consumption increased by 40% compared to the same period last year. Over the past five years, we've established a leading global data infrastructure business. As we expand our current business, by either building and/or acquiring high quality data infrastructure assets, we're well positioned to leverage our expertise in two key areas. First, we have investments that span the entire connectivity value chain, comprised of one of the largest power portfolios, with a contracted base of over 180,000 sites in six countries. We also own a growing global data center business with approximately 70 sites in 13 countries that are able to serve the scale and latency requirements of a diverse customer base. And finally, extensive fixed and wireless networks that serves over 2.5 million residential and enterprise customers. There are very few investment managers that operate across the complete value chain that I just described. We on the other hand, have first-hand knowledge on deploying an operating networks such as 5G and fixed wireless access across several geographies. We can leverage this operational know-how and unique insights to capitalize on new trends as they emerge. Second, there are a significant number of opportunities which are embedded across our broader Brookfield business. Continued adoption in cloud computing is expected to require an incremental proximately 30 gigawatts of data center capacity over the next 10 years. At the same time, these operators are focused on achieving their stated carbon reduction targets over the next 10 years. We are very well positioned to help support these goals. We're exploring the potential to bundle data centers and renewable power to provide a turnkey green data center solution. This would differentiate us or our offering, relative to more traditional data center operators and could be a game changer for us. We're also pursuing several other initiatives, including leveraging our existing rights of way to deploy fiber and our existing real estate portfolio to deploy in building wireless solutions. We're very excited by this asset class and believe that there'll be significant opportunity to at least double the size of our existing business, given that we're still in the very early stages of this massive investment cycle that I touched on earlier. In general, we would describe our current investment posture, especially with respect to larger size new investments, as optimistically patient. We believe that a large scale value opportunity will arise over the next 12 months. We're reminded of our experience during the global financial crisis in 2009, 2010, when the transformative Babcock and Brown investment or BBI that we made did not present itself to us until almost nine months after the Lehman bankruptcy. We passed on many opportunities before the right one came along. We'll also be focused in the second half of 2020 and into 2021 on executing our capital recycling programming. As both Bruce and Nick alluded to earlier, we're confident that the merits of investing in mature derisked cash flow producing infrastructure assets will be more appealing to prospective buyers than ever before, particularly with expectation for low interest rates for the foreseeable future. Lastly, before I conclude my remarks, we’re very pleased with the market's response thus far to Brookfield Infrastructure Corporation or BIPC, which was listed on the Toronto and New York Stock Exchange on March 31 of this year. BIPC was recently added to the Russell 2000 US Index. We intend to support the growth of BIPCs public float over time to improve the company's trading liquidity. And the first initiative in this regard was recently undertaken, that Nick touched on in his remarks earlier. And so with that, thanks for your time this morning and I'll turn the call over to the operator to open the line for questions.