Laurence D. Fink - Chairman and Chief Executive Officer
Analyst · Credit Suisse
Good morning, everyone. Thank you for turning in. As Paul discussed the quarter clearly reflected two stories to try to give color on both, so let me start off with all this market turmoil will always the tremendous changes in values and the fixed income market, and the equity markets and many of the alternative markets. We're very clear to the management team of BlackRock that our model is working and working extremely well. Having a diversified global business model has allowed us to have... to work with clients worldwide, and it allowed us to work in terms of clients who are seeking solutions to balance sheet issues, and it will also, this global models helping us explain why in... why our pipeline is so robust, which we'll discuss in a minute. Our pipeline has... as discussed in the... in our release is about $106 billion. $20 billion of cash which about $15 billion of it has been funded already, so as of this moment our cash management, which is very volatile, is back to almost into late March average of about $50 billion, as we ended the quarter about $35 billion, and we just saw some... for preparation for tax, and we saw in this quarter rebalancing in cash. We saw outflows in last few days. So nothing disturbing and this is very customary, I think in the first quarter in terms of what we saw. Impressively also we have $23 billion in terms of long-dated pipeline wins in our core franchise, and what we are trying to explain our... I will put a little more emphasis, little later in my talk. A new category called advisory asset management and this is our position business in which BlackRock Solutions are working with our clients, in terms of long-term distributions and dispositions of positions are held by different institutions that totals about $62 billion. Our asset mix in my mind has really differentiated of showing that despite of 7% decline in our equity business that we still have net asset growth. It once again proves to me and hopefully to all of you that having a strong cash, strong fixed income, strong equity, and strong alternative business allows us to migrate alongside with our clients, and I will describe some of the migration we saw in the first quarter little later. And also importantly is having the strength of two distribution channels, a very strong retail channel where we at BlackRock are still... are seeing growth in our equity retail channels in the U.S. We saw some outflows in our global equity platform, so netting basically zero, but our U.S open-end platform we saw growth in our equity platform, which is in the backdrop of mutual fund outflows in equities, we had a very good quarter. And then the institutional side where we are working alongside with Long, with some very, very large clients. I should also add our RFP pipeline has never been stronger. We have some RFPs right now that are in the tens of billions of dollars, I am not here to suggest we're going to win those, but there are some very large reallocations that we are seeing from clients, that we are participating and I'll describe that a little later. As Paul described our operating income was $202 million, which in my mind is a very indicative indication of how strong the core franchise was in the first quarter and the momentum we have going into the second quarter, this as Paul suggested represent about a 41% increase from the year-to-year change. So our core business is very strong, and we are responding to these global markets that are... that are experiencing some severe strains and difficulty. Let me go over the flows, which are very unusual. For the first time we are seeing some strong outflows in fixed income going into cash, about 50% of the outflows in fixed income were clients who were saying, I need to... I am very uncertain about the market. Many clients are saying I cannot make the appropriate return owning fixed income or certainly treasuries and 350 were the 10 years approximately, plus or minus a few basis points. So more and more clients were saying, I can't make an enough return on some of the fixed income products, for the moment until I feel more comfortable let me be in cash. We see some of those clients are going out of traditional fixed income to alternatives, much of our alternative growth, which we had a nice growth in the first quarter was in the special situations. Our mortgaged, distressed mortgage fund we created, the distressed debt fund that we created, that was more an alternative basis, but if you look at the makeup of those alternative wins, they were very fixed income oriented. So lot of that alternative win is how we define alternatives, but the 100s of those alternative wins are fixed income and they are more alternative in terms of fee structure also I should add. And so we saw some very unusual flows. And I think that will persist, I am not... I'm not here to suggest that we are not going to see flows that are not going out of fixed income, I think flows will go on a fixed income the liquidity into alternatives, what we are now trying to say the clients, it is time to take on more risks and we are suggesting many clients to start looking to move away from treasury oriented strategies to more credit-oriented and mortgage-oriented strategies. So we are recommending, and this is why I think our pipeline are appear so strong for clients to start relooking at how they look at fixed income. In one of our pipeline wins, was $1.3 billion win in high yield, so some of our work with our clients are starting to take hold in which clients are agreeing with us, but then it's very hard to make any real return on owning treasury securities or be it even in a core fixed income strategy and so we're looking again at working with clients to try to really look a rather reoriented our positions to more credit to more mortgage strategies, and in many cases some of our clients are still looking to do long-dated liability types of strategies too. So they are trying to... irrespective of the low interest rate environment many of our clients were just saying, I don't want to have a volatility and I am locking in long duration strategies were we still see some real opportunities. So our clients are confused. Our clients have put more than huge sums of money in our liquidity business. I don't think we are unusual in this liquidity business is very robust right now, as Paul suggest it is important for us to know again that we are not experiencing any real credit issues that we are putting on to our balance sheet unlike so many other institutions, and I think so many other institutions will be reporting in the next few weeks. We've had a very strong credit story in our liquidity business. Our team has done a very good job in navigating this, and as Paul suggested we are very happy and which how we are trying to rapidly reduce the exposure we have with our clients in those two cash strategy funds where we flows those positions last year, and we are now as Paul suggested 50% of the money have been returned at par to our clients, and over the course and balance of this year we believe our clients all will receive all their money back at par, and so this is what we are working towards. As Paul discussed our non-operating income obviously this is the other side of the story with global assets impaired, and as we invest in global assets working alongside with our clients some of our positions have been impaired. It's a 2% loss in the overall portfolio, as Paul suggested. It's the mere side of gain we had in the fourth quarter, I will tell you very loud and clear we continue to do expect to investing in alternatives, in real estate alongside with our customers as we rollout more strategies in the alternative space we will be investing alongside with our clients, and so much of that this is our philosophy, this is what we are going to do. I will also say though it is not a dollar of our assets that we employ for proprietary trading. There is not a dollar of our market capitalization that we use for any thing, but fiduciary business with our clients. And so the impairment that we have here in our non-operating income is all related to investing alongside with our clients and strategies. I should also add some other issues that were... where we've had on a mark-to-market basis some impairment. We are a strong believer that investing in credit and mortgages is a great opportunity. Obviously, I've not hit the bottom yet and so we actually are experiencing some modest impairment in some of the strategy that we're investing in, in the first quarter. We will continue to invest in those strategies because we could believe over the course of the next two years, these are going to be great opportunities invest in the bank loan markets, great strategies invested in mortgages, and other distressed areas. So, unfortunately we are not going to be able to call bonds, we are not going to be immediately investing and making huge gains, but we believe as we need to start adding those positions now and we are working very carefully with our clients. And unfortunately in the first reporting period, some of those have short-term losses and in fact our clients are calling us and asking can they put more money in these strategies and then some of these strategies were closed, so even this week we had a client saying can we actually put more money in these strategies and we said no we have closed. Obviously, we're going to announce and rollout some other products and we're pretty excited about one or two of them right now. But, I think this is just part of our long-term strategy that we believe we're being paid to take on some of these risks in these product areas. So it's important to understand the non-operating income area is... it is disappointing for me and however, it is our strategies that continue to build our investments alongside with our clients, and if the marketplace does turn itself around, obviously we are going to show some vast improvements in those areas. Let me talk about BlackRock Solutions and the BlackRock advisory business. We are in a unique position. We are one of a handful and I don't know who the other handful are, but I will be... it's fair to say we are one of the handful of organizations that have a fiduciary business in this advisory side whereby we have a total separation from our investment management team in terms of understanding and working on this risks. BlackRock Solutions now has over $7 trillion in assets that we do analytics for, and so we have a broad base of assets that we evaluate on a third-party basis working with our clients. We have this advisory team that is working with our clients in turn, helping our clients understand their embedded risks, and we are trying to work out strategies. This is a business that's been heavily in the news with some substantial assignments. And so we are trying to create more transparency to all of you of where these assignments are and what they are? It is fair to say these are temporary assignments, but it's also fair for me to say in many of these cases, these contracts are five to 10 years long. These are not temporary assignments in the terms of being a three month assignment. These are going to be assignments that are going to take whatever it takes up to 10 years in many case... in some cases to work out a long-term solution. Now it is our hope that the market rebalanced. It is our hope that we are going to be able to work with our clients and that the portfolios are reduced in a much shorter period of time, but we have no ability to predict what is going to happen in the capital markets in this time. Obviously, by our views that I discussed about our co-investments with our clients, in mortgage and credit, we do believe there will be a turnaround, and we believe during that turn around, we will be in a liquidation mode with some of our clients in these portfolios. We... there are many more assignments like that, that are percolating around right now. We believe this is not going to be just a short-term business. And I believe this business will be... at least an intermediate type of business. We see and are talking to many other clients. We are sitting with impaired assets, are sitting with assets that they don't have the full capacity to understand and to manage. And so we are actively engaged with many other institutions right now in terms of working with them, and trying to assess what they should do in this area. We are also working with many new institutions that are saying okay, I can't afford, or not have a better risk management system, and so unfortunately for our clients who are experiencing these problems, this is all... we are working with our clients to help them put on better risk systems in some cases there are the Aladdin system at BlackRock and some cases they are using other investment system. But, I do believe the business of our... solutions business will continue to grow at very fast... at a very fast rate. As I said in the past, this is the business that's very hard in terms of staffing. We are aggressively recruiting and hiring, aggressively growing our people. But, I must tell everyone that in the first quarter working on these very cumbersome, very visible assignments, I saw as a CEO some extraordinary work done on behalf of the team. We saw examples of work done that I had never seen in 20 year history of BlackRock. We are able to work with these clients who are a very visible in terms of their issues and we've been able to work very closely with them and held them as array and assessment of the risks, and are working with them with a long term plan in terms of reducing the exposure in these asset categories. So, we are quite constructive on this business we believe this business is going to be extremely robust for the coming months, quarters and years to come. New business mix, we continue to see as I said earlier very large RFPs in two of the cases or more than $10 billion in terms of assignments. These are all long-dated assignments. These are both in fixed income. We are very involved with many other institutions right now who are looking for opportunities to invest in credit, in mortgages, and other types of distressed products, and so we believe what's there is a little more stability, and I am not... I'm not sure when that'll be, but once there is a little more stability, we believe there'll be some large, large flows into the long-dated fix fixed income products that were in distress. And we believe we will be one of the firms that will be able to take advantage of those flows in those businesses. Our cash management business continued to be very strong, as I said earlier. We've been able to avoid the good majority of credit issues. We are very well positioned. We continued to stop [ph] that area too, and we continued to differentiate ourselves due to the fact that we are not sitting here with any large exposures that we had in our 2a-7 products and our other cash management strategies. Our equity business continued us to grow. We continued to grow in terms of the knowledge based in the world that BlackRock has a lot more than bonds. And as I said in our domestic retail open-end fund business, we've had some very good flows in our equity business. Our global opportunities fund it is going from to strength-to-strength worldwide. It is one of the most noted mutual funds in the world right now, in terms of growth. Dennis Stattman and his team have shown an extraordinary abilities to navigate these global markets and outperform in these vital markets, and we are continuing to see some substantial flows in that product area. We are continuing to build out our equity products, we are thrilled with the new European equity team that we have in placed in the first quarter, and we expect to see flows with them. We continued to see some great opportunities in our agricultural equity funds, in our mineral and mining funds, or our natural resource funds. Our UK equity teams had an extraordinary performance, and we continue to be one of the dominant equity firms in that area. So we have more and more opportunities in the equity business, and we think this will continue to build more momentum in the balance of the year. So overall I would say the platform is well positioned to handle the inquires in Solutions. We are very well positioned in the fixed income area to take advantage when the market goes from fear, and when we see rebalancing not a treasury oriented products into more mortgage and credit oriented products. I think I said in a speech earlier this year that I think the next bubble is U.S treasuries. U.S treasuries just represent a fear security and so we are pretty loud in terms of telling clients to try to rebalance, as much as possible out of treasuries and to go into CMBS, MBS and other credit products. We continue to do... so we continue to see those opportunities in fixed income. We can see those opportunities in equities. And on the alternative space we are working on some very, very large ideas, in terms of working out a large scale opportunities in terms of, in the distressed mortgage, the distressed credit areas that we are actively working on right now, and we hope to have something very large in the second quarter in terms of working with our clients and investing in these distressed opportunities. We also would like to just tell everyone, we did have our 20th anniversary in the first quarter. It was an extraordinary event in terms of the recognition of where this firm came from, and where we are today. And I will say to everyone, the momentum in the firm, the culture, the enthusiasm on a global basis has never been greater. Our teams are one, we talk all the time about one BlackRock, one team representing our platform, I could tell you very loud and clear, we have achieved mass in terms of the opportunities that we have representing our clients globally as a one BlackRock organization. We also will be very proud on May 1st of this year when we formally become BlackRock worldwide in terms of our mutual fund retail platform. We will drop the hyphenated name on April 29th this month, with the hyphenated BlackRock Merrill Lynch advisors in Europe and Asia and in terms of our mutual funds, and so the branding has been very successful. We have achieved scale in terms of the knowledge base of BlackRock, and we have achieved the ability to be very comfortable and excited about representing ourselves globally, worldwide on May 1st as one BlackRock. I would like to thank all the employees for all the hard wok in the first quarter. I know it's been quite stressful, and with that I will open it for questions. 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