Earnings Labs

Black Hills Corporation (BKH)

Q4 2021 Earnings Call· Thu, Feb 10, 2022

$75.03

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Transcript

Operator

Operator

Good day, ladies and gentlemen, and welcome to the Black Hills Corporation Fourth Quarter and Full Year 2021 Earnings Conference Call. My name is Liz, and I will be your coordinator for today. [Operator Instructions] As a reminder, this conference is being recorded for replay purposes. I would now like to turn the presentation over to Mr. Jerome Nichols, Director of Investor Relations of Black Hills Corporation. Please proceed, sir.

Jerome Nichols

Analyst

Thank you, and good morning, everyone. Welcome to Black Hills Corporation's Fourth Quarter and Full Year 2021 Earnings Conference Call. You can find our earnings release and materials for our call this morning at our website at www.blackhillscorp.com under the Investor Relations heading. Leading our quarterly earnings discussion today are Linn Evans, President and Chief Executive Officer; and Rich Kinzley, Senior Vice President and Chief Financial Officer. During our earnings discussion today, some of the comments we make may contain forward-looking statements as defined by the Securities and Exchange Commission, and there are a number of uncertainties inherent in such comments. Although we believe that our expectations and beliefs are based on reasonable assumptions, actual results may differ materially. We direct you to our earnings release, Slide 2 of the Investor Presentation on our website and our most recent Form 10-K and Form 10-Q filed with the Securities and Exchange Commission for a list of some of the factors that could cause future results to differ materially from our expectations. I will now turn the call over to Linn Evans.

Linn Evans

Analyst

Thank you, Jerome. Good morning, everyone, and thank you for joining us this morning as we review our Q4 and our full year 2021 performance. Let me begin by recognizing our engaged and dedicated team. Because of them we had an outstanding 2021 with strong operational and strategic execution. Moving to our slide deck; I'll start by reviewing Slides 4 and 5. Over the past year, our team delivered safe and reliable service to our customers when they needed it most during the year when they experienced extreme cold and extreme heat brought on by some extraordinary and unique weather conditions. We successfully serve new all-time peak loads for both our electric and gas systems last year. And in January of this year, we served new winter electric peak loads in South Dakota and Wyoming. And importantly, we served our customers very reliably throughout the year with all three of our electric utility systems delivering top quartile reliability. The resiliency of our electric and natural gas systems was showcased by our exceptional performance during the extreme conditions of Winter Storm Uri. That performance, combined with our top quartile, industry-leading reliability affirms necessity and the success of our capital investment programs. To maintain our proven track record of delivering strong service reliability we successfully deployed $680 million of capital investments last year. We also obtained approvals in Colorado, Iowa and Kansas, for new rates and riders after achieving constructive settlements in all three. We value the constructive regulatory environment within our states. Also, as we said we'd do, we filed a gas rate review in Arkansas in December, which is now progressing through the regulatory process. In addition to our rate review activity last year, we prepared and filed applications for Winter Storm Uri cost recovery. We've received approvals for recovery…

Rich Kinzley

Analyst

Thanks, Linn, and good morning, everyone. I'll start on Slide 11. I'll open my comments though by noting a change in our segment reporting. You probably noticed in our earnings release yesterday that we've consolidated our former Power Generation and Mining business segments into our Electric Utilities. These businesses are almost entirely contracted to or integrated within our electric utilities. And as such, going forward, you will see three business segments: Electric Utilities, Gas Utilities and Corporate. Slide 11 shows our adjusted earnings per share for the full year and by quarter for 2021 compared to 2020. We delivered EPS as adjusted for the full year of $3.74 compared to $3.73 last year and $1.11 for the quarter compared to $1.23 for Q4 2020. Record warm weather in the fourth quarter impacted quarterly results by $0.16. Absent this late year impact, our full year EPS results would have been within the guidance range issued with our third quarter earnings release. I'll discuss the fourth quarter weather impact further in a moment. Full year earnings were positively driven by new rates, customer growth and strong off-system power sales results. Effective cost management and other actions essentially offset the impacts from two unplanned events, Winter Storm Uri in Q1 and the Wygen I outage in Q3 and Q4. Although weather was a relatively positive net driver through the first three quarters, fourth quarter results were impacted by record warm weather. The U.S. reported its warmest fourth quarter in recorded history dating back to 1895. For the quarter, heating degree days in our service territories were 21% below normal. The negative impacts from weather compared to normal were $0.16 per share for the fourth quarter and $0.07 per share for the full year. Also starting in late September, we experienced an unplanned outage…

Operator

Operator

[Operator Instructions] Our first question comes from Ryan Greenwald with Bank of America.

Ryan Greenwald

Analyst

Appreciate the time.

Linn Evans

Analyst

Hope you're doing well.

Ryan Greenwald

Analyst

You guys as well. Perhaps to start with the extension of the 5% to 7% growth trajectory earlier. Can you just talk a bit about the drivers and where you'd expect to be under the current plan? And then is the expectation that the normal cadence would be to extend this another year every year around this time?

Linn Evans

Analyst

I'll start with the latter part of your question, Ryan. That would be our expectation and certainly our goal and what we're trying -- striving to do each day as a management team and as a complete team. So I'd say the answer to that question is yes. We see our programmatic spending and our investment into our system being getting us to that lower end of that range with the opportunities of other things like the IRP I just spoke about in my opening comments. We see opportunities perhaps for generation in the future, things of that nature and also the continued immigration that we see of customers into our system. So yes, we continue to see that happening into the future. That's what we're very focused on, and we're confident in our plan.

Ryan Greenwald

Analyst

Great. Appreciate that. And then in terms of the gas LDC strategy, still pretty glaring valuation gap in public markets. We've seen some attractive private valuation. Is anything on the table there around potential divestments to unlock value?

Linn Evans

Analyst

Thank you for that question, Ryan. I think the best way to answer that is we're always focused on what's doing -- what we can do best for our customers and for our shareholders. That's really paramount to everything that we do. We're constantly evaluating our portfolio. And I think if you look at our history, we have a very long history of what I would call proactive moves. Over the last two decades, I've been with this organization we've added assets when it made sense. And we've divested of assets when it made sense. And it's really been core to our approach in terms of how we drive long-term shareholder value. And I think our track record as a company is proven in this area. So I think I'll summarize by saying, yes, we are critically evaluating strategic alternatives as we always do, but I won't speculate on any specific moves that we might make.

Ryan Greenwald

Analyst

Great. I’ll leave it there. Thank you for the time.

Operator

Operator

Our next question comes from Andrew Weisel with Scotiabank.

Andrew Weisel

Analyst · Scotiabank.

First question about inflation. So for your 2022 guidance, the only change to the assumptions was that you had previously assumed inflation in line with recent historical trends. I think it's pretty obvious why that might not be the case currently, especially after today's CPI. My question is how do you think about your sensitivity to higher input costs, either qualitatively or quantitatively from your perspective and from your clients' perspective or customers' perspective? And then where exactly are you most sensitive to inflation?

Linn Evans

Analyst · Scotiabank.

Well, something we're certainly aware of, Andrew, like everybody else in this business or any other -- we've been very focused on inflation issues, how we control that, how we manage it, especially from a supply chain issue. We managed through 2020 and '21 quite well through the supply chain issues we saw there. And for 2022, this year, we've got about 75% of our materials and our labor are currently under contract. So that gives us real confidence for this year. We've got flexibility in our spending. We're watching it very carefully, and we'll be migrating through this with our eyes wide open. We're really focused on alliances and how we purchase equipment, how we purchase materials and things of that nature, inventories, et cetera. And we've really got some real good flexibility, if you will. We've been able, for example, to buy production slots and procure those ahead of time so that when we actually get to that production, we'll know what kind of transformers as an example, we could -- we can manage to. When it comes to our capital spending, that may be a place really that I can focus on my response is that we have a capital plan, we plan to stay within that capital plan to ensure that our balance sheet continues to improve and that we maintain the credit ratings that we're currently seeking. So we're watching inflation closely. We're aware of it, obviously, and we have levers that we're pulling along the way to ensure that we succeed.

Andrew Weisel

Analyst · Scotiabank.

Very helpful. Next question is you've got some new peaks in electric demand, both Dakota Electric and Wyoming Electric have recently said winter and summer peaks. My question is how do you think about not necessarily overall demand growth, but the peak load growth? And how does that factor into your integrated resource plans, new capacity, renewables versus fossil fuel capacity, things like that?

Linn Evans

Analyst · Scotiabank.

Well, obviously, it plays very well into our plans and our future. We have growing territories. Those peaks indicate that we have strong customer growth, especially amongst the what I would call the high power factor growth. We have things like data centers moving into our territories and being constructed. Those are loads that we really enjoy serving and appreciate serving, especially with our high reliability that we have. I think the peaks and how we're able to manage through those peaks successfully shows that our system is valid. It's strong. It's resilient and it's very reliable, and we think it's a great opportunity. The question you had or comments you had about renewables, we're very focused on resiliency and reliability. We absolutely have to have that. But we also live and work and have customers and territories and jurisdictions that have extremely good renewable opportunities. That's one of the reasons we're building the Ready Wyoming line. Not only can Ready Wyoming transmission line help us keep customer rates stable and actually lower than what they would might otherwise be without the line. It also puts us into some very nice service territories or some areas that have very strong renewable opportunities. So we're really excited about that. So we see the peak loads as opportunity all the way around. As you indicated, we've got improving revenue. We're spreading our costs over a larger number of customers, and we have investment opportunity to meet those loads.

Andrew Weisel

Analyst · Scotiabank.

Very good. One last one, if I could squeeze in and apologies if I missed it. You've got the South Dakota, Wyoming IRP underway, and you said you're going to file the Colorado Clean Energy Plan later this year. Can you get more specific on when you'll file in Colorado and when we can expect both of those processes to be wrapped up?

Linn Evans

Analyst · Scotiabank.

The Colorado Clean Energy Plan, we’re still running some scenarios there with respect to that. But we intend to file that, I would say, midyear, maybe a little bit earlier than that, but certainly by midyear is our current plan. And then with the IRPs, really aren’t a formal – in South Dakota and Wyoming, I should say. There’s really not a formal process for those. They take the baby and the commission Wyoming can take feedback and input from interveners, if you will. But we see that primarily through CPCN, CPCN’s applications that will be filed in the future. And also, I would imagine by the end of this year, we could be submitting or posting – publishing a request for proposals so that we can ulfil the needs of that generation opportunity we see there to peak those loads you talked about earlier, Andrew.

Operator

Operator

Our next question comes from Brian Russo with Sidoti.

Brian Russo

Analyst · Sidoti.

Could you just provide us an update or more detail on the Blockchain RFPs where you mentioned in the press release that you've identified the short list, number of megawatts or any assumptions in the Wyoming tariff you can provide?

Linn Evans

Analyst · Sidoti.

Sorry to interrupt you, Brian. Thank you for that question. Yes, we're really excited about the opportunity to serve the data centers of crypto mining and things that we're seeing in Cheyenne. We had very strong response as we said before, to that RFP that we issued. And now we are literally down to the final finals, if you will, with respect to our negotiations. We actually have some internal meetings on those that we'll be having over the next couple of days. So we're getting pretty close but these are intricate agreements. They're very important that we get them right. And so we're making sure that we dot the I's and cross the T's as we go through these negotiations. But I believe you'll see something relatively soon in regard to that.

Brian Russo

Analyst · Sidoti.

Any idea the size in terms of megawatts of demand? I mean, I would imagine it's going to be several hundred megawatts just based on some of your other regional utilities have filed for.

Linn Evans

Analyst · Sidoti.

Well, I won't indicate how much we have. Several hundred megawatts would be quite a few. I don't think it would be quite that, but we have strong opportunity, good opportunity, and we'll announce that when we get those negotiations completed, Brian, please.

Brian Russo

Analyst · Sidoti.

Got it. Understood. And just to clarify on Slide 24 on your capital investment by year. You got $60 million in 25 and $140 million in $26 million for incremental projects. So that's excluding your Ready Wyoming and that excludes the IRP? And if that's the case, then what is that earmarked for?

Rich Kinzley

Analyst · Sidoti.

Yeah. This is Rich, Brian. The Ready Wyoming project is basically baked into the details above. So we've included that in the detailed CapEx. As Linn indicated in his comments, the other generation opportunities that may come from the IRP in South Dakota and Wyoming or the ERP in Colorado, those are not included in the detail, so they could fill those incremental project buckets as could incremental transmission as could incremental programmatic spend. There's plenty of opportunity to fill those buckets and probably exceed them as we get to those out years.

Brian Russo

Analyst · Sidoti.

Okay, got it. And then also, it seems like you obviously have a lot of transmission opportunities that would be upside as you're in a growing service territory, right? You got a lot of cryptocurrency upside customers. It seems like you have even more headroom now to add incremental CapEx, which you usually do on the fourth quarter call. And I'm just curious, are you going to kind of update your CapEx each quarter or is it more of a year-end type of 10-K related update?

Rich Kinzley

Analyst · Sidoti.

Yeah. The way you'll see us handle that not too dissimilar from what we've done in the past is typically with our third quarter earnings release, we'll give you a fulsome update on CapEx. Now, in the interim with our first and second quarter earnings releases, if something pops up that's significant or we file a CPCN that has different numbers than what we may have included with our original estimates, we may give updates along the way too, Brian.

Brian Russo

Analyst · Sidoti.

Okay. And then just lastly, any update on the Wyodak contract negotiations with that contract expiring this year?

Linn Evans

Analyst · Sidoti.

We're continuing negotiations with that, Brian. We have good conversations with Pacific Corp. and Rocky Mountain Power. So those negotiations are currently underway.

Rich Kinzley

Analyst · Sidoti.

One thing I would add to that, Brian, as we've said in the past, their most recent integrated resource plan indicates that plant running through 2039. We are very confident that, that contract will be extended.

Operator

Operator

[Operator Instructions] Our next question comes from Brandon Lee with Mizuho.

Brandon Lee

Analyst · Mizuho.

Just a couple of quick ones for me. Over the past few years you've issued about $100 million, $119 million of equity every year. Are you considering alternatives to offset the dilution from the equity issuance?

Rich Kinzley

Analyst · Mizuho.

Well, what I would say, Linn can certainly add to it. But we're -- he made the comment earlier, we're always evaluating our portfolio of assets. Nothing specific to talk about at this time, but there certainly could be options to replace our equity needs. We'll see.

Linn Evans

Analyst · Mizuho.

We think that's [indiscernible].

Brandon Lee

Analyst · Mizuho.

Great. And then just another question. So given you guys look at valuations in the public and private markets, what assets do you see that have the greatest difference in valuation? Is it LDCs, transmissions, electric utilities, coal mines? Can you shine some light on the differences that you're seeing in the assets that you have?

Linn Evans

Analyst · Mizuho.

Well, I think the obvious one that comes to mind is what we’re seeing in the market with respect to LDCs and the private equity, the premiums won’t be paid there, but I think that would be the extent of my comment there, Brandon.

Operator

Operator

That concludes today's question-and-answer session. I'd like to turn the call back to Linn Evans for closing remarks.

Linn Evans

Analyst

Well, thank you very much for each of your interest in Black Hills. We're very proud of what we accomplished in 2021, and I want to thank the team again for an incredible focus and great progress. So we're very focused on 2022 and extremely excited for the opportunities we see in front of us. So thank you again for joining us and enjoy what we call Black Hills Energy Safe Day. Take care.

Operator

Operator

This concludes today's conference call. Thank you for participating. You may now disconnect.