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Black Hills Corporation (BKH)

Q2 2016 Earnings Call· Thu, Aug 4, 2016

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Transcript

Operator

Operator

Good day, ladies and gentlemen, and welcome to the Black Hills Corporation’s Second Quarter 2016 Earnings Conference Call. My name is Takia. And I will be your coordinator for today. At this time, all participants are in a listen-only mode. Following the prepared remarks, there will be a question-and-answer session. [Operator Instructions] As a reminder, this conference is being recorded for replay purposes. I would now like to turn the presentation over to Mr. Jerome Nichols, Director of Investor Relations of Black Hills Corporation. Please proceed, sir.

Jerome Nichols

Analyst

Thank you, Takia. Good morning, everyone. Welcome to Black Hills Corporation’s second quarter 2016 earnings conference call. Leading our quarterly earnings discussion today are David Emery, Chairman and Chief Executive Officer; and Rich Kinzley, Senior Vice President and Chief Financial Officer. During our earnings discussion today, some of the comments we make may contain forward-looking statements as defined by the Securities and Exchange Commission, and there are a number of uncertainties inherent in such comments. Although we believe that our expectations and beliefs are based on reasonable assumptions, actual results may differ materially. We direct you to our earnings release, Slide 2 of the investor presentation on our website, and our most recent Form 10-K and Form 10-Q filed with the Securities and Exchange Commission, for a list of some of the factors that could cause future results to differ materially from our expectations. I will now turn the call over to David Emery.

David Emery

Analyst

Thank you, Jerome. Good morning, everyone. Thanks for joining us today. From an agenda perspective, we’ll follow the same order that we have in previous quarters. I’ll give a quick overview of the quarter. Rich Kinzley, our CFO will give a financial update on the quarter. I’ll talk about forward strategic issues and then we’ll open it up for Q&A. For those of you following on the webcast slide deck, I will be starting on Slide 5. We had a great second quarter, really our first full quarter of results that include the SourceGas utilities we acquired in mid-February. We met our earnings expectations, made huge progress on the integration of SourceGas and continued to advance several of our other key growth initiatives. Highlights on the Electric Utilities, construction continued on Colorado Electric’s Peak View Wind Project and the new 40-megawatt natural gas-fired turbine at the Pueblo Airport Generating Station. Both of those projects will be in service by year-end. On May 3, we filed the rate request related to the new gas turbine and that process is ongoing. Our South Dakota Electric utility continued construction on a new 144-mile transmission line, that line will go from northeastern Wyoming to Rapid City, South Dakota. The first segment, which is in Wyoming is expected to be in service by year-end of this year - year-end 2016. The remaining segment, which is primarily in South Dakota, is expected to be in service in the first-half of next year. During the quarter, our Electric Utilities reported some strong commercial and industrial sales, driven primarily by good customer load growth. That resulted in several new all-time peak loads at both Colorado Electric and our Wyoming Electric utility. Moving on to Slide 6, Gas Utility’s highlights, we continued our strategy of acquiring small utility systems…

Richard Kinzley

Analyst

All right, thanks, Dave; and good morning to everyone on the phone. I’m going to jump right in on Slide 12. And on Slide 12, we reconcile our GAAP earnings as adjusted, which is a non-GAAP measure. We do this to isolate special items and communicate earnings that we believe better represent our ongoing operating performance. This slide displays the last five quarters and trailing 12 months as of June 30 for each 2016 and 2015. During each of the past five quarters, we incurred non-cash impairment charges at our oil and gas business, due to continued low crude oil and natural gas prices. We also incurred acquisition-related expenses in each of the past five quarters, such as advisory fees and financing and other third-party costs associated with the SourceGas acquisition. These non-cash impairments and acquisition expenses are not reflective of our ongoing performance and accordingly we reflect them on an as adjusted basis. Our second quarter as adjusted EPS was $0.39 per share compared to $0.56 per share in the second quarter last year. The second quarter was the first full-quarter results for the combined company after closing the SourceGas acquisition on February 12. Comparing Q2 2016 to Q2 2015 at a high level, operating income increased due to the addition of SourceGas, but net income decreased due to interest expense associated with the additional debt from the acquisition. Increased share count from our equity issuances to help fund the acquisition also impacted quarterly results from an EPS perspective compared to 2015. I’ll detail these items more on the following slides. But as Dave noted, these results generally met our expectations. Given the seasonal nature of natural gas utilities with typically strong results in the first and fourth quarters, and softer results in the second and third quarters, we…

David Emery

Analyst

All right, thank you, Rich. Moving on to Slide 24, consistent with the past, we continue to group our strategic goals into four major categories really with the overarching overall objective of being an industry leader in all that we do. Slide 25, strong capital spending drives our earnings growth. We forecast a total of more than $1.2 billion of investment from 2016 through 2018, positioning us well to continue our track record of strong earnings growth as Rich just mentioned. Slide 26, we continue to make excellent progress constructing the new $65 million 40-megawatt natural gas turbine for Colorado Electric at the Pueblo Airport Generating Station. Construction is 61% complete and the project will be finished by year end. Notably, our safety record is a perfect zero incident rate to date on that project which is something that we’re very proud of. Slide 27 related to the new Peak View Wind Project, which will serve our Colorado Electric customers. The developer has erected 28 of the planned 34 wind turbines. And we’ve made a total of $67 million in progress payment to date. That project will also be completed and in service before the end of the year. On Slide 28, as I mentioned earlier, we continue to believe strongly in the customer and shareholder benefits associated with our proposed Cost of Service Gas Program. And also as I stated earlier, we are evaluating our options on how best to proceed, including the possibility of filing new applications for approval of specific gas reserve properties. Slide 29 highlights or dividend growth track record. We are very proud of our 46 consecutive years of annual dividend increases. One of the longest records in the utility industry and one we hope to continue. Slide 30 illustrates our current investment grade credit ratings. Rich mentioned this earlier. We’re pleased that we maintain our solid investment grade rating. Slide 31, demonstrates the focus we place every day on operational excellence and on being a great workplace. We are extremely proud that Forbes recently named Black Hills to America’s Best Midsized Employer list. And for the third consecutive year Wyoming Governor Matt Mead honored our Wyodak Mine employees with the Governor’s Workplace Safety Award. Finally, Slide 32 is our scorecard. This is something that you’ve seen before. It’s our way of holding ourselves accountable to you, our shareholders. We will continue to keep this updated related to our progress towards key strategic goals, as the year unfolds. That concludes our remarks. We’re happy to answer any questions anyone may have.

Operator

Operator

[Operator Instructions] And our first question comes from Lasan Johong at Auvila Research Consulting. Your line is now open.

Lasan Johong

Analyst

Thank you, good morning.

David Emery

Analyst

Good morning.

Lasan Johong

Analyst

Couple of quick questions on the Cost of Service Gas Program, there is obviously a tension between price going up and resistance - I’m sorry, acceptance for the Cost of Service Gas Program. So the longer you delay this as gas prices move up, how do you see this unfolding, favorable, less favorable? Do you think the states will be more supportive, less supportive, especially as the acquisition costs go up? How do you see this playing out?

David Emery

Analyst

Yes, it’s a good question, Lasan. Obviously, we are not certain of the answer to that. I mean, we’ve talked previously and openly about what’s kind of the best time to implement a Cost of Service Gas Program. But it’s also a bad time to implement a Cost of Service Gas Program. Basically, prices are very cheap right now, which is wonderful for customers if we can get the program started. But it’s also possible that when you initiate program that the long-term price in the program might be slightly over market today, because of the low spot prices. Certainly, the recent increase in prices from low $2 to the high $2 range, I think, it’s generally helpful. It’s less of a differential between what the long-term costs of the program will be versus current spot prices. It’s certainly out intent to demonstrate to regulators that it’s really the long-term price that matters. It’s not short-term spot prices. But that’s much easier said than done. And I think people see the spot price in the paper every day and have a tendency to get focused on that number. But I think that the uptick in prices, the recent uptick in prices is generally favorable to approval of the program.

Lasan Johong

Analyst

At what kind of short-term gas price are you willing to say, you know what - or this is not going to work, because our acquisition costs are too high, and therefore over the long-term it would not benefit our customers?

David Emery

Analyst

Yes, that’s a tough one, because, again, I hate to peg a long-term decision to a short-term gas price. It’s our take that we need a good long-term price, probably at least in the mid, maybe mid upper $3 dollar range, is probably reasonable, when you look at a life of a well price. In that range that’s a very effective price from our perspective. Now, again, what’s the impact on the regulators’ decision-making process when they look at spot prices that are lower than that, that one is a difficult one for me to opine on.

Lasan Johong

Analyst

Okay. That’s fair enough. And I think that’s probably a good view. You talked about selling non-core oil and gas assets. Can you give us some more color on which assets you’re talking about?

David Emery

Analyst

Well, we will as we get that done. Basically, what we’ve said is that, we certainly want to retain the Piceance Basin. That is our crown jewel property if you will and has by far the best value and is a very, very good long-term asset. A lot of the other properties are not as core to us, Powder River Basin is one that we think still has some value we’d like to retain it for a while at least. But most of the rest of our properties are things that we’re generally evaluating divestiture of. Right now, we’re focused on primarily non-operated properties that are scattered throughout the Rocky Mountain region. We have a package of those that will be put up on an industry auction later this month if we will get that done this quarter. And then we’ll continue to work on some of those properties, the ones that aren’t included in this first round of auction.

Lasan Johong

Analyst

You said that Piceance and the Vermillion…

David Emery

Analyst

Again, when you - what’s that?

Lasan Johong

Analyst

You said the Piceance and the Vermillion are kind of still…

David Emery

Analyst

The Piceance and Powder are really the two primary assets.

Lasan Johong

Analyst

The Powder River Basin?

David Emery

Analyst

Yes. And the Powder is mainly - oil prices are depressed right now. It probably doesn’t make a lot of sense to fire-sale our properties there. They’re very good properties. And then the Piceance I already talked about. The remaining stuff, again, most of that is non-operated small working interest and scattered wells, literally hundreds of properties. Those are - they’re really [indiscernible].

Lasan Johong

Analyst

No, no, I understand the value proposition. Any surprises on the SourceGas acquisition, either positive or negative?

David Emery

Analyst

No, I don’t think so. I think we’re maybe slightly ahead of schedule on the acquisition integration overall. From our internal schedule standpoint, I think we feel very good about it. We’re making great progress. Not really finding anything we would deem as being unforeseen if you will. So, yes, real positive, we’re right on schedule and things are looking great.

Lasan Johong

Analyst

Excellent, my last question is the interest expense savings for, I guess, 2017, if Black Hills refinanced all the SourceGas debt, how much would that save shareholders, I don’t know, either in whole dollars or earnings per share or whatever metric you like to talk about?

Richard Kinzley

Analyst

Yes. That will depend - this is Rich, Lasan - It will depend on what tenures we refinance that with. And we’re working with our banks and looking at whether we do short-term variable rate debt, 10 year, 30 year, whatever, we’re looking at all the options. So until we get that sorted out it’s difficult to put a number on that.

Lasan Johong

Analyst

I see. I thought you had already - you had some discussion or have some idea about terming out the debts, but…

David Emery

Analyst

Yes, we have a general idea what direction we want to go, but until we get it done.

Lasan Johong

Analyst

I got you. Thank you very much. That’s it for me.

David Emery

Analyst

Thank you.

Operator

Operator

Thank you. And your next question will come from Insoo Kim at RBC Capital Markets. Your line is now open.

Insoo Kim

Analyst

Hi, good morning.

David Emery

Analyst

Good morning, Insoo.

Insoo Kim

Analyst

Hi, just going back to the Cost of Service Gas, what is your rough timeline for a decision on the next steps? And then if you’re deciding to make a combined filing, do you see your own macros [ph] assets or other third-party properties that’s more likely at this point?

David Emery

Analyst

I would say we’re still evaluating that. I think we’re considering which properties would be best to include in a combined filing if you will. And that certainly, that decision will influence the timing of what we do. Obviously, we’d like to get it done as soon as possible. But we want to make sure we do a really good job, will that make a very good decision. So it’s tough to peg down an exact time right now.

Insoo Kim

Analyst

Got it. And ultimately, I guess, if the Cost of Service Gas doesn’t seem likely to be approved, is the ultimate move to also go ahead and time a sale of the Piceance assets, as well as the other non-core assets that you’re selling at next quarter?

David Emery

Analyst

Yes. That’s something we’ll have to decide when the time comes, I mean we’ve told you publically, that we really don’t intend to participate in what I would call a traditional oil and gas business anymore. We made that decision several quarters ago and we’ve been gradually heading that direction. If we’re unable to transition to a Cost of Service Gas Program, certainly that’s going to affect our long-term decision on what we do with those properties. The Piceance space and like I said is really kind of our crown jewel property. And it’s one that we believe has a huge value, whether that’s for customers and shareholders or in the future just shareholders only. So I think, we’d have to consider carefully the timing that we might choose to divest that. If we cannot included in Cost of Service Gas. But we haven’t had a lot of detail discussion on that, because long-term, hopefully we can integrate some of that in the Cost of Service Gas. It may not be in our initial filings, but it’s certainly the direction we believe is best for customers long-term. It’s a world class shale gas asset, we really like it.

Insoo Kim

Analyst

Right, right. Okay, and turning to SourceGas. With over 80% of integration complete, what percentage of the expected I guess, run rate synergies have been realized year to date? Or have most of them not been realized yet and we will see that at the back half of this year and into the first-half of next year?

David Emery

Analyst

Yes. On an exact percentage this is kind of hard to pinpoint, but I would say it’s important to remember couple things. One, we’ve made a lot of staffing changes and done all of that. So some of those are starting to show up, but we also have a lot of people that are still continuing on transition services agreements. We’re still running multiple systems things like that. So there is some pretty big expenses that are still there, that really are contingent on us finishing up the conversion of our systems and getting everyone on the same customer information, billing and payment processing systems. That set to occur hopefully early in the fourth quarter. Once that’s done, I think, you will see pretty quickly the full realization of the rest of the synergies. And certainly by the fourth quarter, I think, those numbers are going to start showing up. And then by first quarter essentially all of them will be included in our results.

Insoo Kim

Analyst

Okay, understood. And then finally, for the guidance for this year, I know the first quarter had some more one-time tax benefits at Oil and Gas as well as at the Corporate level. Was that mostly accounted for or expected when you gave your initial guidance? So, I guess in other words, like for your guidance that you reiterated, like does that include those tax benefits or is it more [indiscernible]?

David Emery

Analyst

It included those.

Richard Kinzley

Analyst

Yes, we expected those.

Insoo Kim

Analyst

Okay. Understood, got it. That’s all I had, thank you very much.

David Emery

Analyst

Thank you.

Operator

Operator

Thank you. And our next question will come from Chris Turnure at JPMorgan. Your line is now open.

Christopher Turnure

Analyst

Good morning. I was wondering if you guys had given an underlying amount of equity issuance for 2016, specifically in 2017 specifically that underlies your guidance.

Richard Kinzley

Analyst

Yes, it’s in the guidance. We put out back in February, but this year the range is $80 million to $120 million. Next year the range was, I believe - I have to go back and look, it might be $60 million to $100 million.

David Emery

Analyst

Was it 200 in total?

Richard Kinzley

Analyst

200, yes.

Christopher Turnure

Analyst

Okay. And then kind of with the $60 million that you’ve done year to date kind of how are you thinking about the number in 2016 within the range?

David Emery

Analyst

Well, it depends on how much equity, we issue in the third and fourth quarter, obviously. But I would say it’s - we’re certainly feeling comfortable, we’re going to get to the middle point of the range. And I wouldn’t think, we would exceed the top end.

Christopher Turnure

Analyst

Okay. And then more of a strategic question, you’re building I think, the Peak View Project right now in Colorado. A lot of your peers, whether small or mid cap, are submitting proposals to build new wind to take advantage of the PTC and try to get at least some capital deployed by year end. Are there any other opportunities there for you guys, whether it’s another project in Colorado or elsewhere, to do that where you would have the kind of regulatory recovery mechanism that would allow you to maintain your sales strategy with general rate cases?

David Emery

Analyst

Yes. The only other project that we’ve specifically identified is we filed a resource plan in Colorado and that identifies another short fall for us to meet the renewable standard there by 2020, which is a 30% standard. We’re projecting, I think it’s a 60-megawatt additional need there in a couple of years. So it’s not going to be something that through the resource planning process that we could accelerate and be able to start really in 2016. But it certainly is a project that’s going to be needed to meet the standard there. With at least the current planned phase out of the PTCs, we would like to start it sooner rather than later, just because that will benefit customers if we can keep those cost down. So we’re going to be working our way through that regulatory approval process there on our resource plan.

Christopher Turnure

Analyst

Okay. Great. That’s all I had. Thanks.

David Emery

Analyst

Thank you.

Operator

Operator

Thank you. And our next question will come from Brian Chin at Bank of America. Your line is now open.

Brian Chin

Analyst

Hi, good morning.

David Emery

Analyst

Good morning.

Brian Chin

Analyst

I think this is a question geared more towards Rich. Just going to the quarterly EPS numbers on Slide 12. If you look at the net income numbers down at the bottom over the trailing 12 months, I am assuming that that is pro forma for the sale of the Colorado IPP, is that right?

Richard Kinzley

Analyst

Well, yes, that sale was done in April of 2016. So the second quarter results in 2016 take that into account.

Brian Chin

Analyst

Okay. So…

Richard Kinzley

Analyst

Yes, non-controlling interest I guess is backed out to get to the as adjusted $0.39.

Brian Chin

Analyst

Okay, okay. So that means when we’re looking at the prior quarters that non-controlling interest is still…

Richard Kinzley

Analyst

It was in - yes, it was in there. The results for that 49.9% were included in the previous numbers and aren’t in Q2.

Brian Chin

Analyst

Okay, got you. In addition to that - so if I wanted to look at these quarterly backward looking numbers as a proxy for how to think about the quarterly allocation of your earnings going forward, I would assume that that non-controlling interest sale adjustment is something I would want to consider. Also the tax benefits that you captured on the first quarter is probably another factor I would consider. Are there any other factors that I should consider? And do you think it makes sense that we should be looking at this as a general starting point for the quarterly seasonal allocation of earnings going forward?

Richard Kinzley

Analyst

Yes. You’re hitting on a good point there, Brian. With the addition of the SourceGas utilities, we’re going to have more operating income by a long shot in the first and fourth quarter. And we’re going to have more operating income in the second, third quarter, but not to the extent that it’s going to fully offset the additional interest in shares. But in the first and fourth quarter, it’s going to. That’s where the accretion is going to come from in the first and fourth quarter. So I think, you do kind of need to rethink about how you’re allocating the quarterly earnings.

David Emery

Analyst

The seasonality will become even more dramatic with the much larger gas utility in the first and fourth quarter.

Brian Chin

Analyst

Yes, I suspect that that is part of the reason why there was a little bit of a disconnect between second quarter results here versus what you guys actually reported. And particularly since you didn’t change guidance I think there is a little bit of a seasonal allocation issue here that we all need to think about. But thank you, that is very helpful.

David Emery

Analyst

Thank you. Yes.

Operator

Operator

Thank you. [Operator Instructions] And our next question will come from Joe Zhou at Avon Capital Advisors. Your line is now open.

Andrew Levi

Analyst

Hey, guys, this is actually Andy Levi, how are you doing?

David Emery

Analyst

Good.

Richard Kinzley

Analyst

Good.

Andrew Levi

Analyst

Just one thing I want to go over with you, because I’m still a little confused. Obviously we like the story a lot and the stock has done very well. But just back on the E&P, and I think I have asked this in the past both in meetings and with you guys. But with kind of the rate-based gas, whether it is with you guys or just in general, kind of losing its popularity or flavor - kind of was like the flavor of the month. I am not really understanding why you would hold onto your E&P business at all especially if you are correct on your Permian Basin assessment and there is value there. Because if you kind of look at - you go out to 2018 or something, and say, after you got the shares and all that or 2019; and the drag on E&P is maybe, let’s say, $0.15 a share. And you put a utility multiple on that $0.15, right, because it would be $0.15 of higher earnings. It’s like $2.50 of value to stock. And I can’t see how you would get that same value from rate basing the gas. Maybe I am wrong, but it’s quite a bit of earnings. So could you just kind of reconcile that and just try to make me understand and maybe some others why you wouldn’t just get rid of it all at this point?

David Emery

Analyst

Yes, I…

Andrew Levi

Analyst

Especially since - hold on, one more thing, especially since that is your business. I mean you are a utility, you bought SourceGas; the rest of your business is very stable earnings. And I’m just really not understanding why you would hold on to this business at this point. I mean this is a good story. It is a great story, but you are kind of - half this call is about your small E&P business. It’s kind of dumb.

David Emery

Analyst

I think you kind of hit it on the head, is that we are a utility. And we are a much bigger utility and even heavier on the gas side. Integrating a long-term investment opportunity from gas reserves with the utility risk profile and utility earnings profile fits exactly with that strategy. And it’s a significant investment opportunity for decades to come, not just a couple of years. So, we believe that that is part of our utility strategy. Now, the rest of it, your spot on, and we agree. We’ve said we want to transition our business from a traditional E&P company which to your point doesn’t exactly fit for utility shareholders, we get it. It’s more about timings; do we fire-sale it; do we take our time and make sure we’re getting fair-value for some of those properties. But clean it up, yes, we agree and we are doing that. But incorporating a world-class shale asset into our utility, as a benefit to customers and shareholders is right down the sweet spot of our strategy. And it’s a huge very long-term investment opportunity. That would not be available to our shareholders if we divested it and dumped it at a price when market conditions are very low.

Andrew Levi

Analyst

Okay. Well, in all due respect I disagree. And I think as potentially a shareholder, maybe a shareholder - we are not really allowed to talk whether we have positions or not in your stock - basically I would rather see that drag go away and get the value in the stock in a very simplistic easy type of way. But that’s just my opinion, and obviously you guys have yours. But again, thank you very much.

David Emery

Analyst

All right, thank you.

Operator

Operator

[Operator Instructions] And at this time, I’m showing no further questions. I will like to turn the call back over to David Emery, Chairman and CEO. Please proceed with closing remarks.

David Emery

Analyst

And then, well, thank you all for participating in our call this morning. We certainly appreciate your continued interest in Black Hills. Have a great rest of your day. Thank you.

Operator

Operator

Thank you for your participation in today’s conference. This concludes the presentation. You may now disconnect. Good day, everyone.