Anthony S. Cleberg
Analyst · Credit Suisse
Thank you, Dave. Good morning. As Dave described, we're very pleased with our fourth quarter and our full year performance. Compared to 2012, our earnings from continuing ops as adjusted grew 3% for the quarter and 17% for the full year. You may recall our Q4 earnings in 2012 improved 48% over the fourth quarter of 2011. So we were encouraged by another increase in this quarter. For the full year, our earnings exceeded our upper end of the range. And, as Dave mentioned, that it was primarily driven by weather, and specifically, more specifically, a very cold December. Moving to Slide 12, we report GAAP earnings and reconciled earnings as adjusted. A non-GAAP measure. We do this each quarter to isolate special items and communicate earnings that better indicates our ongoing performance. This slide displays our last 5 quarters and the full year. During the fourth quarter of 2013, we have 3 special items. The first special item was a reduction of $0.01 for a mark-to-market gain on $250 million worth of de-designated interest rate swaps. For the full year, the 2013 gain on those same swaps was $0.44, compared to $0.03 in 2012. As we announced in December, we settled these de-designated swaps once we completed the $525 million worth of financing. The next 2 special items relate to financing activity in the fourth quarter. We calculated the impact of these items as if the financing had been completed on December 31. So the settlement cost, negative carry and interest savings during the quarter, were netted to calculate the impact of these special items. The first special financing item was an addition of $0.15 for the settlement of swaps on project debt and the write-off of related deferred finance fees in our Power Generation segment. We paid off this debt prior to maturity to capture an overall interest rate savings. The second special item of $0.13 relates to redeeming $250 million of 9% notes which were due May of 2014. We paid make-whole premium and wrote off deferred finance fees. The early redemption had a slight projected economic benefit, but more importantly, it positions us to report a clear picture of our recurring earnings in 2014 and thereafter. So considering these special items, Q4's EPS as adjusted from continuing ops, was $0.70, compared to $0.68 in 2012. Our full-year continuing operations were $2.45, compared to $2.09, an improvement of 17%. Slide 13 displays our fourth quarter revenue and operating income. Later I'll discuss major differences between the years, but here, the main point is that 88% of our operating income came from our electric and gas utilities in the fourth quarter. Our operating income as adjusted declined $3 million during the quarter compared to 2012, which resulted from higher expenses, partially offset by margins. The higher expenses were driven by increased employee costs due to cash and stock incentives. We had a very good year. Moving to the full year, Slide 14. Revenue increased by $102 million, reflecting higher volumes and higher gas prices in our gas utilities. The better rates were slightly higher megawatts in our Electric Utilities. This was partially offset by lower production in our Oil and Gas segment. Operating income as adjusted improved 4% compared to 2012 with increases in Power Generation Utilities and Coal Mining. Oil and Gas declined by $5.6 million, due primarily to the sale of the Williston Basin assets in 2012. Slide 15 displays our income statement for the fourth quarter and the full year. Some noteworthy changes include increases in our operating expenses in 2013. Three factors accounted for almost all of the increase. First, 2012 expenses were lower because of an aggressive cost containment initiatives implemented to offset earnings shortfalls in 2012, which were caused by a very mild weather in the first quarter. The second, our variable compensation, which is aligned with shareholder interests, increased substantially in 2013 due to strong performance and stock price appreciation. The last factor was a general increase of about 2.5%. So we remain diligent in managing our overall cost structure. On later slides I will discuss operating income in more details. So moving down to interest expense. You'll note a reduction compared to 2012 of $3.6 million during the quarter and $14.8 million for the full year. The reduced interest expense reflects lower rates and lower average outstanding debt in 2013, compared to 2012. In the fourth quarter, we completed a number of financing transactions. After we issued $525 million in 10-year 4.25% notes, we called the $250 million of 9% notes which were due May 15, 2014. We paid off project debt related to nonregulated assets and settled $250 million of de-designated swaps for $64 million. Going forward, these actions should reduce -- should result in a substantial interest savings. As you may recall, we used the proceeds from our Williston Basin sale to redeem $225 million of 6.5% notes in the fourth quarter of 2012 and paid a make-whole premium. Continuing down the income statement, the effective income tax rate in the fourth quarter compared to the prior year was about the same at 37%. For the full year, both 2012 and 2013, we had an effective tax rate of 35%. The last noteworthy item was our EBITDA. During the quarter, we produced $107 million of EBITDA as adjusted, which is about flat compared to 2012. For the full year 2013, our EBITDA declined slightly to $399 million. Our Oil and Gas segment's EBITDA declined by $22.4 million in 2013, primarily due to selling the Williston Basin assets in 2012. So improvements in other segments offset the Oil and Gas decline. Discontinued operations relate to the divestiture of our Energy Marketing business in the first quarter of 2012. During the quarter, we recorded a charge for a final purchase price adjustment. Moving to Slide 16. We display our Electric Utilities segment revenue and operating income. The Electric Utilities revenue increased in the fourth quarter by $10 million from 2012. And this is driven by weather and rate increases, including riders. Megawatt usage increased 4% in Q4 compared to 2012. Our operating income as adjusted declined by $4.8 million during the quarter compared to 2012. The decline reflects higher expenses and 2012 included the receipt of $2.1 million of a construction bonus. The higher expenses were primarily for employee cost, vegetation management and property taxes. For the full year, revenue increased about $38 million, primarily due to pass through, purchased power cost and rate cases. Operating income was flat with increased margins offset by increased expenses. Moving to Slide 17. Gas utilities revenue increased $26 million in the fourth quarter, driven by 15% higher heating degree days and a 7% higher gas price. The operating income improved $2.5 million or by 10% in the fourth quarter compared to 2012. Q4 retail and commercial dekatherms sold increased about 19% year-over-year. And the Q4 O&M expenses were slightly higher, primarily for employee costs compared to 2012. For the full year, the colder weather was primarily the driver of the $9.6 million improvement in operating income. As you may recall, 2012 had an extremely mild winter in our gas states. For our gas utilities, the heating degree days in 2013 were 9% higher than the normal 30-year average, while 2012 were 13% lower than the 30-year average. So if you think about the weather impact for the combined electric and gas utilities, it was a strong positive for both the quarter and the full year. The next segment, Power Generation, operating income had a slight decrease in Q4 primarily due to scheduled maintenance outages. For the full year, operating income improved $2.2 million due to higher off system sales margins. This segment performed slightly better than expected. Moving to Coal Mining on Slide 19. We saw operating income in Q4 declined by $600,000 from 2012. This was primarily driven by a power plant outage at our major customer. With the continued progress in reducing our mining costs and executing our revised mine plan which lowered our stripping ratio in Q4 to 0.5 compared to 1.5 in 2012. For the full year, the operating income improved by $3.2 million compared to 2012. We have a price reopener with our major customer and we should see better margins starting in Q3 of 2014 in this segment. Slide 20 is our Oil and Gas. In here, we had a transitioning year after selling our largest oil producing properties in the Williston Basin. Overall, fourth quarter production increased 11.5% from 2012, driven by an 8.5% increase in natural gas and a 20% increase in oil. From a pricing received standpoint, the oil decreased by 13%, and the natural gas price decreased by 20% in the quarter. From a cost perspective, our O&M expenses decreased by $500,000 compared to 2012. So we continue to see good cost management. Depletion increased in Q4 by $1.3 million compared to 2012. And this was really driven by higher production and higher depletion rate, due to the impact of having oil wells. Sequentially, our Q3 production declined -- or sequentially from Q3, our production declined by 2%, due primarily just because of normal declines in our gas wells, partially offset by a 6.5% increase in our oil production. With the recently completed Mancos wells, we expect production to increase in Q1 compared to the fourth quarter. For the full year, production declined by 24% driven by the sale of the Williston Basin assets. Prices received for oil increased by 7%, and natural gas declined by 19%. The depletion rate for 2013 was $1.83 per Mcfe compared to $2.87 in 2012. Slide 21 provides an estimated rate base at year end. For 2013, we were flat with 2012 at $1.7 billion. The capital additions, excluding Cheyenne Prairie, were offset by increases in depreciation and deferred income taxes. We expect Cheyenne Prairie Generation Station to be included in rate base October 1, 2014. Moving to our capital structure on Slide 22. This shows our current capitalization. At year-end, our net debt to capitalization ratio was 52.9%, an increase from 2012, yet low enough to fund our capital program. With the $525 million 10-year note issuance in November, we now have over 90% of our long-term -- 90% of our debt as long-term. As Dave mentioned, we were upgraded last week by Moody's to Baa1, which was the second upgrade in less than a year. Just as a reminder, in 2013, we were upgraded to BBB flat with S&P and Fitch. And Fitch also has us on positive outlook. In the press release, we reaffirmed our 2014 earnings guidance in the range of $2.50 to $2.70. This is for EPS as adjusted and excludes special items. There is a slide in the appendix that lists the primary assumptions regarding our 2014 earnings guidance that we made in November. Overall, we expect improvement in the operating income over 2013 and a notable reduction in our interest expense which contributes to the improved EPS for 2014. On Slide 24, to conclude, we've achieved strong performance for both the fourth quarter and the full year. And we're really proud of our improving financial performance over the last 5 years. And we really look forward to the continuing growth in our utilities and capturing the value of the Mancos Shale properties. And with those comments, I'll turn it back to Dave.