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Black Hills Corporation (BKH)

Q1 2013 Earnings Call· Fri, May 3, 2013

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Transcript

Operator

Operator

Good day, ladies and gentlemen, and welcome to the Black Hills Corporation 2013 First Quarter Earnings Conference Call. My name is Keith, and I'll be your coordinator for today. [Operator Instructions] As a reminder, this conference is being recorded for replay purposes. And with that, I would now like to turn the presentation over to Mr. Jerome Nichols, Director of Investor Relations of Black Hills Corporation. Please proceed, sir.

Jerome E. Nichols

Analyst

Thank you, Keith. Good morning, everyone, and welcome to the Black Hills Corporation 2013 First Quarter Earnings Call. With me today are David Emery, Chairman, President and Chief Executive Officer; and Tony Cleberg, Executive Vice President and Chief Financial Officer. Before I turn over the call, I need to remind you that during the course of this call, some of the comments we make may contain forward-looking statements as defined by the Securities and Exchange Commission, and there are a number of uncertainties inherent in such comments. Although we believe that our expectations and beliefs are based on reasonable assumptions, actual results may differ materially. We direct you to our earnings release, Slide 2 of the Investor Presentation on our website and our most recent Form 10-K and Form 10-Q filed with the Securities and Exchange Commission, for a list of some of the factors that could cause future results to differ materially from our expectations. I will now turn the call over to David Emery.

David R. Emery

Analyst

Thank you, Jerome. Good morning, everyone. For those of you following along on the webcast presentation, I'll start on Slide 3. The agenda will be similar to previous quarters. I'll go through the quarter highlights. Tony Cleberg, our Chief Financial Officer, will cover the financial update for the quarter. And then I'll give a strategic overview, kind of a forward-looking slant after that and then we'll open it up for question and answers. Starting on Slide 5, highlights of the quarter. Business environment-wise, we had a slightly colder than normal winter, which was a big change compared to the very warm winter the year before, and you'll see that in our results. And also, a significant rebound in gas prices. Henry Hub prices more than $1 higher than they were 1 year ago at the same time. Highlights for the utilities, construction commenced in early April, on our Cheyenne Prairie Generating Station, the $237 million, 132-megawatt plant we're currently building in Cheyenne, Wyoming for both Black Hills Power and Cheyenne Light. And our Colorado electric utility, we filed an Electric Resource Plan earlier in the week on April 30, with the Colorado PUC. In that plan, we identified a 40-megawatt, simple cycle gas turbine as the replacement for our retiring 42-megawatt W.N. Clark coal plant, under the Clean Air-Clean Jobs Act in Colorado. And we also recommended retirement of 2 older gas-fired plants in Pueblo. Those 2 plants have a total capacity of 29 megawatts, and they were placed in service in the 1940s. In connection with the resource plan, we also filed 2 certificates of public convenience and necessity, 1 seeking approval for the new turbine and 1 for the retirement of the 2 gas-fired units in Pueblo. Also related to Colorado Electric, on April 23, we issued a…

Anthony S. Cleberg

Analyst

Thank you, Dave. As Dave mentioned, we had a really strong quarter. We're very pleased. Looking at Slide 11, we reconciled our earnings from continuing operations on a GAAP basis to EPS as adjusted, which is a non-GAAP measure. We do this each quarter and feel by isolating the Special Items EPS as adjusted, better communicates our most relevant performance. During the quarter, we only had 1 special item, which was a reduction of $0.11 for a noncash mark-to-market on $250 million worth of interest rate swaps. The gain reflected an increase in the long-term interest rate during the quarter. So considering the special item, the first quarter earnings EPS $0.87 compared to the $0.65, which is the 34% increase. Slide 11 displays our first quarter revenue and operating income. Later, I'll explain the major differences between the years. But here, the main point is we are predominantly a regulated business, generating 89% of our operating income from the Electric and Gas Utilities in the first quarter. Our operating income was strong, increasing by $9.8 million or 14% compared to 2012. More normal weather in 2013 accounted for about $6.7 million of that $9.8 million improvement in operating income. Slide 13 displays our first quarter income statement. On later slides, I'll discuss the segment revenue and operating income in more detail. But here, I want to mention several noteworthy items that impacted our first quarter performance compared to the prior year. First item was interest expense, declined by $4.3 million, and that was driven by reduced debt of $220 million. As you may recall, we paid off $225 million of 6.5% notes in the fourth quarter of 2012, with the proceeds from the Williston Basin asset sale. The second item was the reduced tax rate. The rate in the first…

David R. Emery

Analyst

All right. Thank you, Tony. Moving on to Slide 20, we have 5 major strategic objectives, all of which are focused primarily on being an industry leader in essentially all that we do. These are consistent with what we've shown you the last couple of quarters. We really want to strive to be an industry leader in operational performance, earnings growth, tremendous upside opportunities through our Oil and Gas assets. And of course, our track record of 43 consecutive years of annual dividend increases. We also have a goal of increasing our credit rating. On Slide 21, related to operating performance, that slide exhibits exceptional performance relative to our peers in several metrics. Safety, reliability and in several efficiency measures in our Gas Utilities. On Slide 22, that illustrates our superior power plant availability and starting reliability. Also demonstrates that we have an extremely modern generation fleet. And then we have an exceptional safety record on power plant construction, well, well below the industry average. Slide 23 gives an overview of our generation by fuel price and then further demonstrates the recent modernization of our generation fleet. Slide 24. We expect continued strong earnings growth as we've demonstrated over the last several years, driven primarily by capital spending, both to meet customer needs in our utilities and to grow our nonregulated energy businesses. And for the next several years, capital spending is projected to continue to be far in excess of depreciation. Slide 25 just provides more detail regarding historical and projected capital spending, really broken out by business segment. And for our Electric Utilities, breaks out the generation and transmission as well. Slide 26. When we talk about future earnings growth, helping drive that growth is our Cheyenne Prairie Generating Station, our new 132-megawatt plant that we just started…

Operator

Operator

[Operator Instructions] First question is from the line of Kevin Cole with Crédit Suisse. Kevin Cole - Crédit Suisse AG, Research Division: I guess, Tony, I'll start with a question about the balance sheet. So I see that you have some monster 9% debt due next year.

Anthony S. Cleberg

Analyst

Yes. Kevin Cole - Crédit Suisse AG, Research Division: How should I think about your refinancing plans around that?

Anthony S. Cleberg

Analyst

We'll certainly take it out by May, and I would say that the interest rate is going to come down. Some of the interest may get passed back to customers. So -- but we could take it out earlier. It just depends and it depends with sort of the agreements that we have with commissions. Kevin Cole - Crédit Suisse AG, Research Division: And so should I follow the bottom line? So for example, if you cut your financing cost from 9% to 5%, we should realize about $0.15 earnings uplift?

Anthony S. Cleberg

Analyst

We'll get some benefit because some of that financed goodwill. But most of it, I would think, it will help kind of the reverse on rate lag. So I don't believe all of it is going to fall to the bottom line, Kevin. Kevin Cole - Crédit Suisse AG, Research Division: Okay. And then, Dave, I guess, I could try tease out a little more detail around the additional Mancos exposure, because, I guess -- so given that this incremental property already has the drilling permits, should we assume that your partner is an E&P versus a farmer seeking some extra retirement funds?

David R. Emery

Analyst

Yes, yes, that's a safe bet, Kevin. Actually, we'll have -- we obtained our acreage through a deal with a third-party. And also, we are the designated operator then to get these first couple of wells drilled and have that party, as well as a couple other smaller interest owners in the wells. Kevin Cole - Crédit Suisse AG, Research Division: Does your partner add any value per se, like your takeaway ability, your contacts in the area, or anything to benefit the overall Mancos play?

David R. Emery

Analyst

Well, I would call them a good strategic partner. Beyond that, I'm not comfortable really disclosing any additional details. Kevin Cole - Crédit Suisse AG, Research Division: Okay. With the land, is that -- should we consider it's a 160-acre spacing as well or do you have tighter spacing allowed?

David R. Emery

Analyst

Well, I mean, it's in the basin. So the spacing, at least, currently, is the default spacing there, which is just 160 acres, and that's true for the Mancos and the basin. Kevin Cole - Crédit Suisse AG, Research Division: Okay. And then when you've complete the wells, does the offtake go to the partner? Or is there shared agreement or where does the gas flow to?

David R. Emery

Analyst

Yes, I think that's covered under our confidentiality provisions at this point as well, Kevin. Kevin Cole - Crédit Suisse AG, Research Division: Okay. Is the quality of the land at least as good as your current exposure, a little better, a little worse?

David R. Emery

Analyst

Until we drill, we don't know if it's going to be a little better or worse. We believe it's as good or better than our acreage based on what we know and where it is, but until we actually drill it, you never know for sure. Kevin Cole - Crédit Suisse AG, Research Division: Can you say if it's northeast, west or south from where you currently are?

David R. Emery

Analyst

No. Kevin Cole - Crédit Suisse AG, Research Division: Okay. And will the leasehold be held by production?

David R. Emery

Analyst

Yes. It's a large unit, so it's a little more complicated. But yes, it will be. Kevin Cole - Crédit Suisse AG, Research Division: Is the 20,000 acres contiguous property or?

David R. Emery

Analyst

That's kind of a detail I don't really want to disclose either. Kevin Cole - Crédit Suisse AG, Research Division: How about by itself...

David R. Emery

Analyst

It's in the same general neighborhood, let's put it that way. Kevin Cole - Crédit Suisse AG, Research Division: Okay. And then what is the cost for drilling a well these days?

David R. Emery

Analyst

Well, it depends. We're not disclosing our drilling and completion procedures, so we're not going to disclose our well cost either, but we'll probably be in the teens. Kevin Cole - Crédit Suisse AG, Research Division: Like low teens or high teens?

David R. Emery

Analyst

No, I'm not going to say.

Operator

Operator

Your next question comes from the line of Michael Bates with D.A. Davidson. Michael Bates - D.A. Davidson & Co., Research Division: One last follow-up following Kevin's questions. With this 20,000 potential net acres you could get, how confident are you in earning those additional acres? And is it an all or nothing shot or could you potentially end up with a portion of that 20,000?

David R. Emery

Analyst

Well, in order to earn it all, we have to drill 2 wells in the locations that we originally planned to drill them in. I would say we've got a pretty high degree of confidence we're going to do that, barring some unforeseen circumstances, but we're required to drill and complete the wells. If by chance we drilled the first one and didn't like what we saw and elected not to drill the second one, we wouldn't earn all of that acreage. So it's definitely contingent on drilling and completing the 2 planned wells right now to earn up to the 20,000 acres. If we don't deliver on that commitment, we earn less or if we don't complete either of the 2 wells, we would essentially earn 0. Michael Bates - D.A. Davidson & Co., Research Division: And in what timeframe would you have to drill these 2 wells?

David R. Emery

Analyst

Well, our plan is to drill them back to back, and we're drilling the first one now. So it will only take 40 to 50 days plus to drill and then additional few months to complete. Michael Bates - D.A. Davidson & Co., Research Division: Okay. And then switching topics a little bit, on the CT II discussion from early in the call, can you give us a little bit more color on how you see your options most likely playing out after the contract with Cheyenne Light expires? For example, do you know potential buyers in the region? Any idea as far as potential sale proceeds or?

David R. Emery

Analyst

Yes, I'm not comfortable disclosing numbers, but I would say we're fairly confident that, that asset is either going to be divested or recontracted. I don't think we have any significant risk of a stranded asset. And hopefully, those plans will come to fruition here fairly quickly. We've got a couple of parties we're discussing things with. So I would expect it to happen fairly soon. Michael Bates - D.A. Davidson & Co., Research Division: Soon as in within the next couple of quarters or?

David R. Emery

Analyst

Yes, at least. Probably sooner than that. Michael Bates - D.A. Davidson & Co., Research Division: Okay. And if we made the assumption that the asset did get divested ultimately, what kind of an impact would that have on the segment's earnings?

David R. Emery

Analyst

Off the top of my head, Michael, I don't know. We don't disclose earnings by individual assets. If we did come out and do that, we may have a little more color for you around that. But it really depends a lot on the transaction structure. So it's really hard to speculate on what that could be today.

Operator

Operator

Your next question is from the line of Andy Smith with Drexel Hamilton.

Andrew Smith

Analyst

A couple of questions. One, just following on the E&P transaction that you talked about today. If we thought about that or you guys think about that in terms of acquiring the acreage by drilling, would your cost of acquisition for the acreage, would you say that's average with what's going on in the basin, better or worse?

David R. Emery

Analyst

Well, I'd say -- again, I can't get into the specific deal terms. But this is a drill-to-earn situation. So essentially, we're drilling the wells at our own expense in exchange for not only having a continued interest in the wells, but also the interest earned and the additional up to 20,000 acres. Specifics beyond that, I'm not free to discuss.

Andrew Smith

Analyst

Okay. No, understood. And the second question is at the Coal Mining business, with the operations and maintenance expense, which was down again versus first quarter last year, should that start to sort of -- the year-over-year comparison, should that start to moderate as the year goes on? In other words, as you work through your process of addressing the cost last year or should we see continued improvement as the year goes on?

David R. Emery

Analyst

Yes, if you look at kind of where we were towards the end of last year, I think, things -- we had revised our mining plan, really, the whole fourth quarter essentially, we had revised our mining plan, we were mining in the lower overburdened section of the mine during that quarter. So I think you might see a little improvement in the quarter or 2 here. But it's really -- we're settled into normal operations, if you will, with our new revised mine plan and have been for -- this is the second quarter now.

Operator

Operator

Your next question is from the line of Nick Yuelys with Gabelli & Company.

Nicholas Yuelys

Analyst

Can you just go over what approvals are still required to drill in the Piceance and San Juan, and then what -- any sort of updates on timing there? And then if you do get approval this year, is there any potential to drill more than the 2 wells you're drilling?

David R. Emery

Analyst

Yes, the timing, I can't even speculate. 18 months ago, I never would've figured it would take as long as it has to get where we are. But the process is we had to get the environmental assessment completed first, and that literally was approved yesterday afternoon. The BLM still has to approve our pending drilling permits. And that should, theoretically, be quick, now, days, weeks, but I wouldn't bet on that, based on our experience, it's been painfully slow. So we'll see. As far as whether we would drill those wells this year or not, I think it's going to depend on kind of what we see in these first 2. Our original plans and forecast for the year contemplated just drilling 2 wells in the Piceance Basin. If we were to see pretty encouraging results on the first 2, and if gas prices continue to stay firm, it's possible we would move up a couple of wells on our acreage. At this point, I would say it's not probable. And we'll evaluate it based on the information at the time and make a decision. If we have our drilling permits, we would at least have a decision to make. Right now, we don't have one.

Operator

Operator

[Operator Instructions] And your next question is from the line of Brendan Naeve with Levin Capital.

Neil Stein

Analyst

It's actually Neil Stein from Levin Capital. And your stock has done really well, I was looking, you're actually up 60% since the last equity offering, which kind of leads me to my question, I'm wondering if an alternative way to monetize exposure to E&P would be to sell equity at current prices? Do you -- is that part of your thought process? Or even another alternative might be to use stock as currency in an acquisition.

David R. Emery

Analyst

Yes, I mean, we basically came out last year when we completed the 2 transactions we did, our Enserco sale of our Energy Marketing unit and the Williston Basin sale at E&P and said that we didn't anticipate issuing any other equity, at least through the completion of our Cheyenne Prairie Generating Station that, that cash would essentially finance our major expansion plans through that project at least essentially. I would say that hasn't changed and our opinion about that hasn't changed. Certainly, if we are fortunate enough to have an opportunity for an acquisition, equity would be contemplated, depending on the size of the acquisition. But you never know if you'll have that opportunity or not.

Neil Stein

Analyst

Because I would wonder, even if you're anticipating repaying debt or refinancing debt, it might actually be more accretive to issue equity at these multiples than to issue new debt. Although you'd have to do the math on that obviously.

David R. Emery

Analyst

Yes, I would say our take is, and Tony mentioned this a little bit, we've got a couple term loans coming due, and we have the 9% bonds coming due next year, we're evaluating all reasonable alternatives for how we finance -- refinance that debt.

Operator

Operator

[Operator Instructions] And it looks like we have no other questions. I'll go and turn the call back over to Mr. David Emery for any closing remarks.

David R. Emery

Analyst

All right. Thank you. Well, thanks everyone for attending this morning. We appreciate your continued interest in Black Hills. And for those of you who are going to be at the American Gas Association Financial Forum this weekend and next week, we look forward to seeing you there. Thank you, and have a great day and a great weekend.

Operator

Operator

Thank you for your participation in today's conference. This will conclude the presentation. You may now disconnect. Have a good day.