Anthony S. Cleberg
Analyst · Credit Suisse
Thank you, Dave. Good morning. As Dave described, our third quarter performance produced a strong year-over-year earnings growth. For the shoulder quarter, we're pleased with our earnings from continuing operations as adjusted, and the 20% improvement over the previous year. Earnings from our utilities, as adjusted, compromised -- comprised 78% of our operating income during the quarter. And also, we recorded a large gain from the sale of the Williston Basin properties that I will discuss later. Moving to Slide 11. We reconciled our earnings from a continuing operations on a GAAP basis to earnings per share as adjusted, which is a non-GAAP measure. We feel by isolating special items that the resulting earnings per share as adjusted better communicates our relevant performance. This slide displays the last 5 quarters. And during the third quarter of 2012, we had 3 special items. The first special item was a reduction of $0.01 for a non-cash, unrealized mark-to-market gain on our $250 million of de-designated interest rate swaps. This was a result of a slightly increase in the long-term interest rates during the quarter. The second special item was the reduction for the gain on sale of the Williston assets. Part of the gain was offset by the third special item related to additional incentive compensation attributable to the sale. Looking at the last year's third quarter, the reconciliation included a $0.63 addition for an unrealized mark-to-market loss on the same $250 million of interest rate swaps. Though considering these special items in the third quarter, our earnings per share as adjusted from continuing operations was $0.42 compared to $0.35 or the 20% increase. Slide 12 displays our third quarter income statement for 2012 compared to 2011. On later slides, I'll discuss the revenue and operating income in more detail, but here, I'll describe several other noteworthy items that impacted Q3 income statement. The first item was the commencement of operations of the Colorado generation complex at the beginning of the year, which increased not only our earnings, but also increased O&M expenses, property tax and interest. Another item that I mentioned on the last slide was the $27.3 million pretax gain on the sale of the Williston Basin assets in our Oil and Gas segment. Normally, under full accounts -- full cost accounting method, when you sell Oil and Gas, the entire proceeds would be recorded as a reduction to capitalized costs. However, the SEC provides guidance that if applying the entire proceeds would significantly alter the relationship between capitalized costs, improved reserves, then other alternatives should be considered. In our case, we selected an alternative that compares the fair value of the Oil and Gas properties sold as a percentage of the total fair value of the properties. So the end result is recording a pretax gain of $27 million and about $200 million reduction of our Oil and Gas capitalized costs. This reduction lowers our future depletion rate. Of note, this transaction created a substantially larger economic gain than was recognized from the accounting gain. Another noteworthy item on this slide is in the quarter, was the nominal mark-to-market gain on the de-designated interest rate swaps compared to a large loss in Q3 of 2011. Another item was an income tax rate of 34% for 2012 compared to a 44% income tax benefit in the previous year. Last year's rate primarily reflects recording a favorable tax return true up adjustment. Year-to-date, our tax rate is 34%, which is a more normal rate for us. The last noteworthy item and an item of key importance is our EBITDA. We achieved $95 million of EBITDA as adjusted during the quarter or an increase of 29% over 2011. Moving to Slide 13. Our total revenue declined in the third quarter compared to 2011. And this was primarily driven by a $9 million decline in our Gas Utilities because of the lower price of natural gas. Excluding the gain on the sale of the Williston Basin assets and the related incentive compensation, our total operating income improves 36% over 2011 driven by improvements in the Electric Utilities, Power Generation and Coal Mining. We are pleased with our progress on cost containment knowing that -- noting that our total O&M expenses declined slightly, driven by sizable increases in our Colorado generation complex and our oil drilling program. These increases were offset by a sizable decrease in our Coal Mining expenses. O&M expenses for the utility segments were basically flat year-over-year. As you will note in our segment roll up of operating income, we've excluded the impact of a capital lease accounting for our Colorado IPP purchase power agreement. This is an intercompany contract between our Power Generation segment and our Electric Utilities segment. Although lease accounting is required for this purchase power agreement at the segment level by Generally Accepted Accounting Principles, it does not affect our consolidated results. So in this presentation, I've displayed the segment performance, excluding the effects of the lease accounting, which I believe provides a clearer view of segments performance. In our consolidating income statement in our earnings release, we've identified the specific elimination entries for this lease. Also as with all non-GAAP displays, we have included reconciliations to the GAAP amounts later in these slides. Moving to Slide 11. We display our Utility segment's revenue and operating income. During the third quarter, our operating income, as adjusted for the Electric Utilities, improved $4.2 million or 13% year-over-year. This reflects the benefits of earning returns on the increased rate base offset by 5.8% lower megawatts sold during the quarter. Although we had 30% increase in cooling degree days, we experienced lower humidity that more than offset the impact of the higher number of cooling degree days. Also as a result of identifying certain power plants for retirement, the quarter benefited from a reduction of a major maintenance expense accrual in the amount of $2.1 million. Moving to Gas Utilities. Our operating income declined by 10% in Q3 compared to 2011. Retail decatherms sold decreased by 5% year-over-year as a result of warmer weather and had the impact of reducing operating income by $500,000 compared to 2011. Our cost-containment efforts kept our O&M expenses flat year-over-year in the third quarter. So if you think about weather impact for the combined Electric and Gas Utilities, it was a net negative for the quarter in 2012 compared to the prior year. The next segment, Power Generation. We saw revenue in operating income as adjustment increased due to the operational commencement of the 200-megawatt generating facility in Colorado. Operating income increased year-over-year by $7 million, was primarily driven by the new power plant. We're pleased with the performance in availability and earnings that we continue to see from our Colorado IPP. Moving to the next segment, Coal Mining. We saw operating income improve by $2.5 million over 2011, primarily driven by the expiration of the train load-out contract that had been producing a loss. Unsold decreased by 29% and the average price increased by 21%. We continued to make progress in reducing our mining costs and the revised mining plan lowered our stripping ratio in the Q3 from 2.5 in 2011 to 1.65 in 2012. Moving to Oil & Gas on Slide 16. We had a busy quarter. As you are aware, we sold our largest producing properties in the Williston Basin, at a price that we consider full value. We recorded the revenue and expense through these properties through the close date, September 27. During the quarter, operating income, excluding the gain on the sale, declined by $1.7 million from 2011. Overall, third quarter production volume increased by 23% compared to 2011 and increased sequentially from the second quarter by 1%. The higher production volume reflects increased oil volume of 86% and increased natural gas volume of 6% compared to 2011 third quarter. From a received pricing standpoint, oil increased by 7% and natural gas declined by 28%. From a cost perspective, our O&M expenses increased by $2.5 million over the prior year, while depletion increased $4.7 million. And this was really driven by the increased production. With the sale of the Williston Basin assets in the quarter, it certainly affects our future earnings. So let me give you some reference points to help you better understand the impact. Margin generated from the Williston assets sold, which is sort of an EBITDA number, is $8 million in the third quarter and $17 million for the Williston assets for the year-to-date. These amounts, as I mentioned, exclude depletion. Moving to our capital structure. Slide 17 shows our current capitalization. At quarter end, our net-debt-to-capitalization ratio was 51% and improved significantly upon the proceeds from the Williston asset sale. With the additional cash on October 31, we redeemed $225 million of the 6.5 per -- 6.5% notes scheduled to mature in May of next year. We were very encouraged in October because both S&P and Moody's improved our credit outlook from stable to positive. Moving on to Slide 18. Earnings guidance in the press release, we reaffirmed our 2012 earnings guidance in the range of $1.90 to $2.10. This is for our EPS as adjusted and excludes special items. We implemented a number of initiatives to improve earnings after a slow start in the first quarter and continued to achieve results. So we expect to be in the upper half of the guidance range assuming normal weather. Achieving the midpoint of our guidance range would result in an 18% year-over-year improvement from 2011. Looking ahead, Slide 19 lifts our primary assumptions that we made regarding our 2013 earnings guidance. Our 2013 projected range earnings per share from continuing operations is $2.20 to $2.40, exclusive of any special items. We've made assumptions about rate case settlements, normal weather, plant availability, oil & gas prices and production rates and other factors. Overall, we expect a slight improvement in operating income in 2012 -- over 2012 and a notable reduction in interest expense, which contributes to the improved EPS as adjusted for 2013. A midpoint-to-midpoint increase in EPS as adjusted would result in a $0.30 increase or a 15% improvement year-over-year. To conclude, we achieved strong financial performance in the third quarter like the improvement that we saw in the Colorado generation in the Coal Mining segments. The Williston Basin asset sale was a huge winner for us and our shareholders. We are encouraged by the increased price of natural gas. It is going up. It was averaged below $3 in the third quarter and we've seen a little higher prices lately. That's certainly encouraging because it has a major impact in our ability to unlock the value in the Mancos Shale properties. So we feel good about the outlook. And with those comments, I will turn it back to Dave.