Earnings Labs

Black Hills Corporation (BKH)

Q2 2008 Earnings Call· Tue, Aug 12, 2008

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Transcript

Operator

Operator

Ladies and gentlemen, thank you for standing by and welcome to the Black Hills Corporation quarterly earnings call. At this time, all participants are in a listen-only mode. Later we will conduct a question-and-answer session. Instructions will be given at that time. (Operator instructions) As a reminder, this conference is being recorded. I would now like to turn the conference over Investor Relations, Mr. Jason Ketchum. Please go ahead.

Jason Ketchum

Management

Thank you, operator. Good morning and welcome to Black Hills second quarter 2008 earnings call. Before we get into the presentation, I would like to refer you to slide two, the forward-looking statements. This presentation includes forward-looking statements as defined by the Securities and Exchange Commission, or SEC. We make these forward-looking statements in reliance on the Safe Harbor protections provided under the Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995. All statements, other than statements of historical facts, included in this presentation that address activities, events or developments that we expect, believe or anticipate will or may occur in the future are forward-looking statements. These forward-looking statements are based on assumptions which we believe are reasonable based on current expectations and projections about future events and industry conditions and trends affecting our business. However, whether actual results and developments will conform to our expectations and predictions is subject to a number of risks and uncertainties that, among other things, could cause actual results to differ materially from those contained in the forward-looking statements, including the risk factors described in Item 1A, Part I of our 2007 Annual Report on Form 10-K filed with the SEC, Item 1A, Part II of our June 30, 2008 Quarterly Report on Form 10-Q, and other reports that we file with the SEC from time to time, and the following. Our ability to obtain adequate cost recovery for our utility operations through regulatory proceedings; to receive favorable rulings in periodic applications to recover costs for fuel, transmission and purchased power in our regulated utilities, and our ability to add power generation assets into our regulatory rate base; our ability to successfully integrate and profitably operate any recent acquisitions; the amount and timing of capital deployment in new investment opportunities or for the repurchase of debt…

David Emery

Management

Thank you, Jason. And welcome everybody this morning. I’m glad you could be with us. As Jason said, we do have a presentation posted and I’ll be following that somewhat. If you don’t have it, I don’t think it will pose a problem, but if you do, at least try to refer to the slide number periodically as I go through our information this morning. With me today is Tony Cleberg, our new Executive Vice President and Chief Financial Officer. We announced Tony’s arrival. He started on July 16th. His appointment as Principal Accounting Officer and Principal Financial Officer is effective today, with him starting after the end of the second quarter didn’t seem appropriate to have him be responsible for second quarter financial results. So I’m finishing those up and then his appointment as our Chief Financial Officer, really responsibility for financial results and other things jointly with me will be effective today. I will ask Tony to say a few words when I’m done here going through our information this morning before I take questions. And then next quarter I’ll anticipate Tony taking a more active role in the earnings call. With that said, there are several things I want to talk about and review today with you second quarter highlights obviously including financial results for the second quarter, I’ll go through those in some detail, particularly related to the discontinued operations of our IPP divestiture, and then also looking forward what we see for future opportunities coming up in the near and longer term future. Finally, then after Tony has a few comments, I’ll take questions. Turning to slide number five, highlights of the second quarter. Several things worth note there. First is we had a good second quarter. We had a couple business segments that were…

Tony Cleberg

Management

Thank you, Dave. Well, I’m excited about joining Black Hills for a number of reasons. One reason is just the change in industry will really create both challenges and opportunities to excel. Another reason is the Aquila acquisition I look forward being part of the team that really levers this integration into a much stronger company. And the last reason I’ll mention today is just I’m joining a team of people who have a strong desire to take this company to a much higher level and really improve the performance. And that’s very appealing to a new CFO. My early focus that Dave has me out looking at the businesses and getting to understand the operational people and gaining insight [ph] into how we make money and how do we use financial information for decision making. One area that recognize as will be a key focus of mine will be just refining our measurements that link the strategies and actions to the shareholder value creation. Our team at Black Hills is very much interested in driving up the stock price. So we need to ensure that our actions really align with that goal. So again, I’m very excited about joining the team here at Black Hills and I look forward to reporting to you in the future. Thank you.

David Emery

Management

Thanks, Tony. I’d be happy to entertain any questions now.

Operator

Operator

Thank you. (Operator instructions) And our first question comes from the line of Lasan Johong with RBC Capital Markets. Please go ahead. Lasan Johong – RBC Capital Markets: Great, thank you. I want to ask a few questions on the E&P capital spending. It’s down about $30 million to looks like $65 million and production continues to lag. And I understand why that’s so in this particular instance, but I want to bring up the issue of divesting this business again. It does seem like a lot of difficulties meeting targets, not necessarily due to Black Hills’ fault but because it’s third-party operated. And there is a lot of volatility involved relative to the underlying assets, the utility assets, and there is potential threat of callback situation at the gas utilities. Why do you want to keep on holding to this asset? Is there something we can do to make this asset more predictable and more attractive to Black Hills shareholders?

David Emery

Management

Hi, Lasan. The primary issue for us, and we’ve talked about this before, is that we believe that the assets that we hold have significant upside opportunity in value there. And the best way to recognize that value as a shareholder is primarily through the drill bit. And we’ve got a group (inaudible) of folks to implement the plan to develop those properties and had a few obviously some delays that we are not particularly pleased with, but still believe overall in the value and the true value creation from a shareholder perspective will be through the development of those properties rather than the divestment of the property. Lasan Johong – RBC Capital Markets: When do you think you might realize on this value, like starting next year you think?

David Emery

Management

Yes, certainly we hope that. As things move forward here, and we get some of these questions I earned out, couple of the properties recently are changing hands on the non-operated side and on the operated side, this gearing up our drilling permit effort. We’ve had delays particularly in the Piceance Basin that we would expect things to start improving going forward. Even now, I mean, we’ve got a fair amount of drilling activity going on and we would expect the production numbers to improve a little bit as the year goes on. We’ve said last quarter that we thought it would be challenging to meet our production numbers in 2007 this year, given the weather and permit delay starts that we have. But I would expect the numbers to improve somewhat from where they stand today. Lasan Johong – RBC Capital Markets: Okay. On the coal side, you said the increased overburden has shut the operating costs up. Is there any other contributing factor, materials, labor? I hear that access to skilled labor is particularly difficult these days.

David Emery

Management

Yes, labor is an issue, not a huge issue for us, but it is an issue. The labor market in Gillette is very, very tight, whether it’s in oil and gas, or coal, or any field up there -- power generation, the labor market is tight. The primary drivers on the cost side though are the overburden expense is a huge one. Obviously diesel costs are up considerably. That one is also a key driver, particularly when you are looking at hauling all that additional overburden that drives up your diesel expenses quite a bit. Things like tires and other materials are up considerably as well. So there are several things. But the primary driver of that is the overburden increase itself. I mean, we are moving a tremendous amount of additional material. Lasan Johong – RBC Capital Markets: Are you able to pass that costs through to ultimate users in terms of their coal price?

David Emery

Management

Yes, it depends on the contract, Lasan. Our utility coal contracts are essentially cost based. And so that does get passed on. We typically true up that calculation on an annual basis and windmills costs are included. The coal sales to the affiliates are based on cost plus a return on investment concept, more of a utility rates type concept. So those costs will be able to be passed on to our utility coal customers. On the other side, some of those costs are able to be passed, some are not. A couple of our larger contracts have a fixed price, but they have an escalator. And those escalators are essentially compositive kind of key cost drivers in our coal mine, which would include things like labor and fuel and materials. And we use annual published indices to calculate how the coal contracts escalate. So there is a little bit of a lag when those costs rise. But the coal price does escalate at a rate that approximates the increase in the cost of mining coal. Lasan Johong – RBC Capital Markets: That’s cool. On the $317 million CapEx plan for ’08, can you give us an update on how much of that is maintenance and how much of that is growth?

David Emery

Management

Well, if you look at the numbers, I’d say the primary growth drivers in there obviously are the Wygen III plant and the oil and gas. And there’s some transmission in the utility, which we’ve talked about those numbers as well. As far as transmission investment, $40 million kind of number for transmission investment. And then the balance of it is more maintenance type CapEx. Lasan Johong – RBC Capital Markets: Okay. So that’s 65 from oil and gas, 40 from trany [ph]. I forgot what the Wygen number was, but those three are your growth CapEx, the rest is maintenance?

David Emery

Management

Yes, for the most part. There are some few minor exceptions to that. I mean, these air-cool condenser projects and a few little things like that. But the majority of the growth capital is in those three items. Lasan Johong – RBC Capital Markets: Okay, great. And you said you’d give updated guidance for mid-September. Are you guys coming out (inaudible) to do that, or is it going to be like there is sort of webcast or how do you intend to do it? Are you going to do some marketing around the new Aquila acquisition?

David Emery

Management

Yes. We intend to do a webcast and conference call to release the initial information and then certainly we’ll plan on a series of meetings with investors and analysts, update people on the benefits of the Aquila acquisition and just our overall plan and plan for growth going forward. Lasan Johong – RBC Capital Markets: Great. Thank you.

Operator

Operator

Thank you. Our next question will come from the line of Gordon Howald with Calyon. Please go ahead. Gordon Howald – Calyon: Hi, thanks guys.

David Emery

Management

Hi, Gordon. Gordon Howald – Calyon: Good morning. Just following up on Lasan’s question here. What portion of E&P production is from operated and what percentage is non-operated? Also since you won’t be purchasing coal assets at this point, would you consider adding more E&P assets? And lastly along that same vein, what’s your policy on hedging and E&P? How could that change given the addition of gas-fired generation in Colorado?

David Emery

Management

Okay. I’ll see if I can remember them all here, Gordon. First on operated and non-operated, we have not previously disclosed what the percentage of operated and non-operated production is. The majority of our production is operated, but we haven’t disclosed specific percentages of that. The potential for additional acquisitions, whether it’s – we are probably not too interested in looking at coal properties, but again it depends on where they are and how they would potentially fit into our operation. But oil and gas acquisitions are always something that we are looking for, but we’ve discussed previously that (inaudible) what I would call open bid real competitive situations. Those typically don’t work very well for us. I mean, we are just not willing to bid the low returns, but some of the bidders in those auctions are willing to bid. So we don’t typically acquire properties through what I’d call an open auction process and usually don’t even bother to try frankly unless we have a – what we think as a real competitive advantage or a real knowledge of the area. We do have an occasional acquisition on the oil and gas side on a negotiated basis if there is properties in an area where we are very familiar with that we can acquire and add value to or there are properties we already have an interest in, which are very excellent adds because you don’t really add any additional costs associated with those. And we are always looking for those. When you are in a price environment where you’ve had real prices, it’s difficult to buy. And certainly when you had real high prices very recently and prices come down like they have, it’s probably even harder to buy because anyone who might be willing to sell remembers that just a few weeks ago they were getting a few bucks more for their gas price. So it’s probably not a real good time to buy right now, but that doesn’t mean there won’t be opportunities and we’ll continue to look for those. Gordon Howald – Calyon: Right. Last question is on hedging –

David Emery

Management

And then on hedging – yes, the hedging piece, we typically try to hedge between 50% and 75% of our gas and crude oil going forward. And we usually hedge it for about a two-year period from the current date. We don’t hedge anything we haven’t drilled yet. So we look at our current production. We forecast the decline rate for that going forward for a couple of years and then we try hedging 50% to 75% of that. And we typically layer those hedges in about a quarter of time. So this quarter we would be hedging two years out for the same quarter typically. So we are layering them in. We are not really trying to really second guess the market as we’re just trying to add some stability to the cash flows there. And we do a combination in – we publish the list of our hedges that we typically do a combination of swaps and quotes. So we can retain a significant portion of the upside, but then also do some swaps to lock in some good prices as well. Gordon Howald – Calyon: Great. That’s excellent quarter. Thank you very much.

David Emery

Management

Yes, thank you.

Operator

Operator

(Operator instructions) And next we’ll go to the line of Mike Worms with BMO. Please go ahead. Mike Worms – BMO: Thank you. Hi, Dave, how are you doing?

David Emery

Management

Great, Mike, how about you? Mike Worms – BMO: Fine, thank you. Two questions. One, can you quantify for us how much the unplanned plant outages impacted earnings in the quarter? How long were those plants out?

David Emery

Management

The outage days are described in the 10-Q, Mike, but both of the plants were pretty small. So I’d say the overall impact on earnings is relatively small. Not – a small impact, but nothing real large. And the days are in the Q, but a couple of them are fairly substantive. I think the Ben French plant (inaudible) immediate to pretty small facility, 20-some megawatts. Mike Worms – BMO: Thank you. And then the other question would be, with regard to oil and gas production numbers, have you revised those numbers now that you are going to be spending some $30 million less than you had planned?

David Emery

Management

As far as planned production goes? Mike Worms – BMO: Yes, for the year.

David Emery

Management

Yes, I know we have not, but we’ve said that when we come out with our updated earnings guidance, we would also refresh any of our other segments in addition to the Aquila properties that we’ve acquired. And so we would anticipate essentially giving new guidance around the whole corporation, including oil and gas and IPP and other things when we come out. We won’t necessarily give the guidance by statement, but we’ll put out the key assumptions, production numbers and prices and things like that. Mike Worms – BMO: Fair enough. Thank you.

David Emery

Management

All right. Thank you.

Operator

Operator

Thank you. And our next question, we’ll go to the line of James Bellessa with D. A. Davidson. Please go ahead. James Bellessa – D. A. Davidson: Dave, hi, Jim Bellessa here.

David Emery

Management

Hi, good morning, Jim. James Bellessa – D. A. Davidson: Say, the production has declined for three quarters in a row. You say in this press release that the production is down due to lower than expected capital spending and then you go on to say that you are lowering your capital spending. At what point do we see production increases from your oil and gas business?

David Emery

Management

Well, several issues. I think one is that we’ve talked about this year we expect to delay. We expect to be challenging to get to last year’s production numbers. But as I said to Lasan, I do expect the production numbers to start improving. And we do have rigs running now and we are seeing some good results in our programs. So I would expect that that number would get a little bit better as we go through the rest of the year and exit the year, and then hopefully next year we can be back and do a little more normal (inaudible) production. That would be our current anticipation. But in answer to Mike’s question, we have not published what we think those numbers will be at this point, but would anticipate doing so when we issue new guidance. James Bellessa – D. A. Davidson: In the Q, you indicated that there was July sales of NOx credits, and I’m wondering if this sale was after the US Court of Appeal has vacated the Bush administration’s Clean Air interstate rule or did you get the high price prior to that rule being overturned?

David Emery

Management

The sale of the credits was before that rule, Jim. But the specific impact that that would have on the price, I really couldn’t say. James Bellessa – D. A. Davidson: Was it just fortunate or did you know the rule is going to get overturned?

David Emery

Management

No, we didn’t know the rule is going to get overturned. I mean, we’ve talked about a couple of those facilities, that one in particular is something that we had taken an impairment charge on last year and we are looking to kind of wind down the operations there. So it made sense to kind of look at anything that we could do to recover some cost to offset the decommissioning cost there, including selling those credits was something that we’ve been looking at for sometime. James Bellessa – D. A. Davidson: Now the year ago second quarter had also transition and integration costs for Aquila in there, is that correct? And so the – you say that, in the Q, the increase in these costs was $1.7 million in the most recent quarter. Can you tell us what the amount was a year ago and then we can figure out how much you’ve spent this year second quarter as well?

David Emery

Management

Well, out of the top of my head, Jim, I couldn’t tell you what we expensed last year. I mean, we’ve had ongoing integration expenses on Aquila since we announced the deal. And lot of the costs pre-close have been capitalized. We really ramped up our expenses in the last six months or so, really after the 1st of the year because we were starting to staff up to take it over. As we talked about in the announcement of the deal and subsequent to that, we had to add significant corporate support group staff to be able to handle additional five utilities because we weren’t getting any of the corporate support groups as part of the transaction. We just got the utility properties and those employees elected to come -- all come to work for us. So we had to add significant corporate staff and then we also needed to add a call center here in Rapid City to support the Aquila utilities. So, starting about January we really were ramping up that hiring to be ready to close and be ready to be fully operational on day one. So the majority of that expense money really would be showing up in the first and second quarters of this year, primarily the second quarter because we were – we essentially had to be ready to close by that March and April 1 time frame. So we had the majority of those people hired and we are training or had them trained already by that point in time. James Bellessa – D. A. Davidson: Should we still anticipate some of these transaction costs will be seen in the third quarter?

David Emery

Management

Yes, I would say for a period of time we’re going to have some expenses in there extra, kind of one time expenses. There is a lot of activity going on. One of the things we’ve talked about is that our longer-term goal is to consolidate customer information systems and accounting financial systems, things like that. Right now we are operating multiple systems in some cases. And that adds a little extra expense for us as we go forward. We would anticipate it over time as we migrate our current utilities and other businesses on to the same platform from both the customer information and accounting systems standpoint that we’ll see some reduction in those costs. But realistically for the rest of this year in particular, you’ll see some added cost there and a little bit of that lingering on into next year. James Bellessa – D. A. Davidson: Thank you very much.

David Emery

Management

Thank you.

Operator

Operator

And next we’ll go to the line of Oliver King of Zimmer Lucas. Your line is open. Oliver King – Zimmer Lucas: Hi guys.

David Emery

Management

Hello, Oliver. Oliver King – Zimmer Lucas: What kind of ROEs are you seeing at your utilities for ’08? And how much (inaudible) purchase power savings are you going to see from Wygen II for 2008?

David Emery

Management

The specifics of our returns aren’t typically disclosed, but we do issue separate financials for Black Hills Power, which you can see what we’ve got there for Black Hills Power. And then Cheyenne Light side, we disclosed what we were allowed to earn in our last rate case, which – that number was a 10.9% return on equity, with 53% or 54% equity component – 54% equity component in it. But we haven’t disclosed the specific standalone financials of Cheyenne. And we haven’t done that for obviously the acquired Aquila utilities either at this point. Oliver King – Zimmer Lucas: Okay. Can you talk about what was allowed in the rate – or what was in the rate case filing in terms of savings from Wygen II coming online?

David Emery

Management

Yes. As far as the savings in fuel and purchase power? Oliver King – Zimmer Lucas: Yes.

David Emery

Management

I don’t recall that number out of the top of my head. Yes, I really don’t. And all of that, of course, is a pass-through to customers anyway. But I don’t recall what that number was. Oliver King – Zimmer Lucas: Okay. And sort of like a longer-term picture, what do you guys target in terms of capital structure and dividend payout ratios?

David Emery

Management

Well, we’ve talked about capital structure. We want to maintain a utility like capital structure, which is basically consistent with maintaining an investment grade credit rating. So you wouldn’t expect to see us with a capital structure much higher than 50-some percent debt. Maybe that’s 3%, 4%, 5% debt somewhere in that range, just kind of depends. But we would anticipate maintaining an overall capital structure consistent with the utility structure. With some of our non-regulated operations being a little more risky from a credit rating agency perspective, we typically tend to be a little bit lower in those ranges than we might otherwise be on a cap structure basis. Oliver King – Zimmer Lucas: Okay. And in terms of dividend payout ratio, where you guys--?

David Emery

Management

Yes. Dividend payout ratio would probably be different going forward than it has been in the past, given our significant increase in utility properties. We’ve said previously in past years, talked about it that we like to maintain payout ratios in that 60% range or less. No, we haven’t talked specifically about it and certainly haven’t mentioned it since we’ve acquired the Aquila utility. So I would say that’s kind of stale information at this point. Oliver King – Zimmer Lucas: Okay. Thank you very much.

David Emery

Management

Thank you.

Operator

Operator

Thank you. And we do have a follow-up from Lasan Johong with RBC Capital Markets. Your line is open. Lasan Johong – RBC Capital Markets: Thank you. Couple quick follow-ups. You had mentioned that in Colorado you are looking to do some renewables. Are we talking wind or something else?

David Emery

Management

Primarily wind. Lasan Johong – RBC Capital Markets: Of 65 megawatts.

David Emery

Management

Yes, that’s the most viable option there. Aquila has a Canon City coal-fired power plant and they are doing a little bit of biomass there, blending it with the coal and getting some credit for that for renewables there. But the majority of it is going to have to be wind. Colorado has a solar requirement, however, as part of their rule. And we just announced here a couple of weeks ago that we worked with Colorado State University in Pueblo to install a one megawatt solar facility there that they are actually installing, but we – part of the solar requirement has to be on the customer side of the meter. And so the addition of that facility will help us meet some of those renewable requirements. And we are investigating some small solar on our side of the meter as well, as that’s part of the mandate in Colorado. Lasan Johong – RBC Capital Markets: Okay. And then, MDU, you said bought about 25% of Wygen III. Did that buy that at cost or did that buy that at a premium to what your bill cost is?

David Emery

Management

Yes. They will be in at cost essentially. Lasan Johong – RBC Capital Markets: Why make that decision, with that [ph] decision that you had no choice in making? Why would you not be able to sell it at a price higher than your cost? Your cost is pretty cheap.

David Emery

Management

Yes, it is really inexpensive compared to what others are paying for coal-fired facilities right now. As I mentioned earlier, Lasan, when we renegotiated our oil requirements power supply contract to serve MDU’s Sheridan, Wyoming load, that was one of the provisions of the contract that they have the right to participate for up to – and I believe it was 25 megawatts of participation in a future power plant that we may build. We originally signed that Sheridan contract back in 1995 and I think it took effect in 1996. And the original version also had an option for them to participate in a future built power plant, and at that point they elected to pass on that. We included the same provision in this renewal of the contract and this time they elected to exercise. Lasan Johong – RBC Capital Markets: I see. Any chance that you can buy that little piece of their business?

David Emery

Management

I’d love to, but I don’t think they want to sell it. But it’s the only electric utility property they have in the western transmission grid. So they don’t have any generation liquids to serve it directly. That’s why we serve it for them on an oil requirement basis. But now with this 25 megawatts of equity ownership, they will be able to serve at least the portion of the base load of that contract with the Wygen III resource. But yes, I mean, we are always looking to acquire additional utilities that fit into our system, but you have to have a willing seller and a willing buyer and that isn’t always the case on this one. Lasan Johong – RBC Capital Markets: Sounds like it would be a good opportunity if you could. Okay, thank you very much.

David Emery

Management

You bet. Thank you, Lasan.

Operator

Operator

(Operator instructions) And at this time, there are no further questions in queue.

David Emery

Management

All right. Well, thank you everybody for being on the call this morning. We appreciate your attendance. We also appreciate your continued interest in Black Hills. Look forward to sometime in the next 30 days or so getting out with updated earnings guidance for ’08 and new guidance for 2009 and letting you know how we are standing with our future plans now that we have acquired the Aquila property. So, thanks for your attendance today, we appreciate it.

Operator

Operator

Thank you. Ladies and gentlemen, this conference will be available for replay after 11.30 AM Mountain Time today through August 19, 2008 at midnight. You may access the AT&T teleconference replay system at any time by dialing 1-800-475-6701 and entering the access code 955981. That number again is 1-800-475-6701 and entering the access code 955981. That does conclude our conference for today. Thank you for your participation and for using the AT&T executive teleconference service. You may now disconnect.