Earnings Labs

The Buckle, Inc. (BKE)

Q3 2018 Earnings Call· Mon, Nov 26, 2018

$55.22

-2.32%

Key Takeaways · AI generated
AI summary not yet generated for this transcript. Generation in progress for older transcripts; check back soon, or browse the full transcript below.

Same-Day

-5.65%

1 Week

-3.88%

1 Month

-6.85%

vs S&P

+0.53%

Transcript

Operator

Operator

Ladies and gentlemen, thank you for standing by. Welcome to the conference call. For today's call, members of Buckle's management on the call today are Dennis Nelson, President and CEO. We have Tom Heacock, Senior Vice President of Finance, Treasurer and CFO; Kelli Molczyk, Vice President of Women's Merchandising; and Bob Carlberg, Senior Vice President of Men's Merchandising. As they review the operating results for the third quarter, which ended November 3, 2018, they would like to reiterate their policy of not giving future sales or earnings guidance and have the following safe harbor statement. Safe harbor statement under the Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995. All forward-looking statements made by the company involve material risks and uncertainties and are subject to change, based on factors which may be beyond the company's control. Accordingly, the company's future performance and financial results may differ materially from those expressed or implied in any such forward-looking statements. Such factors include, but are not limited to, those described in the company's filings with the Securities and Exchange Commission. The company does not undertake to publicly update or revise any forward-looking statements, even if experience or future changes make it clear that any projected results expressed or implied therein will not be realized. Additionally, the company does not authorize the reproduction or dissemination of transcripts or audio recordings of the company's quarterly conference calls without its express written consent. Any unauthorized reproductions or recordings of the call should not be relied upon as the information may be inaccurate. And now I would like to turn the conference over to our host, Mr. Tom Heacock. Please go ahead, sir.

Thomas Heacock

Management

Good afternoon, and thanks for joining us this afternoon. Our November 26, 2018, press release reported a net income for the 13-week third quarter ended November 3, 2018, was $20.5 million, or $0.42 per share on a diluted basis, which compares to net income of $19.9 million, or $0.41 per share on a diluted basis, for the prior year 13-week third quarter that ended on October 28, 2017. Year-to-date net income for the 39-week period ended November 3, 2018, was $54.5 million, or $1.12 per share on a diluted basis, which compares to net income of $47.7 million, or $0.99 per share on a diluted basis, for the prior year 39-week period ended October 28, 2017. Net sales for the 13-week third quarter decreased 4.1% to $215.1 million, compared to net sales of $224.3 million for the prior year 13-week third quarter. Comparable store sales for the 13-week period ended November 3, 2018, decreased 1.4% from comparable store sales for the prior year 13-week period ended November 4, 2017. Online sales for the period increased 8.8% to $25.5 million for the 13-week fiscal period, compared to net sales of $23.4 million for the prior year 13-week fiscal period. Year-to-date net sales decreased 1.8% to $621.1 million for the 39-week fiscal period ended November 3, 2018, compared to net sales of $632.2 million for the prior year 39-week fiscal period, which ended October 28, 2017. Comparable store sales for the year-to-date period were down 1.1% in comparison to the same 39-week period in the prior year, and online sales increased 7.8% to $69.8 million, which compares to net sales of $64.7 million for the prior year 39-week fiscal period. For the quarter, UPTs increased approximately 0.5%. The average unit retail decreased approximately 2%, and the average transaction value decreased about 1.5%.…

Kelli Molczyk

President

Thanks, Tom. I would like to start by highlighting the performance of our women's merchandise categories for the quarter. Women's merchandise sales for the fiscal quarter were down approximately 8.5% against the prior year fiscal quarter. Compared to the same 13-week period a year ago, women's merchandise sales were down approximately 7%. Average denim price points decreased from $81.35 in the third quarter of fiscal 2017 to $74.90 in the third quarter of fiscal 2018. For the quarter, our women's business was approximately 49.5% of net sales, compared to 51% last year, and average women's price points decreased about 4% from $44.45 to $42.75. For the women's business, denim sales continued to be impacted by lower average price points, as we still continue to see shifts in guest preferences to fashion denim at regular price points under $75. Our overall denim inventory was higher at quarter-end, driven by price points of $75 and under as well as planned early receipts of certain other styles. Drivers of new denim purchases for the quarter were alternative inseams in shorter and extended lengths, fashion hemlines, as well as subtle added detailing. For fashion wear, fashion sweaters and soft and cozy simple knits were drivers for sales through the quarter. We also continue to drive unit sales with monthly offerings in our buy more, save more program of knits and sweaters. We saw the impacts of simple and comfortable popular fashion tops trading sales with button-front and synthetic wovens. Our more price point private label brands also helped drive unit sales, while regional buys and outside brands aided in dollar performance for knits and sweaters. Later deliveries in heavier weight outerwear and functional winter footwear paid off as we neared the quarter's end, and we saw a lift to performance in both categories. Similar themes carried over into outerwear and footwear, comfortable fashion that guests are buying and wearing during the same time. We feel comfortable with our inventories in key categories as we move into Q4, and plan to manage a bit more inventory from our warehouse that are capitalized on in-season sales in specific markets. And with that, I'll turn it over to Bob Carlberg, our Senior Vice President of Men's Merchandising, to discuss the performance of our men's merchandise category.

Robert Carlberg

Management

Thanks, Kelli. Men's merchandise sales for the fiscal quarter were down approximately 2% against the prior year fiscal quarter. Compared to the same 13-week period a year ago, men's merchandise sales were up approximately 0.5%. Average denim price points decreased from $85.30 in the third quarter of fiscal 2017 to $82.90 in the third quarter of fiscal 2018. For the quarter, our men's business was approximately 50.5% of net sales, compared to 49% last year, and average men's price points decreased approximately 2%, from $51.50 to $50.40. During the quarter, we saw growth in all categories except long bottoms, sweaters and accessories. The denim response has been good, with unit sales up. However, the lowering of the average retail, as mentioned earlier, took the dollars to a slight decrease. Our private brands, driven by BKE, continue to dominate our denim selection. We are comfortable with the quality and level of our fall/winter product inventories. Overall, markdowns are down, giving us room for adjustments after Thanksgiving, if needed. For our holiday promotions, both our men's and women's business have continued with our practice of giving our guests added value through GWPs. This year, we will start the promotion on -- I'm sorry, we did start the promotion on Thanksgiving, or the day after if the store was not opening. Participating brands are BKE, Gimmicks, American Fighter, Oakley and Rock Revival, in addition to our Buckle credit card. As we did for the first time last year, the Oakley and Rock Revival GWPs are gift cards redeemable after Christmas, which will give us a boost in January. Further, we have increased our buy more, save more product on the floor, which is planned with no impact to merchandise margins. Now turning to results on a combined basis. Accessory sales for the fiscal quarter were down approximately 7.5% against the same 13-week period a year ago, while footwear sales were up about 2.5%. These 2 categories accounted for approximately 8% and 7%, respectively, of third quarter net sales, which compares to 8.5% and 6.5% for each in the third quarter of fiscal 2017. Average accessory price points were down approximately 3%, and average footwear price points were up approximately 3.5%. Again, on a combined basis for the quarter, denim accounted for approximately 43% of sales and tops accounted for approximately 34.5%, which compares to 43.5% and 34% for each in the third quarter of fiscal 2017. Our mix of private label product increased during the quarter, representing just under 40% of net sales. And with that, we welcome your questions.

Operator

Operator

[Operator Instructions] Our first question, from the line of Tiffany Kanaga with Deutsche Bank.

Tiffany Kanaga

Analyst · Deutsche Bank

I know you touched on it a little, but would you dig into your inventory position for us, which caught our eye, being up almost 13% year-over-year despite negative sales growth? In particular, how does the inventory position shape your expectations for merchandise margin in the fourth quarter, especially as we're going up against a tough compare on that front?

Dennis Nelson

Analyst · Deutsche Bank

Thank you, Tiffany. The way we planned inventory this year is we felt we were low in our inventory last year in both guy's and gal's denim, so that's a big part of our increase, as well as knits, which is a key category for us. So we planned that. Also, the timing of the month, I think, had some effect on it, but we have quite a few new receipts. And I think if we look, even though inventory's up 13%, it was over a smaller number a year ago. Like 2 years ago, I think we were actually $3 million higher than this particular inventory. We feel good about our key groups and feel margins will be good, but we'll just have to see how the next 8 weeks proceed.

Tiffany Kanaga

Analyst · Deutsche Bank

All right. And if I could get one more, we've noticed some deeper discounts for Buckle's Black Friday this year. Can you comment on your promotional strategy for holiday beyond what you've already said around the GWPs, and what you're seeing in the mall overall?

Dennis Nelson

Analyst · Deutsche Bank

Well, we did a little additional on some of our sale groups. It seems like our third and half off groups needed a little extra attention. People don't seem to shop us for sale, so we wanted to kind of make an extra point there to help clear out some of the older product that way. And it seems like there's more discounting in the malls as well.

Operator

Operator

Our next question, from the line of Steve Marotta with CL King & Associates.

Steven Marotta

Analyst · CL King & Associates

Could you comment, please, on the denim AURs? It remains under pressure. Can you talk a little bit about when you think that the merchandise mix within your stores will either begin to be flat on a denim AUR basis year-over-year or perhaps increase as well?

Dennis Nelson

Analyst · CL King & Associates

I think for the fourth quarter, we would still see them down in the single digit, especially in ladies, maybe leveling out on the men's. A lot of that is driven by the -- what's going on with the brands and the demand of our guests. And a lot of the fashion and styling that's working right now is at the lower price points from when we had a lot of the brands that were $100-plus. And so we kind of see the fourth quarter being similar to the third quarter for this season.

Steven Marotta

Analyst · CL King & Associates

But down a little bit year-over-year, you're saying.

Dennis Nelson

Analyst · CL King & Associates

Do you have fourth quarter of last year? I...

Steven Marotta

Analyst · CL King & Associates

Not off the top of my head, no.

Dennis Nelson

Analyst · CL King & Associates

Yes. I was comparing it to what we just reported on third quarter, thinking those numbers would be similar. We'd have to get that information for you.

Steven Marotta

Analyst · CL King & Associates

That too, okay. And my last question has to do with store footprint at roughly 453 stores. Are you comfortable with that level? I assume it probably won't drift upward very much. Would it drift downward? Can you talk a little bit about how you think about your store footprint, given the digital, omnichannel age we live in?

Dennis Nelson

Analyst · CL King & Associates

We think we're pretty close. We might have a couple more closings at the end of the year. We have to review that yet. But we continue to look at prime areas that we feel the economics make sense and what's going on right now. But we continue to look at opportunities as they come up.

Operator

Operator

[Operator Instructions] I have no additional questions at this time, so please continue.

Thomas Heacock

Management

There's no additional questions. We don't need to keep everybody today. We can wrap it up and be quick and let everyone get on with their day. So thank you very much for your participation, and have a great week and a wonderful holiday.

Operator

Operator

Thank you. Ladies and gentlemen, this will conclude our teleconference for today. We thank you for your participation and for using AT&T Executive TeleConference Service. You may now disconnect.