Earnings Labs

The Buckle, Inc. (BKE)

Q3 2017 Earnings Call· Fri, Nov 17, 2017

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Transcript

Operator

Operator

Ladies and gentlemen, thank you for standing by, and welcome to the third quarter earnings release conference call. [Operator Instructions] As a reminder, today's call is being recorded. Members of Buckle's management on the call today are Dennis Nelson, President and CEO; Tom Heacock, Vice President of Finance, Treasurer and CFO; Kelli Molczyk, Vice President of Women's Merchandising; Bob Carlberg, Senior Vice President of Men's Merchandising; and Kyle Hanson, Vice President, General Counsel and Corporate Secretary. As they review the operating results for the third quarter, which ended on October 28, 2017, they would like to reiterate their policy of not giving future sales or earnings guidance and have the following safe harbor statement. Safe harbor statement under the Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995: All forward-looking statements made by the company involve material risks and uncertainties and are subject to change based on factors, which may be beyond the company's control. Accordingly, the company's future performance and financial results may differ materially from those expressed or implied in any such forward-looking statements. Such factors include, but are not limited to, those described in the company's filings under the Securities and Exchange Commission. The company does not undertake to publicly update or revise any forward-looking statements even if experience of -- or future changes make it clear that any projected results expressed or implied therein will not be realized. Additionally, the company does not authorize the reproduction or dissemination of transcripts or audio recordings of the company's quarterly conference calls without its expressed written consent. Any unauthorized reproductions or recordings of the call should not be relied upon as the information may be inaccurate. I would now like to turn the conference over to our host, Mr. Tom Heacock. Please go ahead.

Thomas Heacock

Management

Good morning, and thanks for joining us this morning. Our November 17, 2017, press release reported a net income for the 13-week third quarter ended October 28, 2017, was $19.9 million or $0.41 per share on diluted basis, which compares to net income of $23.4 million or $0.48 per share on diluted basis for the prior year 13-week third quarter, which ended on October 29, 2016. Year-to-date, net income for the 39-week period ended October 28, 2017, was $47.7 million or $0.99 per share on a diluted basis, which compares to net income of $62 million or $1.28 per share on a diluted basis for the prior year 39-week period ended October 29, 2016. Net sales for the 13-week third quarter decreased 6.2% to $224.3 million compared to net sales of $239.2 million for the prior year 13-week third quarter. Comparable store sales for the quarter were down 5.9% in comparison to the same 13-week period in the prior year, and our online sales decreased 1.2% to $23.4 million. Year-to-date net sales decreased 9% to $632.2 million for the 39-week fiscal period ended October 28, 2017, compared to net sales of $694.9 million for the prior year 39-week fiscal period ended October 29, 2016. Comparable store sales for the year-to-date period were down 8.8% in comparison to the same 39-week period in the prior year, and online sales decreased 4.3% to $64.7 million. For both the quarter and year-to-date periods, UPTs increased approximately 2.5%; the average unit retail decreased approximately 6.5%; and the average transaction value decreased approximately 4%. Gross margin for the quarter was 40.5%, even with the third quarter of last year. Despite deleveraged occupancy, buying and distribution expenses resulting from the comparable store sales decline, gross margin was flat year-over-year due a 55 basis point improvement in…

Robert Carlberg

Management

Good morning, everyone. I'd like to start by highlighting the performance of our men's merchandise categories for the quarter. Men's merchandise sales for the quarter were down approximately 0.5%. Average denim price points decreased from $89.15 in the third quarter of fiscal 2016 to $85.30 in the third quarter of fiscal 2017. For the quarter, our men's business was approximately 49% of net sales compared to 46% last year. And average men's price points decreased approximately 6.5% from $55 to $51.50. Knits, accessories, footwear and youth all grew in dollars as well as units for men's Q3. In knits, our 2-for price points [launched] new screen prints, and new brands performed well. For accessories, glasses, fragrance, socks, boxers and hats were drivers. In youth, it was denim and short-sleeved tees, which led to the increase. Denim and button fronts have stabilized and finished close to flat. Sweaters and outerwear continue to move later into the season and become more of a Q4 business. For both men's and women's, we will anniversary our GWP program for Thanksgiving specials to reward guests. We're encouraged by the trends we're seeing across several categories and excited about the potential moving into Q4 and holiday. And with that, I'll turn it over to Kelli Molczyk, Vice President of Women's Merchandising, to discuss the performance of our women's merchandise categories.

Kelli Molczyk

President

Thanks, Bob. Women's merchandise sales for the quarter were down approximately 11.5%. Average denim price points decreased from $87.20 in the third quarter of fiscal 2016 to $81.35 in the third quarter of fiscal 2017. For the quarter, our women's business was approximately 51% of net sales compared to 54% last year. And the average women's price point decreased approximately 6% from $47.35 to $44.45. In regards to denim, our total denim inventory as well as our inventory in markdown denim remained down from a year ago. However, our denim inventory position in sales improved as we progressed through the quarter. Our denim inventory mix has continued to shift to more entry-level price point brands ranging from $40 to $70. Positive responses in Q3 were centered around comfort fabric, a variety of finishes and the expansion of signature fits. For footwear, we saw a nice response to our expansion in our quality footwear selection by introducing tests from Sorel for select stores and expanding our tests from brands, such as UGG and Timberland. We saw a resurgence in our lifetime leather category as well as continued success in our casual shoe and boot assortment. With the strategic approach in pushing back the release of our heavier fall categories, such as sweaters and outerwears, in Q3, we saw a nice reaction consistently through the quarter. For sweaters, we saw gains in sales throughout the quarter. And for outerwear, the majority of our heavyweight mix arrived at the very end of the quarter, impacting our quarter result. We did, however, see increases as the quarter progressed as we continue to focus on consistent flow of buy now, wear now third layer options. The newness continues to be well received by our stores and guests as the quarter's strength centered around casual comfort, value pieces and competitively priced goods. Important to also note the continued growth in our dress, romper and skirt categories, although still a small part of the business. Based on our current inventory levels and planned receipts, we believe we are well positioned heading into the holiday season. On a combined basis, accessory sales for the quarter were down approximately 5.5%, while footwear sales were down 3.5%. These 2 categories accounted for approximately 8.5% and 6.5%, respectively, of our third quarter net sales, which compares to 8.5% and 6% for each in the third quarter of fiscal 2016. Average accessory price points were up approximately 1.5%, and average footwear price points were down approximately 5%. Again, on a combined basis for the quarter, denim accounted for approximately 43.5% of sales, and tops accounted for approximately 34%, which compares to 45% and 32% for each in the third quarter of fiscal 2016. Our private label business continues to grow and represented approximately 38% of sales. And with that, we welcome your questions.

Operator

Operator

[Operator Instructions] Our first question comes from the line of Tiffany Kanaga with Deutsche Bank.

Tiffany Kanaga

Analyst · Deutsche Bank

We just heard from Abercrombie, which is seeing second half gross margin declines much deeper than expected, and you're rolling off the favorable compares to the loyalty program, while your gross margin increases over the past 2 quarters have certainly been impressive. Do you think you can continue to drive increases, especially in what looks to be a potentially more promotional holiday season in the mall and as you're still seeing mid-single-digit apparel price point declines? Additionally, what do you see as the time frame until we can expect price point stabilization?

Dennis Nelson

Analyst · Deutsche Bank

Well, we feel good about our inventory at this point. So we would feel that the margins, that we can continue to do well there. At price points, I think we'll probably -- could be the start of summer for the ladies, to have the price points level out; and in the men's denim area, might even be into the second quarter.

Tiffany Kanaga

Analyst · Deutsche Bank

And as a follow-up question, the tick up in private label penetration was a change from prior trends. Can you talk about any shift in strategy there? And if there are particular categories where you're seeing the penetration increase?

Dennis Nelson

Analyst · Deutsche Bank

Bob, do you want to handle that for men's?

Robert Carlberg

Management

Sure. What we've done is we've built extra private brands to make sure that we are able to address any lifestyle. And so 2 years ago, we added Departwest, which has become somewhat of an introductory price point in fashion for us. And we introduced Outpost, which is the finer fabrics and a little bit more expensive to go along with the Reclaim BKE and Buckle Black that we have. There were holes in both of those places, both on a nationally branded side and even within our own private brand, so I think that was the key determinant of our growth in the private label side. And both of those bands are full departmental brands, so they include everything from footwear to beanies.

Dennis Nelson

Analyst · Deutsche Bank

Kelli, do you have some?

Kelli Molczyk

President

I'd say very similar on the women's side. We build private label brands around categories or product that we don't find in the market. And we continue to build labels around looks or categories that we wouldn't find elsewhere.

Dennis Nelson

Analyst · Deutsche Bank

And I believe our BKE brands, on both the men's and women's, continue to do very nicely as -- in helping that growth in private label.

Tiffany Kanaga

Analyst · Deutsche Bank

Do you have any sort of breakdown in private label growth trends in the quarter versus branded?

Thomas Heacock

Management

No, that's something that we've never given out, just the percentage of the business.

Operator

Operator

[Operator Instructions] And our next question comes from the line of Jarrod Edelen with South Dakota Investments .

Jarrod Edelen

Analyst · Jarrod Edelen with South Dakota Investments

Can you talk about any geographic areas where you're seeing either strength or weakness? And any change in that year-over-year?

Dennis Nelson

Analyst · Jarrod Edelen with South Dakota Investments

Thank you, Jarrod. For the most part, we are -- just continue to see strength in our western stores and improvement through certain Midwest stores. But a lot of it is dependent on the store managers and their teams, and how they're developing. So I wouldn't be able to call out like a certain region that is a total region is being affected by business. But it's kind of on a case-by-case basis.

Operator

Operator

[Operator Instructions] And there are no questions from the phone at this time.

Thomas Heacock

Management

Okay. There's no additional questions there, we can wrap it up and we can be quick today. Thanks, everyone, for your participation, and have a happy Thanksgiving.

Operator

Operator

Ladies and gentlemen, this conference will be available for replay after 10:30 a.m. today through 11:59 p.m. on December 1, 2017. You may access the AT&T teleconference replay system at any time by dialing 1 (800) 475-6701, and entering the access code 432975. International participants may dial (320) 365-3844. That does conclude our conference for today. Thank you for your participation and for using AT&T Executive TeleConference. You may now disconnect.