Ivica Krolo
Analyst · Ed Aubin with Morgan Stanley
Thanks, Oliver. I'm happy to share with you the details of Birkenstock's performance for the second quarter of fiscal 2026, which met our expectations despite the headwinds Oliver already mentioned. We generated second quarter revenues of EUR 618 million, growth of 8% on a reported basis. Growth in constant currency was 14%. The strong depreciation of the U.S. dollar, Canadian dollar and Asian currencies compared to the second quarter of 2025 caused a 640 basis point headwind to revenue growth in the quarter. For reference, in the second quarter of 2026, the average euro to U.S. dollar rate was $1.17, up from $1.05 in Q2 of fiscal 2025. We saw strong growth across all segments in the quarter. The Americas segment was up 14% in constant currencies, reflecting continuing strength in our most developed market. EMEA was up 11% and APAC up 30% in constant currency. As Oliver mentioned, we estimate the impact of the war in the Middle East was about 300 basis points to EMEA growth or about 100 basis points to consolidated growth. By channel for the year, B2B was up 15% in constant currency on the back of continued strong demand at our key partners and D2C is sustaining double-digit growth, up 12% in constant currency. We are still seeing stronger growth in our B2B channel compared to D2C as consumers, especially our newest younger consumers prefer to shop in store. At the same time, our digital business remains a positive contributor to growth, and we are taking measures to drive strong digital growth in the future. Our own retail business was very strong, up over 60% year-over-year in constant currency. We added 5 new doors. Same-store sales growth accelerated from Q1 and was up double digits. Gross profit margin for the second quarter was 53.9%, down 380 basis points year-over-year. Adjusted gross profit margin, including the reversal of distributor markup associated with the acquisition of our Australian distribution partner was 54.6%, down 310 basis points. Adjusted gross profit margin, excluding 230 basis points of pressure from FX and 90 basis points of pressure from incremental U.S. tariffs, was up 10 basis points year-over-year. Selling and distribution expenses were EUR 138 million in the second quarter, representing 22.4% of revenue. This was up 40 basis points from the prior year. General and administration expenses were EUR 33 million or 5.3% of revenue, down 30 basis points year-over-year. Adjusted EBITDA in the second quarter of EUR 198 million was down 1% year-over-year, primarily due to tariffs and currency translation impacts. The flow-through of FX effects reduced adjusted EBITDA by EUR 27 million. Excluding this FX impact, EBITDA was up 13%. Adjusted EBITDA margin of 32.1% was down 270 basis points year-over-year. Excluding the FX and tariff impacts, adjusted EBITDA margin would have been up 60 basis points to 35.4%. Adjusted net profit of EUR 93 million in the second quarter was down 10% year-over-year. Adjusted EPS for Q2 was EUR 0.50, down 9% from EUR 0.55 a year ago. Adjusted net profit and adjusted EPS were negatively impacted by FX translation of EUR 17 million or EUR 0.09, respectively, and by a EUR 15 million onetime noncash expense or EUR 0.08 per share from the change in valuation of the embedded derivative in our senior notes. We generated EUR 29 million in operating cash compared to the use of EUR 18 million in Q2 2025. We ended the quarter with cash and cash equivalents of EUR 201 million. Our inventory to sales ratio was 39% in the quarter, up from 36% a year ago. The primary reason is due to FX. While our inventory is largely euro-based, LTM sales are negatively impacted by the depreciation of the U.S. dollar and other currencies. On a currency-neutral basis, our inventory to sales ratio was 37%. The increase from 36% last year is largely driven by increased work in progress as we increased preproduction of semi-finished goods, especially in clogs to reduce the bottleneck we have faced in final assembly. Inventory level was also impacted by the increase of capitalized tariffs. Our DSO for the quarter were a healthy 49 days, up from 46 days a year ago, primarily due to the higher B2B mix and timing of large shipments that occurred later in the quarter. During the quarter, we spent EUR 21 million in CapEx, adding to our production capacity in Arouca, Gorlitz, [ Stroth ] and Pasewalk?and beginning the build-out of Wittichenau. And finally, continuing our investments in retail and IT. Our net leverage was 1.7x as of March 31, 2026, up from 1.5x at September 30, 2025, due to normal cash seasonality. Turning to our outlook for the remainder of fiscal 2026. In both the third and the fourth quarters, we expect revenue growth in constant currency within our annual guidance of 13% to 15%. We expect to experience less headwind from FX in Q3 and expect FX to be relatively neutral in Q4. At the [ $1.17 ] euro to U.S. dollar rate, which our annual guidance is based on, we expect approximately 200 basis points of headwind to reported revenue growth in Q3 and almost no difference between reported and constant currency growth in Q4. On margin for Q3 and Q4, we expect tariffs to have a similar impact on gross margin and EBITDA margin in Q3 of about 100 basis points. In Q4, the impact will be around 50 basis points. FX pressure should be around 60 basis points in Q3 and neutral in Q4. Our business is remarkably resilient, and we are confident we will be able to meet our fiscal 2026 guidance despite the additional headwinds from the Middle East war, inflation, increased tariffs and persistent FX pressures. We are reiterating our guidance for 2026 for constant currency revenue growth of 13% to 15%. The FX headwind to revenue growth should be about 350 basis points for the full year, resulting in reported revenue growth of 10% to 12% to EUR 2.3 billion to EUR 2.35 billion. This assumes an average euro to U.S. dollar exchange rate of $1.17. We expect adjusted gross margin of 57% to 57.5% in fiscal 2026, inclusive of the 200 basis points of pressure from FX and U.S. tariffs combined. We expect adjusted EBITDA of at least EUR 700 million for the year, implying an adjusted EBITDA margin of 30% to 30.5%, inclusive of the 200 basis points pressure from FX and tariffs. Our expected tax rate is 26% to 28%. Adjusted EPS is expected to be EUR 1.90 to EUR 2.05, including approximately EUR 0.15 to EUR 0.20 of pressure from FX. This does not include the impact of any additional share repurchase. We remind you that we intend to repurchase share for a total consideration of $200 million during fiscal 2026, subject to market conditions. Capital expenditures should be in the range of EUR 110 million to EUR 130 million. We have a net leverage target for the end of fiscal 2026 of 1.3 to 1.4x, excluding the impact of any additional share repurchases. With that, I'll turn it back to Oliver to close.