Earnings Labs

Brookfield Infrastructure Partners L.P. (BIP)

Q3 2019 Earnings Call· Thu, Nov 7, 2019

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Transcript

Operator

Operator

Good day, ladies and gentlemen and welcome to the Brookfield Infrastructure’s Third Quarter Conference Call. At this time, all participants are in a listen-only mode. Later, we will conduct a question-and-answer session and instructions will follow at that time. [Operator Instructions] As a reminder, this call may be recorded.I would now like to introduce your host for today’s conference, Melissa Low, you may begin.

Melissa Low

Analyst

Thank you, operator and good morning. Thank you all for joining us for Brookfield Infrastructure Partners’ third quarter earnings conference call for 2019. On the call today is Bahir Manios, our Chief Financial Officer; Sam Pollock, Chief Executive Officer; and Ben Vaughan, our Chief Operating Officer. Following the remarks, we look forward to taking your questions and comments.At this time, I’d like to remind you that in responding to questions and in talking about our growth initiatives and our financial reporting and operating performance, we may make forward-looking statements.These statements are subject to known and unknown risks, and future results may differ materially. For further information on known risk factors, I would encourage you to review our Annual Report on Form 20-F, which is available on our website.With that, I’d like to turn the call over to Bahir.

Bahir Manios

Analyst

Great, thank you, Melissa and good morning, everyone. I’m pleased this morning to discuss our results of operations for the third quarter of 2019 and also provide a quick update on our funding plan, including the latest phase of our capital recycling program and liquidity position.So our operations performed well in the third quarter, generating funds from operations or FFO of $338 million on a per unit basis FFO was $0.82, representing a 15% increase over the third quarter of 2018.Results this quarter continued to benefit from strong organic growth of 9% with solid performance in each one of our operating segments. And that was driven by inflation indexation, additional volumes going through our networks and almost $700 million of new capital projects that were commissioned into earnings over the past 12 months. In addition to the good underlying performance in each of our segments, we also benefited from solid contribution from the $1.7 of capital that we put to work over the past 12 months.As these new investments were primarily funded with proceeds from the recycling of mature, de-risked assets, our FFO included an incremental contribution of $22 million in the quarter. Our results for the quarter also benefited by $9 million from improved hedge rates on our FFO, compared to the prior year, which more than offset the impact of a weaker Brazilian real.Now, I’ll take you through results for each one of our segments. Firstly, FFO from our utilities segment totaled $145 million for the quarter, compared to $130 million in the prior year. This segment delivered 9% organic growth, arising from $300 million of projects that were commissioned into rate base in the last year, inflation-indexation across our portfolio and continued strength in connections activity at our UK regulated distribution business.In September, our UK regulated distribution…

Sam Pollock

Analyst

Thank you, Bahir and good morning, everyone. For my remarks today, I’ll provide an updated on some recent investment initiatives and I’ll give an outlook for the business. Before I do that though, I want to briefly recap our recent announcement to establish Brookfield Infrastructure Corporation of what I’ll refer to going forward as BIPC.Despite having a unique asset base and an attractive financial profile, we have come across many investors that are unable to own units in our business as a result of our limited partnership structure. To address this issue, we decide that we would launch BIPC which will provide investors with an alternative way to gain exposure to our global infrastructure business.BIPC will be established as a publicly listed Canadian corporation upon receipt of various regulatory approvals. We tend to list BIPC shares on the New York and Toronto Stock Exchanges. Now for those of you who are unable to listen to our Investor Day presentation, this is how BIPC works.The corporation will be created by a way of a special distribution that will be analogous to a unit split. We currently anticipate that BIP unitholders will receive one share of BIPC for every nine units of BIP held on the record date in respect of its special distribution. On a go forward basis, investors will have the option of buying a BIP LP unit or a BIPC share.BIPC shares will be structured with the intention of being economically equivalent to BIP units, with identical distributions and the ability to exchange BIPC shares into BIP units at any time. We expect the initial market capitalization of BIPC to be approximately $2 billion, and the transaction is being structured on a tax-free basis to both Canadian and US unitholders. The aggregate market capitalization of Brookfield Infrastructure should be…

Operator

Operator

Thank you. [Operator Instructions] Our first question comes from Cherilyn Radbourne with TD Securities. Your line is now open.

Cherilyn Radbourne

Analyst

Thanks very much, and good morning. I wanted to start with a question on BIPC. It sounds like the launch is progressing well. And one of the questions we get from investors is, how the initial $2 billion float might grow in size over time. So maybe you can talk about that.

Sam Pollock

Analyst

Hi, Cherilyn. Maybe I’ll start, but Bahir is closer to a lot of the mechanics and maybe I’ll have him just add anything if I missed anything. But you’re correct, we expect the initial market capitalization to be about the $2 billion. I think the opportunities to increase that really relate to additional cost base we have in the company, and our ability to do follow-on distributions to investors.We also will have our opportunities to issue new units in the future, whether that as part of transactions or as part of just new capital raises. So I’d say those are the primary ways that will see the scale of BIPC’s market cap growing and still growing. There are other things that we’re looking at, which are probably a little premature to get into. But there may be other things to do as well.

Cherilyn Radbourne

Analyst

Great and then on the Brazilian electricity transmission business, we haven’t talked about that in a while. Can you remind us how much capital should ultimately go into that build-out and how we should think about the cadence of FFO ramping up over the next three years?

Bahir Manios

Analyst

Hi, Cherilyn it’s Bahir. Maybe I’ll tackle that one and give you all the numbers and maybe Ben Vaughan might want to add some color. But to-date, we’ve spent about $230 million of capital, about $60 million of that it was the equity, BIP’s equity portion. And we’ll probably have about another $100 million to go to complete the build-out. And that would be BIP’s portion.In addition to that, we’re always – we probably will buyout our partners’ interest, you would have seen in the quarter we bought out that our partners’ interest in the second operating line, albeit that was pretty small in the grand scheme of things. As the business grows, that component is going to grow as well and it’s going to be about $200 million. So when all said and done, BIP would probably spend anywhere between $400 million to $500 million in that business.And as far as the run rate FFO in that business, it will probably be – probably about $60 million, if I have all my numbers straight, today the contribution is pretty small, but a lot of that is back-end loaded, Cherilyn comes into 2022. Yeah, I’d say 60% of that number comes actually in 2022 and the rest is more done on a staggered basis.

Cherilyn Radbourne

Analyst

Great, that’s helpful. And that’s my two questions. Thanks.

Sam Pollock

Analyst

Thanks, Cherilyn.

Operator

Operator

My next question comes from Robert Kwan with RBC. Your line is now open.

Robert Kwan

Analyst · RBC. Your line is now open.

Great, good morning. Actually if I can just follow-up on that, Bahir, so $60 million of FFO on $400 million to $500 million of total investment. Is that correct?

Bahir Manios

Analyst · RBC. Your line is now open.

That’s correct, Robert. Yeah.

Sam Pollock

Analyst · RBC. Your line is now open.

Yeah, I’d probably say $60 million on $400 million.

Bahir Manios

Analyst · RBC. Your line is now open.

Yeah, just about right.

Robert Kwan

Analyst · RBC. Your line is now open.

Okay, so 15% kind of FFO yield, okay. You also talked about in the New Zealand business, number of things that you’re doing to kind of improve margins and you mentioned significant improvement. I’m just wondering kind of similar, are you able to quantify how big that could be as well as just the types of things that you’re doing?

Bahir Manios

Analyst · RBC. Your line is now open.

Hi, Robert, I’ll start and others might chime in. So our going in FFO yield in that business will probably be in the mid double-digits after maintenance CapEx is on more looking at this number on an AFFO basis that’ll be in the high single-digits.There’s going to be a number of margin improvement programs that we’re going to be executing actually in the next 12 months to 24 months. I think at this stage we’ll probably refrain from describing totally what they are, but that should take our AFFO yield into the 11% to 12% range within the next two years. I think as we progress the various plans there, we’ll have some more color to add and it’s exactly what we’re going to be doing there, and so we look forward to updating you in the subsequent quarters on that.

Robert Kwan

Analyst · RBC. Your line is now open.

Great, okay. And if I can just finish, turning to the Australian rail business. Can you just talk about some developments down there, things that are going on, you can touch on the grain side of things as well and whether there maybe some capital associated with maybe more grain?

Ben Vaughan

Analyst · RBC. Your line is now open.

Yeah, Robert it’s Ben speaking, I can touch on that. Yeah, the Australian rail business is going well. On the grain side, we have a new contract in place with our CBH, which is our major grain client down there, and we expect volumes to be very consistent and grow modestly over time as they have for many years.And in fact, our arrangement with them going forward includes, I think good pricing, but also a contribution to the capital to maintain the tracks. And so we don’t expect anything other than sort of a steadily appreciating flow of grains on the rail and sort of a growing relationship over time with the grain holders.

Sam Pollock

Analyst · RBC. Your line is now open.

Maybe the only thing I’ll add. I’ll just add two comments to what both, Bahir and Ben mentioned. On Vodafone, the nature of the initial efforts underway really are in relation that you expect with a corporate carve out, where we’re eliminating a number of the corporate costs and transition arrangements that we have in place with Vodafone. And so there will be, we think some initial low-hanging fruit to do that and establish as a standalone company.And then in relation to the rail business, Ben mentioned that the grain side, which we’re very pleased to move forward with the co-op down there and strengthen our relationship with them and just grow and move grain very efficiently for all the farmers, but probably the opportunities that are most meaningful these days relate to just some of the iron ore mining companies that continue to look for opportunities to increase production.We have a couple of customers who have – initiatives underway, and today, most of the contracts we’re signing with people tend to be on the shorter-term side. We haven’t seen someone commit for 10-plus years, but we are signing two-year and three-year contracts for higher volumes, which again, is all positive for the business.

Robert Kwan

Analyst · RBC. Your line is now open.

Great, actually that’s a great color, Sam. Just on some of those contracts, are those just using existing capacity on the lines? And if it is deploying capital, how do you think about that given the shorter contracts and just some of the history you’ve had around iron ore movement?

Sam Pollock

Analyst · RBC. Your line is now open.

Yeah. So that’s a great question and that really comes down to the nature of the negotiations that we have with our customers. To the extent that, we can just invest modestly to manage the additional tonnage, then it’s an easier discussion, and those are being done to the extent that, some of them are looking for larger investments from us, then that’s when we are looking for longer-term contracts in place or other financial assurances in order to get those deals done. So today, most of them have done on the shorter-term minimal capital involved, but we are hopeful that we can do some longer-term contracts that might involve us deploying some capital.

Robert Kwan

Analyst · RBC. Your line is now open.

Perfect. Great, thank you.

Operator

Operator

Our next question comes from Rupert Merer with National Bank Financial. Your line is now open.

Rupert Merer

Analyst · National Bank Financial. Your line is now open.

Good morning.

Sam Pollock

Analyst · National Bank Financial. Your line is now open.

Good morning, Rupert.

Rupert Merer

Analyst · National Bank Financial. Your line is now open.

I have a couple of high level questions on the economic outlook. First, it looks like we could have some positive news on trade disputes this morning with a potential rollback of tariffs. I think you’ve said in the past that you’ve seen a limited impact from trade disputes on your logistics business. Is that still the case or do you think you could see some direct visible benefits from a reduction of tariffs?

Sam Pollock

Analyst · National Bank Financial. Your line is now open.

Maybe I’ll start and then Ben or Bahir might chime in as well. Yeah, I would say for most of our businesses, they’re not impacted directly by some of these trade situations. But there are regions where some of the reductions in overall global trade might impact our businesses on a longer-term basis.So today, probably the two countries where we have the biggest logistics investments would be in Brazil and Australia. In Brazil, it’s more of an agricultural story, so depending on how the US-China trade war plays out that can either be very, very positive for Brazil or it could be kind of neutral, depending on if agriculture volumes decline in the US. So that’s one factor.In Australia, the Australian economy is really dependent on how well China does, and to the extent that China is negatively impacted by these trade wars with the US, then, it has sort of a bit of a reverberating impact on the outlook for Australia.Today, our businesses there are a little slower than we’ve seen in the past. I mean, Australia has been the success story in the last 25 years, and it’s still doing fairly well, all things considered, but that’s something we watch out for is just what happens to that region because of the impact of China.

Rupert Merer

Analyst · National Bank Financial. Your line is now open.

All right, very good and thanks for the color. And secondly, on the Investor Day you highlighted that you’re well positioned in the event of a global economic downturn. Just wondering how your view on the global economy is informing your decision-making process for the timing of investments? And can you give a little bit of color on the pipeline of opportunities today and what your thoughts are about investing in this climate?

Sam Pollock

Analyst · National Bank Financial. Your line is now open.

Okay, maybe I’ll jump in here as well. So look, I think we’re somewhat agnostic as to whether or not we’re investing into weaker or stronger economic conditions, because we tend to take those into account in all our underwritings. What we typically look for and probably the most important factor that affects the pace and posture of our investment program is the scarcity of capital.We tend to, and I know, I’ve said this on many calls in the past, look to deploy capital where money is scarce or where people don’t have access to the capital and stay away from those regions, where capital is abundant and being given away. And so having a global franchise where we can move capital amongst different sectors in different regions allows us to invest in a way we think where we can achieve good risk adjusted returns.Where that translates today is, we are seeing better opportunities in the data and energy sectors. Those are the two sectors where capital is more scarce than let’s say in the utility sector or transportation sector or in certain parts of transportation sector, and then from a global perspective.We see good opportunities in Asia, in particular India, there’s a banking crisis and so people like ourselves who have access to international credit can buy assets there, I think at good value. South America is a region that today capital isn’t as strong as other markets.We find North America is not too bad, particularly in the energy sector we think we can find good opportunities here and maybe the most challenging market where capital is abundant and being priced unfairly today would be Europe, and that’s largely due to negative interest rates, and people just trying to race to the bottom. But even there we still find some opportunities once in a while. So I hope that gives you a little bit of color, I realize it’s high level, but hopefully –

Rupert Merer

Analyst · National Bank Financial. Your line is now open.

Yeah, that’s perfect. Thanks very much.

Operator

Operator

Our next question comes from Robert Catellier with CIBC Capital Markets. Your line is now open.

Robert Catellier

Analyst · CIBC Capital Markets. Your line is now open.

Good morning, thank you. I just wanted to see if you can provide more color on G&W, you’re closing that transaction whether or not you expect it will be a clean closing or if you’ll have to structure around either the role for a situation or any competition concerns?

Sam Pollock

Analyst · CIBC Capital Markets. Your line is now open.

Hi, Robert. So the great news is that, the two most important approvals we have received which is shareholder approval, number one and two, the Surface Transportation Board approval. The last critical approval that we need is CFIUS approval, which is one that all foreign investors generally are required to buy assets in the United States.Given our footprint in the United States and the numerous transactions that Brookfield as a whole has done in the US, we feel highly confident that we should get those – that approval and hopefully get it relatively soon.And so, I think as far as the completion risk, we think it’s relatively low at this stage. We also had some great news this week on the financing front. Bahir and his team did an unbelievable job in executing financing and maybe I’ll let Bahir do a little victory lap here.

Bahir Manios

Analyst · CIBC Capital Markets. Your line is now open.

Thanks for that, Sam. Yeah, so just picking up on what Sam just noted. We did finance the debt related to this acquisition. In total, we’ll be doing about $2.5 billion in the US bond market. This financing was very well received by bond market investors.The deal was almost 5 times oversubscribed, done at LIBOR plus 200 which is well, well inside of our underwriting case which is a terrific start for us. And our understanding is that, this is the most successful debt financing done in the leveraged finance market at least since the financial crisis.So that was terrific and really highlights the robust credit characteristics of this business and the underlying strong fundamentals in the scale of the business that we’re acquiring. So a very, very positive early start for us on this acquisition.

Robert Catellier

Analyst · CIBC Capital Markets. Your line is now open.

Okay and just want to test your Brookfield’s appetite for investing in the Middle East. There’s been some energy deals there recently. How would you describe Brookfield’s appetite for investing there particularly energy assets?

Sam Pollock

Analyst · CIBC Capital Markets. Your line is now open.

So it is a region we’ll consider. We have lots of strong relationships with a number of the sovereign funds in that region, they’ve been great supporters. As you mentioned, there have been a few transactions that have been completed over the last 12 months, particularly in Abu Dhabi, and we’ve also looked at district energy assets in that region as well. It’s not a market where there is a lot of investment activity, they tend to come up every once in a while. So I can’t tell you that we will do something, but I would just say that it is a region that we would consider.

Robert Catellier

Analyst · CIBC Capital Markets. Your line is now open.

Okay, great. Thank you.

Sam Pollock

Analyst · CIBC Capital Markets. Your line is now open.

Thanks, Robert.

Operator

Operator

I’m showing no further questions in queue at this time. I’d like to turn the call back to Mr. Pollock for closing remarks.

Sam Pollock

Analyst

Okay. Well thank you, operator and thank you, everyone for joining our call this morning. We look forward to updating you on our progress next quarter and so on behalf of my colleagues, we wish you the best for the rest of the year, and if we don’t speak before the holidays, happy holidays.

Operator

Operator

Ladies and gentlemen, thank you for participating in today’s conference. This concludes today’s program. You may all disconnect. Everyone, have a great day.