Christopher Viehbacher
Analyst · RBC Capital Markets
Thank you, Tim. Good morning, everyone. So we've had a very strong start to the year. And I was thinking about where we have been as a company in 2023, we had just completed 4 years of declining revenue and profit. And since then, we've been able to pretty much stabilize the business. And -- that's really been a huge amount of work by all of our teams. And the interesting thing about this business is it's not enough to just trim some cost, and we did have to cut some excess cost. But one of the things that we have really been doing is going through every single line of the P&L and thinking about are we investing for growth? Because you do have to invest in this business. You cannot save your way to prosperity. And so there's been a lot of really careful thought about how do we invest for growth, be it in research and development or in commercial. And as Robin has talked about in the past, we actually have shifted a lot of costs. 90% of our commercial costs were really behind the MS portfolio in 2023. And by shifting that to our growth products, I think one of the things you see here on the first slide is that the growth products are now generating $850 million in the first quarter, and that's up 12%. And the 12% is actually even a little bit of an understatement because SPINRAZA declined slightly. Now SPINRAZA declined mostly because of the timing of shipments and there was a one-off event last year on VAT, I think, in Europe somewhere. But remember, timing of shipments is a big thing at Biogen. Out of the 15,000 patients on SPINRAZA that we treat every year, about 9,000 are ex U.S. And in a lot of countries, we only ship once or twice a year into those countries. So it tends to be lumpy by nature. What is good news is the new high dose SPINRAZA. As you've seen, this has now been approved in the U.S., and we already have patients on the new dosage regimen. But it has already been approved in Japan. It was the first country to approve the high dose. And then Europe, and we're getting a lot of positive feedback from those countries where it's been launched. Not only is this going to be significant in terms of competitiveness in a highly competitive area. But we're also seeing some anecdotal reports of switch backs. In this market, whenever you have one of these devastating diseases, efficacy is really paramount. And I think the high dose really should help us have an edge on the efficacy front in this market. So we're very happy to see the growth products growing like that. We look to our major opportunity with LEQEMBI and as you know, over the past few years since launch, a lot has been done to try to improve the care pathway, make it easier for both physicians and patients. And the IQLIK is really is fundamental to that. Last year, we had the approval for the maintenance indication -- and you'll see numbers where we have significant numbers of patients who are continuing on after the first 18 months regimen to remove the plaques and going on to to maintenance. We have a PDUFA date of May 24 for the induction subcutaneous. And again, we see this as an opportunity to facilitate the care pathway, improve patient convenience and improve our competitive profile versus [ Gasuma. ] So that's the business, the Biogen business is doing well. And now on top of that, we are the proposed a pellet acquisition. We haven't yet closed, but -- and so we're limited in what we can say. But obviously, this expands our commercial growth portfolio. There are 2 marketed products. And I'll just remind everybody that this is 1 molecule. It has 3 indications, and it has 2 brands. And as I talked to a number of investors on SYFOVRE, there is this focus on ophthalmology. And what I think a lot of people forget is that geographic atrophy is really an autoimmune disease. And it is caused by the formation of lesions as a result of [ Averen ] immune activity. And what we're really trying to do with geographic atrophy is to prevent the growth of these lesions. So when people start talking about visual acuity, that's probably going to be very difficult because the eye tends to adjust around these lesions. And what really is the goal of treatment is to prevent progression of the disease, which could potentially lead to blindness. And so I think there's a lot that we need to do in terms of thinking about how we really position this drug and where the benefit is. Empaveli is an enormous benefit to us. we have greater conviction every day on felzartamab, and we look forward to seeing the first data and hopefully that -- those data will realize our aspirations for this product. But if you went back 6, 7 years ago, nobody was interested in nephrology. And now really with the advent of the FDA acceptance of proteinuria as a biomarker, a lot of companies have come into this space. IGAM is obviously the biggest market in this -- and so as we think about recruiting for felzartamab and our prelaunch activities, you're finding that you've got a lot of companies out there that are recruiting in nephrology. I mean, Vertex is, Vera is just to name a few, for example, -- and so within the belly and with the addition of the Appellate team, -- we have a whole team ready to go in nephrology, and we'll be present in the nephrology offices, building those relationships, going to congresses now with a marketed product, not a future product. And so we believe both in the growth of Empaveli, but what that can do for a whole nephrology franchise at Biogen, and we're pretty excited about that, I have to say. And I think all the conversations that we've been having with the Apellis team leading up to a potential integration. I think there's -- first of all, there's an incredible talent in the Palace team. But I think it's also fair to say that within Biogen, I think we can probably bring more resources to really support those teams. And I don't see a big inflection in SYFOVRE, for example, but I do think -- there is an opportunity for growing product there. And I think, as I say, Empaveli within a broader nephrology franchise, that could be a game changer for Biogen in the future. So as we look at this, -- we do expect the acquisition to be accretive in 2027. And when you look out over the next few years, this materially increases Biogen's EPS outlook. And if I turn to the next chart here. Now don't get your micrometers out here and try to measure these arrows here, this is meant to be illustrative of where we think this is going. If we just take what Wall Street thinks Biogen is going to do, I can't say that we would be happy with that, but that's what's out there in the public domain. It's roughly flat through 2030. Now when you look at what appellate can do is this allows Biogen to start growing now is our belief. And then the pipeline starts to read out. We've got a lot of data readouts already starting this year and consecutively over the years. And as one investor told me said, I get this. before we had a pipeline coming on a flat business. Now I see a pipeline coming on a growing business. And I think that's the fundamental difference in what the Apellis acquisition does for us. And we're still going to continue to do business development. In all of this, we just acquired the China rights for felzartamab that's an important market for IgAN, but China is a big important market for us. And Biogen has been relatively small in China. China is the world's second biggest pharmaceutical market and so felzartamab and acquiring these rights not only just to acquire the worldwide rights for PELSA, but also really to build our business in China. So again, we continue to invest in growth, but I think a lot of the investments, a lot of the work that we have done over the last 2, 3 years is now coming to fruition. And at least this is the vision. Now we are very conscious of the fact that business 10% is strategy, execution. And so we need to now execute as a team to bring all of this, but at least this is the aspiration that we have for our company. With that -- let's talk about that pipeline, and I'll pass it to Priya.