Jeff Benck
Analyst · Lake Street. Please ahead
Thanks, Roop. Please turn to Slide 16. First, let me provide some additional color on the updates that Roop provided. Our first quarter guidance comprehends Semi-Cap sector softness impacting the first half of 2023. That being the case, we continue to see strength in several other sectors including medical, industrials and next-gen communications. In both 2021 and 2022, the effective supply chain premiums obscured the underlying rate of growth in several of our sectors. For comparative purposes, we’re providing a view of the sectors excluding these premiums, which we have presented in Slide 16 for your reference. In Semi-Cap, we closed out a banner year in 2022, growing revenue 30%. We’ve all seen the news from several companies and industry analysts in this space regarding forecast for lower Semi-Cap wafer fab equipment spending, attributable to the weakness in the memory markets and global trade restrictions, including those stemming from the U.S. Department of Commerce. Our share gains, our exposure to logic versus memory and our involvement with EUV systems partially insulated us from this downturn. However, we’re not entirely immune. On a near-term basis, we have seen many estimates referencing WFE capital budgets coming down 20% to 25% in 2023, which most believe will be first half 2023 weighted. We expect this downturn to be briefed by historical standards and are confident in the multi-year demand drivers including increasing silicon content, the emergence of many new domestic fabs like here in Arizona for TSMC and further government investment via measures such as the CHIPS Act. We believe that we’ll continue to outperform sector growth rates given our program wins that will be starting in 2023, but in Q1, we are forecasting a sequential and year-over-year decline in this sector. In Medical, we grew revenue 13% in 2022. This could have been much more, but supply chain challenges acutely impacted our ability to fully meet demand during the year. Looking forward, the anticipated macro resiliency of the Medical sector strength of our customers installed base and improving supply together give us confidence in the growth expected for the quarter and full year. In Industrials, 2022 saw revenue increased 24% excluding supply chain premiums on the back of growth from existing customer products and continued momentum and new program wins. We continue to see our business and industrial shift to support automation and energy efficiency solutions. We expect 2023 to be another growth year for our Industrial sector. Moving to the A&D sector, we’re expecting recovery in 2023. Although commercial aero demand improved throughout the year, our defense sub sector was and is more heavily impacted by supply chain challenges in legacy systems where redesign is not an option. However, demand is solid and we are confident that defense spending will support continued growth. With steady improvement and component availability and deployment of next-generation systems later this year, we expect A&D to be a contributor to our growth. Turning to Next Generation Communications, we grew revenue in the sector by 24% in 2022, with the last few quarters growing at a much higher rate. We are well position here to benefit from major broadband infrastructure investments, satellite communications proliferation and government sponsored wireless broadband programs. We expect 2023 will prove to be a significant year for us in the space with our sector growth expected to well exceed corporate averages. Finally, in Advanced Computing, we’ve been helping build some of the largest and most sophisticated high performance computing systems in the world. We have a large project currently underway on a new supercomputer platform that will contribute to the next two quarters performance in this sector. As that project completes, we’re expecting sector growth to moderate resulting in relatively flat revenue for the year. Turning to Slide 17, let me finish our sector discussion by highlighting some key wins we secured in the December quarter. Once again, we saw good balance across the portfolio, reflecting the diversity of complex projects that we take on to help customers navigate through the product lifecycle and accelerate their time to market. This helped us end the year with over $930 million in new bookings, which is a leading indicator of future growth. In Medical, we continue to be awarded critical medical device and life science programs, this quarter we won new design opportunities for a minimally evasive robotic surgical platform and a novel rapid cancer diagnostic solution, as well as a manufacturing win for a cosmetic surgery treatment system. In Semi-Cap, we continue to execute with a number of significant wins. Our 2022 performance was a record year for us in next generation tool bookings. In Q4, we won a manufacturing award for a new way for handling project. And in engineering services, we had key wins in process metrology and in cutting edge lithography platform. In the A&D sector, we won an RF manufacturing program, which will be used in a compact flight computer for a space application. We also won the design and manufacturing of an advanced communications module that goes into fighter jets. Finally, we want to secure communications module for military ground vehicles. In Industrials, we continue to rack up wins in the energy space that will also positively impact the environment. This quarter, those included manufacturing wins for a wind energy management system and energy efficient heat pumps. Within engineering, we are designing test development systems for climate controllers. In Advanced Computing and Next Generation Communications, this quarter we had two key wins in EMS and one in engineering. Within EMS, we won the program for a secure biometric reader in existing customer. We also won the business to provide a high performance optical transceiver, which represents a new logo for us. Finally, in Advanced Computing, we’re helping an existing customer engineer a large functional tester for a high performance computing platform. In summary, please turn to Slide 18. 2022 was another significant year for us as we overcame many challenges delivering record revenue and earnings. We did this with the aid of double digit growth in five of our six sectors. We expect that momentum will continue in 2023 across most of our sectors and we are guiding to grow in at least four of the six. We recognize some customers are frustrated with the current environment as supply chain issues persist, costs have escalated, and like our peers, we’re not able to meet all of our demand. In fact, we continue to have approximately $200 million in unfulfilled demand exiting 2022. We saw gradual improvement last year, but look forward to meaningfully close the gap in 2023 working closely with our OEM customers on solving these critical issues. Finally, I’d like to highlight the team’s effort in ESG. I’m very proud to say in its report published in November of 2022. MSCI elevated us to a AA rating. That puts us in the top 10% of MSCI’s peer group for Benchmark. This is obviously a team effort and one for which every Benchmark team member should be proud. In conclusion, I want to say that I am as confident today in the future for Benchmark as I was back in 2020. We’ve invested for sustainable growth, while further demonstrating our resiliency to overcome unforeseen challenges. I just want to reiterate, despite our near-term Semi-Cap headwinds, we believe the long-term targets that were introduced at our Analyst Day in November are still achievable by 2025. With the anticipated return to Semi-Cap growth beyond 2023, coupled with the growing frequency of manufacturing outsourcing discussions in key growth sectors and the larger trend toward near sourcing. The leading companies of today and tomorrow need partners like us more than ever to help develop and ultimately build their increasingly complex and innovative products. We look forward to updating you on our progress in the quarters to come. With that, I’ll now turn the call over to the operator to conduct our Q&A session.