Gayla Delly
Analyst · Cross Research. Your line is open
Thank you, Don. I’d like to provide a backdrop on the dynamics in our traditional and non-traditional industries we serve. First, looking at the traditional market, our three year compound annual growth rate was 5%. As the chart on the left at slide 9 shows, during that period, there has been quite a bit of variability on a quarter to quarter basis. There are several drivers for this phenomenon in computing and telecom, which we expect will continue in the future. In high-performance computing storage and server products, we generally have seen demand being seasonally strong in our second and fourth quarters. In addition to this seasonality, we see variation in project timing associated with new technology introduction, while this cycle is not new, the level and rate of change has increased. In telecom, we see greater non-linear demand as our customers feed the market during their new product upgrade cycle. With our traditional market, we expect program ramps to demonstrate more pronounced but shorter period strength, followed by shorter more pronounced softness between cycles as industry dynamics continue to evolve with the Internet of Things as a key driver for many of our customers’ products. This is the new norm barring any macroeconomic changes which are not considered here. Importantly, while these cycles may present periods of demand variations, I’d like to reiterate that we have maintained and have strong relationships with our key customers and the programs in these markets. We’re committed to support our value traditional customers and to adapt to meet their operating needs and their rapid time to market expectations. Now, looking at the chart on the right, our growth within our non-traditional segment of the market, industrial, medical and testing has been steady. In fact, in this area, we have experienced a compound annual growth rate of 10% for the past three years, twice the growth rate of our traditional market customer base. Notably, for the first time on an annual basis revenues in 2014 from our non-traditional customer base represented 50% of our total revenue. We’re growing our non-traditional market for growth and continued outsourcing opportunities are strong. Problems in these markets have greater complexity and the production ramps as well as the product life cycles are much longer, with somewhat better visibility than we see in our traditional markets. Our underlying portfolio strategy is to continue to build upon our steady base in our non-traditional business, while effectively managing and supporting the rapid pace of product mix changes and demand variability with our traditional customers. We have a foundation of operational excellence and cost discipline to continue growing operating margin and free cash flow, while we balance this portfolio. Now, turn to slide 10 with me, I’d like to highlight that our bookings for the quarter were once again well aligned with our strategy. We won 46 new programs, including 11 engineering projects which have an estimated annual revenue run rate between $120 million and $160 million. We enjoyed new bookings across all of our industries and for nine consecutive quarters the industrial segment reflects the highest number of new booking wins. The use of technology and electronic solutions for automation and machine to machine communications is driving growth opportunities in this area. New design manufacturing opportunities are increasing as those industrial and medical companies are looking for services and solutions to better serve their customers. We’re capturing these opportunities to serve these customers and we’re pleased to be a leader in the industrial and medical manufacturing market. With that framework of demand variability and our new booking trends, I’ll discuss our outlook for the industries we serve. Please turn to slide 11. While we do not typically provide financial guidance beyond one quarter, I’d like to discuss our outlook for the full year 2015. As you know, Q1 is typically a fairly weak quarter with the impacts of seasonality in our business. Looking at industrial controls, we experienced slightly better than expected demand from our top two industrial customers in Q4 and expect a mid single digit decline in Q1 which is typical for customers in this segment. For the full year 2015, we expect year over year growth. After the first quarter and throughout the year, we expect sequential quarterly growth primarily associated with new business wins converting to revenue [indiscernible] transition from our customers. Our pipeline of new business opportunities remains strong and supporting industrial automation, transportation, building and construction and commercial aerospace. In medical, we had a good fourth quarter driven by new program ramps. We expect stable demand in Q1 with some programs that are in the final stages of regulatory approval. We also expect further growth in the full year 2015 for medical. Now, moving to testing and instrumentation, we expect demand in Q1 to be flat compared to the Q4 level. For the full year, we expect T&I to show stability and slight growth from Q1 as our new program ramps begin to ramp in late Q2. In telecom, after four quarters of growth as well double digit growth in the past several years, we saw a pause in demand in the fourth quarter. In fact, demand was even softer than we expected and we believe this was driven by reduction in carrier spending with our customers. Looking to Q1 and based on the current forecasts from our customers, we see another sequential decline of approximately 15%. While we expect a decline in telco for the full year 2015, we see strong R&D activities with our customers which we expect will fuel growth in late 2015 and into 2016 with our new product introductions. Now looking at computing, as we indicated last quarter, we do not expect strong seasonal upside in Q4 following the revenue strength we saw in Q3. In fact, Q4 was down more than we anticipated. Some of our customers had seen some slowing in their international sales levels associated with FX impact and have also been impacted by businesses transitions. Historically, computing decline of approximately 40% between December and March quarters have occurred. For the first quarter of 2015, we expect that demand to be down by approximately 20% after the slower than expected Q4 results. And for the full year 2015, we do expect computing to remain a bit soft. If you turn to slide 12, in summary, 2014 was an excellent year for Benchmark. I want to thank our employees for their hard work and dedication to help deliver these results. We enjoyed year over year revenue growth of 12%, EPS growth of 31%, and achieved our operating margin milestone of 4% as we planned in the second half of 2014, while continuing to integrate our earlier acquisition. We also had exceptionally strong operating cash flow generation of $137 million. Our results for 2014 and our future results are driven by our three ongoing strategic imperatives at Benchmark. First, our portfolio management. We have been successfully building a steady cadence of growth in industrial and medical where we have deep technical expertise. In addition, we participate in selected telecom and computing markets where our solutions are highly valued. With the strong product sets associated with traditional markets and our commitment to supporting the rapid flexibility required for customers in this space. We continue to prioritize our go to market activities and align our resources with the growth opportunities which are promising. Second, operational excellence. We’re able to balance our portfolio based on our strong operational excellence foundation. Our teams are executing industry best practices for manufacturing efficiency and are focused on continuous improvements to drive further productivity. Finally and importantly, customer focus. We continue to engage early and assist in bringing our customers new products to market quickly and efficiently, another strong quarter of engineering wins highlights the increasing level of opportunities to assist our customers in accelerating their design to production strategies. Our customers are investing and winning in their chosen markets and our new bookings reflect their confidence in Benchmark as their solutions provider of choice. As we look ahead, we believe 2015 has an important pivotal year as our program ramps in non-traditional markets continue to outpace the growth rate of our traditional markets. We will continue to experience variability in computing and telecom markets during 2015 as the product refresh cycles with these product refresh cycles providing strength in 2016. We expect Q1 will be weak for 2015. We see revenue and margin increasing later in the year from Q1 level and expect to exit the December quarter at 4.2% operating margin. As trends in outsourcing increase, our investments continue to position us well to meet our longer term operating margin of 4.5%. Our strategy of supporting profitably growing our non-traditional markets coupled with our continued pursuit of operational excellence and cost management are well aligned with our commitment to create shareholder value. In closing, I want to thank our customers, our shareholders and our employees for their continued support. With that, operator, I’d like to open it for Q&A.