Paul Herendeen
Analyst · BMO Capital Markets. Please go ahead
Thank you, Joe, that’s very nice of you. It’s been a privilege to be part of this team. We’ve accomplished a lot together and I’m certainly looking forward to my new role and working to unlock the value of BHC for all of our shareholders. So let’s go on the quarter. Before I discuss our performance in the quarter, it’s worth spending a minute to highlight the changes we’ve made to our segment reporting, with the new segment structure, you now see our pure play eye health business B&L and our global pharmaceutical business that I’ll call Bausch Pharma for now. We will rebrand Bausch Pharma at some point in the future. Within Bausch Pharma, we now show a segment P&L for the international pharma business. So this is the first time you get to look at the financial characteristics of a business that is diversified in every sense of the word, generates attractive margins and has the ability to drive consistent growth of revenue, profitability and cash flow over the long-term. To help you with the changes to the segment reporting, there are several slides in the appendix that map from the prior format to the current. On to the first quarter financial performance. Revenue was flat on an organic basis with Q1 of 2020. We’re not yet fully recovered from the impacts of COVID. So getting back to flat versus what was a reasonably strong Q1 last year is an important step along the way. Across our businesses, the recovery was and still is uneven. There continued to be setbacks in various regions due to tightening of restrictions as COVID flares and recedes. All in all, we are well on the road to recovery, but we’re not all the way there yet. If you turn to Slide 7, the B&L segment was down 2% organically, again, the theme is recovery. Relative to last year, the Global Vision Care business was up 13% organically with the U.S. up 4% and OUS up 19%. Of the two, the growth in the U.S. is actually more impressive that was off of a very strong quarter a year ago. In the U.S., INFUSE was a big factor with additional growth coming from Biotrue ONEday Toric and ULTRA Multifocal Toric. Interesting factoid, this was the second highest revenue quarter ever for our U.S. Vision Care business. Outside the U.S., Vision Care revenues in Q1 of 2020 were significantly impacted by COVID, particularly in one of our more important markets, China. In Q1 of 2021, OUS Vision Care revenue has rebounded nicely, and we’re up 19% organically, again against the soft quarter a year ago. The SofLens family and ULTRA SVS were major contributors. We’re not all the way back to pre-COVID levels for Vision Care outside the United States, we’re close to returning to real growth. Global surgical was plus 2% organically with the U.S. down 1% and OUS up 3%. In the U.S., the year ago quarter was a decent quarter with only modest impact from COVID. So to be close to flat at minus 1% suggests we are close to recovered. Outside the United States, while our surgical business grew 3%, we’re not as close to recovered as we’re seeing in the United States. The Asia-Pac region grew nicely off of a very soft quarter a year ago, but the recovery in Western Europe in surgical is lagging. Global consumer was down 2% organically, up 1% in the U.S. and down 4% outside the United States. The 1% growth in the U.S. is better than it sounds as you’ll recall that in Q1 of 2020 that was a very strong quarter with a great deal of pantry loading ahead of COVID. OUS, the year ago quarter was also quite strong, and we were not able to repeat that in Q1 of 2021, as revenues in Canada and Eastern Europe remained soft due to social restrictions. Finally, for B&L, the Ophtho Rx segment was off 20% organically. Reminder, the Ophtho Rx business now includes the U.S. generic versions of our U.S. branded ophthalmic offerings. The decline was driven by the performance in the U.S., where LOEs, including the recent LOE of Lotemax Gel accounted for about a third of the U.S. decline. Another third of the U.S. decline was driven by the natural degradation of the sales of the generic versions of our U.S. branded Ophtho products. And the final one-third came from decreased volumes within our branded portfolio. So that’s B&L organic revenue in the quarter. Salix revenue was up 1% from Q1 of 2020, mainly due to XIFAXAN that was down 2%, offset in part by 11% growth of TRULANCE and better realized net pricing for other assets in the portfolio. If you look at the TRx trends for XIFAXAN, we’re clearly moving in the right direction. However, Rx is in a Long Term Care setting, are recovering slower than other parts of the market. The decreased number of patients to the Long Term Care setting has impacted this market, including our XIFAXAN volumes, and especially for HE. While we’re confident that the Long Term Care business will rebound, the timing remains uncertain and will come as a sector, rebuilds confidence in patient safety. The International Rx business was up 4% organically. We generated very strong growth in the LATAM region, especially in Mexico, led by our brands Ivexterm and Bedoyecta. Egypt and Russia also grew nicely versus Q1 of 2020. This growth was offset in part by general market weakness due to COVID in Canada, Poland and Eastern Europe. In the appendix, you have your first opportunity to see a segment P&L for the International Rx business so you can see the sorts of margins we can generate in this business. Also, if you look at the top 10 products for this segment, you can see that there’s not a lot of product concentration in the international pharma portfolio. The largest product Ivexterm accounted for only 6% of the top 10 products – excuse me, 6% of total revenue and the top 10 products only 27% of segment revenue. Ortho dermatologics grew 5% organically. The Solta growth trend continues on plus 35% organic growth led by excellent performance in China and the United States, and that was mainly from the Thermage FLX platform. The medical derm business was off 14% organically. Of that 14%, 7.5% was due to LOE assets and the balance due to declines across the rest of the portfolio. It’s worth a note here, a while back we put our colleague, Scott Hirsch in charge of the ortho derm segment and he said about our review of the medical derm portion of the segment. During the quarter, we took actions to reduce OpEx in the business as we were not seeing the level of promotional response we’re expecting from those investments. That led to a full relook at the future of our med derm business. And based on that work and work that is still ongoing, we are shifting the emphasis of our R&D investment within the med derm segment, business excuse me. We adjusted our expectations for operating expense intensity, and affordably our longer term revenue outlook for this business. The result of all that work was that in the quarter, we took a goodwill impairment charge for med derm. We’re going to reposition this business in a way that we believe will be value generative. Our diversified segment revenues were down 2% organically. Our neuro business was up 3% organically as strength in government mail order volumes for branded PEPCID, ATIVAN and MYSOLINE were quite strong in the quarter. Branded PEPCID continued to benefit from the prior issues with Zantac and that was in the quarter. Within our WELLBUTRIN and APLENZIN franchise, we saw a nice improvement in our realized net selling prices, but not enough to offset quarter-over-quarter volume declines. Our generics business was off 20% with the biggest factor being the natural erosion of volumes and net pricing as additional competitors enter the market for our generic products, for example, Migranal, Apriso, Uceris and Diastat. Offsetting some of those declines were new generic launches, including Moviprep and Isuprel. We call it our generics unit, helps us to capture the economic tail associated with our brands after they lose exclusivity, and that the expected progression is a gradual decline after launch. Our generics unit does a great job of capturing value for us. Finally, dentistry posted 19% organic growth in the quarter. This business went through significant changes as its lead product, a branded prescription product called ARESTIN, was formerly covered by managed care, but that coverage essentially went away. The team converted the ARESTIN business over to a buy-and-bill model and appropriately adjusted spending on promotional inputs. After resetting the revenue base, the business is growing at the top line and even more so at the operating line, a great turnaround. So that’s revenue. Please turn to Slide 8, and I’ll walk down the quarterly P&L. We covered revenue, so let’s go right to growth profit margin that was unfavorable by 250 basis points versus Q1 of 2020. About 45% of that movement was driven by COVID factors, including write-offs and negative manufacturing variances. Another meaningful factor was FX. Many of our manufacturing inputs are denominated in euro, zloty, Canadian dollars and other currencies. Where FX was a tailwind for us at revenue relative to Q1 of 2020, it’s a headwind in cogs and in gross profit margin. Finally, our mix drove a portion of the unfavorable movement as well. Note that in our guidance, we have reduced our expectations for full year 2021 gross margins from roughly 72% to roughly 71%. Within operating expenses on an adjusted basis, SG&A costs were favorable by $53 million versus Q1 of 2020. I talked about this on the Q4 call. We’re in the process of redeploying the promotional resources that are needed to get the company out of the COVID hole and back to a solid growth mode that means filling vacancies in sales forces and supporting our sales efforts with promotional programs that would have been inefficient in the throes of COVID, but demonstrably effective in driving revenue growth in more normal market conditions. So the level of selling, advertising and promotion expense that you see in Q1 of 2021 resulted in us posting a strong operating margin, but it will not drive the sort of near-term and longer-term revenue growth that we expect from our portfolio of assets. That said we are reducing our expectations for SG&A for the full year 2021 from roughly $2.6 billion to roughly $2.5 billion as some monies not spent in Q1 will end up as savings for the full year. R&D was 10% favorable on a constant currency basis, but this was not by design. We would have spent more in Q1 if we could have done so effectively, but projects are moving a bit slower than we’d like, as we shake-off COVID. We still expect to spend roughly $525 million in R&D for the full year of 2021. Net-net, we posted adjusted EBITDA of $852 million for the quarter, up 2% on a constant currency basis from Q1 of 2020, that’s a nice 42% adjusted operating margin but as I just said, not sustainable. With the concurrent configuration of our product portfolio a solid near-term target for adjusted operating margin is more like 40%. In the Appendix there are slides that show the P&L for the B&L Segment, the segment that represents the business that we plan to spin-off. You also have the segment P&Ls for the four components that will make up Bausch Pharma which you can use to assist you in getting a sense for the Q1 results for Bausch Pharma. We have also included slides that show estimates of the allocation of corporate G&A and R&D to the different businesses. And finally, we provide splits of depreciation, share-based comp and capital expenses between B&L and Bausch Pharma. This information may be helpful as you think about the profitability and cash generating characteristics of the two businesses. If you look at the segment P&Ls that will make up Bausch Pharma, you will see a business with strong gross profit margins and high EBITDA margins. We believe that both B&L and Bausch Pharma have the ability to grow revenue organically in the mid-single digits for a number of years. The next three slides, Slides 9, 10 and 11 are self-explanatory, but I do want to take a moment to call out our strong cash generation in Q1, $443 million of cash generated from operating activities on a GAAP basis and adjusted for the settlement of legacy legal liabilities and separation related costs and payments, the cash generated was a strong $587 million. I want to provide some balance here. We’re talking about a discrete 90-day period in this 90-day period essentially everything that could go right from a cash generation perspective was in our favor. We are on track to generate roughly $1.5 billion of adjusted cash from operations in 2021, aimed to prepay roughly $1 billion of debt from cash flow. On Slides 10 and 11, you’ll see that we repaid $200 million of debt during Q1 of 2021 and then after the quarter close, we announced the repayments of another $200 billion of debt in May and June. So we’re off to a good start. And upon the closing the Amoun transaction, we would further reduce the quantum of our debt and reduce our leverage. Onto guidance, the headline is that we’re reaffirming our prior guidance ranges for revenue and adjusted EBITDA. I referenced a couple of the elements of our guidance during my remarks on the quarter. We are reducing expectation of gross profit margin from 72% to roughly 71%. We’re reducing our expected SG&A expenses from roughly $2.6 billion to roughly $2.5 billion. We’re keeping the expected adjusted cash generated from a offset roughly $1.5 billion and we’re continuing to target paying down debt by roughly $1 billion with cash generated from ops. The adjusted tax rate for the year, we increased from roughly 7% and roughly 9%. Part of this increase is based on a shift in the mix of where we are generating pre-tax income around the world with higher tax jurisdictions making up a greater percentage of total pre-tax than we had forecast. Another part of this increase is due to the steps we’re taking to reorganize our global operating model as we prepare for the separation into two companies. As we continue with that process, our estimates of the go-forward tax rates for B&L and Bausch Pharma are coming into better focus. We currently forecast the tax rates on adjusted earnings for Bausch Pharma to be in the range of 10% to 12% and B&L to be a few hundred basis points higher than that. That’s it for me, back to you Joe.