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Brookfield Renewable Corporation (BEPC)

Q4 2025 Earnings Call· Fri, Jan 30, 2026

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Transcript

Operator

Operator

Good day, and thank you for standing by. Welcome to the Brookfield Renewable Partners Fourth Quarter and Full Year 2025 Results. At this time, all participants are in a listen-only mode. After the speakers' presentation, there will be a question and answer session. To ask a question during the session, you'll need to press star 11 on your telephone. You will then hear an automated message advising your hand is raised. To withdraw your question, please press star 11 again. Please be advised that today's conference is being recorded. I'd now like to hand the conference over to your speaker today, Connor Teskey, Chief Executive Officer. Please go ahead.

Connor Teskey

Management

Thank you, operator. Good morning, everyone, and thank you for joining us for our fourth quarter 2025 conference call. Before we begin, we would like to remind you that a copy of our news release and investor supplement can be found on our website. We also want to remind you that we may make forward-looking statements on this call. These statements are subject to known and unknown risks, and our future results may differ materially. For more information, you are encouraged to review our regulatory filings available on SEDAR plus EDGAR and on our website. On today's call, we will provide a review of our 2025 performance, share our perspectives on the energy market today, and provide an update on the growth outlook for our business. We will then turn the call over to Patrick who will discuss our operating results and strong financial position as well as outline how our increasingly differentiated access to capital is providing a clear advantage for our franchise today. He will then conclude our remarks with an update on our growing asset recycling program. Following our comments, look forward to taking your questions. 2025 was another excellent year for our business. We delivered strong financial results, strengthened our balance sheet, and most importantly, further positioned the business to continue delivering strong growth and value creation for our unitholders going forward. This past year, we delivered $2.01 of FFO per unit. Up 10% year over year and in line with our long-term growth target. On the back of solid operating performance, expanded development activities, accretive acquisitions, and growing capital recycling. We deployed or committed a record $8.9 billion or $1.9 billion in growth net to BEP. Highlighted by the privatization of NayON, our carve-out of Geronimo Power in The United States, and our increased investment…

Patrick Taylor

Management

Thanks, Connor. And good morning to everyone on the call. As Connor noted at the outset of his remarks, 2025 was a strong year across almost every metric. With the business delivering 10% FFO per unit growth achieving our target while maintaining our best-in-class balance sheet and further positioning ourselves to generate significant growth and value going forward. In the fourth quarter, we delivered FFO of $346 million up 14% year over year. Or 51¢ per unit. On a full-year basis, delivered FFO of $1.334 billion or $2.1 per unit. Up 10% year on year. Results were driven by the strength of our contracted inflation-linked cash flows across our diversified global operating fleet. Growth from development activities, accretive acquisitions, and scaling capital recycling. Looking across our segments, our Hydroelectric segment delivered strong results this year, with FFO of $6.67 million up 19% from the prior year. Benefiting from solid generation across our Canadian and Colombian fleets higher revenues from commercial initiatives, and gains from the sale of a noncore hydro portfolio. All of which offset weaker hydrology in the in The US. Our wind and solar segments generated a combined $648 million of FFO supported by contributions from the acquisitions of Nayon, and Geronimo Power, as well as our investment in a portfolio of contracted offshore wind assets in The UK. This growth was offset by gains on sales recorded in last year's results. Which included the sale of Scieta, and the partial disposition of Shepherd's Flat. In our distributed energy storage and sustainable solutions segment, we generated record results of $614 million. Up almost 90% from the prior year. Driven by growth through development the acquisition of Nayeon, and strong performance at Westinghouse. On the back of continued momentum in the nuclear sector. In addition to the strong results,…

Operator

Operator

And wait for your name to be announced. To withdraw your question, please press 11 again. Our first question comes from Sean Steuart with TD Cowen.

Sean Steuart

Analyst

Thanks. Good morning, everyone. A couple of questions. To start with. Connor, 2026 would be the first year where you start to, to feed projects into the Microsoft framework agreement. Can you give us an update on progress there and the cadence of capacity into that deal through 2030? How is that advancing at this point?

Connor Teskey

Management

Good morning, Sean. I would make this comment more broadly on a wholesale basis beyond very simply our strong relationship with Microsoft. The demand we are seeing from, corporates and, in particular, the large high scalers. Is at an all-time high. And I recognize that we've been saying that for a number of years, but that demand just continues to accelerate and continues to grow. And we're seeing that in terms of the projects and the execution that we are doing with counterparties such as Microsoft on an ongoing basis. When we launched that program, we had a defined set of projects in our pipeline that we thought would fill the 10 and a half gigawatts. That was initially outlined. I would say since we announced that agreement in 2025, we are seeing counterparty such as Microsoft look for power in a broader spectrum of regions and markets, particularly across The United States. Even a broader, spectrum of technologies to meet their power demand. So we will see growth in 2026 and we expect to see that growth do nothing but accelerate from 2026 through the rest of the decade.

Sean Steuart

Analyst

Okay. Thanks for that perspective. And then Patrick, a question on the balance sheet. You guys were busy with financing initiatives in the fourth quarter, asset recycling. When I look at the ratio of available liquidity versus the scale of the secure development pipeline or versus the installed asset base. Those ratios have moderated a little bit the last one point years. I guess any commentary on broader comfort with the liquidity position I appreciate you're gonna be busy recycling assets. But are there ratios you're focused on to sort of sustain a comfort level with available liquidity relative to expanding growth opportunity set?

Patrick Taylor

Management

Yeah. Absolutely, Sean. And I would I would say we're very comfortable, first of all. And when we think about our available liquidity and the business obviously having grown over the last several years, we're very focused on sort of maintaining a minimum level and around that $4 billion mark. We're pretty fairly focused on it. It's not a hard line by any means, but we have been at or around that or above that, I should say, for the last several years at this point. It's a level given the scope of our business today that we feel quite comfortable being at. And to your point, as the development pipeline continues to grow, we're complementing that by scaling our capital recycling as well. So that allows us to be in and around that $4 billion mark and be very comfortable with our funding availability of our liquidity, I should say.

Sean Steuart

Analyst

Okay. But when you think about 4 billion, I mean, you've been there for a while now. Your organic growth pipeline is expanded really rapidly. You know, is that is is I would imagine there's sort of, like, a dynamic element to this is the velocity of capital deployment changes for you guys. You know, as the organic pipeline grows, is there other thoughts to that?

Patrick Taylor

Management

No. I think it's fair that as the organic pipeline continues to grow, there'll be an element where we'll we may look to increase that over time. But we're at a level right now where as we look out over the next several years, we're quite comfortable at these levels. And part of it is just because of that visibility we see on accelerating, recycling.

Sean Steuart

Analyst

Okay. Okay. That's all I have for now. Thanks very much.

Operator

Operator

Our next question comes from Nelson Ng with RBC Capital Markets.

Nelson Ng

Analyst · RBC Capital Markets.

Great. Thanks and good morning, everyone. So a quick question In terms of the eight gigawatts commission this year, I think about 2.5 were in North America. But obviously, there's a lot in The US. So when you look at developing projects in The US, are you still seeing any like, headwinds or bottlenecks from from the federal government from a permitting perspective for for onshore wind solar. Like, obviously, it's a different story for offshore wind, but but you're you're doing onshore. But are are you seeing any headwinds there?

Connor Teskey

Management

Hi, Nelson. Thank you for the question. Really put this in two buckets. What we would say is, when it comes to solar, which is the broadest component of our pipeline, solar and batteries in The US, we are seeing no slowdown. We are seeing an acceleration. And this is driven by solar is quick to deploy. It's cheap. It's the lowest cost form of production. And quite frankly, the corporate need the power as quick as possible. So on solar, we are seeing no change, if anything, in acceleration, and we're trying to pull projects forward as fast as possible. On wind, onshore wind, there has been some slowdown in permitting from the federal government, but projects are still getting done. And we've taken that into account into our development and execution process. That's reflected in the pipeline that we prep we present. I would say that wind is progressing slower than onshore solar in The U. S. Market, but both are still getting done.

Nelson Ng

Analyst · RBC Capital Markets.

Got it. Thanks for the color. And then just switching topics a bit. So, obviously, we're hearing a lot a lot about the elevated power prices in The US. And the fact that you are signing more long-term hydro contracts but when I look at your realized power prices for The US hydro segment in the supplemental document. I think the realized hydro price has been flat year over year at about $83. I'm just wondering whether that's just due to the generation mix given that it was below average in the past year And should we be seeing an increase going forward?

Connor Teskey

Management

You should see an increase going forward. And there's a lot of different dynamics that flow through those numbers, but the overarching point to be made is the scarcity value of hydroelectric power is at an all-time high right now. And it perhaps gets glossed over in the breadth of our broader business But the three contracts, three twenty-year take or pay PPAs inflation linked with some of the largest corporates around the world from our perpetual hydro assets. We have never seen demand of that scale at the prices we have seen. In, I'd say, the last year, but in particular in the last six months. And as those contracts get layered in, some of those contracts don't start immediately. They start in a couple years when the existing contracts roll off. You will begin to see higher achieved contracted power prices across our hydro portfolio.

Nelson Ng

Analyst · RBC Capital Markets.

Great. Thanks. And I'll try to squeeze in one more question. In terms of capital recycling, you guys mentioned that you have a I guess, a potential framework to to sell an additional 1 and a half billion to to some buyers. To some existing buyers. Like, so when when you look at recycling assets, are, like, how much of your customers are or how much of the buyers are essentially repeat customers? And should that streamline your asset recycling process going forward?

Connor Teskey

Management

Short answer, yes. But let me provide a little bit more color. Since we started to grow our development business, I would say in 2019 or 2020, our capital recycling activities have understandably grown on a similar trajectory but probably on a three-ish year laggard basis. The time it takes to to pull a project. Out of the ground. As a result, over the past two or three years, our asset recycling proceeds have become a very consistent recurring, predictable source of both funding and earnings for our business. And given the trajectory of our development activities and the visibility of our pipeline today, we would expect this activity to continue going forward with 2026 being no different. Then when it comes to the recent we will call them frameworks we've set up, in terms of asset recycling, similar to in the past how we have raised capital to facilitate a greater level of deployment growth. We think about this as raising capital to facilitate a greater amount of capital recycling in the business. And we're pretty excited about what we've designed and executed here because what these frameworks and we've executed one and we're pursuing others in different regions around the world that we would hope to execute in the near term, what we have done is we would say we have created almost a framework or a program to recycle newly built assets at scale quickly on a recurring basis. And the impact to our business is it significantly derisks our development platforms around the world and the business plans we're seeking to execute. And it significantly derisks our capital recycling and funding plans for our business for the next several years. I will go out on a limb and say, I think this is going to be a huge differentiator for our franchise. Yes. We've signed one, since the end of the year. Focused on North America, but we expect to sign others in the near term here. And these are very significant in terms of scale. And not only are they going to provide an accretive source of funding for our business, they significantly significantly derisk our development activities that continue to grow.

Nelson Ng

Analyst · RBC Capital Markets.

Great news. Thanks for the color. I'll leave it there.

Operator

Operator

Our next question comes from Robert Hope Scotiabank.

Robert Hope

Analyst

Good morning, everyone. So at the recent Investor Day, you spoke quite bullishly about the battery outlook, and I believe you commented that it could be seven gigs in a couple of years. And today, you're saying it could be 10 gigs. Is the accelerating development pipeline here or an increasingly bullish outlook here in part due to the fact that you're seeing larger opportunities. The one gigawatt battery project for the sovereign wealth fund, is this indicative of where you think development is going, larger projects to ensure reliability for the grid?

Connor Teskey

Management

Yes. And, hi, Rob. The short answer is yes. Make no mistake. Batteries are the fastest growing part of our platform today. And we expect that to continue. But what this is really driven by is the simple fact that battery costs continue to go down. Technology advances continue to be made. And, therefore, we are seeing batteries as a potential solution in more and more of our projects and in more and more of our markets. The other thing we would highlight is we do all think of at Brookfield Renewable, think about battery development probably a little bit different than generation development. Because it can be executed faster. Much of the equipment shows up prebuilt on-site, And because batteries and energy storage reduce grid congestion as opposed to add to it, there is significant incentive from grids to bring batteries online faster. Therefore, yes, we have accelerated or increased our outlook for batteries, but it's very simply just a reflection of what we're seeing across our business and what we're doing with our sovereign wealth fund partner, we would expect to do other similar projects, like that going forward.

Robert Hope

Analyst

I appreciate that. And then maybe turning over to the m and a environment. You've been very successful monetizing assets. But on the other side, acquiring assets, what does that environment look like in a rising price environment as well as the power addition environment.

Connor Teskey

Management

So perhaps I'll almost tie this back to Patrick's answer on funding a little bit. We've always been very opportunistic in terms of funding our business. And right now, we see scale capital as an increasing competitive advantage in today's market. And we see a very constructive market for deployment into growth. This is why we took the decision earlier this year to strengthen our already very strong capital and balance sheet position. Because we do believe we are at the start of a period of very attractive deployment into growth in m and a. And very simply a broader consolidation of our space where we think we can play a very significant role.

Operator

Operator

Thank you. Next question comes from the line of Baltazidu National Bank of Canada.

Baltej Sidhu

Analyst

Thank you, and good morning, everyone. So Connor, just given that renewable infrastructure valuations remain compressed and you've noted the large largely US based development pipeline Where are you seeing the most attractive risk-adjusted opportunities today that operating app late stage development, or or new stage platforms? And do you think that mix will evolve, looking into 2026?

Connor Teskey

Management

The opportunities we are seeing, are pretty broad-based around the world, but perhaps to focus on a few themes that we we are seeing right now. I would perhaps highlight three where we're seeing the greatest volume of opportunities that we we view as Absolutely, yes, public companies. That would be number one in the current environment. The second point we would highlight would be carve-outs. From broader utilities or energy businesses because there are such significant capital needs across the industry, Market participants are needing to choose where they will allocate their capital budgets. And to put it bluntly, some market participants can't fund 100% of the opportunities they have at their disposal, and therefore, they may look to sell divisions, that they don't expect to fund all the growth opportunities in, and that could be an opportunity with us given our robust capital position. The last point we would make is we are seeing a unique dynamic in the developer market. Where we are seeing a bifurcation between what we would call high-quality developers and, maybe less high-quality developers. High-quality developers price at an absolute premium, in today's environment given the growth trajectory of electricity demand and the value of projects that can be pulled out of the ground. However, developers that maybe don't have scale capabilities to navigate the current environment, but do have large pipelines of projects we we are seeing more attractive pricing at end of the market and and would expect to be active there in order to add projects to our pipeline that we can then contract with the demand we're seeing from our customers.

Baltej Sidhu

Analyst

Just one more for me. Just on the CSV of hydro that you had had alluded to and speaking towards the Google HSA, which could see you potentially acquiring additional hydro to facilitate the entirety of the three gigawatts. What are you seeing in the market, and and how are you thinking about it just looking forward in that part?

Connor Teskey

Management

Sure. What we would say when it when it comes to hydros is it very much, depends on location. As mentioned, we've seen really strong demand for our hydros and premium valuations both in contracts and in assets in markets in The US like PGM and MISO. And our activities in 2025 reflect that. However, what I would say is what we are seeing is the offtakers of these hydro assets increasingly looking now beyond those two markets, which have really been their focus I would say, for the last two years. Therefore, when we look to potentially acquire assets, we're probably looking for assets in these markets that have been viewed as noncore in the past where we can acquire assets, execute operational improvement programs, and re them under our framework agreements. But the biggest point I would say is K. I'm I'm curious. Couple of things is is is applying mostly greenfield development that you picked up a couple meg actually, quite a number of megawatts from from Neon. Or are there opportunities to also do M and A? And then I'm also secondly curious the revenue model will storage for for you specifically, is that you expect to be mostly contract, or is there a fair element of of merchant arbitrage in in there? Good morning, Ben. Great question. So in terms of batteries, we we view ourselves to be in quite a fortunate position because we do have a very large organic development pipeline. A lot of that did come through the acquisition of Nao N. Candidly, Nayoen was the largest acquisition in the history of Brookfield Renewable. We recognize that perhaps a lot of people knew Nayeon as a leading global renewable power developer. We obviously saw that and the value of that. But we…

Baltej Sidhu

Analyst

Okay. Understood. Thanks for that. And then can I also ask him offshore wind side? Do you comments, you you didn't like it for a while, maybe seven, ten years. You got maybe more open to it. They did a deal for that. Where does Brookfield stand today then on offshore wind? Understandably, it would be very market specific. But we are seeing some markets We won't bury the lead here. Europe, in particular, in increasingly more constructive from an offshore wind perspective. And we are evaluating opportunities in the space there. That being said, as with everything, we will compare the investment profile and the risk return we see in those opportunities versus what we see elsewhere in the portfolio and only pursue them if we think we're being appropriately compensated.

Baltej Sidhu

Analyst

Okay. If I may it's a follow-up on on that. There's been maybe a trend of offshore wind assets in Europe as they reach end of contract life, they become more merchant like? Is that something that maybe Brookfield could opportunistic take advantage of?

Connor Teskey

Management

Certainly. And in particular, if we could bring our contracting to bear, such that we could acquire those assets based on a merchant profile that bring our power marketing capabilities to quickly derisk them, through a new long-term contract, yes, that's absolutely something we would look at. We would be clear that we've seen a couple of those opportunities, but it's not the largest opportunity set in the world today.

Baltej Sidhu

Analyst

Okay. Understood. Okay. Thanks, Connor.

Operator

Operator

Our next question comes from Anthony Crowdell with Mizuho.

Anthony Crowdell

Analyst · Mizuho.

Good morning, Connor. Just a quick one. A follow-up maybe on the previous question or two questions on PJM. Just several weeks ago, the Trump administration created that backstop auction. Is a very light on details. I'm just curious if you think that plays maybe or pushes hyperscalers to focus more on Brookfield Renewable's development side where you bring a new generation in or the company could be opportunistic with some repricing, some existing generation?

Connor Teskey

Management

Good morning. So the activity in the announcement around PJM, We Very Much See This As Simply A Reflection Of The Demand For Energy. And Quite Frankly, How Tight The System Has Become In Particular, In Markets With The Highest Levels Of Energy Demand Growth. We've Been Saying For Years That The Supply Demand Imbalance Has Been Growing Materially. And This Inevitable Evolution Leads To The Immediate Need For Large Scale Capacity To Be Added To Grids Around The World And In Different Markets In The United States. So from our perspective, one of the most constructive outcomes of this discussion is that it should create a dialogue to facilitate an acceleration of new capacity coming online over the long term. That's obviously incredible for the market, and it's incredible The growing and incremental demand. We view this as a step towards addressing the underlying supply demand imbalance for our business and sorry, addressing the underlying supply demand imbalance in that market. We view that as very positive for our business.

Anthony Crowdell

Analyst · Mizuho.

Great. Thanks for taking my question.

Operator

Operator

That concludes today's question and answer session. Like to turn the call back to Connor Teskey for closing remarks.

Connor Teskey

Management

Great. Well, thank you, everyone, for joining our Q4 conference call. We appreciate your continued support and interest in Brookfield Renewable, and we look forward to providing an update, after Q1. You, and have a great day.

Operator

Operator

This concludes today's conference call. Thank you for participating. You may now disconnect.