Jerry Sweeney
Analyst · Citi. Your line is open
Crystal, thank you very much. Good morning, everyone, and thank you for participating in our fourth quarter 2020 earnings call. On today's call with me as usually are George Johnstone, our Executive Vice President of Operations; Dan Palazzo, our Vice President and Chief Accounting Officer; and Tom Wirth, our Executive Vice President and Chief Financial Officer. Prior to beginning today’s call, certain information discussed during the call may constitute forward-looking statements within the meaning of the Federal Securities Law. Although we believe estimates reflected in these statements are based on reasonable assumptions, we cannot give assurance that the anticipated results will be achieved. For further information on the factors that could impact our anticipated results, please reference our press release as well as our most recent annual and quarterly reports that we file with the SEC. First and foremost, all of us at Brandywine sincerely hope that you and yours continue to be safe, healthy, and engaged. And while we remain optimistic about the accelerating vaccine deployment and the path to recovery, the pandemic still continues to disrupt all of our lives and every business, and unfortunately duration of the recovery cycle still remains a bit unclear. Our portfolio remains about 15% to 20% occupied, which is comparable to our occupancy levels as of our October call. And as noted in the SIP, most of the jurisdictions where we have properties still have significant return to work restrictions in place. Additional details on our COVID-19 approach are outlined on pages one to five of our supplemental package. During our comments today, we'll briefly review fourth quarter results, discuss our ‘21 business plan, and provide color on our recent transactions and developments. Tom will then provide a brief review of 2020, discuss our ’21 guidance, and update you on our strong liquidity position. After that, certainly Tom, Dan, George, and I are available for any questions. We closed 2020 on a very strong note, many of our revised ‘20 business plan objectives were achieved despite the protracted nature of the recovery. We exceeded our speculative revenue target by $400,000, executed lease volumes increased quarter-over-quarter, and our pipeline increased by 229,000 square feet. For the fourth quarter, we posted strong rental rate mark-to-market of almost 19% on a GAAP basis and 11% on a cash basis. For the full year ’20, our mark-to-market was a very strong 17.5% on a GAAP basis and 9.3% on a cash basis. In addition, we have 59,000 square feet of positive absorption during the quarter, which included 33,000 square feet of tenant expansions with no tenant contractions. Our full year 2020 same-store number did come in below our revised business plan, primarily due to the JV sales activity that we’ll discuss, several COVID-related occupancy delays, and parking revenues that were well below our original forecast due to the slower return to the workplace. Our tenant cash collection efforts continued to be among the best in the quarter in the sector rather, and we have collected over 98% of fourth quarter billings, and our January collection rate continues to track very well with 98.5% of office rents collected as of yesterday. Our capital costs for ‘20 were better than our targeted range due to very good success in generating short-term lease expansions with minimal capital outlay. Tenant retention came in at 52%, slightly above our full-year forecast and our core occupancy and lease targets were below our ranges simply due to the pandemic-related delays and targeted move-ins and lease executions and negotiations sliding into early ’21. We did post FFO of $0.36 a share, which was in line with most consensus estimates. A general update on COVID-19 impact is first consistent with all applicable state and local CDC guidelines, we do remain in a doors-open, lights-on condition in all of our buildings. As we noted in the SIP, most large employers have yet to return to the workplace for a variety of factors, primarily public policy mandates, employer liability concerns, mass transit, virtual schooling, and safety concerns. However, we are seeing more small and mid-sized companies beginning to return more employees to their various workspaces. Portfolio stability remains top of mind, and our progress on several key factors can be found on pages one to three of the SIP. We do continue to stay in touch with our tenants to understand their concerns and their transition plans. A key priority of ours has been to work with those tenants whose spaces roll in the next two years. Those efforts have resulted in 79 active tenant renewal discussions, totaling about 750,000 square feet and to-date have resulted in 62 tenants, aggregating 500,000 square feet actually executing leases. These leases had an average term of 30 months with a roughly 4% cash mark-to-market and 4% capital ratio. An important point to note is that this early renewal activity, when we excluded the large known rollouts at 2340 Dulles and the retirement of 905 Broadmoor, we’ve reduced our remaining ‘21 rollover to just 4.2%. So, looking at ’21, we are providing 2021 earnings guidance. Frankly, not an easy call given the overall economic and pandemic picture; however, our early renewal efforts, expense control programs, near term visibility into our forward pipeline and the recently executed transactions we think have established a solid operating plan with a clear pathway to execution. That plan is based on a gradual return to work environment beginning in the second quarter through the balance of the year. So, our approach was to be conservative, but as transparent as possible. The frame at a defined operating plan with all key metrics quantified, and present the ‘21 earning guidance ranges as a platform to build from. And with the ‘21 plan set, we do remain focused on revenue and earnings growth whether that be through accelerated leasing, margin improvement, cost controls, or working with institutional partners to seek investments in capital structures where we can create value. The ’21 plan is really headlined by two key operating metrics that we think demonstrate excellent growth potential. Our cash mark-to-market range is between 8% and 10%, and our GAAP mark-to-market range is between 14% and 16%. For 2021 we do expect all of our regions will post positive mark-to-market results on both a cash and GAAP basis. We do have several larger blocks of space to fill, particularly at Barton Skyway in Austin 1676 International in Tyson's and several others. But looking forward, achieving our leasing objectives on those spaces can be significant revenue boosters, and our ‘21 plan only has about $1 million of revenue coming in from those larger spaces. Our GAAP same store NOI growth of 0% to 2% and our cash same store of 3% to 5% is primarily driven by Austin up about 8%, Pennsylvania suburbs close to 5% increase, and Philadelphia around 2%. Metro DC region will continue to be negative while the 1676 International Drive continues through its reabsorption phase. With that renovation now complete, our overall leasing activity has really accelerated, and our pipeline is up significantly to about 600,000 square feet this quarter versus around 370,000 square feet last quarter. As we noted in the press release, our same-store forecast does not include 2340 Dulles, which is fully vacant and being placed into redevelopment, very similar to our 3000 Market Street renovation and also we will be retiring 905 Broadmoor permanently as part of our Broadmoor master plan development. Other key operating highlights; Spec revenue will range between $18 million and $22 million. We have $14.7 million achieved or 74% achieved at this point. This is the first time we're providing a Spec revenue range versus a dollar target, but given the lack of real forward visibility on the acceleration of leasing, we felt that it was warranted. Occupancy levels we think will be between 91% and 93% at year-end and with leasing percentages being between 92% and 94%. Capital will run about 11% of revenues, which is below our 2020 target range and we are forecasting a debt to EBITDA being between 6.3 times and 6.5 times and Tom will certainly talk about that. Our leasing pipeline has picked up and stands at $1.3 million square feet, including about 88,000 square feet advanced stages of negotiations. As I mentioned before, that pipeline is up about 230,000 square feet. Interestingly too, knowing that physical tours have yet to fully return for a variety of pandemic related reasons, we have launched a virtual tour platform for all of our availabilities and to-date we're generating close to 300 tours per month with over 500,000 square feet being inspected. So we think that’s an early harbinger of tenants going to really look at their office space requirements going forward. From a liquidity standpoint we’re in great shape. We anticipate having $562 million on our line of credit available at year-end. We have no unsecured bond maturities until 2023 and with the recent secured mortgage pay offs, we have a fully unencumbered wholly owned asset base. The dividend remains extremely well covered with a 53% FFO and 68% cash payout ratio. Now looking at our investment and development opportunities, during the fourth quarter we completed several investment transactions. We did execute a joint venture with an institutional partner on 12 properties totaling 1.1 million square feet. These properties are located in suburban Philadelphia and Rockville Maryland. The portfolio was valued at $193 million. We retained a 20% ownership state. In addition to the $121 million first mortgage finance we put in place, we also elected to provide solid financing in the form of a $20 million preferred equity position that had the 9% current pay. As a result of that, we did receive about $156 million of net cash proceeds, and as with all of our ventures, we will generate an attractive fee stream by retaining property and asset management, as well as leasing construction management services. On our previous calls we had highlighted that we had about $250 million of remaining non-core assets in our wholly owned pool. This portfolio had been our primary target and leaves us with very few assets that are not considered core holdings. This partnership, similar to others we have done did create a different capital structure that more than doubles our return on invested equity from a mid-single digit return to mid-teen return on our remaining invested capital and also avoids with that a $20 million of direct capital investment by Brandywine. It’s interesting as well too. With this transaction we now have over 80% of our revenue stream coming in from sub-markets at around A-plus or A-double plus by Green Street's recent office market snapshot. We also made a preferred investment in a 90% leased to building portfolio totaling 550,000 square feet in Austin near the airport. That preferred investment totaled $50 million, also had a 9% current pay, excellent cash coverage and a several year term, and this was similar to the type of transaction we did a number of years ago at Commerce Square here in Philadelphia. This investment increases our revenue contribution from Austin towards our 25% goal, and really enabled us to take advantage of the market knowledge and position we have to create a structured, well coverage financial instrument. And also as we announced early this morning, we are delighted that we have entered into a joint venture arrangement with a global institutional investor that commenced our Schuylkill Yards West project, which is a combination of life science, office and residential tower. Our part will have a 45% preferred interest in the joint venture with Brandywine holding the remaining 55% equity interest. The project what we built was 7% blended yield that will consist of 326 apartment units, 100,000 square feet of life science and 100,000 square feet of innovative office, along with underground parking, a 9,000 square feet of street level retail. We do have an active pipeline totaling over 300,000 square feet for the life science and office space component of this project, and based on this level of interest, we do plan a construction start in March of ’21. We are currently sourcing construction loan financing and planned out the loan in place for the next 90 days at a targeted 55% to 60% loan to cost. And given the front loading of the equity commitment of about $150 million, assuming a 60% loan to cost, construction financing, the first funding of the construction loan wouldn’t occur until April of ‘22. Our share of the equity will be about $63 million, of which about $35 million is already invested. In looking at our production assets, they all remain ready to go subject to pre-leasing. It’s renewed every quarter. Each of these projects can be completed within four to six quarters and costs between $40 million to $70 million. The pipeline on those production assets is around 415,000 square feet and we are continuing actively our marketing efforts along those lines to hopefully get some pre-leasing done there as the market recovers. In looking at the two existing development projects, 405 Colorado is on track for a Q1 ‘21 completion. We have a pipe line that is built since our last call that approaches 360,000 square feet, including 53,000 square feet in advanced discussions. To be conservative, given the pace of the recovery in the market, we have extended the stabilization until Q1 ’22. We’ve increased our cost by approximately $6 million, primarily due to additional TI [ph] and leasing commissions, a bit longer absorption schedule which has resulted in our target yield being reduced to 8%. 3000 Market construction is underway on this building, which will be fully occupied by Q4. The building is fully leased for 12 years. It’ll deliver a developed yield of 9.6%. The commencement date did slide one quarter due to October related construction delay, but we have increased our yield in the project by 110 basis points due to some design scope modifications and success on the buyout. A couple of other quick comments on Schuylkill Yards and Broadmoor. We do continue our strong life science push at Schuylkill Yards. The overall master plan is about 3 million square feet to the life science space, so we can really build on the work we've done at 3000 Market, the Bulletin Building and now Schuylkill Yards West. Plans for 3151, which is our 500,000 life science dedicated building is well under way. We do have a leasing pipeline of over 500,000 square feet for that project and the goal would be to start that later this year assuming a pre-lease and market conditions permit. We have started constructing to convert several floors within Cira Center of the life science use and that program is moving along per our plan. At Broadmoor, we are advancing Blocks A and F, which is a total of 350,000 square feet of office and 870 apartments. Block A has $164 million, 350,000 square foot office as part of that phase, along with 341 multifamily units at a cost of $160 million. We are heavily engaged in the joint venture partnership selection process. That process is going very well with discussions well underway with several parties and we hope to be able to start the residential component of Block A by the third quarter of ’21. Tom will now provide an overview of our financial results.