Gerard Sweeney
Analyst · Bank of America. Your line is open
Crystal, thank you very much. Good morning, everyone, and thank you for participating our first quarter 2020 earnings call. On today's call with me are George Johnstone, our Executive Vice President of Operations; Dan Palazzo, our Vice President and Chief Accounting Officer; and Tom Wirth, our Executive VP and Chief Financial Officer. Prior to beginning, certain information discussed during our call may constitute forward-looking statements within the meaning of the federal securities law. Although, we believe estimates reflected in these statements are based on reasonable assumptions, we cannot give assurances that the anticipated results will be achieved. For further information on factors that could impact our anticipated results, please reference our press release, as well as our most recent annual and quarterly reports we filed with the SEC. Well, this is no ordinary time, and first and foremost, all of us at Brandywine sincerely hope that you and yours are safe, healthy, and sheltering in places happily and as productively as possible. The pandemic has disrupted everything and presented a new landscape for everyone and every business. While the duration of the crisis remains unclear, we have assessed the crisis' impact on every element of our business, employee, tenant, vendor safety and security, a return to save building operations, construction schedule delays, forward leasing pipeline and renewal activity and of course, all the related financial implications. Additional details on these and other topics are outlined in our COVID insert found on Pages 1 to 13 of our supplemental package. Looking at the first quarter, we open the year strong. Our first quarter results were among the best we've had in recent years. We had excellent leasing activity, rental rate mark-to-market was almost 16% on a GAAP basis and 8% on a cash basis. Same-store numbers were tracking slightly ahead of our original plan. Capital costs were at the low end of our targeted range. Our retention rate was 76% and we posted FFO of $0.35, which was in line with consensus. Our leasing pipeline was building nicely, including some excellent forward leasing activity on several of our development projects. That strong start is of course in the rear view mirror and all somewhat irrelevant given the circumstances, and our entire focus is on the path forward. And as we turn our attention to the impact of the virus, it's important to reflect on where we are and how to extrapolate the current situation to the near and intermediate-term future. So several observations from our team before we outline our '20 strategy. First, we have a 25 year track record of building strong employee culture and establishing lasting relationships with our tenants, vendors and communities. Never has the time for having built those bridges been more important than today. So, we've erred on the side of over communicating with all of our stakeholders. Second, the paraphrase and number of behavioral scientists and economists, how people behave in a pandemic is not really a great guide to how they will act or live their lives in normal times. As one person put it, we're living in the middle of a grand forced experiment and we really don't know how that experiment is going to play out. So why we've stayed in close touch with our tenants, vendors, political and community leaders. The path forward and the pace we walked down that path is somewhat uncertain. Please note that in developing our 2020 COVID revised business plan, we've pragmatically assessed forward risk, and incorporated all those assumptions into our plan. Given the current circumstances, this plan is as accurate as we can make it. Third, every crisis embodies elements of both danger and opportunity. Our clear priority has been to assess every element of risk and institute plans to effectively mitigate or anticipate its effect. We're also, however, focused forward on the opportunity set to anticipate situations where we can enhance our business plan execution, whether that be through extending lease terms, improving the pricing of our current supply chains. We're working with institutional partners to seek opportunities where market position, talent base and capital can create growth opportunities. So in looking at the risk factors in our COVID-19 business plan, our first priority is the safety and security of all of our employees, tenants and buildings. We are very happy to report that no Brandywine employee has contracted the virus, and consistent with applicable state and CDC guidelines, we've maintained a doors open lights on approach to all of our building operations, and maintained close communication with our tenants, vendors, and local health and municipal officials. Secondly, we focused on the stability of our economic platform with particular attention to each of the following items. Rent collections, given that these are no ordinary times and the stay at home orders in effect, we did receive requests from tenants for rent deferrals. Full details of those efforts are found on Page 9 of our sup. Bottom line, we've about 1.6% of our rent coming from retail tenants. Normal monthly billings were about $500,000. We received $150,000 in April. 29 tenants or 45% of leases have been or in the process of documenting rent deferrals. About 2.1% of our rents come from co-working and conferencing tenants. Normal monthly billings are $675,000. During April we received $580,000. For April, we received 95% of overall rents, 96% collection rate from our office tenants and 100% collection rate from our top 30 tenants. The vast majority of rent relief requests are from our retail and co-working tenants. At this point, there have been no rent abatements granted. Rent deferral situations are paid back to us either in 2020 or '21or via lease extensions. Just a point as well, our leases are clear and that our tenants have a legal obligation to pay us rents. While we certainly recognize every company wants to preserve cash, the legal obligation to pay us rent is clear. And as we have done over our history, we'll certainly work with those companies that truly need bridges systems. From an insurance standpoint, it's also clear that we can't rely on our standard property policy to reimburse us for rent not paid by tenants in default of their contractual obligations. We did however, have the foresight to procure a $5 million of coverage sublimit for interruption by communicable diseases under our property policy, which we believe will be operative where we have force majeure claims, such as in the case we have hard head work stoppages due to government mandates. Due to the uncertainty of the recoverability of these announced, we've not included any insurance proceeds and our revised business plan. We also were impacted by some construction work stoppages. The vast majority of our construction operations remained shut down, with the exception of Austin, which was shut down for a period of time, and some of our operations in MetDC. In our 2020 plan, we're assuming that construction gets back to work in the next 30 days. In fact, in Pennsylvania, our governor last night announced plans to restart the opening of our economy on May 8, and has accelerated the restart of construction, obviously compliant with safe distancing and CDC guidelines on May 1. But the impact of this temporary work stoppage in our '20 plan is $2.3 million of GAAP NOI, 218,000 square feet of lower occupancy, which reduces our yearend occupancy by 1.4%. We also spend a significant amount of time looking at our leasing pipeline, which stands right now1.3 million square feet. Our leasing team and executive directors have been an extensive and repeated touch with every prospect and tenant rep of our 1.3 million square foot pipeline. To the best we can determine as of today, we believe that about 52% of that pipeline or 670,000 square feet are deals that are progressing, but clearly with the shutdown the execution timing is uncertain, but we would anticipate within the next 90 to 120 days. We have about 45% of the deals in our pipeline on hold due to the virus. Of that based upon the information we have, we think that 10% of those will likely progress to execution, about 70% it's just simply too early to tell as a lot of our prospects are focused on their own businesses, versus their office space requirements. And we believe about 15% is mostly likely dead requirements because of the virus and we expect to lose the balance about 7% to another competitor. We also spend a great deal of time looking our capital spend. And as Tom will walk through in more detail, we've done a thorough review of our expected spend for the balance of the year, and have reduced that spend by $50 million or about 20%. More detail on that can be found on Page 11 of our sup. We did make some adjustments to spec revenue as you might expect. And primarily due to slower projected leasing and the impact of construction work stoppages, we're reducing our spec revenue target by $5 million to $26 million. Our redevelopment project at 1676 International Drive in Northern Virginia experienced both of these conditions totaling almost 60% of this slide or $2.9 million. The timing of our major tenant in that project has slid until the first part of '21, and the additional lease up that we had projected for the balance of '20 we have also shifted till next year. Overall, leasing delays totaled about $2.7 million of GAAP revenue, and the previously mentioned work stoppage of $2.3 million accounts for the balance. With these revisions, we have $1.1 million of revenue and 149,000 square feet to achieve our plan that we outlined in our press release yesterday. From a dividend coverage and liquidity standpoint, the company is in excellent shape. We're projecting to have between $400 million and $480 million available on our line of credit by the end of the year, that number depends on whether we refinance or pay off an $80 million mortgage securing one of our Philadelphia CBD properties. We only have one $10 million mortgage maturing in 2021, no unsecured bond maturities until ’23. We generate $85 million of free cash flow after debt service and dividend payments, and that dividend is extremely well covered with a 54% FFO and a 70% CAD payout ratios. And looking at our guidance, we set our new range at $1.37 to $1.45 per share. The impact of this range on our operating metrics is detailed in both the press release and on Page 16 of our sup. To do a very quick reconciliation, our previous midpoint was a $1.46 per share. We did increase and Tom will talk about during his conversation, our project reserves, which reduced that by $0.02. We did a building sale that cost us $0.01. Our office leasing slides are close to $0.02 a share, the construction slides will cost us $0.01. We anticipate losing a $0.01through our joint ventures. And we anticipate losing another $0.01 through lost parking revenue, and the hotel component of our AKA project at the FMC tower. The share buyback, which we also announced, added $0.03 back, so our new midpoint is $1.41. So with those components addressed, we'd like to take a look at the development opportunity set quickly. First of all, on the development front, all four of our production assets that is Garza, Four Points 650 and 155 King of Prussia Road are all fully approved, all work is paid for, they're fully documented, the pricing has been finalized and they're ready-to-go subject to leasing. As we have noted previously, each of these projects can be completed within four to six quarters and costs between $40 million to $70 million. Pre COVID-19 we had a strong pipeline of deals that could have kicked off one or more of these projects. As we look at the crisis now, clearly starting any development is an elective decision, and will be evaluated on a case-by-case basis. And as such, you'll note in our revised business plan, where we have reduced our two projected 2020 starts down to one, which we achieved with the start of our 3000 Market Street project. In looking at our existing development projects at 405 Colorado, as we identified in our supplemental, we did have a disappointment post quarter close. Our lead 70,000 square foot tenant terminated their lease pursuant to a onetime Right-to-Terminate, if we did not meet an interim milestone delivery date. Based on the original construction schedule, we had a significant cushion built-in to meet that milestone. The general contractor, while still being able to complete the project on time, missed that milestone date. We will naturally have a claim against that contractor, but right now our focus is on getting the project built and leased. So that project now stands at 18% leased with 160,000 square feet to lease, and what we know will be a very exciting addition to Austin skyline. And a great pipeline of deals before the crisis, and we expect that pipeline to re-emerge and I've been in touch with a number of those prospects. Due to the short construction shutdown we did have in Austin, we did slide the completion date back to Q1 '21, and due to this tenant event moved the stabilization date back to Q4 '21. On the Bulletin Building, due solely to the mandated construction work stoppage. We are moving the completion date back one quarter to Q3 '20, given that that building is fully leased, we did move the stabilization date up to the Q4 of '20, so that will be fully stabilized. 3000 Market Street, this is a renovation project within Schuylkill Yards. This 64,000 square foot building is being fully converted into a life science facility. And we're very fortunate to have recently signed a lease with a life science tenant, where they will take the entire building on a 12 year lease commencing in the third quarter of '21, and deliver a development yield of 8.5%. So we're really excited. This is truly a great exclamation point to our emerging life science push in University City. Just quick updates on Broadmoor and Schuylkill Yards. On Broadmoor, we're advancing Block A, which is a combination of 360,000 square foot office building, and 340 apartments through final design and pricing. At Schuylkill Yards, we continue the design development process for a dedicated life science building, and anticipate that with the schedule we have in place market conditions permitting that could start in the first-half of year. On our Schuylkill Yards West project, which is our office residential tower, as you know from previous calls that's fully approved, priced and ready-to-go, subject to finalizing our debt and equity structure. Certainly, the virus had a big impact on the timing of this project start. We continue to work with our preferred QOZ equity partner, but the crisis has certainly slowed the pace of procuring financing. We do remain optimistic that we'll get that across the finish line, when the situation returns to some level of normalcy. On the investment front, we sold one property during the quarter for $18 million. We also repurchased net after dividends savings $55 million of our own shares. Those shares were purchased at a 10.5% cap rate and 8% dividend yield, and an imputed value of $203 per square foot. As we assessed with regards to the trading price of our stock, this was a good investment, delivering both immediate and better returns on our targeted developments, and was paid for via the asset sale and the capital spending reduction of $50 million. To provide a frame of reference, the average cap rates in our markets on asset sales since the great financial crisis has been 6.4%, and an average price per square foot of $350. Both of those metrics more than supporting this investment, as well as when you compare that to current replacement costs between $400 and $600, it further amplifies the validity of making that investment in our own shares. There are a tremendous number of private capital sources actively looking for high-quality investments, particularly with well-capitalized partners. We continue to have an active dialogue with several institutional investors and private equity firms. We are exploring several asset level joint ventures that would improve our return on invested capital, enhance our liquidity and provide growth capital. While these discussions are active, constructive and ongoing, there's no certainty as to their outcome, but we continue to pursue and look forward to continued improvement in the debt markets. The last opportunity, I'd like to spend a moment on is the opportunity set embedded in the future of office market demand drivers post the virus. Whether you believe there'll be more or less demand, more square feet per employee, more work from home, the immutable constant will be that high quality office space will be a recipient of any demand drivers. Tenants clearly want safe, secure, healthy environments. We do believe that owners of best of class product like Brandywine will be beneficiaries of these future demand drivers. And I'd ask you to note the building access security, HVAC elevator [Indiscernible] that we identified in our COVID supplemental package insert. And we're also keeping all these potential changes in consumer preferences in mind as we finalize our development planning. Alright, Tom will now provide an overview of our financial results.