William L. Metzger - Brunswick Corp.
Analyst · BMO. Please go ahead
Thanks, Mark. For the first quarter, sales in our combined Marine segments and Fitness segments increased by 8% and 4%, respectively. From a geographic perspective, consolidated U.S. sales increased by 4%, and sales outside the U.S., on a constant currency basis, increased by 6%. First quarter adjusted operating earnings were $118.3 million and our adjusted operating margin was 10.2%, which was slightly lower than Q1 of 2017. The company adopted the new revenue recognition standard on July 1 of this year, using the modified retrospective approach. The adoption of this standard does not have a material effect on the comparability of our results with prior periods. As anticipated, the adoption of this standard had a net positive impact to earnings comparisons of approximately $2 million, mostly in the Boat segment. The full year impact of the new revenue recognition standard on earnings comparisons is expected to be minimal. Please refer to the schedules included in today's press release, along with our Form 10-K for more information. Turning to our Marine Engine segment, sales in the first quarter increased by 9%. Propulsion revenue, led by strong gains in outboard engine sales, increased by 11% year-over-year. Sales growth in outboards continues to benefit from our strengthening market position, particularly in the 300-plus horsepower range. P&A sales continue to report solid consistent growth, including gains in our controls and rigging products, as well as in our distribution businesses. I would like to note that P&A activity has also been unfavorably influenced by the delayed start of boating activity due to weather conditions. Mercury's operating earnings in the quarter grew by 9% and operating margins were 13.9%, which was in line with the prior year. The increase in operating earnings in the quarter was primarily due to benefits from higher net sales and favorable movements in foreign exchange rates, which were partially offset by planned spending increases stemming from new product introductions, capacity expansion and product development. In our Boat segment, first quarter revenues increased by 7%, with strong growth in the fiberglass freshwater boat businesses, which is comprised of our Bayliner brand, along with our European brands, Quicksilver and Uttern. Aluminum freshwater posted solid growth, including gains in pontoons resulting from successful efforts to increase production levels. Sales of aluminum fishing boats were flat, reflecting the impact of Bass Pro's acquisition of Cabela's, which was a meaningful channel for our Lowe boat brand. Finally, revenue in the fiberglass saltwater business was comparable to a very strong first quarter of 2017. This category is poised for growth over the remaining of the year as production of the new Realm models ramps up and capacity expansion efforts continue. Global wholesale shipments for the first quarter declined 2%, and were down 5% in the U.S., both against very strong comps in the first quarter of 2017. Changes in average selling prices increased by 8% in the quarter on a constant currency basis. These increases resulted from changes in mix across the portfolio as customers migrate to boats with more content and higher horsepower engines, which is adding to top line benefits. In addition, we have raised prices in response to inflation, particularly in pontoons. Our 2018 plan anticipates continued growth in average selling prices, but at a slightly lower rate than 2017. Dealer pipeline inventories ended the quarter at 39 weeks of boat on hand measured on a trailing 12-month retail basis. This was one week higher than prior-year levels, which is to be expected given the current – given the early season retail market dynamics that Mark described earlier. We believe that our pipeline levels are appropriate given our growth expectations in various boat categories and markets as well as dealer sentiment and outlook for the market in 2018. For the full year, we are planning for weeks on hand at year-end to be comparable with year-end levels at the end of 2017. Consistent with this assumption, we're also assuming wholesale growth rates will slightly trail retail unit growth rates. The Boat segment's adjusted operating earnings for the quarter grew by $5 million, resulting mostly from higher sales and the positive timing benefits from the adoption and implementation of the new revenue recognition standard. For the first quarter, adjusted operating margins were 8.1%, which is 120 basis points higher than Q1 of 2017. Shifting to the Fitness segment, sales for the first quarter increased by 4%. Sales of commercial cardio decreased slightly in the quarter as strong sales to health clubs were more than offset by declines in sales of Cybex product in advance of new product introductions and sales to certain vertical markets. Commercial strength sales continue to grow globally as demand for these products increases due to our well-positioned product offering and changing exerciser preferences. Adjusted operating earnings for the quarter were at 5%, which was 380 basis points lower than a year ago. This reduction was caused by margin declines, reflecting several factors, including higher freight costs, challenging pricing dynamics in certain international markets, unfavorable changes in product and customer mix and cost inflation. These factors were partially offset by benefits from higher sales. On freight cost, Fitness business continues to experience a number of challenges, including higher national transportation rates, along with additional complexities around the shipment and installation of new products. The business is focused on resolving the issues under its control and adjusting price where appropriate. Next, I will discuss the impact of foreign currency is having on our performance. In the first quarter, sales comparisons were positively affected by approximately 2% and operating earnings comparisons were positively affected by $3 million, which was relatively consistent with our plan. Our estimates for the full-year period remain consistent with our previous expectations as we're expecting a positive impact on consolidated sales comparisons of approximately 1%, and a favorable impact on operating earnings comparisons of $10 million to $15 million. These estimates for 2018 assume that foreign exchange rates will remain consistent with average rates over the last three months. Our first quarter book tax rate, as adjusted, was 20.9%. This includes net tax benefits resulting from share-based compensation activity of $1.3 million. This rate is lower than previous year due mostly to the impact of tax reform and came in lower than anticipated due principally to further clarification of the new tax laws. Our updated estimated effective book tax rate for the full year, as adjusted, is approximately 22% to 23%, which is based on tax guidance to date and is also subject to change as additional interpretations of the new tax law become known. Our estimated cash tax rate for 2018 is expected to be in the high single digit percent range, reflecting the favorable impact of a tax refund, along with deductions from capital expenditures and pension contributions. Turning to a review of our cash flow statement, cash used for operating activities was $43 million, which improved by $23 million versus the prior year. This improvement includes the absence of a pension contribution in the quarter, the previously mentioned tax refund and improved operating performance, which more than offset seasonal working capital growth. Capital spending was $35 million for the quarter, which included investments in new products as well as capacity expansion initiatives, mostly in our Marine segment. Free cash flow for the quarter was an outflow of $73 million, down $30 million versus 2017. Let me conclude with comments on certain items that will impact our P&L and cash flow for 2018. Aside from the changes in tax rate, which I discussed earlier, the 2018 estimates on these items are not materially different from our estimates from the last earnings call. Our current plan reflects diluted shares outstanding of between 88 million and 88.5 million shares for the full year, which includes the planned share repurchase activity in 2018, which I will discuss further on the next slide. We continue to project free cash flow in 2018 to be greater than $275 million, which excludes costs related to the planned Fitness separation, as we will be treating that spending as ex items consistent with our earnings metrics. Our business units continue to remain focused on generating strong free cash flow, which will allow us to continue to fund future investments and growth, including acquisitions, and successfully implement our capital strategy. Our guidance includes pension contributions of between $70 million and $75 million, consistent with our de-risking plan. However, we may accelerate contributions into 2018 as we can lower our after-tax cost of funding the plan by making contributions before the middle of September. Under this scenario, our contributions could reach $130 million to $150 million in 2018. We continue to execute against our share repurchase program, with repurchases of $35 million completed in the first quarter. With $100 million of planned share repurchases in 2018, we continue to view our share repurchases as an attractive use of capital and will balance additional repurchases against other investment opportunities. I will now turn the call back to Mark to continue our outlook comments.