Patricia Bueno
Management
Good morning, and thank you for joining us for BBVA's third quarter results presentation. As every quarter, I'm pleased to be joined by our CEO, Onur Genc and our Group CFO, Luisa Gomez Bravo. We will start with a review of the key figures for the quarter, and then we will open the floor for your questions. So without further delay, let me hand it over to Onur. Onur Genç: Thank you, Patricia. Good morning to everyone. Welcome, and thank you for joining BBVA's Third Quarter 2025 Earnings Webcast. As always, let's jump into the slides, starting with Slide #3. And as always, starting with the value creation numbers on the left-hand side of the page, you can see the strong evolution of tangible book value per share plus dividends, which increased by 17% year-over-year and 4.5% in the quarter, in my view, excellent figures. On the right-hand side, you see the profitability ratios. They are sustained at very high levels with an industry-leading return on tangible equity of 19.7% and ROE of 18.8% in the first 9 months of 2025. On Page #4, on the left-hand side, we delivered another strong quarter in terms of net attributable profit once again exceeding the EUR 2.5 billion mark even in the context of a much lower rate environment, obviously. The net attributable profit decreased compared to the previous quarter, mainly to 2 things: higher inflation in Turkey, which impacts obviously the other income line item. And mostly due to the one-off positive impacts registered in the second quarter. If you remember more specifically, the release of some fiscal provisions affecting the tax rate and the review of value-added tax, VAT, the payment calculations around this and an effect which then affected the operating expenses. The net attributable profit is also slightly below last year's figure for a good reason, we think, because Mexican peso has been appreciating lately versus a depreciation in the same period last year. This had a negative effect on the FX hedges of the net trading income line of the Corporate Center this quarter, but we will benefit from this from an appreciated Mexican peso in the coming quarters. We take this any day. On the right-hand side of the page, you can see our CET1 capital ratio, which improved by 8 basis points during the quarter reaching 13.42%. This solid capital position, obviously provides us with the capacity to increase our shareholder remuneration, which I will explain later. Page #5 on the left-hand side, our cumulative profits for the first 9 months. They continued their upward trend to a record level, reaching almost EUR 8 billion in the first 9 months of 2025, a 4.7% increase year-over-year in current euros. And on the right-hand side of the page are profitability metrics compared to European peers. Once again, our 19.7% return on tangible equity, it remains unmatched, and we are clearly one of the most profitable banks in the industry. Moving to Page #6. This page is summary of the pages to follow. So allow me to directly move to the next slide, Slide #7. As always, the summarized P&L of the quarter. I would highlight the outstanding evolution of the core revenues, especially in the last quarter with net interest income and fees growing 18% and 15% year-over-year, respectively. And in my view, an impressive 7% and 6% quarter-over-quarter, respectively, again, in constant euros. Slide #8, the summarized P&L over the first 9 months of the year. I would once again highlight the very positive core revenues evolution leading to an increase in gross income of 16% in constant euros year-over-year. The strong gross income growth, coupled with the positive jaws and the contained growth in impairments, which we will discuss later, it led again to the record, as I mentioned, net attributable profit of almost EUR 8 billion. Moving to Slide #9, which puts more light into the revenue breakdown evolution. Once again, we continue to deliver quarter-on-quarter on revenue growth, driven mainly by net interest income and net fees and commissions, as you can see on the page. This has been the story of BBVA in my view in the past few years. And as you can see on the page, this quarter, the performance is even more pronounced with NII growing 7.1% in the quarter and fees growing 5.8% in the quarter, leading to a quarterly growth rate of 4.4% in gross income despite an uncertain macro environment, despite declining interest rates, we keep delivering on core revenues. Regarding on the page, the annual decline in the net trading income, I already mentioned it, but an important part of it is, again, due to the strong gains from the FX hedges linked to Mexican peso depreciation last year versus a negative FX hedge impact this quarter due to Mexican peso appreciation. But again, as I said, we can take this any time because it will help us in the coming quarters. Moving to Slide #10. Let me focus a bit more on activity and loan growth, which has maintained its pace at an excellent 16% growth year-over-year, then leading to an excellent NII performance. As we claim, this is also very good news for the coming quarters since we delivered this loan growth in a very profitable manner. In Spain, in the middle of the page, loan growth further accelerated to 7.8% year-over-year, while Mexico continues in line with our ambitious guidance at 9.8% year-over-year. In the case of Mexico, let me remark that if we exclude the U.S. dollar currency impact, the loan growth figure as of September 2025 would have been 10.9%. Now on the right-hand side of the page, thanks to the strong loan growth figures and obviously, our proactive price management. We continued expanding on our core revenues, some of NII and fee income in both Spain and Mexico, in both year-over-year and quarter-over-quarter comparisons. And again, gaining pace in the last quarter, if you annualize the quarterly figures, of the core revenues, they are really good numbers in our view. And this is one of the most important messages of the presentation. Banks are generally rate sensitive as we also are in Spain and Mexico. But despite the rate compression, thanks to our unmatched loan growth, leading to in every single country, market share gains, and our proactive price management, we continue to grow our core revenues. Now on Page #11, you see another reason for our optimism looking into the future. As I mentioned, we are quite rate sensitive in Spain and Mexico. The last 2 years, and especially the last year, we have seen interest rates decrease significantly in these markets. And the good news in our view is that we believe interest rates are already at or near the expected terminal rates in both Europe, Spain and also Mexico. In the case of Europe, we expect the terminal rate to be around 2%, where interest rates already are compared to the 4% at the beginning of 2024. And in the case of Mexico, the policy rate was at 11.25% at the beginning of 2024, and is now at 7.5%, as you know, we estimate the terminal rate to be around 6.5%. So we are almost there as well in Mexico. We have proactively managed the impact of these rate declines, which by the way, happens quite fast in Mexico, the reset frequency is much faster in Mexico and with some months delay in Spain. Our customer spreads on the right-hand side of the page already reflect those impacts. And with limited room for further rate cuts, we expect relative stability in customer spreads going forward. In short, let's not take too much time on the page. But if spreads stay around these levels and with continued dynamism in activity and loan growth, we believe our revenues and profits will further strengthen in our core markets in the coming quarters and years. Moving to Slide #12. On the left-hand side of the slide, we continue to show positive jaws at the group level, supported by the solid performance of the gross income, which grew 16.2% year-over-year while operating expenses increased by 11%, remaining below the average inflation across our footprint. And on the right-hand side of the slide, you can see our efficiency ratio, again, improving reaching 38.2% below last year's level, obviously. Slide #13. This page shows the solid evolution of our asset quality metrics, which are performing better than expectations, better than our guidance at the beginning of the year in a context of strong activity growth, especially in the most profitable and typically higher cost of risk segments. On the left-hand side of the page at the bottom, our cost of risk stands at 135 basis points, again, better than guidance, slightly above last quarter's figure with the numbers already incorporating the negative impact coming from the annual risk model calibration process, partially compensated by the positive impact from the quarterly macro adjustment. Meanwhile, on the right bottom, you see that our NPL and coverage ratios, they continue improving. Slide #14 on capital and shareholder remuneration. On the left-hand side of the slide, our capital waterfall for the quarter-over-quarter evolution, our CET1 ratio once again has increased 8 basis points to 13.42%. And following the waterfall, results 65 basis points, dividend accrual and AT1 coupons, minus 35 basis points, then 37 basis points due to the RWAs growth. This figure reflects, again, our ability to reinvest part of our capital generation into profitable growth. And as in other recent quarters, it also reflects the result of several risk transfer transactions, SRTs which positively contributed 5 basis points to the ratio this quarter, a bit lower than the previous quarters because of the summer seasonality. Then we have a bucket of others of 15 basis points, which comprises, among others, the market-related impacts, slightly positive. And then the credit in OC (sic)[ OCI ] for hyperinflationary countries. Lastly, regarding the CET1 ratio. And as we announced last quarter, we expect a positive regulatory impact in the fourth quarter in the range of 40 to 50 basis points reinforcing our already very strong capital position. Then moving to the right side of the page, as the process of the Sabadell transaction has ended, we will resume our shareholder remuneration programs. First, we will begin our EUR 1 billion -- nearly EUR 1 billion share buyback program starting tomorrow. Second, we will distribute on November 7, a record interim dividend of EUR 0.32 per share. Then, and most importantly, as soon as we get the required ECB authorization for which the process has already been initiated, we will start another round of a significant share buyback. The details of this last piece will be announced, obviously, once we receive the authorization from ECB. Moving to Page #15, with a quick review of our strategic progress and specifically on new customer acquisition. During the first 9 months of 2025, we have acquired a record 8.7 million new customers with 66% joining us through digital channels, a clear competitive advantage for BBVA. Then on Slide 16, another pillar of our growth strategy, sustainability. We continue to deliver quarter after quarter, even above our own expectations. In the first 9 months of 2025, we have channeled a record EUR 97 billion in sustainable business with a significant increase in all segments. And finally, moving to Page #17. As you know, last quarter, we set our ambitious financial goals for the 2025-2028 period. We will report back to you on the progress versus the established goals every quarter. In short, we are at the early innings, but as compared to the numbers we have in the plan for the first 9 months of 2025, we are performing better than our original expectations in all the metrics. And now for the business areas update, I turn it to Luisa. Luisa?